SHW Stock Analysis: Sherwin-Williams | NYSE

Specialty Chemicals | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 78.678m USD | 12M Return: 2.1% | US8243481061 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Architectural Coatings, Industrial Coatings, Automotive Refinishes, Marine Coatings
Total Rating 52
Safety 69
Buy Signal -0.22
Specialty Chemicals
Industry Rotation: +7.8
Market Cap: 78.7B
Avg Turnover: 520M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility25.5%
VaR 5th Pctl4.26%
VaR vs Median1.38%
Choppyness58.0%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.06
Rel. Str. IBD40.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group24.4
Character TTM
Beta0.564
Beta Downside0.407
Hurst Exponent0.534
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD25.69%
CAGR/Max DD0.52
CAGR/Mean DD1.29
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of SHW over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 2.09, "2021-12": 1.34, "2022-03": 1.61, "2022-06": 2.41, "2022-09": 2.83, "2022-12": 1.89, "2023-03": 2.04, "2023-06": 3.29, "2023-09": 3.2, "2023-12": 1.81, "2024-03": 2.17, "2024-06": 3.7, "2024-09": 3.37, "2024-12": 2.09, "2025-03": 2.25, "2025-06": 3.38, "2025-09": 3.59, "2025-12": 2.23, "2026-03": 2.35, "2026-06": 3.7,
EPS CAGR: 4.68%
EPS Trend: 93.3%
Last SUE: 0.68
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of SHW over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 5146.7, 2021-12: 4762.1, 2022-03: 4998.7, 2022-06: 5872.3, 2022-09: 6047.4, 2022-12: 5230.5, 2023-03: 5442.4, 2023-06: 6240.6, 2023-09: 6116.7, 2023-12: 5252.2, 2024-03: 5367.3, 2024-06: 6271.5, 2024-09: 6162.5, 2024-12: 5297.2, 2025-03: 5305.7, 2025-06: 6314.5, 2025-09: 6358.2, 2025-12: 5595.9, 2026-03: 5666.9, 2026-06: 6789.3,
Rev. CAGR: 1.72%
Rev. Trend: 80.1%
Last SUE: 2.16
Qual. Beats: 2

Warnings

Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -0.1% 5
Feb -1.3% 18
Mar -3.7% 20
Apr +2.0% 19
May -1.2% 22
Jun -0.1% 7
Jul +3.5% 30
Aug +0.2% 17
Sep -3.0% 32
Oct -1.5% 23
Nov +6.2% 45
Dec -1.9% 26

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: SHW Sherwin-Williams

Sherwin-Williams Company (NYSE: SHW) is a leading global manufacturer and distributor of paints, coatings, and related products, serving professional, industrial, commercial, and retail customers. Founded in 1866 and headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio, the company operates through three core segments: Paint Stores Group (company-owned Sherwin-Williams branded stores targeting contractors and DIY consumers), Consumer Brands Group (branded and private-label products sold through home centers, hardware stores, and distributors), and Performance Coatings Group (industrial, automotive refinish, protective and marine, coil, and packaging coatings). SHW has a global footprint spanning North America, South America, the Caribbean, Europe, Asia, and Australia.

As a large-cap stock in the Materials sector under the GICS Specialty Chemicals sub-industry, Sherwin-Williams benefits from a vertically integrated business model that combines direct-to-consumer retail through its store network with B2B distribution channels. The specialty chemicals and coatings industry is characterized by high barriers to entry driven by brand equity, proprietary formulations, and scale efficiencies, which have historically supported stable margins for established players like SHW.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Paint Stores Group drives revenue on pricing power
  • Housing starts decline pressures architectural coatings demand
  • Titanium dioxide costs continue to compress gross margins
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 7.5
Net Income: 2.69b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.43 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -10.77% < 20% (prev -7.67%; Δ -3.09% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 3.89b > Net Income 2.69b
Net Debt (16.1b) to EBITDA (4.73b): 3.39 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.73 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (247.1m) vs 12m ago -1.91% < -2%
Gross Margin: 49.07% > 18% (prev 48.87%; Δ 0.20% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 93.32% > 50% (prev 91.00%; Δ 2.32% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.76 > 6 (EBIT TTM 4.01b / Interest Expense TTM 516.3m)
Altman Z'' 0.81
A: -0.10 (Total Current Assets 7.00b - Total Current Liabilities 9.63b) / Total Assets 27.0b
B: 0.07 (Retained Earnings 2.01b / Total Assets 27.0b)
C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 4.01b / Avg Total Assets 26.2b)
D: 0.17 (Book Value of Equity 3.85b / Total Liabilities 23.1b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.81 = B
Beneish M -2.93
DSRI: 1.09 (Receivables 3.57b/3.11b, Revenue 24.4b/23.1b)
GMI: 1.00 (GM 48.87% / 49.07%)
AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.51 / AQ_t-1 0.52)
SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 24.4b / 23.1b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 2.69b - CFO 3.89b) / TA 27.0b)
Beneish M = -2.93 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of SHW shares?

