RLJ Stock Analysis: RLJ Lodging Trust | NYSE
REIT - Hotel & Motel | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.715m USD | 12M Return: 66.5% | US74965L1017 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 17.2M
EPS Trend: 63.4%
Qual. Beats: 6
Rev. Trend: 76.3%
Qual. Beats: 4
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
RLJ Lodging Trust (NYSE: RLJ) is a self-advised, publicly traded real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns 91 premium-branded, rooms-oriented, high-margin hotels concentrated in focused-service and compact full-service segments. The portfolio is geographically diversified across urban markets with multiple demand generators and attractive long-term growth prospects. The company was established in 2011 and is incorporated in Maryland.
As a Hotel & Resort REIT within the Real Estate sector, RLJ Lodging Trust generates revenue primarily through leasing and operating its hotel properties, with performance closely tied to lodging demand indicators such as occupancy, average daily rate (ADR), and revenue per available room (RevPAR). REITs in this sub-industry are generally required to distribute a significant portion of their taxable income as dividends to shareholders in exchange for pass-through tax treatment.
- Urban hotel RevPAR growth accelerates on group travel rebound
- Acquisitions expand premium-focused-service portfolio footprint
- Rising interest rates pressure REIT valuations and dividend yields
| Net Income: 27.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.01 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 33.85% < 20% (prev 17.00%; Δ 16.85% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 267.0m > Net Income 27.4m |
| Net Debt (2.00b) to EBITDA (326.3m): 6.12 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.94 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (149.6m) vs 12m ago 0.00% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: -4.99% > 18% (prev 27.80%; Δ -32.79% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 27.48% > 50% (prev 28.34%; Δ -0.87% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.26 > 6 (EBIT TTM 139.5m / Interest Expense TTM 110.8m) |
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 967.6m - Total Current Liabilities 500.0m) / Total Assets 5.23b |
| B: -0.23 (Retained Earnings -1.21b / Total Assets 5.23b) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 139.5m / Avg Total Assets 5.03b) |
| D: 0.70 (Book Value of Equity 2.15b / Total Liabilities 3.07b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.76 = B |
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 30.0m/27.7m, Revenue 1.38b/1.37b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.79 / AQ_t-1 0.88) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 1.38b / 1.37b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 27.4m - CFO 267.0m) / TA 5.23b) |
| Beneish M = -3.02 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 05, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 11.22 with a total of 1,599,083 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.56%, over one month by +2.66%, over three months by -3.44% and over the past year by +66.50%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 10.80 (which is 3.7% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).
RLJ Lodging Trust has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.30. Therefore, it is recommended to hold RLJ.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 11.7 | 4.1% |
P/E Trailing = 1120.0
P/E Forward = 2000.0
P/S = 1.2414
P/B = 0.9313
P/EG = 2.0614
Revenue TTM = 1.38b USD
EBIT TTM = 139.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 326.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.70b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 500.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.93b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 119.3m
Net Debt = 2.00b USD (calculated: Debt 2.93b - CCE 937.6m)
Enterprise Value = 3.71b USD (1.72b + Debt 2.93b - CCE 937.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.26 (Ebit TTM 139.5m / Interest Expense TTM 110.8m)
EV/FCF = 13.90x (Enterprise Value 3.71b / FCF TTM 267.0m)
FCF Yield = 7.19% (FCF TTM 267.0m / Enterprise Value 3.71b)
FCF Margin = 19.32% (FCF TTM 267.0m / Revenue TTM 1.38b)
Net Margin = 1.98% (Net Income TTM 27.4m / Revenue TTM 1.38b)
Gross Margin = -4.99% ((Revenue TTM 1.38b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.45b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 5.78% (prev 33.82%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.71 (Enterprise Value 3.71b / Total Assets 5.23b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.78% (Interest Expense 110.8m / Debt 2.93b)
Taxrate = 1.86% (537k / 28.8m)
NOPAT = 136.9m (EBIT 139.5m * (1 - 1.86%))
Current Ratio = 1.94 (Total Current Assets 967.6m / Total Current Liabilities 500.0m)
Debt / Equity = 1.36 (Debt 2.93b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.15b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.12 (Net Debt 2.00b / EBITDA 326.3m)
Debt / FCF = 7.48 (Net Debt 2.00b / FCF TTM 267.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.17b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.54% (Net Income 27.4m / Total Assets 5.23b)
RoE = 1.26% (Net Income TTM 27.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.17b)
RoCE = 2.87% (EBIT 139.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.17b + L.T.Debt 2.70b))
RoIC = 2.65% (NOPAT 136.9m / Invested Capital 5.16b)
WACC = 5.50% (E(1.72b)/V(4.65b) * Re(8.56%) + D(2.93b)/V(4.65b) * Rd(3.78%) * (1-Tc(0.02)))
Discount Rate = 8.56% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -89.26 | Cagr: -0.98%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈239.2m ; Y1≈274.2m ; Y5≈403.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 26.76 (EV 6.07b - Net Debt 2.00b = Equity 4.08b / Shares 152.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 63.36 | EPS CAGR: 56.85% | SUE: 3.72 | # QB: 6
Revenue Correlation: 76.31 | Revenue CAGR: 1.33% | SUE: 2.24 | # QB: 4
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.05 | Chg30d=+24.96% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.07 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+82.8% | GrowthRev=+3.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=-96.4% | GrowthRev=+1.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -12% (up=2, down=3)