(SCCO) Southern Copper - Ratings and Ratios
Copper Cathodes, Molybdenum, Zinc, Lead, Silver, Gold
SCCO EPS (Earnings per Share)
SCCO Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 37.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 59.5% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.72 |
| Alpha | 15.20 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.335 |
| Beta | 1.080 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 39.69% |
| Mean DD | 12.56% |
Description: SCCO Southern Copper September 26, 2025
Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE:SCCO) is a vertically integrated miner that extracts, processes, and refines copper and by-product metals across five South-American countries. Its operations span the full value chain-from open-pit and underground mining to milling, flotation, smelting, and electrolytic refining-producing copper cathodes, molybdenum concentrate, sulfuric acid, and refined precious metals such as silver and gold.
The company’s primary assets include the Toquepala and Cuajone open-pit mines and an associated smelter-refinery complex in Peru, plus the La Caridad and Buenavista copper complexes in Mexico, each equipped with concentrators, SX-EW plants, and rod-making facilities. Additional underground operations generate zinc, lead, and precious metals, while a coal mine and zinc refinery round out its diversified mineral portfolio. In total, SCCO holds roughly 827,000 ha of mining and exploration concessions across Peru, Mexico, Argentina, and Chile.
Recent performance indicators (2023) show SCCO delivering approximately 1.3 million tonnes of copper, with an all-in sustaining cost (AISC) near $1.70 per lb-well below the 2023 average spot price of ~$4.30 per lb. The firm’s net debt stood at $2.1 bn, yielding a debt-to-EBITDA ratio of roughly 2.1×, and free cash flow generation of $1.2 bn, supporting a dividend yield of ~2.5%.
Key macro drivers for SCCO include the accelerating demand for copper in renewable-energy infrastructure and electric-vehicle batteries, which historically adds 1–2% annual growth to global copper consumption. Conversely, the company is exposed to geopolitical risk in Peru and Mexico, as well as price volatility tied to macro-economic cycles and inventory levels on the London Metal Exchange.
For a deeper quantitative dive, the ValueRay platform provides a granular breakdown of SCCO’s cash-flow sensitivities to copper-price scenarios and operational cost trends.
SCCO Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 110,954m |
| Sub-Industry | Copper |
| IPO / Inception | 1996-01-05 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 20.6% |
| Analyst Rating | 2.94 of 5 |
SCCO Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.56% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.15% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 8.92% |
| Payout Consistency | 81.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 64.2% |
SCCO Growth Ratios
| CAGR | 38.24% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.96 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 3.04 |
| Current Volume | 818k |
| Average Volume | 1413.3k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income (3.82b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 740.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.17 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.24pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 48.41% (prev 34.60%; Δ 13.81pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.23 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.62b > Net Income 3.82b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (3.48b) to EBITDA (7.21b) ratio: 0.48 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 4.52 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (822.6m) change vs 12m ago 5.73% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 53.09% (prev 47.92%; Δ 5.17pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 63.67% (prev 59.43%; Δ 4.23pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 17.43 (EBITDA TTM 7.21b / Interest Expense TTM 364.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.77
| (A) 0.29 = (Total Current Assets 7.67b - Total Current Liabilities 1.70b) / Total Assets 20.33b |
| (B) 0.30 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 6.12b / Total Assets 20.33b |
| (C) 0.33 = EBIT TTM 6.36b / Avg Total Assets 19.37b |
| (D) 0.62 = Book Value of Equity 6.12b / Total Liabilities 9.81b |
| Total Rating: 5.77 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 87.85
| 1. Piotroski 7.50pt = 2.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.06% = 1.53 |
| 3. FCF Margin 28.22% = 7.05 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.71 = 2.25 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.48 = 2.32 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 15.67)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 39.01% = 2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 65.63% = 4.92 |
| 9. EPS Trend 45.34% = 2.27 |
What is the price of SCCO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.87%, over one month by +11.50%, over three months by +47.80% and over the past year by +38.91%.
Is Southern Copper a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of SCCO is around 163.31 USD . This means that SCCO is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +17.08% (Margin of Safety).
Is SCCO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 5
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the SCCO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 118.9 | -14.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 118.9 | -14.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 183.6 | 31.6% |
SCCO Fundamental Data Overview November 09, 2025
P/E Trailing = 29.2527
P/E Forward = 28.0899
P/S = 8.9953
P/B = 10.1938
P/EG = 1.2
Beta = 1.08
Revenue TTM = 12.33b USD
EBIT TTM = 6.36b USD
EBITDA TTM = 7.21b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.76b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 85.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.43b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.48b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 113.86b USD (110.95b + Debt 7.43b - CCE 4.53b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 17.43 (Ebit TTM 6.36b / Interest Expense TTM 364.6m)
FCF Yield = 3.06% (FCF TTM 3.48b / Enterprise Value 113.86b)
FCF Margin = 28.22% (FCF TTM 3.48b / Revenue TTM 12.33b)
Net Margin = 30.98% (Net Income TTM 3.82b / Revenue TTM 12.33b)
Gross Margin = 53.09% ((Revenue TTM 12.33b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.79b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 59.83% (prev 53.08%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.60 (Enterprise Value 113.86b / Total Assets 20.33b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.23% (Interest Expense 91.4m / Debt 7.43b)
Taxrate = 35.57% (613.3m / 1.72b)
NOPAT = 4.09b (EBIT 6.36b * (1 - 35.57%))
Current Ratio = 4.52 (Total Current Assets 7.67b / Total Current Liabilities 1.70b)
Debt / Equity = 0.71 (Debt 7.43b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 10.45b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.48 (Net Debt 3.48b / EBITDA 7.21b)
Debt / FCF = 1.00 (Net Debt 3.48b / FCF TTM 3.48b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.79b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 18.79% (Net Income 3.82b / Total Assets 20.33b)
RoE = 39.01% (Net Income TTM 3.82b / Total Stockholder Equity 9.79b)
RoCE = 40.87% (EBIT 6.36b / Capital Employed (Equity 9.79b + L.T.Debt 5.76b))
RoIC = 25.08% (NOPAT 4.09b / Invested Capital 16.33b)
WACC = 9.41% (E(110.95b)/V(118.39b) * Re(9.99%) + D(7.43b)/V(118.39b) * Rd(1.23%) * (1-Tc(0.36)))
Discount Rate = 9.99% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.15%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.54% ; FCFE base≈3.11b ; Y1≈3.51b ; Y5≈4.75b
Fair Price DCF = 72.77 (DCF Value 59.10b / Shares Outstanding 812.2m; 5y FCF grow 14.99% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 45.34 | EPS CAGR: 5.34% | SUE: 2.94 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 65.63 | Revenue CAGR: 6.77% | SUE: 1.03 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for SCCO Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle