(RXO) RXO - Ratings and Ratios
Truckload, Brokerage, Managed, Freight, Forwarding
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 86.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 131% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.85% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.77 |
| Alpha | -77.55 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.11 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.609 |
| Beta | 1.967 |
| Beta Downside | 1.991 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 67.15% |
| Mean DD | 22.07% |
| Median DD | 15.09% |
Description: RXO RXO November 09, 2025
RXO, Inc. (NYSE:RXO) operates as a truck-brokerage firm across North America, Asia, and Europe, offering asset-light truckload brokerage, managed transportation, last-mile delivery, and freight-forwarding services that include ocean and air logistics, customs brokerage, and domestic support. The company was incorporated in 2022 following its spin-off from XPO Logistics and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.
Key operational metrics indicate a growing market presence: FY 2023 revenue reached roughly $2.0 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of about 7 %, and the firm reported handling over 15 million truckload shipments. RXO’s performance is closely tied to macro-drivers such as sustained e-commerce growth, persistent driver shortages that tighten capacity, and volatile fuel prices that affect brokerage spreads. The asset-light model positions the company to scale quickly without heavy capital expenditures, a strategic advantage in a sector where capital intensity can constrain profitability.
For a deeper quantitative dive into RXO’s valuation metrics and peer comparison, the ValueRay platform offers a concise, data-rich overview worth checking out.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (-79.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 356.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.53pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 4.95% (prev 7.98%; Δ -3.03pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 (>3.0%) and CFO 37.0m > Net Income -79.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (657.0m) to EBITDA (124.0m) ratio: 5.30 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.32 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (168.6m) change vs 12m ago 25.72% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 16.53% (prev 17.77%; Δ -1.24pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 180.2% (prev 113.8%; Δ 66.36pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.09 (EBITDA TTM 124.0m / Interest Expense TTM 34.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.04
| (A) 0.09 = (Total Current Assets 1.20b - Total Current Liabilities 907.0m) / Total Assets 3.20b |
| (B) -0.11 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -338.0m / Total Assets 3.20b |
| (C) 0.00 = EBIT TTM 3.00m / Avg Total Assets 3.30b |
| (D) -0.21 = Book Value of Equity -348.0m / Total Liabilities 1.62b |
| Total Rating: 0.04 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 33.41
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -0.71% |
| 3. FCF Margin -0.30% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.43 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.30 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -9.92)% |
| 7. RoE -4.96% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 22.24% |
| 9. EPS Trend -39.50% |
What is the price of RXO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.72%, over one month by -18.07%, over three months by -12.96% and over the past year by -51.42%.
Is RXO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 14
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the RXO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 15.6 | 9.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 15.6 | 9.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 13.2 | -7.2% |
RXO Fundamental Data Overview November 25, 2025
P/E Forward = 96.1538
P/S = 0.3169
P/B = 1.1914
P/EG = 6.4258
Beta = 1.539
Revenue TTM = 5.94b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.00m USD
EBITDA TTM = 124.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 387.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 93.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 682.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 657.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.54b USD (1.88b + Debt 682.0m - CCE 25.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.09 (Ebit TTM 3.00m / Interest Expense TTM 34.0m)
FCF Yield = -0.71% (FCF TTM -18.0m / Enterprise Value 2.54b)
FCF Margin = -0.30% (FCF TTM -18.0m / Revenue TTM 5.94b)
Net Margin = -1.33% (Net Income TTM -79.0m / Revenue TTM 5.94b)
Gross Margin = 16.53% ((Revenue TTM 5.94b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.96b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.61% (prev 17.90%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.79 (Enterprise Value 2.54b / Total Assets 3.20b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.32% (Interest Expense 9.00m / Debt 682.0m)
Taxrate = 6.67% (-1.00m / -15.0m)
NOPAT = 2.80m (EBIT 3.00m * (1 - 6.67%))
Current Ratio = 1.32 (Total Current Assets 1.20b / Total Current Liabilities 907.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.43 (Debt 682.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.58b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.30 (Net Debt 657.0m / EBITDA 124.0m)
Debt / FCF = -36.50 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 657.0m / FCF TTM -18.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.59b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.47% (Net Income -79.0m / Total Assets 3.20b)
RoE = -4.96% (Net Income TTM -79.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.59b)
RoCE = 0.15% (EBIT 3.00m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.59b + L.T.Debt 387.0m))
RoIC = 0.14% (NOPAT 2.80m / Invested Capital 1.99b)
WACC = 10.06% (E(1.88b)/V(2.56b) * Re(13.26%) + D(682.0m)/V(2.56b) * Rd(1.32%) * (1-Tc(0.07)))
Discount Rate = 13.26% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 18.74%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -18.0m)
EPS Correlation: -39.50 | EPS CAGR: -66.51% | SUE: -0.05 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 22.24 | Revenue CAGR: 1.84% | SUE: -0.27 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.04 | Chg30d=-0.057 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=14
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.20 | Chg30d=-0.160 | Revisions Net=-8 | Growth EPS=+2058.9% | Growth Revenue=+3.5%
Additional Sources for RXO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle