(RITM) Rithm Capital - Overview

Sector: Real Estate | Industry: REIT - Mortgage | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 5.170m USD | Total Return: -9.9% in 12m

Mortgage Servicing, Real Estate Loans, Asset Management, Consumer Credit
Total Rating 22
Safety 50
Buy Signal -1.26
REIT - Mortgage
Industry Rotation: -8.0
Market Cap: 5.17B
Avg Turnover: 51.7M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility22.5%
VaR 5th Pctl4.01%
VaR vs Median8.04%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.49
Rel. Str. IBD14.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group18
Character TTM
Beta0.872
Beta Downside0.995
Hurst Exponent0.585
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD27.31%
CAGR/Max DD0.52
CAGR/Mean DD2.54
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of RITM over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.34, "2021-06": 0.31, "2021-09": 0.44, "2021-12": 0.4, "2022-03": 0.37, "2022-06": 0.31, "2022-09": 0.32, "2022-12": 0.33, "2023-03": 0.35, "2023-06": 0.62, "2023-09": 0.58, "2023-12": 0.51, "2024-03": 0.48, "2024-06": 0.47, "2024-09": 0.54, "2024-12": 0.6, "2025-03": 0.52, "2025-06": 0.53, "2025-09": 0.54, "2025-12": 0.74, "2026-03": 0.51,
EPS CAGR: 9.49%
EPS Trend: 82.5%
Last SUE: 0.23
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of RITM over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 595.832, 2021-06: 504.38, 2021-09: 803.716, 2021-12: 923.949, 2022-03: 987.038, 2022-06: 287.247, 2022-09: 302.3, 2022-12: 884.192, 2023-03: 922.728, 2023-06: 683.059, 2023-09: 685.649, 2023-12: 1401.399, 2024-03: 928.947, 2024-06: 1221.118, 2024-09: 1628.274, 2024-12: 1090.015, 2025-03: 1321.702, 2025-06: 1234.357, 2025-09: 1333.68, 2025-12: 1663.206, 2026-03: 1380.236,
Rev. CAGR: 27.13%
Rev. Trend: 92.2%
Last SUE: 0.23
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: RITM Rithm Capital

Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) is a New York-based asset manager specializing in real estate, credit, and financial services. The firm operates across three primary segments: Origination and Servicing, Residential Transitional Lending, and Asset Management. Its diversified portfolio includes mortgage servicing rights (MSRs), single-family rental properties, residential mortgage loans, and consumer credit instruments.

As a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT), Rithm Capital is required by law to distribute at least 90% of its taxable income to shareholders to maintain its tax-exempt status at the corporate level. This structure is common among high-yield financial entities that focus on capital-intensive assets like mortgage-backed securities and distressed debt. Formerly known as New Residential Investment Corp., the company rebranded in 2022 to reflect its broader evolution into a multi-strategy alternative asset manager.

Reviewing the historical dividend yield and book value trends on ValueRay can provide further clarity on the companys valuation. The firm’s business model relies on managing interest rate sensitivity, particularly regarding its MSR holdings, which typically increase in value when refinancing activity slows.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Mortgage servicing rights valuation fluctuates based on prevailing interest rate volatility
  • Transition to alternative asset manager model scales fee-based revenue streams
  • Credit performance of residential transitional lending impacts net interest income
  • REIT tax status mandates high dividend payout ratios for shareholder returns
  • Strategic acquisitions and capital deployment efficiency drive book value growth
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.5
Net Income: 727.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -5.53 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 57.28% < 20% (prev -52.02%; Δ 109.3% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.05 > 3% & CFO -2.46b > Net Income 727.7m
Net Debt (33.3b) to EBITDA (1.91b): 17.37 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.59 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (565.9m) vs 12m ago 6.66% < -2%
Gross Margin: 86.22% > 18% (prev 0.94%; Δ 8.53k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 11.37% > 50% (prev 11.61%; Δ -0.24% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.02 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.91b / Interest Expense TTM 1.72b)
Altman Z'' 0.63
A: 0.06 (Total Current Assets 8.69b - Total Current Liabilities 5.47b) / Total Assets 53.4b
B: -0.00 (Retained Earnings -100.0m / Total Assets 53.4b)
C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 1.76b / Avg Total Assets 49.4b)
D: -0.00 (Book Value of Equity -21.1m / Total Liabilities 43.9b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.63 = B
Beneish M -3.57
DSRI: 0.20 (Receivables 879.5m/4.04b, Revenue 5.61b/5.26b)
GMI: 1.09 (GM 86.22% / 93.90%)
AQI: 0.87 (AQ_t 0.83 / AQ_t-1 0.96)
SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 5.61b / 5.26b)
TATA: 0.06 (NI 727.7m - CFO -2.46b) / TA 53.4b)
Beneish M = -3.57 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA
What is the price of RITM shares?

