Overview Dividends

(SHEL) Shell - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United Kingdom • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US7802593050

Oil, Gasoline, Diesel, Lubricants, Petrochemicals

SHEL EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -11.47%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -38.7%

SHEL Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): -12.94%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): -90.3%

Description: SHEL Shell September 24, 2025

Shell plc (NYSE:SHEL) is a vertically integrated energy and petrochemical company operating worldwide across six segments: Integrated Gas, Upstream, Marketing, Chemicals & Products, and Renewables & Energy Solutions. Its core activities span exploration and production of crude oil, natural gas, and LNG; midstream transport; fuel and lubricant marketing; petrochemical manufacturing; and growing renewable power, hydrogen, and carbon-capture businesses.

Key operational metrics (2023) include ≈ 3.7 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d) of total production, ≈ $30 billion of upstream cash flow, and a ≈ $4 billion dividend payout, yielding roughly 4.5 % on the share price. The company’s 2024 capital plan targets $30-$35 billion of spend, with ~ $5 billion earmarked for net-zero transition projects such as offshore wind, hydrogen, and CCS, reflecting its ambition to cut Scope 1-2 emissions by 20 % by 2030.

Sector drivers that materially affect Shell’s outlook are (i) global oil price risk, where Brent crude’s 12-month forward curve averaged $85 per barrel in Q3 2024, (ii) accelerating LNG demand in Asia, projected to grow 5-6 % annually through 2030, and (iii) tightening carbon-pricing regimes in Europe that incentivize the company’s renewable and carbon-credit businesses. If any of these trends diverge sharply-e.g., a sustained sub-$70 barrel oil price or slower LNG adoption-Shell’s cash-flow generation could be materially revised.

For a deeper, data-driven breakdown of Shell’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, you may find the analytics on ValueRay worth a look.

SHEL Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	218,716m
Sub-Industry	Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
IPO / Inception	2005-07-21

SHEL Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	80.8%
Fundamental	59.9%
Dividend Rating	78.6%
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-5.37%
Analyst Rating	4.41 of 5

SHEL Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m	3.85%
Yield on Cost 5y	12.94%
Annual Growth 5y	9.52%
Payout Consistency	94.0%
Payout Ratio	52.7%

SHEL Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	49.5%
Growth Correlation 12m	85.3%
Growth Correlation 5y	96.6%
CAGR 5y	14.08%
CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio)	0.76
CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio)	3.33
Sharpe Ratio 12m	1.55
Alpha	5.18
Beta	0.278
Volatility	17.95%
Current Volume	3526.5k
Average Volume 20d	4000.8k
Stop Loss	71.5 (-3%)
Signal	0.39

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5

Net Income (13.60b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 16.32b TTM)

FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.48pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 10.87% (prev 12.30%; Δ -1.42pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 49.06b > Net Income 13.60b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (42.99b) to EBITDA (53.06b) ratio: 0.81 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.32 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (3.00b) change vs 12m ago -6.43% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 14.86% (prev 17.08%; Δ -2.23pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 69.51% (prev 76.50%; Δ -7.00pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 6.78 (EBITDA TTM 53.06b / Interest Expense TTM 4.58b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 3.27

(A) 0.08 = (Total Current Assets 121.60b - Total Current Liabilities 92.02b) / Total Assets 387.92b

(B) 0.40 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 155.46b / Total Assets 387.92b

(D) 0.88 = Book Value of Equity 180.98b / Total Liabilities 204.83b

Total Rating: 3.27 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 59.89

1. Piotroski 5.50pt = 0.50

2. FCF Yield 10.96% = 5.0

3. FCF Margin 10.55% = 2.64

4. Debt/Equity 0.42 = 2.41

5. Debt/Ebitda 0.81 = 2.01

6. ROIC - WACC (= 4.33)% = 5.41

7. RoE 7.49% = 0.62

8. Rev. Trend -90.33% = -6.77

9. EPS Trend -38.73% = -1.94

What is the price of SHEL shares?

As of November 05, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 73.74 with a total of 3,526,532 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.77%, over one month by -0.71%, over three months by +3.65% and over the past year by +13.50%.

Is Shell a good stock to buy?

Neither. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Shell is currently (November 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 59.89 and therefor a neutral outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of SHEL is around 79.79 USD . This means that SHEL is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 8.2%.

Is SHEL a buy, sell or hold?

Shell has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.41. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SHEL.

Strong Buy: 9
Buy: 6
Hold: 2
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the SHEL price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	82.6	12%
Analysts Target Price	82.6	12%
ValueRay Target Price	86.5	17.3%

SHEL Fundamental Data Overview November 02, 2025

Market Cap USD = 218.72b (218.72b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 15.2898
P/E Forward = 10.7875
P/S = 0.8128
P/B = 1.1445
P/EG = 1.6278
Beta = 0.278
Revenue TTM = 272.01b USD
EBIT TTM = 31.06b USD
EBITDA TTM = 53.06b USD
Long Term Debt = 41.46b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 10.46b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 75.67b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 42.99b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 261.71b USD (218.72b + Debt 75.67b - CCE 32.68b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.78 (Ebit TTM 31.06b / Interest Expense TTM 4.58b)
FCF Yield = 10.96% (FCF TTM 28.69b / Enterprise Value 261.71b)
FCF Margin = 10.55% (FCF TTM 28.69b / Revenue TTM 272.01b)
Net Margin = 5.00% (Net Income TTM 13.60b / Revenue TTM 272.01b)
Gross Margin = 14.86% ((Revenue TTM 272.01b - Cost of Revenue TTM 231.59b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.87% (prev 18.35%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.67 (Enterprise Value 261.71b / Total Assets 387.92b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.42% (Interest Expense 1.07b / Debt 75.67b)
Taxrate = 39.03% (2.33b / 5.97b)
NOPAT = 18.94b (EBIT 31.06b * (1 - 39.03%))
Current Ratio = 1.32 (Total Current Assets 121.60b / Total Current Liabilities 92.02b)
Debt / Equity = 0.42 (Debt 75.67b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 181.14b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.81 (Net Debt 42.99b / EBITDA 53.06b)
Debt / FCF = 1.50 (Net Debt 42.99b / FCF TTM 28.69b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 181.48b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.51% (Net Income 13.60b / Total Assets 387.92b)
RoE = 7.49% (Net Income TTM 13.60b / Total Stockholder Equity 181.48b)
RoCE = 13.93% (EBIT 31.06b / Capital Employed (Equity 181.48b + L.T.Debt 41.46b))
RoIC = 9.78% (NOPAT 18.94b / Invested Capital 193.58b)
WACC = 5.45% (E(218.72b)/V(294.39b) * Re(7.04%) + D(75.67b)/V(294.39b) * Rd(1.42%) * (1-Tc(0.39)))
Discount Rate = 7.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -7.33%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.86% ; FCFE base≈29.65b ; Y1≈30.85b ; Y5≈35.42b
Fair Price DCF = 216.4 (DCF Value 622.10b / Shares Outstanding 2.88b; 5y FCF grow 4.24% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -38.73 | EPS CAGR: -11.47% | SUE: 0.41 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -90.33 | Revenue CAGR: -12.94% | SUE: -0.04 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for SHEL Stock

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