Overview Dividends

(SDHC) Smith Douglas Homes - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US83207R1077

Single-Family Homes, Title Insurance, Escrow, Closing Services

Homebuilding
Market Cap in USD: 156m

IPO / Inception: 2024-01-11
Return 12m vs S&P 500: -45.1%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -30.72%
EPS Trend: -73.4%

Last SUE: -1.85
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 14.58%
Rev. Trend: 71.6%

Last SUE: 1.12
Qual. Beats: 2

Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	58.5%
Value at Risk 5%th	93.4%
Relative Tail Risk	-2.92%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	-0.61
Alpha	-51.99
CAGR/Max DD	-0.28

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.414
Beta	0.859
Beta Downside	0.118

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	60.09%
Mean DD	30.02%
Median DD	35.27%

Description: SDHC Smith Douglas Homes November 17, 2025

Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (NYSE: SDHC) designs, builds and sells single-family homes primarily in the southeastern United States, targeting entry-level and empty-nest buyers, and also offers closing, escrow, and title-insurance services through its subsidiaries. Founded in 2008 and headquartered in Woodstock, Georgia, the firm operates within the Homebuilding sub-industry.

Key market metrics that analysts watch for SDHC include its average selling price (ASP), which has risen roughly 6 % YoY to about $310 k in Q2 2024, and its backlog of committed sales-approximately 1,200 units, representing a 12-month supply at current build rates. The companys performance is highly sensitive to regional housing-starts data (the Southeast accounts for ~35 % of U.S. starts) and to mortgage-rate movements; the recent 0.25 % dip in the 30-year Treasury yield has modestly improved affordability for its core buyer segment.

For a deeper quantitative dive, the ValueRay platform provides granular, up-to-date metrics on SDHC’s pricing trends, inventory dynamics, and regional exposure.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5

Net Income (11.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 59.9m TTM)

FCFTA -0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -13.99pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 27.70% (prev 37.48%; Δ -9.78pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA -0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO -35.6m <= Net Income 11.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (41.0m) to EBITDA (89.4m) ratio: 0.46 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 6.24 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (9.13m) change vs 12m ago -82.28% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 23.42% (prev 26.82%; Δ -3.40pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 193.5% (prev 186.5%; Δ 7.01pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 29.75 (EBITDA TTM 89.4m / Interest Expense TTM 2.92m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 4.60

(A) 0.48 = (Total Current Assets 329.3m - Total Current Liabilities 52.8m) / Total Assets 571.6m

(B) 0.04 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 22.6m / Total Assets 571.6m

(D) 0.16 = Book Value of Equity 22.6m / Total Liabilities 145.1m

Total Rating: 4.60 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 62.99

1. Piotroski 4.50pt

2. FCF Yield -20.73%

3. FCF Margin -4.09%

4. Debt/Equity 0.68

5. Debt/Ebitda 0.46

6. ROIC - WACC (= 60.15)%

7. RoE 14.43%

8. Rev. Trend 71.58%

9. EPS Trend -73.36%

What is the price of SDHC shares?

As of December 31, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 16.85 with a total of 43,633 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.70%, over one month by -14.03%, over three months by -5.55% and over the past year by -35.17%.

Is SDHC a buy, sell or hold?

Smith Douglas Homes has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.83. Therefor, it is recommend to hold SDHC.

Strong Buy: 0
Buy: 0
Hold: 5
Sell: 1
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the SDHC price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	16.8	-0.6%
Analysts Target Price	16.8	-0.6%
ValueRay Target Price	15.5	-8.1%

SDHC Fundamental Data Overview December 31, 2025

Market Cap USD = 155.8m (155.8m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 13.6063
P/E Forward = 26.178
P/S = 0.1561
P/B = 1.8962
Beta = None
Revenue TTM = 998.2m USD
EBIT TTM = 86.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 89.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 53.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 562.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 55.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 41.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 196.8m USD (155.8m + Debt 55.8m - CCE 14.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 29.75 (Ebit TTM 86.9m / Interest Expense TTM 2.92m)
FCF Yield = -20.73% (FCF TTM -40.8m / Enterprise Value 196.8m)
FCF Margin = -4.09% (FCF TTM -40.8m / Revenue TTM 998.2m)
Net Margin = 1.13% (Net Income TTM 11.3m / Revenue TTM 998.2m)
Gross Margin = 23.42% ((Revenue TTM 998.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 764.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.98% (prev 23.19%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.34 (Enterprise Value 196.8m / Total Assets 571.6m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.61% (Interest Expense 898.0k / Debt 55.8m)
Taxrate = 5.92% (1.02m / 17.2m)
NOPAT = 81.8m (EBIT 86.9m * (1 - 5.92%))
Current Ratio = 6.24 (Total Current Assets 329.3m / Total Current Liabilities 52.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.68 (Debt 55.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 82.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.46 (Net Debt 41.0m / EBITDA 89.4m)
Debt / FCF = -1.01 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 41.0m / FCF TTM -40.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 78.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.97% (Net Income 11.3m / Total Assets 571.6m)
RoE = 14.43% (Net Income TTM 11.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 78.2m)
RoCE = 65.96% (EBIT 86.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 78.2m + L.T.Debt 53.6m))
RoIC = 67.30% (NOPAT 81.8m / Invested Capital 121.5m)
WACC = 7.16% (E(155.8m)/V(211.6m) * Re(9.18%) + D(55.8m)/V(211.6m) * Rd(1.61%) * (1-Tc(0.06)))
Discount Rate = 9.18% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -57.80%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -40.8m)
EPS Correlation: -73.36 | EPS CAGR: -30.72% | SUE: -1.85 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 71.58 | Revenue CAGR: 14.58% | SUE: 1.12 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.11 | Chg30d=-0.035 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.68 | Chg30d=-0.162 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=-25.0% | Growth Revenue=+7.1%

Additional Sources for SDHC Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle