(SHAK) Shake Shack - Overview
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Restaurants | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 2.743m USD | Total Return: -50.4% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 148M
EPS Trend: 85.4%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: 99.8%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
Beneish M-Score 1.00 > -1.5 - likely earnings manipulation
Altman Z'' 1.00 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Below Avwap Earnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) operates as a fast-casual restaurant chain, managing a portfolio of owned and licensed locations across domestic and international markets. Founded in 2001 and headquartered in New York, the company specializes in a menu of burgers, chicken, hot dogs, and frozen custard, supplemented by alcoholic beverage offerings.
The business model relies on a fine casual approach, which combines the ingredient quality of fine dining with the speed and convenience of traditional fast food. Operating within the GICS Restaurants sub-industry, the company utilizes a mix of high-volume urban flagship stores and licensed partnerships to scale its global footprint. Investors can evaluate the companys valuation metrics and growth trajectory on ValueRay.
- Digital transformation and kiosk expansion drive labor efficiency and margin growth
- Aggressive domestic licensed and company-owned store openings fuel revenue scaling
- Volatile beef and dairy commodity costs impact restaurant-level operating profit
- Shifting consumer discretionary spending patterns influence same-store sales growth trajectory
- International licensing expansion increases high-margin royalty streams and global brand footprint
| Net Income: 41.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.36 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 10.81% < 20% (prev 13.56%; Δ -2.75% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 221.2m > Net Income 41.2m |
| Net Debt (1.30b) to EBITDA (181.4m): 7.15 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.69 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (40.3m) vs 12m ago -3.76% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 19.15% > 18% (prev 0.46%; Δ 1.87k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 81.82% > 50% (prev 74.27%; Δ 7.55% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 13.45 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 181.4m / Interest Expense TTM 5.37m) |
| A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 393.9m - Total Current Liabilities 232.6m) / Total Assets 1.92b |
| B: 0.04 (Retained Earnings 72.4m / Total Assets 1.92b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 72.3m / Avg Total Assets 1.82b) |
| D: 0.05 (Book Value of Equity 72.5m / Total Liabilities 1.36b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.00 = BB |
| DSRI: 7.02 (Receivables 273.8m/33.5m, Revenue 1.49b/1.28b) |
| GMI: 2.41 (GM 19.15% / 46.25%) |
| AQI: 0.84 (AQ_t 0.17 / AQ_t-1 0.21) |
| SGI: 1.16 (Revenue 1.49b / 1.28b) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI 41.2m - CFO 221.2m) / TA 1.92b) |
| Beneish M = 3.14 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of May 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 62.83 with a total of 1,982,112 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.82%,
over one month by -39.12%,
over three months by -29.84% and
over the past year by -50.36%.
Shake Shack has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.71. Therefore, it is recommended to hold SHAK.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 96 | 52.7% |
P/E Forward = 51.8135
P/S = 1.8396
P/B = 4.9196
P/EG = 2.55
Revenue TTM = 1.49b USD
EBIT TTM = 72.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 181.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 248.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 65.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.61b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 689.4m
Net Debt = 1.30b USD (calculated: Debt 1.61b - CCE 313.6m)
Enterprise Value = 4.04b USD (2.74b + Debt 1.61b - CCE 313.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.45 (Ebit TTM 72.3m / Interest Expense TTM 5.37m)
EV/FCF = 107.8x (Enterprise Value 4.04b / FCF TTM 37.5m)
FCF Yield = 0.93% (FCF TTM 37.5m / Enterprise Value 4.04b)
FCF Margin = 2.51% (FCF TTM 37.5m / Revenue TTM 1.49b)
Net Margin = 2.76% (Net Income TTM 41.2m / Revenue TTM 1.49b)
Gross Margin = 19.15% ((Revenue TTM 1.49b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.21b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.44% (prev -58.95%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.11 (Enterprise Value 4.04b / Total Assets 1.92b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.33% (Interest Expense 5.37m / Debt 1.61b)
Taxrate = 31.54% (22.9m / 72.6m)
NOPAT = 49.5m (EBIT 72.3m * (1 - 31.54%))
Current Ratio = 1.69 (Total Current Assets 393.9m / Total Current Liabilities 232.6m)
Debt / Equity = 3.06 (Debt 1.61b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 525.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.15 (Net Debt 1.30b / EBITDA 181.4m)
Debt / FCF = 34.63 (Net Debt 1.30b / FCF TTM 37.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 513.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.26% (Net Income 41.2m / Total Assets 1.92b)
RoE = 8.02% (Net Income TTM 41.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 513.6m)
RoCE = 9.49% (EBIT 72.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 513.6m + L.T.Debt 248.0m))
RoIC = 3.45% (NOPAT 49.5m / Invested Capital 1.44b)
WACC = 6.43% (E(2.74b)/V(4.35b) * Re(10.07%) + D(1.61b)/V(4.35b) * Rd(0.33%) * (1-Tc(0.32)))
Discount Rate = 10.07% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -8.99 | Cagr: -3.79%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.57% ; FCFF base≈38.4m ; Y1≈36.6m ; Y5≈34.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 549.4m - Net Debt 1.30b = -748.2m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: 85.42 | EPS CAGR: 138.5% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 99.81 | Revenue CAGR: 15.35% | SUE: -1.74 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.40 | Chg30d=-10.25% | Revisions=-71% | Analysts=24
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.41 | Chg30d=+1.74% | Revisions=+44% | Analysts=23
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.24 | Chg30d=-9.20% | Revisions=-79% | GrowthEPS=-5.8% | GrowthRev=+14.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.63 | Chg30d=-6.32% | Revisions=-46% | GrowthEPS=+30.8% | GrowthRev=+15.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -79%