(SDHC) Smith Douglas Homes - Overview
Stock: Single Family Homes, Entry Level Homes, Affordable Luxury
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 58.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.59% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.29 |
| Alpha | -36.41 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.797 |
| Beta Downside | 0.172 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 60.09% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.22 |
Description: SDHC Smith Douglas Homes January 20, 2026
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (NYSE: SDHC) went public in January 2024 and has already closed 2,867 homes this year, placing it at #32 on Builder Magazine’s Top 100 list and solidifying its status as a top-50 national builder.
The company focuses on entry-level and empty-nest buyers in 13 metros-including Atlanta, Dallas-Fort Worth, and Charlotte-offering new homes priced below FHA loan limits. In Q1 2024 the average selling price was roughly $350 k, while the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for its primary regions hovered around 55, indicating modest builder confidence amid a 3% YoY rise in housing starts.
Given the ongoing sensitivity of the sector to mortgage-rate fluctuations (currently near 6.8%) and regional labor-cost pressures, tracking SDHC’s inventory turnover and land-bank utilization will be key to gauging its near-term earnings trajectory. For a deeper, data-driven look at these metrics, the ValueRay platform offers a concise comparative view.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income: 11.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -13.99 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 27.70% < 20% (prev 37.48%; Δ -9.78% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.06 > 3% & CFO -35.6m > Net Income 11.3m |
| Net Debt (41.0m) to EBITDA (89.4m): 0.46 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 6.24 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (9.13m) vs 12m ago -82.28% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 23.42% > 18% (prev 0.27%; Δ 2315 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 193.5% > 50% (prev 186.5%; Δ 7.01% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 29.75 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 89.4m / Interest Expense TTM 2.92m) |
Altman Z'' 4.60
| A: 0.48 (Total Current Assets 329.3m - Total Current Liabilities 52.8m) / Total Assets 571.6m |
| B: 0.04 (Retained Earnings 22.6m / Total Assets 571.6m) |
| C: 0.17 (EBIT TTM 86.9m / Avg Total Assets 515.8m) |
| D: 0.16 (Book Value of Equity 22.6m / Total Liabilities 145.1m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 4.60 = AA |
Beneish M -1.31
| DSRI: 1.21 (Receivables 14.9m/10.6m, Revenue 998.2m/858.0m) |
| GMI: 1.15 (GM 23.42% / 26.82%) |
| AQI: 3.04 (AQ_t 0.40 / AQ_t-1 0.13) |
| SGI: 1.16 (Revenue 998.2m / 858.0m) |
| TATA: 0.08 (NI 11.3m - CFO -35.6m) / TA 571.6m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -1.31 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
What is the price of SDHC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.78%, over one month by +1.88%, over three months by +6.80% and over the past year by -25.48%.
Is SDHC a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SDHC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 16.5 | -7.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 16.5 | -7.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 16.9 | -5.4% |
SDHC Fundamental Data Overview February 04, 2026
P/E Forward = 29.0698
P/S = 0.1621
P/B = 1.9916
Revenue TTM = 998.2m USD
EBIT TTM = 86.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 89.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 53.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 562.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 55.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 41.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 202.8m USD (161.8m + Debt 55.8m - CCE 14.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 29.75 (Ebit TTM 86.9m / Interest Expense TTM 2.92m)
EV/FCF = -4.97x (Enterprise Value 202.8m / FCF TTM -40.8m)
FCF Yield = -20.12% (FCF TTM -40.8m / Enterprise Value 202.8m)
FCF Margin = -4.09% (FCF TTM -40.8m / Revenue TTM 998.2m)
Net Margin = 1.13% (Net Income TTM 11.3m / Revenue TTM 998.2m)
Gross Margin = 23.42% ((Revenue TTM 998.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 764.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.98% (prev 23.19%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.35 (Enterprise Value 202.8m / Total Assets 571.6m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.61% (Interest Expense 898.0k / Debt 55.8m)
Taxrate = 5.92% (1.02m / 17.2m)
NOPAT = 81.8m (EBIT 86.9m * (1 - 5.92%))
Current Ratio = 6.24 (Total Current Assets 329.3m / Total Current Liabilities 52.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.68 (Debt 55.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 82.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.46 (Net Debt 41.0m / EBITDA 89.4m)
Debt / FCF = -1.01 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 41.0m / FCF TTM -40.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 78.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.19% (Net Income 11.3m / Total Assets 571.6m)
RoE = 14.43% (Net Income TTM 11.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 78.2m)
RoCE = 65.96% (EBIT 86.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 78.2m + L.T.Debt 53.6m))
RoIC = 67.30% (NOPAT 81.8m / Invested Capital 121.5m)
WACC = 6.97% (E(161.8m)/V(217.6m) * Re(8.85%) + D(55.8m)/V(217.6m) * Rd(1.61%) * (1-Tc(0.06)))
Discount Rate = 8.85% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -57.80%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -40.8m)
EPS Correlation: -78.84 | EPS CAGR: -69.72% | SUE: -3.83 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 71.58 | Revenue CAGR: 14.58% | SUE: 1.12 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.07 | Chg30d=-0.058 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.63 | Chg30d=-0.147 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=-30.6% | Growth Revenue=+6.6%