(RXO) RXO - Overview
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Trucking | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 2.461m USD | Total Return: 7.2% in 12m
Truckload, Brokerage, Forwarding, Managed, Last-Mile
Total Rating 22
Safety 59
Buy Signal -0.66
Trucking
Industry Rotation: +22.9
Industry Rotation: +22.9
Market Cap:
2.46B
Avg Turnover: 25.0M USD
Avg Turnover: 25.0M USD
ATR:
6.02%
Peers RS (IBD): 9.4
Peers RS (IBD): 9.4
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility73.9%
Rel. Tail Risk-9.28%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.60
Alpha-52.58
Character TTM
Beta1.900
Beta Downside3.197
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD67.15%
CAGR/Max DD-0.08
EPS (Earnings per Share)
EPS CAGR: -9.04%
EPS Trend: -43.7%
EPS Trend: -43.7%
Last SUE: -0.22
Qual. Beats: 0
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue
Rev. CAGR: 3.06%
Rev. Trend: 42.6%
Rev. Trend: 42.6%
Last SUE: -0.58
Qual. Beats: 0
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Share dilution 26.3% YoY - potential capital distress
High Debt/EBITDA (35.2) with thin interest coverage (-2.6)
High Debt while negative Cash Flow
Interest Coverage Ratio -2.6 is critical
Altman Z'' -0.24 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Volatile
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Description: RXO RXO
RXO, Inc. (NYSE: RXO) operates as a technology-enabled truck brokerage, offering truckload freight brokering, asset-light managed transportation, last-mile delivery, and freight-forwarding services across North America, Asia, and Europe. Incorporated in 2022 and based in Charlotte, NC, the company leverages a digital platform to match shippers with carriers while providing ancillary services such as customs brokerage and middle-mile logistics.
In its latest fiscal quarter (Q4 2025), RXO reported revenue of $1.12 billion, up 9% year-over-year, and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 12.4%, reflecting continued demand from e-commerce fulfillment and a rebound in inter-modal freight volumes. Load-to-truck ratios improved to 1.08, indicating tighter capacity utilization, while average spot truckload rates rose 4.5% YoY amid persistent driver shortages and elevated fuel prices-key macro drivers for the cargo ground transportation sector.
For a deeper quantitative view, you might explore ValueRay’s analytics on RXO.
- Truckload freight demand impacts brokerage revenue
- Fuel price volatility affects transportation costs
- Economic downturns reduce shipping volumes
- Regulatory changes in logistics sector create uncertainty
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict)
3.0
| Net Income: -100.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.43 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 4.86% < 20% (prev 6.02%; Δ -1.16% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 51.0m > Net Income -100.0m |
| Net Debt (844.0m) to EBITDA (24.0m): 35.17 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.27 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (168.7m) vs 12m ago 2.62% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 17.15% > 18% (prev 0.16%; Δ 1.70k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 171.6% > 50% (prev 133.3%; Δ 38.36% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -2.63 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 24.0m / Interest Expense TTM 35.0m) |
Altman Z''
-0.24
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 1.32b - Total Current Liabilities 1.04b) / Total Assets 3.28b |
| B: -0.12 (Retained Earnings -384.0m / Total Assets 3.28b) |
| C: -0.03 (EBIT TTM -92.0m / Avg Total Assets 3.35b) |
| D: -0.22 (Book Value of Equity -388.0m / Total Liabilities 1.74b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.24 = B |
Beneish M
-3.10
| DSRI: 0.79 (Receivables 1.23b/1.23b, Revenue 5.74b/4.55b) |
| GMI: 0.96 (GM 17.15% / 16.48%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.48 / AQ_t-1 0.49) |
| SGI: 1.26 (Revenue 5.74b / 4.55b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI -100.0m - CFO 51.0m) / TA 3.28b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.10 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of RXO shares?
As of April 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 16.01 with a total of 1,647,501 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.16%, over one month by +15.76%, over three months by +8.54% and over the past year by +7.16%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.16%, over one month by +15.76%, over three months by +8.54% and over the past year by +7.16%.
Is RXO a buy, sell or hold?
RXO has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.10.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold RXO.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 14
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the RXO price?
| Analysts Target Price | 16 | -0.1% |
RXO (RXO) - Fundamental Data Overview
as of 05 April 2026
P/E Forward = 333.3333 P/S = 0.4286
P/B = 1.6118
P/EG = 22.2222
Revenue TTM = 5.74b USD
EBIT TTM = -92.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 24.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 387.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 92.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 861.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 844.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.30b USD (2.46b + Debt 861.0m - CCE 17.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.63 (Ebit TTM -92.0m / Interest Expense TTM 35.0m)
EV/FCF = -413.1x (Enterprise Value 3.30b / FCF TTM -8.00m)
FCF Yield = -0.24% (FCF TTM -8.00m / Enterprise Value 3.30b)
FCF Margin = -0.14% (FCF TTM -8.00m / Revenue TTM 5.74b)
Net Margin = -1.74% (Net Income TTM -100.0m / Revenue TTM 5.74b)
Gross Margin = 17.15% ((Revenue TTM 5.74b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.76b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.95% (prev 16.61%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.01 (Enterprise Value 3.30b / Total Assets 3.28b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.05% (Interest Expense 9.00m / Debt 861.0m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -72.7m (EBIT -92.0m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.27 (Total Current Assets 1.32b / Total Current Liabilities 1.04b)
Debt / Equity = 0.56 (Debt 861.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.54b)
Debt / EBITDA = 35.17 (Net Debt 844.0m / EBITDA 24.0m)
Debt / FCF = -105.5 (out of range, set to none) (Net Debt 844.0m / FCF TTM -8.00m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.57b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.99% (Net Income -100.0m / Total Assets 3.28b)
RoE = -6.35% (Net Income TTM -100.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.57b)
RoCE = -4.69% (EBIT -92.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.57b + L.T.Debt 387.0m))
RoIC = -3.68% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -72.7m / Invested Capital 1.98b)
WACC = 9.60% (E(2.46b)/V(3.32b) * Re(12.67%) + D(861.0m)/V(3.32b) * Rd(1.05%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 12.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 18.82%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -8.00m)
EPS Correlation: -43.68 | EPS CAGR: -9.04% | SUE: -0.22 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 42.64 | Revenue CAGR: 3.06% | SUE: -0.58 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.02 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.00 | Chg7d=-0.002 | Chg30d=-0.009 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+88.1% | Growth Revenue=+0.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.39 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.005 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+8317.6% | Growth Revenue=+6.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
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