(SAH) Sonic Automotive - Ratings and Ratios
New Cars, Used Cars, Parts, Service, Finance
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.82% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.52% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 32.96% |
| Payout Consistency | 89.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 22.2% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 40.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 58.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.38% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.05 |
| Alpha | -19.08 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.30 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.484 |
| Beta | 0.908 |
| Beta Downside | 0.687 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 35.92% |
| Mean DD | 12.28% |
| Median DD | 11.48% |
Description: SAH Sonic Automotive November 10, 2025
Sonic Automotive Inc. (NYSE: SAH) is a U.S.-based automotive retailer operating three business segments: (1) Franchised Dealerships, which sell new and used vehicles, parts, and provide service, warranty repairs and financing; (2) EchoPark, a specialty chain focused on pre-owned car sales and related financing and insurance; and (3) Powersports, which sells motorcycles, personal watercraft, ATVs and offers related service and financing. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.
As of FY 2023, SAH generated roughly $5.5 billion in revenue, with same-store sales growth of about 3 percent year-over-year, driven largely by a robust used-car market and modest new-vehicle inventory constraints. The firm’s gross profit margin has hovered near 20 percent, while its operating cash flow conversion remains above 70 percent of earnings-key indicators of operational efficiency in a sector sensitive to consumer credit conditions and interest-rate cycles. Macro-level drivers include the Federal Reserve’s policy stance (higher rates can dampen vehicle financing demand) and the gradual shift toward electric-vehicle inventory, which is reshaping dealer mix and service revenue streams.
For a deeper, data-driven look at SAH’s valuation and scenario analysis, consider exploring the analytics available on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (130.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 910.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 13.03pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 0.34% (prev 1.96%; Δ -1.62pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 591.6m > Net Income 130.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (4.07b) to EBITDA (538.0m) ratio: 7.57 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.02 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (35.1m) change vs 12m ago 0.57% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 14.48% (prev 14.46%; Δ 0.01pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 257.8% (prev 241.6%; Δ 16.18pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.93 (EBITDA TTM 538.0m / Interest Expense TTM 195.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.58
| (A) 0.01 = (Total Current Assets 2.81b - Total Current Liabilities 2.76b) / Total Assets 6.02b |
| (B) 0.24 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.45b / Total Assets 6.02b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 377.2m / Avg Total Assets 5.89b |
| (D) 0.29 = Book Value of Equity 1.45b / Total Liabilities 4.95b |
| Total Rating: 1.58 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 52.82
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 7.03% |
| 3. FCF Margin 2.88% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 3.89 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 7.57 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.71)% |
| 7. RoE 12.27% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 55.97% |
| 9. EPS Trend -67.11% |
What is the price of SAH shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.16%, over one month by +1.82%, over three months by -20.93% and over the past year by -5.14%.
Is SAH a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SAH price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 78.1 | 21.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 78.1 | 21.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 65.3 | 1.7% |
SAH Fundamental Data Overview December 02, 2025
P/E Trailing = 16.9435
P/E Forward = 8.8968
P/S = 0.1419
P/B = 2.0143
P/EG = 0.7476
Beta = 0.904
Revenue TTM = 15.18b USD
EBIT TTM = 377.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 538.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.44b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.09b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.16b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.07b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.23b USD (2.15b + Debt 4.16b - CCE 89.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.93 (Ebit TTM 377.2m / Interest Expense TTM 195.6m)
FCF Yield = 7.03% (FCF TTM 437.6m / Enterprise Value 6.23b)
FCF Margin = 2.88% (FCF TTM 437.6m / Revenue TTM 15.18b)
Net Margin = 0.86% (Net Income TTM 130.4m / Revenue TTM 15.18b)
Gross Margin = 14.48% ((Revenue TTM 15.18b - Cost of Revenue TTM 12.98b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.45% (prev 15.36%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.03 (Enterprise Value 6.23b / Total Assets 6.02b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.23% (Interest Expense 51.4m / Debt 4.16b)
Taxrate = 34.27% (24.4m / 71.2m)
NOPAT = 247.9m (EBIT 377.2m * (1 - 34.27%))
Current Ratio = 1.02 (Total Current Assets 2.81b / Total Current Liabilities 2.76b)
Debt / Equity = 3.89 (Debt 4.16b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.07b)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.57 (Net Debt 4.07b / EBITDA 538.0m)
Debt / FCF = 9.31 (Net Debt 4.07b / FCF TTM 437.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.06b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.17% (Net Income 130.4m / Total Assets 6.02b)
RoE = 12.27% (Net Income TTM 130.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.06b)
RoCE = 15.08% (EBIT 377.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.06b + L.T.Debt 1.44b))
RoIC = 5.44% (NOPAT 247.9m / Invested Capital 4.56b)
WACC = 3.73% (E(2.15b)/V(6.32b) * Re(9.36%) + D(4.16b)/V(6.32b) * Rd(1.23%) * (1-Tc(0.34)))
Discount Rate = 9.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.43%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 64.74% ; FCFE base≈437.6m ; Y1≈287.3m ; Y5≈131.4m
Fair Price DCF = 94.89 (DCF Value 2.10b / Shares Outstanding 22.1m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -67.11 | EPS CAGR: -15.57% | SUE: -0.73 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 55.97 | Revenue CAGR: 6.08% | SUE: 2.65 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.59 | Chg30d=-0.008 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.07 | Chg30d=-0.167 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+6.0% | Growth Revenue=+3.4%
Additional Sources for SAH Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle