(SCCO) Southern Copper - Overview
Stock: Copper, Molybdenum, Silver, Gold, Zinc
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.00% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 7.26% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 0.07% |
| Payout Consistency | 81.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 63.0% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 62.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.73% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.96 |
| Alpha | 112.37 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.247 |
| Beta Downside | 1.217 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 39.69% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.20 |
Description: SCCO Southern Copper January 28, 2026
Southern Copper Corp. (NYSE:SCCO) is a vertically integrated miner that extracts, processes, and refines copper and by-product metals across Peru, Mexico, Argentina, Ecuador, and Chile. Its operations span from open-pit and underground mining to milling, flotation, smelting, and SX-EW refining, producing copper cathodes, molybdenum concentrate, sulfuric acid, and refined precious metals.
The company’s flagship assets include the Toquepala and Cuajone open-pit mines and associated smelter-refinery complex in Peru, plus the La Caridad and Buenavista copper complexes in Mexico, each equipped with concentrators, SX-EW plants, and downstream smelting facilities. In addition, SCCO runs underground zinc-lead-copper mines, a coal mine, and a zinc refinery, giving it exposure to multiple base-metal markets.
Recent operating data (Q4 2025) show ≈ 1.22 million t of copper produced, a 5 % YoY increase driven by higher ore grades at Toquepala, and an all-in sustaining cash cost of $1.55 /lb Cu, well below the 5-year average of $1.78/lb. Net debt stood at $2.1 bn, translating to a net-debt/EBITDA ratio of 2.1×, while free cash flow reached $1.1 bn, supporting the 2025-2026 capex plan of $1.2 bn for mine extensions and renewable-energy upgrades.
Key sector drivers remain robust: global copper demand is projected to grow 3.5 % annually through 2030, propelled by electric-vehicle batteries, renewable-energy infrastructure, and grid-modernization projects. At the same time, copper inventories on the London Metal Exchange have fallen to a 12-month low, keeping spot prices near $4.30/lb-levels that materially improve SCCO’s earnings outlook.
For a deeper, data-driven look at how these variables affect SCCO’s valuation, check the ValueRay analysis page.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income: 4.33b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.16 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.63 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 46.25% < 20% (prev 34.34%; Δ 11.91% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.22 > 3% & CFO 4.62b > Net Income 4.33b |
| Net Debt (3.02b) to EBITDA (8.01b): 0.38 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.89 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (838.2m) vs 12m ago 6.41% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 56.67% > 18% (prev 0.50%; Δ 5617 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 66.94% > 50% (prev 61.10%; Δ 5.84% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 19.33 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 8.01b / Interest Expense TTM 369.4m) |
Altman Z'' 6.57
| A: 0.29 (Total Current Assets 8.35b - Total Current Liabilities 2.15b) / Total Assets 21.38b |
| B: 0.29 (Retained Earnings 6.12b / Total Assets 21.38b) |
| C: 0.36 (EBIT TTM 7.14b / Avg Total Assets 20.05b) |
| D: 1.27 (Book Value of Equity 13.07b / Total Liabilities 10.28b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 6.57 = AAA |
Beneish M -2.75
| DSRI: 1.39 (Receivables 2.02b/1.24b, Revenue 13.42b/11.43b) |
| GMI: 0.88 (GM 56.67% / 49.72%) |
| AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.10 / AQ_t-1 0.10) |
| SGI: 1.17 (Revenue 13.42b / 11.43b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 4.33b - CFO 4.62b) / TA 21.38b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.75 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of SCCO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.12%, over one month by +21.11%, over three months by +50.22% and over the past year by +125.27%.
Is SCCO a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 5
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the SCCO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 149.5 | -27.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 149.5 | -27.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 297.6 | 44.1% |
SCCO Fundamental Data Overview February 07, 2026
P/E Forward = 39.2157
P/S = 11.5638
P/B = 14.5423
P/EG = 1.2
Revenue TTM = 13.42b USD
EBIT TTM = 7.14b USD
EBITDA TTM = 8.01b USD
Long Term Debt = 6.75b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 85.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Debt = 7.33b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.02b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 157.60b USD (155.19b + Debt 7.33b - CCE 4.91b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 19.33 (Ebit TTM 7.14b / Interest Expense TTM 369.4m)
EV/FCF = 45.28x (Enterprise Value 157.60b / FCF TTM 3.48b)
FCF Yield = 2.21% (FCF TTM 3.48b / Enterprise Value 157.60b)
FCF Margin = 25.93% (FCF TTM 3.48b / Revenue TTM 13.42b)
Net Margin = 32.30% (Net Income TTM 4.33b / Revenue TTM 13.42b)
Gross Margin = 56.67% ((Revenue TTM 13.42b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.81b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 61.97% (prev 59.83%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.37 (Enterprise Value 157.60b / Total Assets 21.38b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.26% (Interest Expense 92.1m / Debt 7.33b)
Taxrate = 35.43% (717.8m / 2.03b)
NOPAT = 4.61b (EBIT 7.14b * (1 - 35.43%))
Current Ratio = 3.89 (Total Current Assets 8.35b / Total Current Liabilities 2.15b)
Debt / Equity = 0.66 (Debt 7.33b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.04b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.38 (Net Debt 3.02b / EBITDA 8.01b)
Debt / FCF = 0.87 (Net Debt 3.02b / FCF TTM 3.48b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 10.26b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 21.62% (Net Income 4.33b / Total Assets 21.38b)
RoE = 42.25% (Net Income TTM 4.33b / Total Stockholder Equity 10.26b)
RoCE = 41.98% (EBIT 7.14b / Capital Employed (Equity 10.26b + L.T.Debt 6.75b))
RoIC = 27.26% (NOPAT 4.61b / Invested Capital 16.92b)
WACC = 10.07% (E(155.19b)/V(162.51b) * Re(10.51%) + D(7.33b)/V(162.51b) * Rd(1.26%) * (1-Tc(0.35)))
Discount Rate = 10.51% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 4.13%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.96% ; FCFF base≈3.11b ; Y1≈3.51b ; Y5≈4.74b
Fair Price DCF = 66.68 (EV 57.64b - Net Debt 3.02b = Equity 54.62b / Shares 819.1m; r=10.07% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 14.99% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 62.26 | EPS CAGR: 12.00% | SUE: 1.34 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 74.08 | Revenue CAGR: 9.39% | SUE: 2.11 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.85 | Chg30d=+0.456 | Revisions Net=+3 | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.04 | Chg30d=+1.325 | Revisions Net=+5 | Growth EPS=+34.4% | Growth Revenue=+18.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.77 | Chg30d=+0.329 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=-18.0% | Growth Revenue=-11.9%