As of May 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 9.27 with a total of 4,790,649 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.53%, over one month by -8.40%, over three months by -8.49% and over the past year by -9.93%.

Is RITM a buy, sell or hold?

Rithm Capital has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.64. Therefore, it is recommended to buy RITM.

  • StrongBuy: 7
  • Buy: 4
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the RITM price?
Analysts Target Price 13.6 46.8%
Rithm Capital (RITM) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 23 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 5.17b (5.17b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 8.4954
P/E Forward = 4.1477
P/S = 1.2192
P/B = 0.7418
Revenue TTM = 5.61b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.76b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.91b USD
Long Term Debt = 35.2b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.43b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 39.9b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 169.7m
Net Debt = 33.3b USD (calculated: Debt 39.9b - CCE 6.69b)
Enterprise Value = 38.4b USD (5.17b + Debt 39.9b - CCE 6.69b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.02 (Ebit TTM 1.76b / Interest Expense TTM 1.72b)
EV/FCF = -15.62x (Enterprise Value 38.4b / FCF TTM -2.46b)
FCF Yield = -6.40% (FCF TTM -2.46b / Enterprise Value 38.4b)
FCF Margin = -43.83% (FCF TTM -2.46b / Revenue TTM 5.61b)
Net Margin = 12.97% (Net Income TTM 727.7m / Revenue TTM 5.61b)
Gross Margin = 86.22% ((Revenue TTM 5.61b - Cost of Revenue TTM 773.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 68.80% (prev 90.95%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.72 (Enterprise Value 38.4b / Total Assets 53.4b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.32% (Interest Expense 1.72b / Debt 39.9b)
Taxrate = 29.02% (44.8m / 154.2m)
NOPAT = 1.25b (EBIT 1.76b * (1 - 29.02%))
Current Ratio = 1.59 (Total Current Assets 8.69b / Total Current Liabilities 5.47b)
Debt / Equity = 4.64 (Debt 39.9b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.61b)
Debt / EBITDA = 17.37 (Net Debt 33.3b / EBITDA 1.91b)
 Debt / FCF = -13.52 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 33.3b / FCF TTM -2.46b)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 8.37b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.47% (Net Income 727.7m / Total Assets 53.4b)
RoE = 8.59% (Net Income TTM 727.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 8.47b)
RoCE = 4.02% (EBIT 1.76b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.47b + L.T.Debt 35.2b))
RoIC = 2.38% (NOPAT 1.25b / Invested Capital 52.3b)
WACC = 3.75% (E(5.17b)/V(45.1b) * Re(9.05%) + D(39.9b)/V(45.1b) * Rd(4.32%) * (1-Tc(0.29)))
Discount Rate = 9.05% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 100.00 | Cagr: 7.27%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -2.46b)
 EPS Correlation: 82.48 | EPS CAGR: 9.49% | SUE: 0.23 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 92.22 | Revenue CAGR: 27.13% | SUE: 0.23 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.52 | Chg30d=-3.81% | Revisions=-33% | Analysts=7
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.54 | Chg30d=-0.94% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.27 | Chg30d=-0.05% | Revisions=-33% | GrowthEPS=-3.5% | GrowthRev=+30.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.36 | Chg30d=+1.97% | Revisions=+11% | GrowthEPS=+4.2% | GrowthRev=+6.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -33%