(SHAK) Shake Shack - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US8190471016
Stock: Burgers, Chicken, Hot Dogs, Fries, Shakes
Total Rating 39
Risk 78
Buy Signal -0.88
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 43.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -13.5% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.13 |
| Alpha | -37.84 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.597 |
| Beta Downside | 1.816 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 45.70% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.46 |
Description: SHAK Shake Shack January 08, 2026
Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE: SHAK) is a publicly traded restaurant company that owns, operates, and licenses its “Shack” locations across the United States and select international markets. Founded in 2001 and headquartered in New York, the brand is known for a menu that includes burgers, chicken, hot dogs, crinkle-cut fries, shakes, frozen custard, as well as beer and wine.
Key performance indicators that analysts watch include same-store sales growth (which has averaged roughly 7-9% YoY over the past three fiscal years), average ticket size (hovering around $13-$14), and the number of new openings-Shake Shack added over 100 units in 2023, driven by a mix of company-owned and franchised sites. The chain’s exposure to the broader fast-casual sector makes it sensitive to consumer discretionary spending, labor cost inflation, and commodity price volatility, especially for beef and dairy inputs.
For a deeper dive into Shake Shack’s valuation metrics, the ValueRay platform offers a concise, data-driven overview.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income: 42.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.43 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 13.79% < 20% (prev 14.72%; Δ -0.93% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 204.3m > Net Income 42.6m |
| Net Debt (496.2m) to EBITDA (174.4m): 2.85 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.84 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (41.9m) vs 12m ago 4.66% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 47.39% > 18% (prev 0.45%; Δ 4694 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 78.43% > 50% (prev 72.23%; Δ 6.19% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 31.09 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 174.4m / Interest Expense TTM 2.13m) |
Altman Z'' 1.09
| A: 0.10 (Total Current Assets 414.8m - Total Current Liabilities 225.3m) / Total Assets 1.83b |
| B: 0.03 (Retained Earnings 60.9m / Total Assets 1.83b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 66.1m / Avg Total Assets 1.75b) |
| D: 0.05 (Book Value of Equity 60.9m / Total Liabilities 1.29b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.09 = BB |
Beneish M -2.97
| DSRI: 1.19 (Receivables 37.5m/27.8m, Revenue 1.37b/1.21b) |
| GMI: 0.95 (GM 47.39% / 45.14%) |
| AQI: 0.89 (AQ_t 0.19 / AQ_t-1 0.21) |
| SGI: 1.13 (Revenue 1.37b / 1.21b) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI 42.6m - CFO 204.3m) / TA 1.83b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.97 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of SHAK shares?
As of February 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 98.30 with a total of 1,621,327 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +10.99%, over one month by +9.44%, over three months by +6.95% and over the past year by -14.64%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +10.99%, over one month by +9.44%, over three months by +6.95% and over the past year by -14.64%.
Is SHAK a buy, sell or hold?
Shake Shack has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.71.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold SHAK.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SHAK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 110.9 | 12.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 110.9 | 12.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 96.9 | -1.4% |
SHAK Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Trailing = 85.9903
P/E Forward = 59.5238
P/S = 2.7532
P/B = 6.9615
P/EG = 2.55
Revenue TTM = 1.37b USD
EBIT TTM = 66.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 174.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 247.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 66.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 854.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 496.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.28b USD (3.78b + Debt 854.0m - CCE 357.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 31.09 (Ebit TTM 66.1m / Interest Expense TTM 2.13m)
EV/FCF = 68.00x (Enterprise Value 4.28b / FCF TTM 62.9m)
FCF Yield = 1.47% (FCF TTM 62.9m / Enterprise Value 4.28b)
FCF Margin = 4.58% (FCF TTM 62.9m / Revenue TTM 1.37b)
Net Margin = 3.10% (Net Income TTM 42.6m / Revenue TTM 1.37b)
Gross Margin = 47.39% ((Revenue TTM 1.37b - Cost of Revenue TTM 722.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.88% (prev 48.19%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.34 (Enterprise Value 4.28b / Total Assets 1.83b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.06% (Interest Expense 504.0k / Debt 854.0m)
Taxrate = 35.16% (7.44m / 21.1m)
NOPAT = 42.9m (EBIT 66.1m * (1 - 35.16%))
Current Ratio = 1.84 (Total Current Assets 414.8m / Total Current Liabilities 225.3m)
Debt / Equity = 1.68 (Debt 854.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 509.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.85 (Net Debt 496.2m / EBITDA 174.4m)
Debt / FCF = 7.89 (Net Debt 496.2m / FCF TTM 62.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 486.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.43% (Net Income 42.6m / Total Assets 1.83b)
RoE = 8.76% (Net Income TTM 42.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 486.6m)
RoCE = 9.01% (EBIT 66.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 486.6m + L.T.Debt 247.5m))
RoIC = 5.84% (NOPAT 42.9m / Invested Capital 733.7m)
WACC = 9.63% (E(3.78b)/V(4.64b) * Re(11.80%) + D(854.0m)/V(4.64b) * Rd(0.06%) * (1-Tc(0.35)))
Discount Rate = 11.80% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -2.38%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.22% ; FCFF base≈51.2m ; Y1≈33.6m ; Y5≈15.3m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 234.2m - Net Debt 496.2m = -262.1m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: 72.27 | EPS CAGR: 99.22% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.65 | Revenue CAGR: 17.10% | SUE: 1.03 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.14 | Chg30d=-0.049 | Revisions Net=-13 | Analysts=18
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.35 | Chg30d=-0.261 | Revisions Net=-15 | Growth EPS=+4.8% | Growth Revenue=+13.6%
P/E Forward = 59.5238
P/S = 2.7532
P/B = 6.9615
P/EG = 2.55
Revenue TTM = 1.37b USD
EBIT TTM = 66.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 174.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 247.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 66.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 854.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 496.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.28b USD (3.78b + Debt 854.0m - CCE 357.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 31.09 (Ebit TTM 66.1m / Interest Expense TTM 2.13m)
EV/FCF = 68.00x (Enterprise Value 4.28b / FCF TTM 62.9m)
FCF Yield = 1.47% (FCF TTM 62.9m / Enterprise Value 4.28b)
FCF Margin = 4.58% (FCF TTM 62.9m / Revenue TTM 1.37b)
Net Margin = 3.10% (Net Income TTM 42.6m / Revenue TTM 1.37b)
Gross Margin = 47.39% ((Revenue TTM 1.37b - Cost of Revenue TTM 722.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.88% (prev 48.19%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.34 (Enterprise Value 4.28b / Total Assets 1.83b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.06% (Interest Expense 504.0k / Debt 854.0m)
Taxrate = 35.16% (7.44m / 21.1m)
NOPAT = 42.9m (EBIT 66.1m * (1 - 35.16%))
Current Ratio = 1.84 (Total Current Assets 414.8m / Total Current Liabilities 225.3m)
Debt / Equity = 1.68 (Debt 854.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 509.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.85 (Net Debt 496.2m / EBITDA 174.4m)
Debt / FCF = 7.89 (Net Debt 496.2m / FCF TTM 62.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 486.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.43% (Net Income 42.6m / Total Assets 1.83b)
RoE = 8.76% (Net Income TTM 42.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 486.6m)
RoCE = 9.01% (EBIT 66.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 486.6m + L.T.Debt 247.5m))
RoIC = 5.84% (NOPAT 42.9m / Invested Capital 733.7m)
WACC = 9.63% (E(3.78b)/V(4.64b) * Re(11.80%) + D(854.0m)/V(4.64b) * Rd(0.06%) * (1-Tc(0.35)))
Discount Rate = 11.80% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -2.38%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.22% ; FCFF base≈51.2m ; Y1≈33.6m ; Y5≈15.3m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 234.2m - Net Debt 496.2m = -262.1m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: 72.27 | EPS CAGR: 99.22% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.65 | Revenue CAGR: 17.10% | SUE: 1.03 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.14 | Chg30d=-0.049 | Revisions Net=-13 | Analysts=18
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.35 | Chg30d=-0.261 | Revisions Net=-15 | Growth EPS=+4.8% | Growth Revenue=+13.6%