(RSG) Republic - Ratings and Ratios
Waste Collection, Recycling, Landfill, Compactor Rental, Container Supply
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 16.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 26.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.42% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.07 |
| Alpha | -3.34 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.352 |
| Beta | 0.280 |
| Beta Downside | 0.194 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 20.50% |
| Mean DD | 4.03% |
| Median DD | 2.79% |
Description: RSG Republic September 26, 2025
Republic Services, Inc. (NYSE:RSG) and its subsidiaries provide a full suite of environmental services across the United States and Canada, covering collection, processing, transportation, and disposal of both solid and industrial waste, including hazardous streams. The company’s residential offering features curbside pickup, provision of recycling and waste containers, and compactors for rent, while its commercial side processes and sells recyclable materials such as old corrugated containers, newsprint, aluminum, and glass, and operates landfill sites for a range of customers.
Key operational metrics from the most recent fiscal year (2023) show total revenue of $13.0 billion, an adjusted EBITDA margin of ≈ 28 %, and a net waste volume of ≈ 86 million tons processed, of which roughly 30 % was recycled. Growth is driven by demographic trends (U.S. population growth of ~0.5 % YoY), increasing municipal solid-waste generation, and tightening recycling mandates that boost demand for secondary-material processing. A sector-wide catalyst is the rising price of commodities such as aluminum and glass, which improves the economics of recycling and supports higher margins for firms with integrated processing capabilities.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of RSG’s valuation relative to peers, the ValueRay platform offers granular financial and operational metrics worth exploring.
RSG Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 64,309m |
| Sub-Industry | Environmental & Facilities Services |
| IPO / Inception | 1998-06-30 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -8.97% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.92 of 5 |
RSG Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.40% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.23% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -0.15% |
| Payout Consistency | 99.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 34.6% |
RSG Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 18.09% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.88 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 4.49 |
| Current Volume | 1806.1k |
| Average Volume | 1337.7k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (2.11b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 990.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.49pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -10.78% (prev -8.18%; Δ -2.61pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.34b > Net Income 2.11b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (13.42b) to EBITDA (5.03b) ratio: 2.67 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.58 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (311.7m) change vs 12m ago -0.85% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 30.59% (prev 30.22%; Δ 0.37pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 50.31% (prev 49.72%; Δ 0.59pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.56 (EBITDA TTM 5.03b / Interest Expense TTM 561.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.85
| (A) -0.05 = (Total Current Assets 2.48b - Total Current Liabilities 4.26b) / Total Assets 33.79b |
| (B) 0.32 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 10.81b / Total Assets 33.79b |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 3.12b / Avg Total Assets 32.80b |
| (D) 0.49 = Book Value of Equity 10.78b / Total Liabilities 21.92b |
| Total Rating: 1.85 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 77.23
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt = 2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.25% = 1.63 |
| 3. FCF Margin 15.33% = 3.83 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.14 = 1.89 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.67 = -1.25 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 4.80)% = 6.00 |
| 7. RoE 17.94% = 1.49 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 95.81% = 7.19 |
| 9. EPS Trend 88.96% = 4.45 |
What is the price of RSG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.30%, over one month by -2.80%, over three months by -7.69% and over the past year by +3.40%.
Is RSG a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 10
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the RSG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 248.9 | 16.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 248.9 | 16.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 234.4 | 9.5% |
RSG Fundamental Data Overview November 06, 2025
P/E Trailing = 30.8678
P/E Forward = 28.9017
P/S = 3.897
P/B = 5.7668
P/EG = 3.071
Beta = 0.553
Revenue TTM = 16.50b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.12b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.03b USD
Long Term Debt = 11.85b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 975.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.51b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 13.42b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 77.73b USD (64.31b + Debt 13.51b - CCE 84.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.56 (Ebit TTM 3.12b / Interest Expense TTM 561.7m)
FCF Yield = 3.25% (FCF TTM 2.53b / Enterprise Value 77.73b)
FCF Margin = 15.33% (FCF TTM 2.53b / Revenue TTM 16.50b)
Net Margin = 12.77% (Net Income TTM 2.11b / Revenue TTM 16.50b)
Gross Margin = 30.59% ((Revenue TTM 16.50b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.45b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.94% (prev 30.58%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.30 (Enterprise Value 77.73b / Total Assets 33.79b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.06% (Interest Expense 143.0m / Debt 13.51b)
Taxrate = 14.73% (95.0m / 645.0m)
NOPAT = 2.66b (EBIT 3.12b * (1 - 14.73%))
Current Ratio = 0.58 (Total Current Assets 2.48b / Total Current Liabilities 4.26b)
Debt / Equity = 1.14 (Debt 13.51b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.87b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.67 (Net Debt 13.42b / EBITDA 5.03b)
Debt / FCF = 5.31 (Net Debt 13.42b / FCF TTM 2.53b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.75b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.24% (Net Income 2.11b / Total Assets 33.79b)
RoE = 17.94% (Net Income TTM 2.11b / Total Stockholder Equity 11.75b)
RoCE = 13.24% (EBIT 3.12b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.75b + L.T.Debt 11.85b))
RoIC = 10.79% (NOPAT 2.66b / Invested Capital 24.69b)
WACC = 5.98% (E(64.31b)/V(77.81b) * Re(7.05%) + D(13.51b)/V(77.81b) * Rd(1.06%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 7.05% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.64%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.07% ; FCFE base≈2.28b ; Y1≈2.60b ; Y5≈3.57b
Fair Price DCF = 199.7 (DCF Value 61.83b / Shares Outstanding 309.6m; 5y FCF grow 16.21% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 88.96 | EPS CAGR: 20.80% | SUE: 1.70 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 95.81 | Revenue CAGR: 6.64% | SUE: -1.67 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for RSG Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle