RLJ Stock Analysis: RLJ Lodging Trust | NYSE

REIT - Hotel & Motel | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.669m USD | 12M Return: 64% | US74965L1017 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Hotels, Lodging, Hospitality, Accommodations
Total Rating 54
Safety 59
Buy Signal 0.12
REIT - Hotel & Motel
Industry Rotation: -16.0
Market Cap: 1.67B
Avg Turnover: 22.2M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility33.1%
VaR 5th Pctl5.56%
VaR vs Median2.07%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.69
Rel. Str. IBD86.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group68.2
Character TTM
Beta0.753
Beta Downside0.655
Hurst Exponent0.499
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD44.24%
CAGR/Max DD0.25
CAGR/Mean DD0.59
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of RLJ over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": -0.25, "2021-09": -0.11, "2021-12": -0.21, "2022-03": -0.17, "2022-06": 0.17, "2022-09": 0.07, "2022-12": 0.33, "2023-03": 0.03, "2023-06": 0.23, "2023-09": 0.07, "2023-12": 0.01, "2024-03": -0.01, "2024-06": 0.18, "2024-09": 0.07, "2024-12": -0.01, "2025-03": -0.0151, "2025-06": 0.48, "2025-09": 0.27, "2025-12": 0.32, "2026-03": -0.0099, "2026-06": 0.52,
EPS CAGR: 56.85%
EPS Trend: 63.4%
Last SUE: 3.72
Qual. Beats: 6
Revenue Revenue of RLJ over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 194.254, 2021-09: 233.537, 2021-12: 238.082, 2022-03: 243.021, 2022-06: 330.784, 2022-09: 317.921, 2022-12: 302.393, 2023-03: 314.784, 2023-06: 357.18, 2023-09: 334.22, 2023-12: 319.708, 2024-03: 324.41, 2024-06: 369.297, 2024-09: 345.744, 2024-12: 329.989, 2025-03: 328.119, 2025-06: 363.103, 2025-09: 330.045, 2025-12: 328.593, 2026-03: 339.977, 2026-06: 382.988,
Rev. CAGR: 1.33%
Rev. Trend: 76.3%
Last SUE: 2.24
Qual. Beats: 4

Warnings

High Debt/EBITDA With Thin Interest Coverage
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Pead

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan -0.5% 17
Feb -0.1% 5
Mar -2.0% 8
Apr +0.1% 5
May +0.0% 5
Jun +1.0% 18
Jul +1.2% 8
Aug -0.1% 0
Sep -0.3% 16
Oct -2.2% 42
Nov +9.0% 54
Dec +3.7% 40

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: RLJ RLJ Lodging Trust

RLJ Lodging Trust is a self-advised, publicly traded real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns 92 premium-branded, rooms-oriented, urban-centric hotels concentrated in major U.S. urban markets with diverse business and leisure demand generators. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland. As a REIT, it operates under the U.S. tax structure that requires the distribution of at least 90% of taxable income to shareholders in the form of dividends, and as a hotel REIT, it typically leases its properties to third-party operators under franchise and management agreements rather than operating them directly.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Urban RevPAR growth accelerates on group and corporate demand recovery
  • Interest rate cuts support hotel REIT valuation expansion
  • Operating margins pressured by wage inflation and elevated labor costs
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.0
Net Income: 27.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.01 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 33.85% < 20% (prev 17.00%; Δ 16.85% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 267.0m > Net Income 27.4m
Net Debt (2.00b) to EBITDA (326.3m): 6.12 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.94 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (149.6m) vs 12m ago 0.00% < -2%
Gross Margin: -4.99% > 18% (prev 27.80%; Δ -32.79% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 27.48% > 50% (prev 28.34%; Δ -0.87% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.26 > 6 (EBIT TTM 139.5m / Interest Expense TTM 110.8m)
Altman Z'' 0.76
A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 967.6m - Total Current Liabilities 500.0m) / Total Assets 5.23b
B: -0.23 (Retained Earnings -1.21b / Total Assets 5.23b)
C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 139.5m / Avg Total Assets 5.03b)
D: 0.70 (Book Value of Equity 2.15b / Total Liabilities 3.07b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.76 = B
Beneish M -3.02
DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 30.0m/27.7m, Revenue 1.38b/1.37b)
GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins)
AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.79 / AQ_t-1 0.88)
SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 1.38b / 1.37b)
TATA: -0.05 (NI 27.4m - CFO 267.0m) / TA 5.23b)
Beneish M = -3.02 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of RLJ shares?

As of August 17, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 10.99 with a total of 827,534 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.26%, over one month by -6.23%, over three months by +21.65% and over the past year by +64.00%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 10.40 (which is 5.4% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).

Is RLJ a buy, sell or hold?

RLJ Lodging Trust has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.30. Therefore, it is recommended to hold RLJ.

  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 5
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the RLJ price?
Analysts Target Price 11.4 3.8%
RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 14 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.67b (1.67b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 1090.0
P/E Forward = 144.9275
P/S = 1.2082
P/B = 0.9382
P/EG = 2.0614
Revenue TTM = 1.38b USD
EBIT TTM = 139.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 326.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.70b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 500.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.93b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 119.3m
Net Debt = 2.00b USD (calculated: Debt 2.93b - CCE 937.6m)
Enterprise Value = 3.67b USD (1.67b + Debt 2.93b - CCE 937.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.26 (Ebit TTM 139.5m / Interest Expense TTM 110.8m)
EV/FCF = 13.73x (Enterprise Value 3.67b / FCF TTM 267.0m)
FCF Yield = 7.28% (FCF TTM 267.0m / Enterprise Value 3.67b)
FCF Margin = 19.32% (FCF TTM 267.0m / Revenue TTM 1.38b)
Net Margin = 1.98% (Net Income TTM 27.4m / Revenue TTM 1.38b)
Gross Margin = -4.99% ((Revenue TTM 1.38b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.45b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 5.78% (prev 33.82%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.70 (Enterprise Value 3.67b / Total Assets 5.23b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.78% (Interest Expense 110.8m / Debt 2.93b)
Taxrate = 1.86% (537k / 28.8m)
NOPAT = 136.9m (EBIT 139.5m * (1 - 1.86%))
Current Ratio = 1.94 (Total Current Assets 967.6m / Total Current Liabilities 500.0m)
Debt / Equity = 1.36 (Debt 2.93b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.15b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.12 (Net Debt 2.00b / EBITDA 326.3m)
Debt / FCF = 7.48 (Net Debt 2.00b / FCF TTM 267.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.17b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.54% (Net Income 27.4m / Total Assets 5.23b)
RoE = 1.26% (Net Income TTM 27.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.17b)
RoCE = 2.87% (EBIT 139.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.17b + L.T.Debt 2.70b))
RoIC = 2.65% (NOPAT 136.9m / Invested Capital 5.16b)
WACC = 5.49% (E(1.67b)/V(4.60b) * Re(8.63%) + D(2.93b)/V(4.60b) * Rd(3.78%) * (1-Tc(0.02)))
Discount Rate = 8.63% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -89.26 | Cagr: -0.98%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈239.2m ; Y1≈274.2m ; Y5≈403.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 26.76 (EV 6.07b - Net Debt 2.00b = Equity 4.08b / Shares 152.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 63.36 | EPS CAGR: 56.85% | SUE: 3.72 | # QB: 6
Revenue Correlation: 76.31 | Revenue CAGR: 1.33% | SUE: 2.24 | # QB: 4
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.06 | Chg30d=+9.57% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.08 | Chg30d=-26.38% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-900.0% | GrowthRev=+3.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.04 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-100.0% | GrowthRev=+1.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=0, down=0)