(RLJ) RLJ Lodging Trust - Ratings and Ratios
Hotels, Lodging, Properties, REIT
RLJ EPS (Earnings per Share)
RLJ Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 26.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 39.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.93% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.57 |
| Alpha | -35.38 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.472 |
| Beta | 1.201 |
| Beta Downside | 1.230 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 44.93% |
| Mean DD | 20.02% |
| Median DD | 20.14% |
Description: RLJ RLJ Lodging Trust August 21, 2025
RLJ Lodging Trust is a Hotel & Resort REITs company listed on the NYSE under the ticker symbol RLJ. As a Real Estate Investment Trust, the companys primary business is owning and operating a portfolio of hotels and resorts, generating revenue through rental income and property appreciation.
The hotel industry is highly sensitive to macroeconomic conditions, with key drivers including GDP growth, tourism trends, and interest rates. As a REIT, RLJs financial performance is closely tied to the overall health of the hospitality sector, with metrics such as RevPAR (Revenue Per Available Room) and occupancy rates serving as key performance indicators.
To evaluate RLJs financial health, investors should consider metrics such as Funds From Operations (FFO) and Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO), which provide insight into the companys ability to generate cash flow from its operations. Additionally, the companys debt-to-equity ratio and interest coverage ratio are important indicators of its capital structure and ability to meet its financial obligations.
With a market capitalization of approximately $1.05 billion, RLJ is a mid-cap REIT with a relatively modest size compared to its peers. The companys price-to-earnings ratio of 34.75 suggests that investors are pricing in moderate growth expectations, while the forward P/E ratio of 250.00 implies significant growth expectations in the future.
To drive growth, RLJ may focus on strategic initiatives such as portfolio optimization, asset repositioning, and expansion into new markets. The companys ability to execute on these initiatives will be critical to driving long-term value creation for shareholders.
RLJ Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 1,136m |
| Sub-Industry | Hotel & Resort REITs |
| IPO / Inception | 2011-05-11 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -27.8% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.30 of 5 |
RLJ Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 8.08% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.73% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 88.03% |
| Payout Consistency | 91.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 9.3% |
RLJ Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | -9.90% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.22 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.49 |
| Current Volume | 1367.9k |
| Average Volume | 1524.4k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (27.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 81.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.33pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 26.96% (prev 15.94%; Δ 11.02pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 (>3.0%) and CFO 251.9m > Net Income 27.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-374.8m) to EBITDA (301.0m) ratio: -1.25 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 9.92 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (149.1m) change vs 12m ago -2.68% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 26.79% (prev 28.27%; Δ -1.48pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 27.92% (prev 27.81%; Δ 0.11pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.06 (EBITDA TTM 301.0m / Interest Expense TTM 106.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.59
| (A) 0.08 = (Total Current Assets 405.2m - Total Current Liabilities 40.9m) / Total Assets 4.79b |
| (B) -0.24 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.15b / Total Assets 4.79b |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 113.1m / Avg Total Assets 4.84b |
| (D) -0.44 = Book Value of Equity -1.15b / Total Liabilities 2.59b |
| Total Rating: -0.59 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 60.26
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 8.13% = 4.06 |
| 3. FCF Margin 18.65% = 4.66 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.07 = 1.96 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.25 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -1.27)% = -1.58 |
| 7. RoE 1.22% = 0.10 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 41.38% = 3.10 |
| 9. EPS Trend -50.91% = -2.55 |
What is the price of RLJ shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.48%, over one month by +9.75%, over three months by +4.33% and over the past year by -17.23%.
Is RLJ Lodging Trust a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of RLJ is around 7.35 USD . This means that RLJ is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -1.08%.
Is RLJ a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the RLJ price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 8.6 | 16.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 8.6 | 16.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 7.9 | 6.1% |
RLJ Fundamental Data Overview November 15, 2025
P/E Trailing = 149.6
P/E Forward = 144.9275
P/S = 0.8407
P/B = 0.6216
P/EG = 1.41
Beta = 1.175
Revenue TTM = 1.35b USD
EBIT TTM = 113.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 301.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.22b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 190.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 2.34b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -374.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.10b USD (1.14b + Debt 2.34b - CCE 374.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.06 (Ebit TTM 113.1m / Interest Expense TTM 106.4m)
FCF Yield = 8.13% (FCF TTM 251.9m / Enterprise Value 3.10b)
FCF Margin = 18.65% (FCF TTM 251.9m / Revenue TTM 1.35b)
Net Margin = 2.01% (Net Income TTM 27.2m / Revenue TTM 1.35b)
Gross Margin = 26.79% ((Revenue TTM 1.35b - Cost of Revenue TTM 989.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.25% (prev 30.43%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.65 (Enterprise Value 3.10b / Total Assets 4.79b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.21% (Interest Expense 28.3m / Debt 2.34b)
Taxrate = -9.86% (negative due to tax credits) (341.0k / -3.46m)
NOPAT = 124.2m (EBIT 113.1m * (1 - -9.86%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 9.92 (Total Current Assets 405.2m / Total Current Liabilities 40.9m)
Debt / Equity = 1.07 (Debt 2.34b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.19b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.25 (Net Debt -374.8m / EBITDA 301.0m)
Debt / FCF = -1.49 (Net Debt -374.8m / FCF TTM 251.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.24b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.57% (Net Income 27.2m / Total Assets 4.79b)
RoE = 1.22% (Net Income TTM 27.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.24b)
RoCE = 2.54% (EBIT 113.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.24b + L.T.Debt 2.22b))
RoIC = 3.04% (NOPAT 124.2m / Invested Capital 4.09b)
WACC = 4.30% (E(1.14b)/V(3.48b) * Re(10.43%) + D(2.34b)/V(3.48b) * Rd(1.21%) * (1-Tc(-0.10)))
Discount Rate = 10.43% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.72%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.08% ; FCFE base≈260.4m ; Y1≈321.2m ; Y5≈548.0m
Fair Price DCF = 41.33 (DCF Value 6.24b / Shares Outstanding 151.1m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -50.91 | EPS CAGR: -77.84% | SUE: -2.02 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 41.38 | Revenue CAGR: 3.26% | SUE: 1.94 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for RLJ Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle