(RITM) Rithm Capital - Overview
Stock: Mortgage Loans, SFR Properties, Securities, Asset Management
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 26.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -0.85% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.11 |
| Alpha | -15.14 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.763 |
| Beta Downside | 0.941 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 20.88% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.69 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: RITM Rithm Capital January 09, 2026
Rithm Capital Corp. (NYSE:RITM) is a U.S.-based asset manager that operates as a real-estate investment trust (REIT) focused on residential real estate, credit, and related financial-service businesses. It is organized into four segments-Origination & Servicing, Investment Portfolio, Residential Transitional Lending, and Asset Management-holding a diversified mix of single-family rental (SFR) properties, title and appraisal services, property-preservation operations, real-estate securities, and consumer- and business-purpose loans. By distributing at least 90% of its taxable income, the REIT generally avoids federal corporate income tax. The firm, originally New Residential Investment Corp., rebranded to Rithm Capital in August 2022 and has been incorporated since 2011 in New York.
Key recent metrics: the SFR portfolio reported a 96% occupancy rate and a 5% year-over-year rent-growth rate in FY 2023, while cash flow from operations reached roughly $120 million, supporting a dividend yield near 9%. The business benefits from macro trends such as the chronic U.S. housing supply shortage and the shift toward renting among younger households, but it remains sensitive to rising interest rates that can pressure loan-originations and asset valuations. Leverage is modest, with a net asset-to-debt ratio of about 0.8, indicating a relatively resilient balance sheet.
For a deeper dive into RITM’s valuation dynamics and how its metrics compare to peers, you might find ValueRay’s analytical tools useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income: 681.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.81 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -107.7% < 20% (prev -59.35%; Δ -48.34% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.02 > 3% & CFO -1.18b > Net Income 681.4m |
| Net Debt (36.66b) to EBITDA (2.10b): 17.48 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.25 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (564.7m) vs 12m ago 7.30% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 85.87% > 18% (prev 0.94%; Δ 8493 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 10.56% > 50% (prev 10.57%; Δ -0.02% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.88 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.10b / Interest Expense TTM 1.66b) |
Altman Z'' -0.50
| A: -0.11 (Total Current Assets 1.85b - Total Current Liabilities 7.48b) / Total Assets 53.07b |
| B: -0.00 (Retained Earnings -19.9m / Total Assets 53.07b) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 1.47b / Avg Total Assets 49.56b) |
| D: 0.00 (Book Value of Equity 56.7m / Total Liabilities 43.81b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.50 = B |
What is the price of RITM shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.56%, over one month by -6.40%, over three months by -1.21% and over the past year by -1.62%.
Is RITM a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the RITM price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 14.5 | 35.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 14.5 | 35.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 12.7 | 19.3% |
RITM Fundamental Data Overview February 08, 2026
P/E Forward = 4.8828
P/S = 1.9015
P/B = 0.8481
Revenue TTM = 5.23b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.47b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.10b USD
Long Term Debt = 32.36b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 17.72b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 39.32b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 36.66b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 43.44b USD (5.96b + Debt 39.32b - CCE 1.85b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.88 (Ebit TTM 1.47b / Interest Expense TTM 1.66b)
EV/FCF = -36.89x (Enterprise Value 43.44b / FCF TTM -1.18b)
FCF Yield = -2.71% (FCF TTM -1.18b / Enterprise Value 43.44b)
FCF Margin = -22.51% (FCF TTM -1.18b / Revenue TTM 5.23b)
Net Margin = 13.03% (Net Income TTM 681.4m / Revenue TTM 5.23b)
Gross Margin = 85.87% ((Revenue TTM 5.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 739.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 66.17% (prev 92.28%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.82 (Enterprise Value 43.44b / Total Assets 53.07b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.08% (Interest Expense 422.8m / Debt 39.32b)
Taxrate = 10.95% (88.3m / 806.4m)
NOPAT = 1.31b (EBIT 1.47b * (1 - 10.95%))
Current Ratio = 0.25 (Total Current Assets 1.85b / Total Current Liabilities 7.48b)
Debt / Equity = 4.66 (Debt 39.32b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.43b)
Debt / EBITDA = 17.48 (Net Debt 36.66b / EBITDA 2.10b)
Debt / FCF = -31.14 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 36.66b / FCF TTM -1.18b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.16b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.37% (Net Income 681.4m / Total Assets 53.07b)
RoE = 8.35% (Net Income TTM 681.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 8.16b)
RoCE = 3.62% (EBIT 1.47b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.16b + L.T.Debt 32.36b))
RoIC = 3.38% (NOPAT 1.31b / Invested Capital 38.75b)
WACC = 1.98% (E(5.96b)/V(45.28b) * Re(8.73%) + D(39.32b)/V(45.28b) * Rd(1.08%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Discount Rate = 8.73% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.85%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -1.18b)
EPS Correlation: 78.58 | EPS CAGR: 20.30% | SUE: 3.47 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 68.46 | Revenue CAGR: 8.53% | SUE: 0.92 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.49 | Chg30d=-0.027 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.26 | Chg30d=+0.018 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=-3.8% | Growth Revenue=+14.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.31 | Chg30d=-0.030 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+2.1% | Growth Revenue=+5.3%