RJF Stock Analysis: Raymond James Financial | NYSE

Asset Management | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 32.881m USD | 12M Return: 6.4% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Wealth Management, Investment Banking, Asset Management, Commercial Banking
Total Rating 28
Safety 22
Buy Signal -0.38
Asset Management
Industry Rotation: +3.7
Market Cap: 32.9B
Avg Turnover: 235M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility25.6%
VaR 5th Pctl4.51%
VaR vs Median7.15%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.20
Rel. Str. IBD44.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group56.9
Character TTM
Beta0.961
Beta Downside0.958
Hurst Exponent0.405
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD28.12%
CAGR/Max DD0.67
CAGR/Mean DD2.48
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of RJF over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 1.83, "2021-09": 2.06, "2021-12": 2.12, "2022-03": 1.55, "2022-06": 1.61, "2022-09": 2.08, "2022-12": 2.29, "2023-03": 2.03, "2023-06": 1.85, "2023-09": 2.13, "2023-12": 2.4, "2024-03": 2.31, "2024-06": 2.39, "2024-09": 2.95, "2024-12": 2.93, "2025-03": 2.42, "2025-06": 2.18, "2025-09": 3.11, "2025-12": 2.86, "2026-03": 2.72,
EPS CAGR: 12.28%
EPS Trend: 93.1%
Last SUE: 0.04
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of RJF over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 2477, 2021-09: 2693, 2021-12: 2780, 2022-03: 2711, 2022-06: 2740, 2022-09: 2965, 2022-12: 2993, 2023-03: 3157, 2023-06: 3253, 2023-09: 3474, 2023-12: 3480, 2024-03: 3594, 2024-06: 3714, 2024-09: 3953, 2024-12: 3982, 2025-03: 3791, 2025-06: 3786, 2025-09: 4130, 2025-12: 4176, 2026-03: 4262,
Rev. CAGR: 10.19%
Rev. Trend: 97.4%
Last SUE: 0.57
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Choppy

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +2.0% 63
Feb -2.6% 15
Mar -5.5% 43
Apr -0.7% 16
May -1.1% 0
Jun +0.4% 16
Jul +0.2% 8
Aug +0.2% 8
Sep -1.6% 24
Oct -0.7% 5
Nov +3.2% 18
Dec -1.3% 20

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: RJF Raymond James Financial

Raymond James Financial (NYSE: RJF) is a diversified financial services firm founded in 1962 and headquartered in Saint Petersburg, Florida. It operates through five business segments-Private Client Group, Capital Markets, Asset Management, Bank, and Other-serving individuals, corporations, and municipalities across the United States, Canada, and Europe. The Private Client Group delivers wealth management and brokerage services to retail investors, while the Capital Markets segment provides investment banking, equity and debt underwriting, and merger and acquisition advisory. The Asset Management unit offers portfolio management and administrative services to retail and institutional clients, and the Bank segment provides lending products, FDIC-insured deposits, and treasury/liquidity services. The Other segment holds private equity investments, including interests in third-party funds.

The firm is classified within the Investment Banking & Brokerage sub-industry under GICS, reflecting that brokerage, advisory, and capital markets activities-rather than traditional commercial banking-are its primary focus. Raymond James operates as a bank holding company, a regulatory structure also used by large diversified peers such as Morgan Stanley, which permits the firm to gather insured deposits through its banking arm while integrating those balances with its broader brokerage and wealth management platform.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Fed rate cuts compress Bank net interest margin
  • Equity market gains lift wealth management fee revenue
  • Investment banking rebound drives Capital Markets segment growth
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: 2.15b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.22 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -258.8% < 20% (prev -272.3%; Δ 13.48% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 2.58b > Net Income 2.15b
Net Debt (-13.7b) to EBITDA (2.96b): -4.65 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.37 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (199.2m) vs 12m ago -4.55% < -2%
Gross Margin: 89.16% > 18% (prev 86.77%; Δ 2.40% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 18.68% > 50% (prev 18.57%; Δ 0.11% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.57 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.76b / Interest Expense TTM 1.75b)
Altman Z'' -2.13
A: -0.46 (Total Current Assets 24.6b - Total Current Liabilities 66.9b) / Total Assets 91.9b
B: 0.16 (Retained Earnings 14.5b / Total Assets 91.9b)
C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 2.76b / Avg Total Assets 87.5b)
D: 0.16 (Book Value of Equity 12.6b / Total Liabilities 79.3b)
Altman-Z'' = -2.13 = D
Beneish M -2.98
DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 5.11b/4.66b, Revenue 16.4b/15.4b)
GMI: 0.97 (GM 86.77% / 89.16%)
AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.72 / AQ_t-1 0.72)
SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 16.4b / 15.4b)
TATA: -0.00 (NI 2.15b - CFO 2.58b) / TA 91.9b)
Beneish M = -2.98 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of RJF shares?

As of July 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 168.12 with a total of 721,252 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.36%, over one month by +12.04%, over three months by +15.41% and over the past year by +6.38%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 162.30 (which is 3.5% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is RJF a buy, sell or hold?

Raymond James Financial has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.43. Therefore, it is recommended to hold RJF.

  • StrongBuy: 2
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 10
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the RJF price?
Analysts Target Price 181.9 8.2%
Raymond James Financial (RJF) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 11 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 32.9b (32.9b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 15.6222
P/E Forward = 12.5
P/S = 2.2333
P/B = 2.5642
P/EG = 0.9258
Revenue TTM = 16.4b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.76b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.96b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.22b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.84b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.71b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 345.0m
Net Debt = -13.7b USD (calculated: Debt 5.71b - CCE 19.5b)
Enterprise Value = 19.1b USD (32.9b + Debt 5.71b - CCE 19.5b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.57 (Ebit TTM 2.76b / Interest Expense TTM 1.75b)
EV/FCF = 8.03x (Enterprise Value 19.1b / FCF TTM 2.38b)
FCF Yield = 12.46% (FCF TTM 2.38b / Enterprise Value 19.1b)
FCF Margin = 14.58% (FCF TTM 2.38b / Revenue TTM 16.4b)
Net Margin = 13.13% (Net Income TTM 2.15b / Revenue TTM 16.4b)
Gross Margin = 89.16% ((Revenue TTM 16.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.77b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 90.54% (prev 89.44%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.21 (Enterprise Value 19.1b / Total Assets 91.9b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 30.68% (Interest Expense 1.75b / Debt 5.71b)
Taxrate = 22.13% (610.0m / 2.76b)
NOPAT = 2.15b (EBIT 2.76b * (1 - 22.13%))
Current Ratio = 0.37 (Total Current Assets 24.6b / Total Current Liabilities 66.9b)
Debt / Equity = 0.45 (Debt 5.71b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 12.6b)
Debt / EBITDA = -4.65 (Net Debt -13.7b / EBITDA 2.96b)
Debt / FCF = -5.77 (Net Debt -13.7b / FCF TTM 2.38b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.5b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.45% (Net Income 2.15b / Total Assets 91.9b)
RoE = 17.21% (Net Income TTM 2.15b / Total Stockholder Equity 12.5b)
RoCE = 16.51% (EBIT 2.76b / Capital Employed (Equity 12.5b + L.T.Debt 4.22b))
RoIC = 8.24% (NOPAT 2.15b / Invested Capital 26.1b)
WACC = 11.51% (E(32.9b)/V(38.6b) * Re(9.36%) + D(5.71b)/V(38.6b) * Rd(30.68%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 9.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -94.39 | Cagr: -3.09%
[DCF] Terminal Value 68.46% ; FCFF base≈2.22b ; Y1≈2.55b ; Y5≈3.75b
[DCF] Fair Price = 255.8 (EV 36.1b - Net Debt -13.7b = Equity 49.9b / Shares 194.9m; r=11.51% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 93.08 | EPS CAGR: 12.28% | SUE: 0.04 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.44 | Revenue CAGR: 10.19% | SUE: 0.57 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.92 | Chg30d=+0.51% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=12
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=11.97 | Chg30d=+0.91% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+12.3% | GrowthRev=+11.0%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=13.89 | Chg30d=+3.84% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+16.0% | GrowthRev=+9.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=3, down=3)