SBH Stock Analysis: Sally Beauty Holdings | NYSE

Specialty Retail | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.364m USD | 12M Return: 52.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Hair Color, Hair Care, Nail Care, Styling Tools
Total Rating 57
Safety 82
Buy Signal 0.82
Specialty Retail
Industry Rotation: +4.3
Market Cap: 1.36B
Avg Turnover: 20.4M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility50.4%
VaR 5th Pctl8.48%
VaR vs Median2.29%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.03
Rel. Str. IBD62.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group83.3
Character TTM
Beta1.513
Beta Downside1.307
Hurst Exponent0.420
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD45.22%
CAGR/Max DD0.19
CAGR/Mean DD0.49
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of SBH over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.68, "2021-09": 0.64, "2021-12": 0.63, "2022-03": 0.47, "2022-06": 0.55, "2022-09": 0.5, "2022-12": 0.52, "2023-03": 0.41, "2023-06": 0.49, "2023-09": 0.42, "2023-12": 0.39, "2024-03": 0.35, "2024-06": 0.45, "2024-09": 0.5, "2024-12": 0.43, "2025-03": 0.42, "2025-06": 0.51, "2025-09": 0.55, "2025-12": 0.48, "2026-03": 0.44,
EPS CAGR: 3.76%
EPS Trend: 47.6%
Last SUE: 0.74
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of SBH over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 1022.387, 2021-09: 990.26, 2021-12: 980.251, 2022-03: 911.387, 2022-06: 961.467, 2022-09: 962.46, 2022-12: 957.055, 2023-03: 918.712, 2023-06: 931.008, 2023-09: 921.356, 2023-12: 931.302, 2024-03: 908.361, 2024-06: 942.34, 2024-09: 935.028, 2024-12: 937.895, 2025-03: 883.146, 2025-06: 933.307, 2025-09: 947.075, 2025-12: 943.168, 2026-03: 903.382,
Rev. CAGR: -0.26%
Rev. Trend: -39.3%
Last SUE: 0.10
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Idiosyncratic Leader

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -2.2% 12
Feb +2.2% 29
Mar -2.1% 39
Apr -3.1% 28
May +2.5% 14
Jun -0.6% 0
Jul +2.9% 22
Aug -2.8% 17
Sep +0.7% 5
Oct -3.1% 9
Nov +14.7% 52
Dec -2.4% 8

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: SBH Sally Beauty Holdings

Sally Beauty Holdings (SBH) is a specialty retailer and distributor of professional beauty supplies operating through two segments: Sally Beauty Supply, which targets retail customers and salon professionals, and Beauty Systems Group, which sells exclusively to licensed beauty professionals and salons via professional-only stores, e-commerce, and a direct sales force. The company carries a wide range of hair color, hair care, skin and nail care, and styling products, including brands such as Wella, LOréal, Clairol, OPI, Paul Mitchell, Matrix, and Moroccanoil. Beyond its company-operated stores, the business extends through franchised Armstrong McCall locations in the U.S. and Puerto Rico, as well as full-service and open-line distributors.

Founded in 1964 and headquartered in Plano, Texas, Sally Beauty maintains operations across the United States, Puerto Rico, Canada, Mexico, Chile, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Belgium, France, the Netherlands, and Germany. The companys dual-channel model, serving both everyday consumers and licensed salon professionals, is a key feature of the professional beauty supply sector, which is generally less cyclical than broader retail due to ongoing demand from salon operators for replenishment products.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Beauty Systems Group sales lift consolidated revenue growth
  • Sally Beauty Supply comp sales pressured by discretionary consumer weakness
  • Tariffs and freight costs continue compressing gross margins
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 183.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.79 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 19.84% < 20% (prev 19.08%; Δ 0.75% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 391.9m > Net Income 183.9m
Net Debt (2.05b) to EBITDA (380.4m): 5.38 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.34 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (99.7m) vs 12m ago -4.74% < -2%
Gross Margin: 51.88% > 18% (prev 51.26%; Δ 0.63% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 134.1% > 50% (prev 136.7%; Δ -2.60% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.75 > 6 (EBIT TTM 282.5m / Interest Expense TTM 59.4m)
Altman Z'' 3.90
A: 0.26 (Total Current Assets 1.29b - Total Current Liabilities 553.5m) / Total Assets 2.85b
B: 0.33 (Retained Earnings 946.5m / Total Assets 2.85b)
C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 282.5m / Avg Total Assets 2.78b)
D: 0.42 (Book Value of Equity 837.9m / Total Liabilities 2.02b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.90 = AA
Beneish M -3.01
DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 101.6m/95.0m, Revenue 3.73b/3.70b)
GMI: 0.99 (GM 51.26% / 51.88%)
AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.22 / AQ_t-1 0.23)
SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 3.73b / 3.70b)
TATA: -0.07 (NI 183.9m - CFO 391.9m) / TA 2.85b)
Beneish M = -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of SBH shares?