As of October 17, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 335.20 with a total of 1,792,812 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.96%, over one month by +4.27%, over three months by -0.64% and over the past year by +2.09%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 320.90 (which is 4.3% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).

Is SHW a buy, sell or hold?

Sherwin-Williams has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.96. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SHW.

  • StrongBuy: 12
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 13
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the SHW price?
Analysts Target Price 383.1 14.3%
Sherwin-Williams (SHW) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 15 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 78.7b (78.7b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 29.871
P/E Forward = 23.753
P/S = 3.2231
P/B = 20.5595
P/EG = 2.1026
Revenue TTM = 24.4b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.01b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.73b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.33b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.23b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 16.4b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 2.14b
Net Debt = 16.1b USD (calculated: Debt 16.4b - CCE 293.5m)
Enterprise Value = 94.7b USD (78.7b + Debt 16.4b - CCE 293.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.76 (Ebit TTM 4.01b / Interest Expense TTM 516.3m)
EV/FCF = 29.49x (Enterprise Value 94.7b / FCF TTM 3.21b)
FCF Yield = 3.39% (FCF TTM 3.21b / Enterprise Value 94.7b)
FCF Margin = 13.16% (FCF TTM 3.21b / Revenue TTM 24.4b)
Net Margin = 11.01% (Net Income TTM 2.69b / Revenue TTM 24.4b)
Gross Margin = 49.07% ((Revenue TTM 24.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 12.4b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 49.17% (prev 49.07%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.52 (Enterprise Value 94.7b / Total Assets 27.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.16% (Interest Expense 516.3m / Debt 16.4b)
Taxrate = 23.01% (803.6m / 3.49b)
NOPAT = 3.09b (EBIT 4.01b * (1 - 23.01%))
Current Ratio = 0.73 (Total Current Assets 7.00b / Total Current Liabilities 9.63b)
Debt / Equity = 4.24 (Debt 16.4b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.85b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.39 (Net Debt 16.1b / EBITDA 4.73b)
Debt / FCF = 5.00 (Net Debt 16.1b / FCF TTM 3.21b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.33b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.28% (Net Income 2.69b / Total Assets 27.0b)
RoE = 62.12% (Net Income TTM 2.69b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.33b)
RoCE = 31.67% (EBIT 4.01b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.33b + L.T.Debt 8.33b))
RoIC = 14.51% (NOPAT 3.09b / Invested Capital 21.3b)
WACC = 7.02% (E(78.7b)/V(95.0b) * Re(7.97%) + D(16.4b)/V(95.0b) * Rd(3.16%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 7.97% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -97.60 | Cagr: -1.53%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈2.79b ; Y1≈3.20b ; Y5≈4.71b
[DCF] Fair Price = 225.6 (EV 70.8b - Net Debt 16.1b = Equity 54.8b / Shares 242.8m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 93.34 | EPS CAGR: 4.68% | SUE: 0.68 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 80.07 | Revenue CAGR: 1.72% | SUE: 2.16 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=3.69 | Chg30d=+0.02% | Revisions=+86% | Analysts=24
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.10 | Chg30d=-0.05% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+5.8% | GrowthRev=+6.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=13.54 | Chg30d=-0.47% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+11.9% | GrowthRev=+4.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +58% (up=19, down=4)