(SHW) Sherwin-Williams - Ratings and Ratios
Paint, Coatings, Stains, Varnishes, Industrial Coatings
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.97% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.36% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -14.53% |
| Payout Consistency | 95.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 27.9% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 33.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.22% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.28 |
| Alpha | -17.99 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.57 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.349 |
| Beta | 0.680 |
| Beta Downside | 0.512 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 21.39% |
| Mean DD | 7.94% |
| Median DD | 8.59% |
Description: SHW Sherwin-Williams December 02, 2025
Sherwin-Williams Co (NYSE:SHW) manufactures and distributes paint, coatings, and related products across professional, industrial, commercial, and retail channels. The firm operates through three segments: Paint Stores (architectural paints, protective and marine coatings sold under the Sherwin-Williams brand), Consumer Brands (branded and private-label paints, stains, varnishes, and related applicators sold to home-center and hardware retailers), and Performance Coatings (industrial, automotive refinish, coil, packaging, and specialty resins sold via distributors and licensees).
Geographically, SHW serves customers in North and South America, the Caribbean, Europe, Asia, and Australia, leveraging a dense network of more than 4,400 company-owned stores and a robust wholesale channel. The company’s FY2023 revenue was approximately $20.1 billion, with an operating margin of roughly 13 % and a net income of $2.1 billion, reflecting strong pricing power despite raw-material cost pressures (e.g., titanium dioxide and solvents). A key economic driver is residential construction activity; U.S. housing starts and home-improvement spending historically account for about 30 % of total paint demand, making the business sensitive to macro-level housing cycles.
Recent financial actions include a $1.5 billion share-repurchase program in 2023 and a dividend yield near 1.2 %, underscoring capital-return discipline. Looking ahead, the sector’s exposure to sustainability trends-such as low-VOC formulations and powder-coat adoption-could create incremental growth opportunities, but the upside is contingent on the pace of regulatory adoption and raw-material cost stabilization.
For a deeper quantitative view of SHW’s valuation metrics, see the ValueRay analysis.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (2.57b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.40b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.72pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -5.70% (prev -5.40%; Δ -0.31pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 3.29b > Net Income 2.57b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (13.34b) to EBITDA (4.40b) ratio: 3.03 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.82 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (249.0m) change vs 12m ago -1.93% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 48.88% (prev 48.46%; Δ 0.42pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 92.78% (prev 96.18%; Δ -3.41pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 8.51 (EBITDA TTM 4.40b / Interest Expense TTM 440.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.16
| (A) -0.05 = (Total Current Assets 6.15b - Total Current Liabilities 7.47b) / Total Assets 26.21b |
| (B) 0.33 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 8.74b / Total Assets 26.21b |
| (C) 0.15 = EBIT TTM 3.75b / Avg Total Assets 25.09b |
| (D) 0.38 = Book Value of Equity 8.25b / Total Liabilities 21.78b |
| Total Rating: 2.16 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 73.23
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.58% |
| 3. FCF Margin 10.42% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 3.07 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.03 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 12.27)% |
| 7. RoE 60.49% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 46.75% |
| 9. EPS Trend 60.35% |
What is the price of SHW shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.43%, over one month by -5.23%, over three months by -4.59% and over the past year by -4.97%.
Is SHW a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 10
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the SHW price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 386 | 18.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 386 | 18.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 334.2 | 2.7% |
SHW Fundamental Data Overview December 25, 2025
P/E Trailing = 31.6455
P/E Forward = 25.3165
P/S = 3.4713
P/B = 18.1407
P/EG = 3.1237
Beta = 1.241
Revenue TTM = 23.28b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.75b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.40b USD
Long Term Debt = 9.32b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.68b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.58b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 13.34b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 94.13b USD (80.80b + Debt 13.58b - CCE 241.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.51 (Ebit TTM 3.75b / Interest Expense TTM 440.2m)
FCF Yield = 2.58% (FCF TTM 2.43b / Enterprise Value 94.13b)
FCF Margin = 10.42% (FCF TTM 2.43b / Revenue TTM 23.28b)
Net Margin = 11.05% (Net Income TTM 2.57b / Revenue TTM 23.28b)
Gross Margin = 48.88% ((Revenue TTM 23.28b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.90b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 49.16% (prev 49.38%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.59 (Enterprise Value 94.13b / Total Assets 26.21b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.86% (Interest Expense 117.2m / Debt 13.58b)
Taxrate = 21.44% (227.4m / 1.06b)
NOPAT = 2.94b (EBIT 3.75b * (1 - 21.44%))
Current Ratio = 0.82 (Total Current Assets 6.15b / Total Current Liabilities 7.47b)
Debt / Equity = 3.07 (Debt 13.58b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.43b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.03 (Net Debt 13.34b / EBITDA 4.40b)
Debt / FCF = 5.50 (Net Debt 13.34b / FCF TTM 2.43b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.25b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.81% (Net Income 2.57b / Total Assets 26.21b)
RoE = 60.49% (Net Income TTM 2.57b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.25b)
RoCE = 27.61% (EBIT 3.75b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.25b + L.T.Debt 9.32b))
RoIC = 19.66% (NOPAT 2.94b / Invested Capital 14.97b)
WACC = 7.39% (E(80.80b)/V(94.37b) * Re(8.52%) + D(13.58b)/V(94.37b) * Rd(0.86%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.52% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.55%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.24% ; FCFE base≈2.27b ; Y1≈2.38b ; Y5≈2.75b
Fair Price DCF = 178.4 (DCF Value 44.22b / Shares Outstanding 247.9m; 5y FCF grow 4.81% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 60.35 | EPS CAGR: 30.06% | SUE: 0.47 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 46.75 | Revenue CAGR: 8.01% | SUE: 2.11 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.39 | Chg30d=-0.016 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=15
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.58 | Chg30d=-0.061 | Revisions Net=-6 | Growth EPS=+10.5% | Growth Revenue=+4.9%
Additional Sources for SHW Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle