(SHEL) Shell - Ratings and Ratios
Oil, Gasoline, Diesel, Lubricants, Petrochemicals
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.93% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 9.60% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 9.52% |
| Payout Consistency | 91.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 52.7% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 18.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 30.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 3.01% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.55 |
| Alpha | 3.62 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.66 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.424 |
| Beta | 0.607 |
| Beta Downside | 0.974 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 18.47% |
| Mean DD | 4.25% |
| Median DD | 3.15% |
Description: SHEL Shell September 24, 2025
Shell plc (NYSE:SHEL) is a vertically integrated energy and petrochemical company operating worldwide across six segments: Integrated Gas, Upstream, Marketing, Chemicals & Products, and Renewables & Energy Solutions. Its core activities span exploration and production of crude oil, natural gas, and LNG; midstream transport; fuel and lubricant marketing; petrochemical manufacturing; and growing renewable power, hydrogen, and carbon-capture businesses.
Key operational metrics (2023) include ≈ 3.7 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d) of total production, ≈ $30 billion of upstream cash flow, and a ≈ $4 billion dividend payout, yielding roughly 4.5 % on the share price. The company’s 2024 capital plan targets $30-$35 billion of spend, with ~ $5 billion earmarked for net-zero transition projects such as offshore wind, hydrogen, and CCS, reflecting its ambition to cut Scope 1-2 emissions by 20 % by 2030.
Sector drivers that materially affect Shell’s outlook are (i) global oil price risk, where Brent crude’s 12-month forward curve averaged $85 per barrel in Q3 2024, (ii) accelerating LNG demand in Asia, projected to grow 5-6 % annually through 2030, and (iii) tightening carbon-pricing regimes in Europe that incentivize the company’s renewable and carbon-credit businesses. If any of these trends diverge sharply-e.g., a sustained sub-$70 barrel oil price or slower LNG adoption-Shell’s cash-flow generation could be materially revised.
For a deeper, data-driven breakdown of Shell’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, you may find the analytics on ValueRay worth a look.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (14.60b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 16.12b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.75pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 11.75% (prev 12.11%; Δ -0.36pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 46.15b > Net Income 14.60b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (40.92b) to EBITDA (53.98b) ratio: 0.76 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.35 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (2.95b) change vs 12m ago -7.58% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 15.11% (prev 16.31%; Δ -1.19pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 69.54% (prev 75.14%; Δ -5.60pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 6.68 (EBITDA TTM 53.98b / Interest Expense TTM 4.76b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.69
| (A) 0.08 = (Total Current Assets 121.18b - Total Current Liabilities 89.62b) / Total Assets 377.74b |
| (B) 0.51 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 192.46b / Total Assets 377.74b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 31.77b / Avg Total Assets 386.34b |
| (D) 0.88 = Book Value of Equity 176.11b / Total Liabilities 199.91b |
| Total Rating: 3.69 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 60.31
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 10.31% |
| 3. FCF Margin 9.65% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.42 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.76 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 4.99)% |
| 7. RoE 8.18% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -85.14% |
| 9. EPS Trend -42.38% |
What is the price of SHEL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.33%, over one month by -2.67%, over three months by -0.44% and over the past year by +16.57%.
Is SHEL a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 9
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SHEL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 83.2 | 14.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 83.2 | 14.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 84.9 | 16.6% |
SHEL Fundamental Data Overview November 24, 2025
P/E Trailing = 14.9531
P/E Forward = 10.5152
P/S = 0.7827
P/B = 1.1933
P/EG = 1.5855
Beta = -0.094
Revenue TTM = 268.66b USD
EBIT TTM = 31.77b USD
EBITDA TTM = 53.98b USD
Long Term Debt = 41.46b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 10.02b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 73.98b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 40.92b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 251.53b USD (210.60b + Debt 73.98b - CCE 33.05b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.68 (Ebit TTM 31.77b / Interest Expense TTM 4.76b)
FCF Yield = 10.31% (FCF TTM 25.94b / Enterprise Value 251.53b)
FCF Margin = 9.65% (FCF TTM 25.94b / Revenue TTM 268.66b)
Net Margin = 5.43% (Net Income TTM 14.60b / Revenue TTM 268.66b)
Gross Margin = 15.11% ((Revenue TTM 268.66b - Cost of Revenue TTM 228.06b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.73% (prev 14.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.67 (Enterprise Value 251.53b / Total Assets 377.74b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.73% (Interest Expense 1.28b / Debt 73.98b)
Taxrate = 31.60% (2.49b / 7.88b)
NOPAT = 21.73b (EBIT 31.77b * (1 - 31.60%))
Current Ratio = 1.35 (Total Current Assets 121.18b / Total Current Liabilities 89.62b)
Debt / Equity = 0.42 (Debt 73.98b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 175.82b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.76 (Net Debt 40.92b / EBITDA 53.98b)
Debt / FCF = 1.58 (Net Debt 40.92b / FCF TTM 25.94b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 178.52b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.86% (Net Income 14.60b / Total Assets 377.74b)
RoE = 8.18% (Net Income TTM 14.60b / Total Stockholder Equity 178.52b)
RoCE = 14.44% (EBIT 31.77b / Capital Employed (Equity 178.52b + L.T.Debt 41.46b))
RoIC = 11.40% (NOPAT 21.73b / Invested Capital 190.61b)
WACC = 6.41% (E(210.60b)/V(284.58b) * Re(8.25%) + D(73.98b)/V(284.58b) * Rd(1.73%) * (1-Tc(0.32)))
Discount Rate = 8.25% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.63%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.85% ; FCFE base≈29.17b ; Y1≈27.88b ; Y5≈27.01b
Fair Price DCF = 162.0 (DCF Value 463.91b / Shares Outstanding 2.86b; 5y FCF grow -5.85% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -42.38 | EPS CAGR: 3.08% | SUE: 0.41 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -85.14 | Revenue CAGR: -5.95% | SUE: -0.18 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for SHEL Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle