(SCCO) Southern Copper - Ratings and Ratios
Copper, Molybdenum, Silver, Gold, Zinc
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.13% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.25% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 8.92% |
| Payout Consistency | 79.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 64.2% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 36.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 58.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.19% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.13 |
| Alpha | 31.51 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.04 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.451 |
| Beta | 1.236 |
| Beta Downside | 1.325 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 39.69% |
| Mean DD | 12.63% |
| Median DD | 11.68% |
Description: SCCO Southern Copper December 03, 2025
Southern Copper Corp. (NYSE:SCCO) is a vertically integrated miner operating across Peru, Mexico, Argentina, Ecuador and Chile. Its portfolio spans open-pit and underground extraction of copper, molybdenum, zinc, lead, silver and gold; milling, flotation and concentration; smelting to blister and anode copper; and refining to high-purity cathodes, as well as by-product sulfuric acid and refined precious metals. Core assets include the Toquepala and Cuajone mines and associated smelter-refinery complex in Peru, plus the La Caridad and Buenavista copper complexes, concentrators, SX-EW plants and rod-making facilities in Mexico.
In 2023 SCCO produced roughly 1.2 million tonnes of copper, ranking it among the top three non-state copper producers globally, with an average cash cost of about $1.50 per pound-well below the industry median. The company’s net debt stood at $2.3 billion, yielding a leverage ratio of ~0.6× EBITDA, and it generated $1.9 billion of free cash flow, supporting a dividend yield near 5%. Key macro drivers are the accelerating demand for copper in electric-vehicle batteries and renewable-energy infrastructure, and the firm’s exposure to copper price volatility is partially mitigated by long-term off-take contracts in Peru.
For a deeper dive into SCCO’s valuation dynamics and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers tools that can help you quantify upside and downside risks.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income (3.82b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 740.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.17 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.24pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 48.41% (prev 34.60%; Δ 13.81pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.23 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.62b > Net Income 3.82b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (3.48b) to EBITDA (7.21b) ratio: 0.48 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 4.52 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (822.6m) change vs 12m ago 5.73% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 53.09% (prev 47.92%; Δ 5.17pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 63.67% (prev 59.43%; Δ 4.23pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 17.43 (EBITDA TTM 7.21b / Interest Expense TTM 364.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.77
| (A) 0.29 = (Total Current Assets 7.67b - Total Current Liabilities 1.70b) / Total Assets 20.33b |
| (B) 0.30 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 6.12b / Total Assets 20.33b |
| (C) 0.33 = EBIT TTM 6.36b / Avg Total Assets 19.37b |
| (D) 0.62 = Book Value of Equity 6.12b / Total Liabilities 9.81b |
| Total Rating: 5.77 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 87.00
| 1. Piotroski 7.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.81% |
| 3. FCF Margin 28.22% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.71 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.48 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 14.75)% |
| 7. RoE 39.01% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 57.30% |
| 9. EPS Trend 43.25% |
What is the price of SCCO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.00%, over one month by +13.23%, over three months by +32.76% and over the past year by +56.35%.
Is SCCO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 5
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the SCCO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 119.7 | -16.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 119.7 | -16.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 200.4 | 39.3% |
SCCO Fundamental Data Overview December 13, 2025
P/E Trailing = 31.08
P/E Forward = 29.4985
P/S = 9.8036
P/B = 11.5717
P/EG = 1.2
Beta = 1.082
Revenue TTM = 12.33b USD
EBIT TTM = 6.36b USD
EBITDA TTM = 7.21b USD
Long Term Debt = 6.75b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 85.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.43b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.48b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 123.83b USD (120.92b + Debt 7.43b - CCE 4.53b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 17.43 (Ebit TTM 6.36b / Interest Expense TTM 364.6m)
FCF Yield = 2.81% (FCF TTM 3.48b / Enterprise Value 123.83b)
FCF Margin = 28.22% (FCF TTM 3.48b / Revenue TTM 12.33b)
Net Margin = 30.98% (Net Income TTM 3.82b / Revenue TTM 12.33b)
Gross Margin = 53.09% ((Revenue TTM 12.33b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.79b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 59.83% (prev 53.08%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.09 (Enterprise Value 123.83b / Total Assets 20.33b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.23% (Interest Expense 91.4m / Debt 7.43b)
Taxrate = 35.57% (613.3m / 1.72b)
NOPAT = 4.09b (EBIT 6.36b * (1 - 35.57%))
Current Ratio = 4.52 (Total Current Assets 7.67b / Total Current Liabilities 1.70b)
Debt / Equity = 0.71 (Debt 7.43b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 10.45b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.48 (Net Debt 3.48b / EBITDA 7.21b)
Debt / FCF = 1.00 (Net Debt 3.48b / FCF TTM 3.48b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.79b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 18.79% (Net Income 3.82b / Total Assets 20.33b)
RoE = 39.01% (Net Income TTM 3.82b / Total Stockholder Equity 9.79b)
RoCE = 38.42% (EBIT 6.36b / Capital Employed (Equity 9.79b + L.T.Debt 6.75b))
RoIC = 24.75% (NOPAT 4.09b / Invested Capital 16.54b)
WACC = 10.00% (E(120.92b)/V(128.36b) * Re(10.57%) + D(7.43b)/V(128.36b) * Rd(1.23%) * (1-Tc(0.36)))
Discount Rate = 10.57% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.15%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.75% ; FCFE base≈3.11b ; Y1≈3.51b ; Y5≈4.75b
Fair Price DCF = 66.52 (DCF Value 54.49b / Shares Outstanding 819.1m; 5y FCF grow 14.99% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 43.25 | EPS CAGR: 6.13% | SUE: 1.53 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 57.30 | Revenue CAGR: 4.89% | SUE: 1.03 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.29 | Chg30d=+0.016 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.54 | Chg30d=+0.082 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+9.1% | Growth Revenue=+3.6%
Additional Sources for SCCO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle