RJF Stock Analysis: Raymond James Financial | NYSE

Asset Management | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 30.477m USD | 12M Return: -1.5% | US7547301090 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Wealth Advisory, Investment Banking, Asset Management, Commercial Banking
Total Rating 29
Safety 21
Buy Signal -0.46
Asset Management
Industry Rotation: -5.6
Market Cap: 30.5B
Avg Turnover: 193M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility23.3%
VaR 5th Pctl4.11%
VaR vs Median7.24%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.07
Rel. Str. IBD31.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group59.1 pctl
Character TTM
Beta0.822
Beta Downside0.880
Hurst Exponent0.420
Choppyness48.3%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD28.12%
CAGR/Max DD0.70
CAGR/Mean DD2.74
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of RJF over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 2.06, "2021-12": 2.12, "2022-03": 1.55, "2022-06": 1.61, "2022-09": 2.08, "2022-12": 2.29, "2023-03": 2.03, "2023-06": 1.85, "2023-09": 2.13, "2023-12": 2.4, "2024-03": 2.31, "2024-06": 2.39, "2024-09": 2.95, "2024-12": 2.93, "2025-03": 2.42, "2025-06": 2.18, "2025-09": 3.11, "2025-12": 2.86, "2026-03": 2.72, "2026-06": 3.14,
EPS CAGR: 12.51%
EPS Trend: 93.3%
Last SUE: 1.03
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of RJF over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 2693, 2021-12: 2780, 2022-03: 2711, 2022-06: 2740, 2022-09: 2965, 2022-12: 2993, 2023-03: 3157, 2023-06: 3253, 2023-09: 3474, 2023-12: 3480, 2024-03: 3594, 2024-06: 3714, 2024-09: 3953, 2024-12: 3982, 2025-03: 3791, 2025-06: 3786, 2025-09: 4130, 2025-12: 4176, 2026-03: 4262, 2026-06: 4362,
Rev. CAGR: 9.45%
Rev. Trend: 97.9%
Last SUE: 0.61
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Shakeout

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +2.0% 54
Feb -1.8% 8
Mar -4.1% 34
Apr -0.5% 10
May +0.4% 7
Jun +0.0% 10
Jul +1.7% 20
Aug -0.3% 7
Sep -1.6% 27
Oct -1.0% 11
Nov +4.4% 24
Dec -1.6% 24

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: RJF Raymond James Financial

Raymond James Financial, Inc. (RJF) is a diversified financial services holding company headquartered in Saint Petersburg, Florida, founded in 1962 and listed on the NYSE since 1987. The firm operates through five reportable segments-Private Client Group, Capital Markets, Asset Management, Bank, and Other-serving individuals, corporations, and municipalities across the United States, Canada, and Europe. RJF is classified within the Investment Banking & Brokerage sub-industry and functions as a bank holding company, combining a traditional broker-dealer with a federally chartered bank subsidiary.

The Private Client Group is the firms largest segment, providing financial planning, investment advisory, portfolio management, securities transaction execution, insurance and annuity products, and mutual fund distribution. It also delivers back-office support such as recordkeeping, custodial, and trade execution services to third-party mutual fund and annuity companies. Financial advisory firms in this segment typically operate under a hybrid model, with advisors often affiliated as independent contractors tied to the firm through recruiting, technology, and compliance support.

The Capital Markets segment offers investment banking services including equity and debt underwriting and merger and acquisition advisory, alongside institutional sales, equity research, fixed income and equity brokerage, and syndication of low-income housing and similar investment funds. The Asset Management segment provides portfolio management and related administrative services to both retail and institutional clients, generally through affiliated investment managers.

The Bank segment extends securities-based, commercial and industrial, commercial real estate, residential mortgage, and tax-exempt lending, while also gathering FDIC-insured deposits from retail and corporate clients and offering liquidity management products. The Other segment holds private equity investments, including interests in third-party funds.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Net interest margin expands with sustained higher interest rates
  • Private Client Group revenue grows on advisor recruiting and AUM gains
  • Capital Markets fees rebound as M&A and underwriting activity recovers
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.0
Net Income: 2.31b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.11 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -261.0% < 20% (prev -283.4%; Δ 22.43% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 2.47b > Net Income 2.31b
Net Debt (-14.1b) to EBITDA (3.15b): -4.46 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.36 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (197.2m) vs 12m ago -4.04% < -2%
Gross Margin: 83.54% > 18% (prev 87.25%; Δ -3.71% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 18.91% > 50% (prev 18.29%; Δ 0.63% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.69 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.94b / Interest Expense TTM 1.74b)
Altman Z'' -2.19
A: -0.47 (Total Current Assets 24.8b - Total Current Liabilities 69.0b) / Total Assets 94.2b
B: 0.16 (Retained Earnings 14.6b / Total Assets 94.2b)
C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 2.94b / Avg Total Assets 89.5b)
D: 0.16 (Book Value of Equity 12.7b / Total Liabilities 81.5b)
Altman-Z'' = -2.19 = D
Beneish M -2.93
DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 5.11b/4.71b, Revenue 16.9b/15.5b)
GMI: 1.04 (GM 87.25% / 83.54%)
AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.72 / AQ_t-1 0.73)
SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 16.9b / 15.5b)
TATA: -0.00 (NI 2.31b - CFO 2.47b) / TA 94.2b)
Beneish M = -2.93 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of RJF shares?

As of October 18, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 156.78 with a total of 1,394,719 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.01%, over one month by -3.94%, over three months by -6.56% and over the past year by -1.54%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 152.10 (which is 3% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is RJF a buy, sell or hold?

Raymond James Financial has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.56. Therefore, it is recommended to hold RJF.

  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 10
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the RJF price?
Analysts Target Price 185.4 18.3%
Raymond James Financial (RJF) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 14 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 30.5b (30.5b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 13.8317
P/E Forward = 11.3507
P/S = 2.0025
P/B = 2.4144
P/EG = 0.7824
Revenue TTM = 16.9b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.94b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.15b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.22b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.80b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.64b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 345.0m
Net Debt = -14.1b USD (calculated: Debt 5.64b - CCE 19.7b)
Enterprise Value = 16.4b USD (30.5b + Debt 5.64b - CCE 19.7b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.69 (Ebit TTM 2.94b / Interest Expense TTM 1.74b)
EV/FCF = 7.23x (Enterprise Value 16.4b / FCF TTM 2.27b)
FCF Yield = 13.84% (FCF TTM 2.27b / Enterprise Value 16.4b)
FCF Margin = 13.42% (FCF TTM 2.27b / Revenue TTM 16.9b)
Net Margin = 13.62% (Net Income TTM 2.31b / Revenue TTM 16.9b)
Gross Margin = 83.54% ((Revenue TTM 16.9b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.79b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 66.21% (prev 90.54%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.17 (Enterprise Value 16.4b / Total Assets 94.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 30.84% (Interest Expense 1.74b / Debt 5.64b)
Taxrate = 21.67% (638.0m / 2.94b)
NOPAT = 2.31b (EBIT 2.94b * (1 - 21.67%))
Current Ratio = 0.36 (Total Current Assets 24.8b / Total Current Liabilities 69.0b)
Debt / Equity = 0.44 (Debt 5.64b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 12.7b)
Debt / EBITDA = -4.46 (Net Debt -14.1b / EBITDA 3.15b)
Debt / FCF = -6.19 (Net Debt -14.1b / FCF TTM 2.27b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.6b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.58% (Net Income 2.31b / Total Assets 94.2b)
RoE = 18.32% (Net Income TTM 2.31b / Total Stockholder Equity 12.6b)
RoCE = 17.52% (EBIT 2.94b / Capital Employed (Equity 12.6b + L.T.Debt 4.22b))
RoIC = 8.82% (NOPAT 2.31b / Invested Capital 26.2b)
WACC = 10.86% (E(30.5b)/V(36.1b) * Re(8.40%) + D(5.64b)/V(36.1b) * Rd(30.84%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 8.40% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -97.32 | Cagr: -3.45%
[DCF] Terminal Value 70.29% ; FCFF base≈2.14b ; Y1≈2.46b ; Y5≈3.62b
[DCF] Fair Price = 269.3 (EV 37.7b - Net Debt -14.1b = Equity 51.7b / Shares 192.1m; r=10.86% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 93.25 | EPS CAGR: 12.51% | SUE: 1.03 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 97.90 | Revenue CAGR: 9.45% | SUE: 0.61 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=3.37 | Chg30d=+0.39% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=12
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=12.11 | Chg30d=-0.16% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+13.6% | GrowthRev=+11.8%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=14.24 | Chg30d=+0.33% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+17.6% | GrowthRev=+11.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +17% (up=2, down=1)