RLJ Stock Analysis: RLJ Lodging Trust | NYSE
REIT - Hotel & Motel | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.743m USD | 12M Return: 50.8% | US74965L1017 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 19.2M
EPS Trend: 63.4%
Qual. Beats: 6
Rev. Trend: 76.3%
Qual. Beats: 4
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
RLJ Lodging Trust is a self-advised, publicly traded real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns 92 premium-branded, rooms-oriented, urban-centric hotels concentrated in major U.S. urban markets with diverse business and leisure demand generators. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland. As a REIT, it operates under the U.S. tax structure that requires the distribution of at least 90% of taxable income to shareholders in the form of dividends, and as a hotel REIT, it typically leases its properties to third-party operators under franchise and management agreements rather than operating them directly.
- Urban RevPAR growth accelerates on group and corporate demand recovery
- Interest rate cuts support hotel REIT valuation expansion
- Operating margins pressured by wage inflation and elevated labor costs
| Net Income: 27.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.01 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 33.85% < 20% (prev 17.00%; Δ 16.85% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 267.0m > Net Income 27.4m |
| Net Debt (2.00b) to EBITDA (326.3m): 6.12 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.94 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (149.6m) vs 12m ago 0.00% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: -4.99% > 18% (prev 27.80%; Δ -32.79% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 27.48% > 50% (prev 28.34%; Δ -0.87% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.26 > 6 (EBIT TTM 139.5m / Interest Expense TTM 110.8m) |
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 967.6m - Total Current Liabilities 500.0m) / Total Assets 5.23b |
| B: -0.23 (Retained Earnings -1.21b / Total Assets 5.23b) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 139.5m / Avg Total Assets 5.03b) |
| D: 0.70 (Book Value of Equity 2.15b / Total Liabilities 3.07b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.76 = B |
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 30.0m/27.7m, Revenue 1.38b/1.37b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.79 / AQ_t-1 0.88) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 1.38b / 1.37b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 27.4m - CFO 267.0m) / TA 5.23b) |
| Beneish M = -3.02 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of September 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 10.93 with a total of 1,151,637 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.62%, over one month by -12.07%, over three months by +5.03% and over the past year by +50.76%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 10.50 (which is 3.9% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
RLJ Lodging Trust has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.30. Therefore, it is recommended to hold RLJ.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 11.5 | 4.8% |
P/E Trailing = 1138.0
P/E Forward = 2500.0
P/S = 1.2614
P/B = 0.9783
P/EG = 2.0614
Revenue TTM = 1.38b USD
EBIT TTM = 139.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 326.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.70b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 500.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.93b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 119.3m
Net Debt = 2.00b USD (calculated: Debt 2.93b - CCE 937.6m)
Enterprise Value = 3.74b USD (1.74b + Debt 2.93b - CCE 937.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.26 (Ebit TTM 139.5m / Interest Expense TTM 110.8m)
EV/FCF = 14.00x (Enterprise Value 3.74b / FCF TTM 267.0m)
FCF Yield = 7.14% (FCF TTM 267.0m / Enterprise Value 3.74b)
FCF Margin = 19.32% (FCF TTM 267.0m / Revenue TTM 1.38b)
Net Margin = 1.98% (Net Income TTM 27.4m / Revenue TTM 1.38b)
Gross Margin = -4.99% ((Revenue TTM 1.38b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.45b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 5.78% (prev 33.82%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.71 (Enterprise Value 3.74b / Total Assets 5.23b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.78% (Interest Expense 110.8m / Debt 2.93b)
Taxrate = 1.86% (537k / 28.8m)
NOPAT = 136.9m (EBIT 139.5m * (1 - 1.86%))
Current Ratio = 1.94 (Total Current Assets 967.6m / Total Current Liabilities 500.0m)
Debt / Equity = 1.36 (Debt 2.93b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.15b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.12 (Net Debt 2.00b / EBITDA 326.3m)
Debt / FCF = 7.48 (Net Debt 2.00b / FCF TTM 267.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.17b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.54% (Net Income 27.4m / Total Assets 5.23b)
RoE = 1.26% (Net Income TTM 27.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.17b)
RoCE = 2.87% (EBIT 139.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.17b + L.T.Debt 2.70b))
RoIC = 2.65% (NOPAT 136.9m / Invested Capital 5.16b)
WACC = 5.53% (E(1.74b)/V(4.68b) * Re(8.61%) + D(2.93b)/V(4.68b) * Rd(3.78%) * (1-Tc(0.02)))
Discount Rate = 8.61% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -89.26 | Cagr: -0.98%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈239.2m ; Y1≈274.2m ; Y5≈403.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 26.76 (EV 6.07b - Net Debt 2.00b = Equity 4.08b / Shares 152.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 63.36 | EPS CAGR: 56.85% | SUE: 3.72 | # QB: 6
Revenue Correlation: 76.31 | Revenue CAGR: 1.33% | SUE: 2.24 | # QB: 4
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.06 | Chg30d=+9.57% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.02 | Chg30d=+128.91% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+82.8% | GrowthRev=+3.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.01 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-100.0% | GrowthRev=+1.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=0, down=0)