(SCCO) Southern Copper - Overview
Copper, Molybdenum, Silver, Gold, Zinc
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.03% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.71% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 0.07% |
| Payout Consistency | 81.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 64.2% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 38.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.41% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.18 |
| Alpha | 102.40 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.228 |
| Beta Downside | 1.256 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 39.69% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.09 |
Description: SCCO Southern Copper January 28, 2026
Southern Copper Corp. (NYSE:SCCO) is a vertically integrated miner that extracts, processes, and refines copper and by-product metals across Peru, Mexico, Argentina, Ecuador, and Chile. Its operations span from open-pit and underground mining to milling, flotation, smelting, and SX-EW refining, producing copper cathodes, molybdenum concentrate, sulfuric acid, and refined precious metals.
The company’s flagship assets include the Toquepala and Cuajone open-pit mines and associated smelter-refinery complex in Peru, plus the La Caridad and Buenavista copper complexes in Mexico, each equipped with concentrators, SX-EW plants, and downstream smelting facilities. In addition, SCCO runs underground zinc-lead-copper mines, a coal mine, and a zinc refinery, giving it exposure to multiple base-metal markets.
Recent operating data (Q4 2025) show ≈ 1.22 million t of copper produced, a 5 % YoY increase driven by higher ore grades at Toquepala, and an all-in sustaining cash cost of $1.55 /lb Cu, well below the 5-year average of $1.78/lb. Net debt stood at $2.1 bn, translating to a net-debt/EBITDA ratio of 2.1×, while free cash flow reached $1.1 bn, supporting the 2025-2026 capex plan of $1.2 bn for mine extensions and renewable-energy upgrades.
Key sector drivers remain robust: global copper demand is projected to grow 3.5 % annually through 2030, propelled by electric-vehicle batteries, renewable-energy infrastructure, and grid-modernization projects. At the same time, copper inventories on the London Metal Exchange have fallen to a 12-month low, keeping spot prices near $4.30/lb-levels that materially improve SCCO’s earnings outlook.
For a deeper, data-driven look at how these variables affect SCCO’s valuation, check the ValueRay analysis page.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income: 3.82b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.17 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.24 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 48.41% < 20% (prev 34.60%; Δ 13.81% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.23 > 3% & CFO 4.62b > Net Income 3.82b |
| Net Debt (3.48b) to EBITDA (7.21b): 0.48 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 4.52 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (822.6m) vs 12m ago 5.73% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 53.09% > 18% (prev 0.48%; Δ 5261 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 63.67% > 50% (prev 59.43%; Δ 4.23% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 17.43 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 7.21b / Interest Expense TTM 364.6m) |
Altman Z'' 5.77
| A: 0.29 (Total Current Assets 7.67b - Total Current Liabilities 1.70b) / Total Assets 20.33b |
| B: 0.30 (Retained Earnings 6.12b / Total Assets 20.33b) |
| C: 0.33 (EBIT TTM 6.36b / Avg Total Assets 19.37b) |
| D: 0.62 (Book Value of Equity 6.12b / Total Liabilities 9.81b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 5.77 = AAA |
Beneish M -3.08
| DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 1.79b/1.59b, Revenue 12.33b/10.94b) |
| GMI: 0.90 (GM 53.09% / 47.92%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.10 / AQ_t-1 0.10) |
| SGI: 1.13 (Revenue 12.33b / 10.94b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 3.82b - CFO 4.62b) / TA 20.33b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.08 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of SCCO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.67%, over one month by +36.39%, over three months by +45.33% and over the past year by +131.74%.
Is SCCO a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 5
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the SCCO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 138.6 | -30.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 138.6 | -30.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 278.4 | 40.5% |
SCCO Fundamental Data Overview January 24, 2026
P/E Forward = 36.7647
P/S = 11.7147
P/B = 14.4272
P/EG = 1.2
Revenue TTM = 12.33b USD
EBIT TTM = 6.36b USD
EBITDA TTM = 7.21b USD
Long Term Debt = 6.75b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 85.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.43b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.48b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 147.40b USD (144.50b + Debt 7.43b - CCE 4.53b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 17.43 (Ebit TTM 6.36b / Interest Expense TTM 364.6m)
EV/FCF = 42.35x (Enterprise Value 147.40b / FCF TTM 3.48b)
FCF Yield = 2.36% (FCF TTM 3.48b / Enterprise Value 147.40b)
FCF Margin = 28.22% (FCF TTM 3.48b / Revenue TTM 12.33b)
Net Margin = 30.98% (Net Income TTM 3.82b / Revenue TTM 12.33b)
Gross Margin = 53.09% ((Revenue TTM 12.33b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.79b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 59.83% (prev 53.08%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.25 (Enterprise Value 147.40b / Total Assets 20.33b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.23% (Interest Expense 91.4m / Debt 7.43b)
Taxrate = 35.57% (613.3m / 1.72b)
NOPAT = 4.09b (EBIT 6.36b * (1 - 35.57%))
Current Ratio = 4.52 (Total Current Assets 7.67b / Total Current Liabilities 1.70b)
Debt / Equity = 0.71 (Debt 7.43b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 10.45b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.48 (Net Debt 3.48b / EBITDA 7.21b)
Debt / FCF = 1.00 (Net Debt 3.48b / FCF TTM 3.48b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.79b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 19.72% (Net Income 3.82b / Total Assets 20.33b)
RoE = 39.01% (Net Income TTM 3.82b / Total Stockholder Equity 9.79b)
RoCE = 38.42% (EBIT 6.36b / Capital Employed (Equity 9.79b + L.T.Debt 6.75b))
RoIC = 24.75% (NOPAT 4.09b / Invested Capital 16.54b)
WACC = 9.97% (E(144.50b)/V(151.93b) * Re(10.44%) + D(7.43b)/V(151.93b) * Rd(1.23%) * (1-Tc(0.36)))
Discount Rate = 10.44% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.15%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.29% ; FCFF base≈3.11b ; Y1≈3.51b ; Y5≈4.74b
Fair Price DCF = 67.18 (EV 58.51b - Net Debt 3.48b = Equity 55.03b / Shares 819.1m; r=9.97% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 14.99% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 1.61 | EPS CAGR: -47.30% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 57.30 | Revenue CAGR: 4.89% | SUE: 1.03 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.56 | Chg30d=+0.218 | Revisions Net=+5 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.11 | Chg30d=+0.478 | Revisions Net=+7 | Growth EPS=+18.1% | Growth Revenue=+8.4%