(RSG) Republic - Overview
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Waste Management | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 60.834m USD | Total Return: -15.9% in 12m
Industry Rotation: +12.8
Avg Turnover: 389M
EPS Trend: 79.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 94.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Republic Services (RSG) is a leading provider of environmental services across the United States and Canada. The company manages a vertically integrated network involved in the collection, transfer, and disposal of non-hazardous solid waste, as well as hazardous waste management and recycling processing. Its operations serve residential, commercial, and industrial clients through curbside pickup, container rentals, and the sale of processed recyclable materials such as corrugated containers and aluminum.
The waste management sector is characterized by high barriers to entry due to the significant capital investment required for landfill permits and specialized vehicle fleets. Republic Services benefits from a business model centered on long-term contracts and a recurring revenue stream, which historically provides stability during various economic cycles. Investors seeking a deeper analysis of these fundamental drivers can explore additional metrics on ValueRay.
- Pricing power through multi-year municipal contracts offsets rising labor and equipment costs
- Strategic landfill expansion and vertical integration drive long-term margin improvement
- Renewable energy initiatives from landfill gas projects create high-margin revenue streams
- Consolidation of regional waste operators accelerates market share and cash flow growth
- Environmental regulation compliance costs impact capital expenditure and operational efficiency limits
| Net Income: 2.17b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.40 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -7.37% < 20% (prev -7.23%; Δ -0.14% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 4.50b > Net Income 2.17b |
| Net Debt (13.12b) to EBITDA (5.15b): 2.55 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.67 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (309.1m) vs 12m ago -1.34% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 39.07% > 18% (prev 0.34%; Δ 3.87k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 49.32% > 50% (prev 48.88%; Δ 0.44% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.47 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 5.15b / Interest Expense TTM 584.0m) |
| A: -0.04 (Total Current Assets 2.51b - Total Current Liabilities 3.74b) / Total Assets 34.60b |
| B: 0.33 (Retained Earnings 11.49b / Total Assets 34.60b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 3.19b / Avg Total Assets 33.85b) |
| D: 0.51 (Book Value of Equity 11.46b / Total Liabilities 22.62b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.02 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.94 (Receivables 1.92b/1.98b, Revenue 16.70b/16.18b) |
| GMI: 0.86 (GM 39.07% / 33.63%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.56 / AQ_t-1 0.56) |
| SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 16.70b / 16.18b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 2.17b - CFO 4.50b) / TA 34.60b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.25 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.15%, over one month by +0.32%, over three months by -5.55% and over the past year by -15.88%.
- StrongBuy: 10
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 244.5 | 17.4% |
P/E Forward = 27.7008
P/S = 3.6439
P/B = 5.1321
P/EG = 2.8818
Revenue TTM = 16.70b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.19b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.15b USD
Long Term Debt = 12.98b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 547.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.53b USD (corrected: LT Debt 12.98b + ST Debt 547.0m)
Net Debt = 13.12b USD (recalculated: Debt 13.53b - CCE 410.0m)
Enterprise Value = 73.96b USD (60.83b + Debt 13.53b - CCE 410.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.47 (Ebit TTM 3.19b / Interest Expense TTM 584.0m)
EV/FCF = 28.51x (Enterprise Value 73.96b / FCF TTM 2.59b)
FCF Yield = 3.51% (FCF TTM 2.59b / Enterprise Value 73.96b)
FCF Margin = 15.54% (FCF TTM 2.59b / Revenue TTM 16.70b)
Net Margin = 12.99% (Net Income TTM 2.17b / Revenue TTM 16.70b)
Gross Margin = 39.07% ((Revenue TTM 16.70b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.17b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.54% (prev 41.86%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.14 (Enterprise Value 73.96b / Total Assets 34.60b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.11% (Interest Expense 150.0m / Debt 13.53b)
Taxrate = 19.97% (131.0m / 656.0m)
NOPAT = 2.56b (EBIT 3.19b * (1 - 19.97%))
Current Ratio = 0.67 (Total Current Assets 2.51b / Total Current Liabilities 3.74b)
Debt / Equity = 1.13 (Debt 13.53b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.98b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.55 (Net Debt 13.12b / EBITDA 5.15b)
Debt / FCF = 5.06 (Net Debt 13.12b / FCF TTM 2.59b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.97b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.41% (Net Income 2.17b / Total Assets 34.60b)
RoE = 18.12% (Net Income TTM 2.17b / Total Stockholder Equity 11.97b)
RoCE = 12.80% (EBIT 3.19b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.97b + L.T.Debt 12.98b))
RoIC = 10.13% (NOPAT 2.56b / Invested Capital 25.24b)
WACC = 4.61% (E(60.83b)/V(74.37b) * Re(5.44%) + D(13.53b)/V(74.37b) * Rd(1.11%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 5.44% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -94.39 | Cagr: -0.93%
[DCF] Terminal Value 87.47% ; FCFF base≈2.50b ; Y1≈2.82b ; Y5≈3.82b
[DCF] Fair Price = 321.6 (EV 112.06b - Net Debt 13.12b = Equity 98.94b / Shares 307.7m; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.10% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 79.68 | EPS CAGR: 6.98% | SUE: 0.31 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 94.14 | Revenue CAGR: 5.10% | SUE: 0.63 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.83 | Chg30d=-0.29% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=22
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.93 | Chg30d=+0.46% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=21
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.28 | Chg30d=+0.49% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=+3.6% | GrowthRev=+3.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.06 | Chg30d=+0.20% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+10.7% | GrowthRev=+5.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50%