RXO Stock Analysis: RXO | NYSE
Trucking | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 4.718m USD | 12M Return: 58% | US74982T1034 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 79.1M
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 91.8%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 3.9 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
RXO, Inc. is an asset-light transportation services provider that primarily operates in the truck brokerage business, connecting shippers with motor carriers across the United States, Canada, Mexico, Asia, and Europe. The companys core offering is truckload freight brokering, which allows it to facilitate freight movements without owning a significant fleet of trucks. RXO also provides complementary logistics services, including managed transportation, last mile delivery, and freight forwarding with ocean, air, and customs brokerage capabilities.
As a third-party logistics (3PL) provider in the industrials sector, RXOs asset-light model differentiates it from traditional asset-heavy trucking companies, as it earns margins on the spread between contracted shipper rates and carrier costs. The company was incorporated in 2022 as a spin-off and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.
- Truckload freight rates and volumes drive brokerage margins
- Coyote Logistics integration captures cost synergies and revenue
- Last mile demand weakens on soft retail e-commerce volumes
| Net Income: -105.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.88 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 5.40% < 20% (prev 5.47%; Δ -0.07% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.00 > 3% & CFO 12.0m > Net Income -105.0m |
| Net Debt (946.0m) to EBITDA (19.0m): 49.79 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.27 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (169.6m) vs 12m ago 0.67% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 13.60% > 18% (prev 14.61%; Δ -1.01% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 182.9% > 50% (prev 173.7%; Δ 9.19% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -2.42 > 6 (EBIT TTM -87.0m / Interest Expense TTM 36.0m) |
| A: 0.10 (Total Current Assets 1.56b - Total Current Liabilities 1.23b) / Total Assets 3.46b |
| B: -0.12 (Retained Earnings -429.0m / Total Assets 3.46b) |
| C: -0.03 (EBIT TTM -87.0m / Avg Total Assets 3.33b) |
| D: 0.77 (Book Value of Equity 1.51b / Total Liabilities 1.95b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.85 = B |
| DSRI: 1.24 (Receivables 1.44b/1.06b, Revenue 6.09b/5.56b) |
| GMI: 1.07 (GM 14.61% / 13.60%) |
| AQI: 0.89 (AQ_t 0.45 / AQ_t-1 0.51) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 6.09b / 5.56b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI -105.0m - CFO 12.0m) / TA 3.46b) |
| Beneish M = -2.76 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 21, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 28.67 with a total of 2,724,413 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.24%, over one month by +45.39%, over three months by -0.69% and over the past year by +57.96%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 27.40 (which is 4.4% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
RXO has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.28. Therefore, it is recommended to hold RXO.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 28 | -2.5% |
P/E Forward = 2500.0
P/S = 0.7748
P/B = 2.1771
P/EG = 172.1333
Revenue TTM = 6.09b USD
EBIT TTM = -87.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 19.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 459.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 102.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 961.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 233.0m
Net Debt = 946.0m USD (calculated: Debt 961.0m - CCE 15.0m)
Enterprise Value = 5.66b USD (4.72b + Debt 961.0m - CCE 15.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.42 (Ebit TTM -87.0m / Interest Expense TTM 36.0m)
EV/FCF = -313.6x (Enterprise Value 5.66b / FCF TTM -18.1m)
FCF Yield = -0.32% (FCF TTM -18.1m / Enterprise Value 5.66b)
FCF Margin = -0.30% (FCF TTM -18.1m / Revenue TTM 6.09b)
Net Margin = -1.72% (Net Income TTM -105.0m / Revenue TTM 6.09b)
Gross Margin = 13.60% ((Revenue TTM 6.09b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.26b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.04% (prev 12.49%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.64 (Enterprise Value 5.66b / Total Assets 3.46b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.75% (Interest Expense 36.0m / Debt 961.0m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -68.7m (EBIT -87.0m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.27 (Total Current Assets 1.56b / Total Current Liabilities 1.23b)
Debt / Equity = 0.64 (Debt 961.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.51b)
Debt / EBITDA = 49.79 (Net Debt 946.0m / EBITDA 19.0m)
Debt / FCF = -52.39 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 946.0m / FCF TTM -18.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.53b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.15% (Net Income -105.0m / Total Assets 3.46b)
RoE = -6.84% (Net Income TTM -105.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.53b)
RoCE = -4.37% (EBIT -87.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.53b + L.T.Debt 459.0m))
RoIC = -2.96% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -68.7m / Invested Capital 2.32b)
WACC = 10.69% (E(4.72b)/V(5.68b) * Re(12.26%) + D(961.0m)/V(5.68b) * Rd(3.75%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 12.26% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 83.68 | Cagr: 17.86%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -18.1m)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 1.19 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 91.79 | Revenue CAGR: 21.82% | SUE: 3.05 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.07 | Chg30d=+13.05% | Revisions=+75% | Analysts=19
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.14 | Chg30d=+15.10% | Revisions=+75% | GrowthEPS=+458.3% | GrowthRev=+19.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.65 | Chg30d=+5.90% | Revisions=+58% | GrowthEPS=+354.7% | GrowthRev=+10.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +83% (up=26, down=1)