As of July 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 15.29 with a total of 1,283,952 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.13%, over one month by +16.90%, over three months by +11.04% and over the past year by +52.90%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 14.40 (which is 5.8% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).

Is SBH a buy, sell or hold?

Sally Beauty Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.60. Therefore, it is recommended to hold SBH.

  • StrongBuy: 2
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the SBH price?
Analysts Target Price 16.4 7.3%
Sally Beauty Holdings (SBH) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 07 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.36b (1.36b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 7.8978
P/E Forward = 6.3131
P/S = 0.362
P/B = 1.6101
P/EG = 0.625
Revenue TTM = 3.73b USD
EBIT TTM = 282.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 380.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 823.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 161.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.21b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 689.0m
Net Debt = 2.05b USD (calculated: Debt 2.21b - CCE 157.4m)
Enterprise Value = 3.41b USD (1.36b + Debt 2.21b - CCE 157.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.75 (Ebit TTM 282.5m / Interest Expense TTM 59.4m)
EV/FCF = 12.93x (Enterprise Value 3.41b / FCF TTM 263.8m)
FCF Yield = 7.73% (FCF TTM 263.8m / Enterprise Value 3.41b)
FCF Margin = 7.08% (FCF TTM 263.8m / Revenue TTM 3.73b)
Net Margin = 4.93% (Net Income TTM 183.9m / Revenue TTM 3.73b)
Gross Margin = 51.88% ((Revenue TTM 3.73b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.79b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 52.62% (prev 51.24%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.20 (Enterprise Value 3.41b / Total Assets 2.85b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.70% (Interest Expense 59.4m / Debt 2.21b)
Taxrate = 25.40% (62.6m / 246.5m)
NOPAT = 210.7m (EBIT 282.5m * (1 - 25.40%))
Current Ratio = 2.34 (Total Current Assets 1.29b / Total Current Liabilities 553.5m)
Debt / Equity = 2.63 (Debt 2.21b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 837.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.38 (Net Debt 2.05b / EBITDA 380.4m)
Debt / FCF = 7.76 (Net Debt 2.05b / FCF TTM 263.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 804.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.62% (Net Income 183.9m / Total Assets 2.85b)
RoE = 22.86% (Net Income TTM 183.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 804.6m)
RoCE = 17.35% (EBIT 282.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 804.6m + L.T.Debt 823.1m))
RoIC = 9.15% (NOPAT 210.7m / Invested Capital 2.30b)
WACC = 5.56% (E(1.36b)/V(3.57b) * Re(11.31%) + D(2.21b)/V(3.57b) * Rd(2.70%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 11.31% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -100.00 | Cagr: -3.77%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈217.3m ; Y1≈249.1m ; Y5≈366.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 36.36 (EV 5.52b - Net Debt 2.05b = Equity 3.47b / Shares 95.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 47.57 | EPS CAGR: 3.76% | SUE: 0.74 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -39.31 | Revenue CAGR: -0.26% | SUE: 0.10 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.53 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=2.06 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+8.4% | GrowthRev=+1.0%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=2.24 | Chg30d=+0.27% | Revisions=-29% | GrowthEPS=+8.7% | GrowthRev=+2.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -58% (up=1, down=8)