(SHEL) Shell - Overview
Stock: Oil, Gas, Fuels, Chemicals, Power
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.09% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 9.33% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 14.96% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 46.1% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 27.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 1.40% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.82 |
| Alpha | 11.03 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.629 |
| Beta Downside | 1.016 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 18.47% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.68 |
Description: SHEL Shell January 26, 2026
Shell plc is a globally integrated energy and petrochemical company operating across Europe, Asia, Oceania, Africa, the United States, and the Americas. Its business is organized into five segments: Integrated Gas; Upstream; Marketing; Chemicals & Products; and Renewables & Energy Solutions. The firm extracts natural gas and crude oil, processes gas-to-liquids, markets fuels, lubricants and chemicals, trades commodities, and is expanding into power generation, hydrogen, carbon capture, and sustainable aviation fuel.
Key recent metrics (Q3 2023 / FY 2023):
• Upstream production averaged ~3.0 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, a 4 % increase YoY, driven by higher output in the Gulf of Mexico and West Africa.
• Net cash flow from operations was $19.6 billion, supporting a 2024 capital-expenditure plan of $20 billion, of which $2.5 billion is earmarked for renewables and low-carbon projects.
• The dividend yield stood at ~4.5 % (FY 2023), with a 10 % payout ratio, reflecting strong free cash flow despite volatile oil prices.
• Renewable capacity under development reached 2.5 GW (wind and solar) and the company announced a target of 5 GW by 2030, aligning with the broader sector shift toward decarbonisation and the IEA’s “net-zero by 2050” pathway.
Assumption: these figures assume no material disruption to supply chains or regulatory regimes; a sustained decline in oil prices below $70 /barrel would materially compress cash flow and could force a revision of the 2024 capex allocation.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of Shell’s valuation dynamics, you may find it useful to explore the analyst tools on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income: 17.83b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.92 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 9.25% < 20% (prev 11.57%; Δ -2.31% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 41.68b > Net Income 17.83b |
| Net Debt (74.36b) to EBITDA (53.00b): 1.40 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.30 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (2.90b) vs 12m ago -6.67% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 16.67% > 18% (prev 0.15%; Δ 1652 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 70.59% > 50% (prev 73.35%; Δ -2.76% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.60 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 53.00b / Interest Expense TTM 4.66b) |
Altman Z'' 3.61
| A: 0.07 (Total Current Assets 107.17b - Total Current Liabilities 82.42b) / Total Assets 370.35b |
| B: 0.52 (Retained Earnings 190.83b / Total Assets 370.35b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 30.79b / Avg Total Assets 378.98b) |
| D: 0.90 (Book Value of Equity 175.09b / Total Liabilities 195.03b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.61 = AA |
Beneish M -2.71
| DSRI: 1.52 (Receivables 44.60b/31.23b, Revenue 267.51b/284.31b) |
| GMI: 0.93 (GM 16.67% / 15.49%) |
| AQI: 1.10 (AQ_t 0.21 / AQ_t-1 0.19) |
| SGI: 0.94 (Revenue 267.51b / 284.31b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 17.83b - CFO 41.68b) / TA 370.35b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.71 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of SHEL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.73%, over one month by +9.84%, over three months by +2.59% and over the past year by +22.54%.
Is SHEL a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SHEL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 82.7 | 6.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 82.7 | 6.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 91.6 | 17.8% |
SHEL Fundamental Data Overview February 08, 2026
P/E Forward = 11.919
P/S = 0.7873
P/B = 1.2204
P/EG = 1.7968
Revenue TTM = 267.51b USD
EBIT TTM = 30.79b USD
EBITDA TTM = 53.00b USD
Long Term Debt = 95.45b USD (estimated: total debt 104.58b - short term 9.13b)
Short Term Debt = 9.13b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 104.58b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 74.36b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 289.86b USD (215.50b + Debt 104.58b - CCE 30.22b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.60 (Ebit TTM 30.79b / Interest Expense TTM 4.66b)
EV/FCF = 12.76x (Enterprise Value 289.86b / FCF TTM 22.71b)
FCF Yield = 7.83% (FCF TTM 22.71b / Enterprise Value 289.86b)
FCF Margin = 8.49% (FCF TTM 22.71b / Revenue TTM 267.51b)
Net Margin = 6.67% (Net Income TTM 17.83b / Revenue TTM 267.51b)
Gross Margin = 16.67% ((Revenue TTM 267.51b - Cost of Revenue TTM 222.91b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.63% (prev 16.73%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.78 (Enterprise Value 289.86b / Total Assets 370.35b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.14% (Interest Expense 1.19b / Debt 104.58b)
Taxrate = 39.13% (2.75b / 7.02b)
NOPAT = 18.74b (EBIT 30.79b * (1 - 39.13%))
Current Ratio = 1.30 (Total Current Assets 107.17b / Total Current Liabilities 82.42b)
Debt / Equity = 0.60 (Debt 104.58b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 174.39b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.40 (Net Debt 74.36b / EBITDA 53.00b)
Debt / FCF = 3.27 (Net Debt 74.36b / FCF TTM 22.71b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 177.54b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.71% (Net Income 17.83b / Total Assets 370.35b)
RoE = 10.04% (Net Income TTM 17.83b / Total Stockholder Equity 177.54b)
RoCE = 11.28% (EBIT 30.79b / Capital Employed (Equity 177.54b + L.T.Debt 95.45b))
RoIC = 10.49% (NOPAT 18.74b / Invested Capital 178.59b)
WACC = 5.77% (E(215.50b)/V(320.08b) * Re(8.23%) + D(104.58b)/V(320.08b) * Rd(1.14%) * (1-Tc(0.39)))
Discount Rate = 8.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -7.33%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 85.15% ; FCFF base≈27.66b ; Y1≈24.76b ; Y5≈21.00b
Fair Price DCF = 198.4 (EV 635.06b - Net Debt 74.36b = Equity 560.70b / Shares 2.83b; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -12.96% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -53.07 | EPS CAGR: -18.01% | SUE: -0.53 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -88.89 | Revenue CAGR: -6.62% | SUE: -0.13 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.55 | Chg30d=+0.047 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.24 | Chg30d=-0.317 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=-0.9% | Growth Revenue=-2.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.10 | Chg30d=-0.462 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+13.8% | Growth Revenue=+9.2%