RSG Stock Analysis: Republic | NYSE
Waste Management | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 66.868m USD | 12M Return: -10.5% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 337M
EPS Trend: 98.5%
Qual. Beats: 3
Rev. Trend: 98.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Republic Services, Inc. is a leading North American environmental services company that provides non-hazardous and hazardous waste collection, processing, transportation, and disposal solutions across the United States and Canada. The company serves three primary customer groups-small-container, large-container, and residential customers-with residential offerings including curbside collection, container rental, and compactor leasing routed to transfer stations, landfills, recycling centers, and organics processing facilities.
In addition to its core collection operations, Republic Services operates a recycling commodities business, processing and selling materials such as old corrugated containers, old newsprint, aluminum, and glass. The firm is also a significant landfill operator, an asset class that typically creates high barriers to entry due to limited permitted capacity and stringent regulatory requirements. Incorporated in 1996 and headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona, the company is classified within the Industrials sector under Environmental & Facilities Services, a sub-industry generally regarded as defensive because of its recurring, contracted revenue streams tied to essential municipal and commercial sanitation needs.
- Pricing and volume growth lift core collection revenue
- Recycling commodity swings pressure processing segment margins
- Interest rate exposure caps buyback and dividend growth
| Net Income: 2.17b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.40 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -7.37% < 20% (prev -7.23%; Δ -0.14% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 4.50b > Net Income 2.17b |
| Net Debt (13.7b) to EBITDA (5.13b): 2.67 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.67 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (309.1m) vs 12m ago -1.34% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 39.07% > 18% (prev 33.63%; Δ 5.44% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 49.32% > 50% (prev 48.88%; Δ 0.44% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.43 > 6 (EBIT TTM 3.17b / Interest Expense TTM 584.0m) |
| A: -0.04 (Total Current Assets 2.51b - Total Current Liabilities 3.74b) / Total Assets 34.6b |
| B: 0.33 (Retained Earnings 11.5b / Total Assets 34.6b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 3.17b / Avg Total Assets 33.9b) |
| D: 0.53 (Book Value of Equity 12.0b / Total Liabilities 22.6b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.03 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.94 (Receivables 1.92b/1.98b, Revenue 16.7b/16.2b) |
| GMI: 0.86 (GM 33.63% / 39.07%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.56 / AQ_t-1 0.56) |
| SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 16.7b / 16.2b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 2.17b - CFO 4.50b) / TA 34.6b) |
| Beneish M = -3.19 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 214.58 with a total of 721,790 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.55%, over one month by +5.01%, over three months by -2.56% and over the past year by -10.49%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 208.70 (which is 2.7% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Republic has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.92. Therefore, it is recommended to buy RSG.
- StrongBuy: 10
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 243.6 | 13.5% |
P/E Trailing = 31.1375
P/E Forward = 30.2115
P/S = 4.0053
P/B = 5.5816
P/EG = 3.1488
Revenue TTM = 16.7b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.17b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.13b USD
Long Term Debt = 13.3b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 547.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14.1b USD (corrected: LT Debt 13.3b + ST Debt 547.0m) + Leases 223.0m
Net Debt = 13.7b USD (calculated: Debt 14.1b - CCE 410.0m)
Enterprise Value = 80.5b USD (66.9b + Debt 14.1b - CCE 410.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.43 (Ebit TTM 3.17b / Interest Expense TTM 584.0m)
EV/FCF = 31.05x (Enterprise Value 80.5b / FCF TTM 2.59b)
FCF Yield = 3.22% (FCF TTM 2.59b / Enterprise Value 80.5b)
FCF Margin = 15.54% (FCF TTM 2.59b / Revenue TTM 16.7b)
Net Margin = 12.99% (Net Income TTM 2.17b / Revenue TTM 16.7b)
Gross Margin = 39.07% ((Revenue TTM 16.7b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.2b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.54% (prev 41.86%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.33 (Enterprise Value 80.5b / Total Assets 34.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.15% (Interest Expense 584.0m / Debt 14.1b)
Taxrate = 16.09% (416.0m / 2.58b)
NOPAT = 2.66b (EBIT 3.17b * (1 - 16.09%))
Current Ratio = 0.67 (Total Current Assets 2.51b / Total Current Liabilities 3.74b)
Debt / Equity = 1.18 (Debt 14.1b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 12.0b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.67 (Net Debt 13.7b / EBITDA 5.13b)
Debt / FCF = 5.27 (Net Debt 13.7b / FCF TTM 2.59b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.0b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.41% (Net Income 2.17b / Total Assets 34.6b)
RoE = 18.12% (Net Income TTM 2.17b / Total Stockholder Equity 12.0b)
RoCE = 12.53% (EBIT 3.17b / Capital Employed (Equity 12.0b + L.T.Debt 13.3b))
RoIC = 8.58% (NOPAT 2.66b / Invested Capital 31.0b)
WACC = 4.83% (E(66.9b)/V(81.0b) * Re(5.11%) + D(14.1b)/V(81.0b) * Rd(4.15%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 5.11% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -94.39 | Cagr: -0.93%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.70% ; FCFF base≈2.50b ; Y1≈2.72b ; Y5≈3.40b
[DCF] Fair Price = 124.6 (EV 52.0b - Net Debt 13.7b = Equity 38.3b / Shares 307.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 10.38% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 98.54 | EPS CAGR: 12.71% | SUE: 0.92 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 98.14 | Revenue CAGR: 5.58% | SUE: 0.63 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.83 | Chg30d=-0.16% | Revisions=-19% | Analysts=23
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.93 | Chg30d=-0.13% | Revisions=+4% | Analysts=23
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.29 | Chg30d=-0.03% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=+3.8% | GrowthRev=+3.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.06 | Chg30d=-0.01% | Revisions=+32% | GrowthEPS=+10.6% | GrowthRev=+5.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +13% (up=45, down=34)