RSG Stock Analysis: Republic | NYSE
Waste Management | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 74.073m USD | 12M Return: 8.5% | US7607591002 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 275M
EPS Trend: 98.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 97.9%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Republic Services, Inc. (NYSE: RSG) is one of the largest environmental services providers in North America, operating across the United States and Canada. The company offers an integrated suite of services including collection, recycling, processing, transportation, and disposal of solid, industrial, and hazardous waste, as well as landfill operations and the sale of recycled commodities such as old corrugated containers, newsprint, aluminum, and glass.
Its customer base spans residential, small-container, and large-container segments, supported by a network of transfer stations, landfills, recycling centers, and organics processing facilities. Headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona and incorporated in 1996, Republic Services operates in the Environmental & Facilities Services sub-industry, a sector with high barriers to entry due to the capital-intensive nature of landfill permitting, route-based collection logistics, and long-duration waste disposal contracts.
- Core pricing growth outpaces volume declines
- Landfill pricing power lifts consolidated margins
- Recycling commodity prices swing segment margins
| Net Income: 2.19b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.63 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -8.39% < 20% (prev -7.52%; Δ -0.87% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 4.54b > Net Income 2.19b |
| Net Debt (14.4b) to EBITDA (5.63b): 2.56 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.64 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (307.6m) vs 12m ago -1.76% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 39.09% > 18% (prev 36.66%; Δ 2.43% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 49.27% > 50% (prev 49.01%; Δ 0.27% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.35 > 6 (EBIT TTM 3.15b / Interest Expense TTM 590.0m) |
| A: -0.04 (Total Current Assets 2.56b - Total Current Liabilities 3.98b) / Total Assets 35.2b |
| B: 0.34 (Retained Earnings 11.9b / Total Assets 35.2b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 3.15b / Avg Total Assets 34.3b) |
| D: 0.52 (Book Value of Equity 12.0b / Total Liabilities 23.1b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.00 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 2.20b/2.05b, Revenue 16.9b/16.4b) |
| GMI: 0.94 (GM 36.66% / 39.09%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.55 / AQ_t-1 0.56) |
| SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 16.9b / 16.4b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 2.19b - CFO 4.54b) / TA 35.2b) |
| Beneish M = -3.04 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 233.40 with a total of 1,287,644 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.34%, over one month by +9.97%, over three months by +8.09% and over the past year by +8.49%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 221.30 (which is 5.2% or 2.6 ATR below the current price).
Republic has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy RSG.
- StrongBuy: 12
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 243.6 | 4.4% |
P/E Trailing = 32.6892
P/E Forward = 26.3158
P/S = 4.3853
P/B = 5.4234
P/EG = 2.7439
Revenue TTM = 16.9b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.15b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.63b USD
Long Term Debt = 13.5b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 597.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14.5b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 226.0m
Net Debt = 14.4b USD (calculated: Debt 14.5b - CCE 107.0m)
Enterprise Value = 88.5b USD (74.1b + Debt 14.5b - CCE 107.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.35 (Ebit TTM 3.15b / Interest Expense TTM 590.0m)
EV/FCF = 25.99x (Enterprise Value 88.5b / FCF TTM 3.40b)
FCF Yield = 3.85% (FCF TTM 3.40b / Enterprise Value 88.5b)
FCF Margin = 20.15% (FCF TTM 3.40b / Revenue TTM 16.9b)
Net Margin = 12.94% (Net Income TTM 2.19b / Revenue TTM 16.9b)
Gross Margin = 39.09% ((Revenue TTM 16.9b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.3b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 42.14% (prev 30.54%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.52 (Enterprise Value 88.5b / Total Assets 35.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.06% (Interest Expense 590.0m / Debt 14.5b)
Taxrate = 14.78% (379.0m / 2.56b)
NOPAT = 2.69b (EBIT 3.15b * (1 - 14.78%))
Current Ratio = 0.64 (Total Current Assets 2.56b / Total Current Liabilities 3.98b)
Debt / Equity = 1.21 (Debt 14.5b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 12.0b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.56 (Net Debt 14.4b / EBITDA 5.63b)
Debt / FCF = 4.23 (Net Debt 14.4b / FCF TTM 3.40b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.0b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.37% (Net Income 2.19b / Total Assets 35.2b)
RoE = 18.27% (Net Income TTM 2.19b / Total Stockholder Equity 12.0b)
RoCE = 12.38% (EBIT 3.15b / Capital Employed (Equity 12.0b + L.T.Debt 13.5b))
RoIC = 8.49% (NOPAT 2.69b / Invested Capital 31.7b)
WACC = 4.30% (E(74.1b)/V(88.6b) * Re(4.46%) + D(14.5b)/V(88.6b) * Rd(4.06%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 4.46% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -97.18 | Cagr: -1.15%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈2.98b ; Y1≈3.42b ; Y5≈5.04b
[DCF] Fair Price = 200.4 (EV 75.8b - Net Debt 14.4b = Equity 61.4b / Shares 306.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 98.24 | EPS CAGR: 11.38% | SUE: 0.59 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.87 | Revenue CAGR: 5.07% | SUE: 2.22 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.93 | Chg30d=-0.03% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=23
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.27 | Chg30d=-0.05% | Revisions=-18% | GrowthEPS=+3.6% | GrowthRev=+4.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.07 | Chg30d=+0.14% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+11.0% | GrowthRev=+4.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -7% (up=12, down=14)