(SHEL) Shell - Overview
Stock: Oil, Gas, Fuels, Chemicals, Power
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.09% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 9.51% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 14.96% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 52.7% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 19.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 1.68% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.75 |
| Alpha | 12.03 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.631 |
| Beta Downside | 0.989 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 18.47% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.78 |
Description: SHEL Shell January 26, 2026
Shell plc is a globally integrated energy and petrochemical company operating across Europe, Asia, Oceania, Africa, the United States, and the Americas. Its business is organized into five segments: Integrated Gas; Upstream; Marketing; Chemicals & Products; and Renewables & Energy Solutions. The firm extracts natural gas and crude oil, processes gas-to-liquids, markets fuels, lubricants and chemicals, trades commodities, and is expanding into power generation, hydrogen, carbon capture, and sustainable aviation fuel.
Key recent metrics (Q3 2023 / FY 2023):
• Upstream production averaged ~3.0 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, a 4 % increase YoY, driven by higher output in the Gulf of Mexico and West Africa.
• Net cash flow from operations was $19.6 billion, supporting a 2024 capital-expenditure plan of $20 billion, of which $2.5 billion is earmarked for renewables and low-carbon projects.
• The dividend yield stood at ~4.5 % (FY 2023), with a 10 % payout ratio, reflecting strong free cash flow despite volatile oil prices.
• Renewable capacity under development reached 2.5 GW (wind and solar) and the company announced a target of 5 GW by 2030, aligning with the broader sector shift toward decarbonisation and the IEA’s “net-zero by 2050” pathway.
Assumption: these figures assume no material disruption to supply chains or regulatory regimes; a sustained decline in oil prices below $70 /barrel would materially compress cash flow and could force a revision of the 2024 capex allocation.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of Shell’s valuation dynamics, you may find it useful to explore the analyst tools on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income: 14.60b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.75 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 11.75% < 20% (prev 12.11%; Δ -0.36% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 46.15b > Net Income 14.60b |
| Net Debt (40.92b) to EBITDA (53.98b): 0.76 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.35 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (2.95b) vs 12m ago -7.58% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 15.11% > 18% (prev 0.16%; Δ 1495 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 69.54% > 50% (prev 75.14%; Δ -5.60% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.68 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 53.98b / Interest Expense TTM 4.76b) |
Altman Z'' 3.69
| A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 121.18b - Total Current Liabilities 89.62b) / Total Assets 377.74b |
| B: 0.51 (Retained Earnings 192.46b / Total Assets 377.74b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 31.77b / Avg Total Assets 386.34b) |
| D: 0.88 (Book Value of Equity 176.11b / Total Liabilities 199.91b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.69 = AA |
Beneish M -3.06
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 45.29b/46.78b, Revenue 268.66b/296.76b) |
| GMI: 1.08 (GM 15.11% / 16.31%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.19 / AQ_t-1 0.20) |
| SGI: 0.91 (Revenue 268.66b / 296.76b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 14.60b - CFO 46.15b) / TA 377.74b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.06 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of SHEL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.45%, over one month by +4.33%, over three months by +4.06% and over the past year by +20.38%.
Is SHEL a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SHEL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 83.2 | 8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 83.2 | 8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 91.6 | 18.9% |
SHEL Fundamental Data Overview January 26, 2026
P/E Forward = 11.2108
P/S = 0.7762
P/B = 1.1876
P/EG = 1.6905
Revenue TTM = 268.66b USD
EBIT TTM = 31.77b USD
EBITDA TTM = 53.98b USD
Long Term Debt = 41.46b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 10.02b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 73.98b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 40.92b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 249.77b USD (208.85b + Debt 73.98b - CCE 33.05b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.68 (Ebit TTM 31.77b / Interest Expense TTM 4.76b)
EV/FCF = 9.63x (Enterprise Value 249.77b / FCF TTM 25.94b)
FCF Yield = 10.38% (FCF TTM 25.94b / Enterprise Value 249.77b)
FCF Margin = 9.65% (FCF TTM 25.94b / Revenue TTM 268.66b)
Net Margin = 5.43% (Net Income TTM 14.60b / Revenue TTM 268.66b)
Gross Margin = 15.11% ((Revenue TTM 268.66b - Cost of Revenue TTM 228.06b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.73% (prev 14.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.66 (Enterprise Value 249.77b / Total Assets 377.74b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.73% (Interest Expense 1.28b / Debt 73.98b)
Taxrate = 31.60% (2.49b / 7.88b)
NOPAT = 21.73b (EBIT 31.77b * (1 - 31.60%))
Current Ratio = 1.35 (Total Current Assets 121.18b / Total Current Liabilities 89.62b)
Debt / Equity = 0.42 (Debt 73.98b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 175.82b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.76 (Net Debt 40.92b / EBITDA 53.98b)
Debt / FCF = 1.58 (Net Debt 40.92b / FCF TTM 25.94b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 178.52b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.78% (Net Income 14.60b / Total Assets 377.74b)
RoE = 8.18% (Net Income TTM 14.60b / Total Stockholder Equity 178.52b)
RoCE = 14.44% (EBIT 31.77b / Capital Employed (Equity 178.52b + L.T.Debt 41.46b))
RoIC = 11.40% (NOPAT 21.73b / Invested Capital 190.61b)
WACC = 6.39% (E(208.85b)/V(282.83b) * Re(8.24%) + D(73.98b)/V(282.83b) * Rd(1.73%) * (1-Tc(0.32)))
Discount Rate = 8.24% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.63%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 83.79% ; FCFF base≈29.17b ; Y1≈27.87b ; Y5≈26.95b
Fair Price DCF = 230.9 (EV 694.90b - Net Debt 40.92b = Equity 653.98b / Shares 2.83b; r=6.39% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -5.85% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -66.25 | EPS CAGR: -49.85% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -85.33 | Revenue CAGR: -5.95% | SUE: -0.18 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.48 | Chg30d=-0.027 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.42 | Chg30d=-0.182 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+1.0% | Growth Revenue=-1.6%