(SHW) Sherwin-Williams - Ratings and Ratios
Paint, Coatings, Stains, Primers, Sealers
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.92% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.35% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -14.53% |
| Payout Consistency | 95.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 27.9% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 34.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.76% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.52 |
| Alpha | -21.74 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.58 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.370 |
| Beta | 0.710 |
| Beta Downside | 0.538 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 21.39% |
| Mean DD | 8.17% |
| Median DD | 9.06% |
Description: SHW Sherwin-Williams September 25, 2025
The Sherwin-Williams Company (NYSE: SHW) manufactures, distributes and sells paint, coatings and related products across three operating segments: the Paint Stores Group, which supplies architectural paints, protective and marine coatings, and OEM finishes to contractors and DIY homeowners under the Sherwin-Williams brand; the Consumer Brands Group, which provides a broad portfolio of branded and private-label paints, stains, varnishes, wood finishes, adhesives and related applicators to home-center retailers, hardware stores and independent dealers; and the Performance Coatings Group, which develops industrial-grade coatings for wood finishing, automotive refinishing, protective and marine applications, coil and packaging coatings, as well as performance-based resins and colorants for a network of retailers, dealers, jobbers and licensees.
Geographically, SHW operates in North and South America, the Caribbean, Europe, Asia and Australia, leveraging a vertically integrated supply chain that supports both retail-focused and industrial-focused customers. The company’s exposure to macro-drivers such as U.S. housing starts (which rose ~5 % YoY in Q2 2025) and automotive mileage (a key determinant of refinishing demand) makes its revenue somewhat cyclical, though the diversified product mix and strong brand loyalty provide a cushion during downturns.
From a financial standpoint, SHW reported FY 2023 revenue of roughly $20.1 billion with an adjusted operating margin of about 15 % and adjusted EPS of $8.84, supporting a dividend yield near 2.5 % and a share-repurchase program that returned $2.3 billion to shareholders in 2023. The firm’s net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio sits around 2.0 ×, indicating moderate leverage relative to peers in the specialty chemicals sector, while its free cash flow generation (~$2.5 billion) underpins ongoing capital allocation.
For a deeper quantitative view of SHW’s valuation metrics, the ValueRay platform offers a transparent, data-driven dashboard you may find useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (2.57b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.40b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.72pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -5.70% (prev -5.40%; Δ -0.31pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 3.29b > Net Income 2.57b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (13.34b) to EBITDA (4.40b) ratio: 3.03 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.82 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (249.0m) change vs 12m ago -1.93% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 48.88% (prev 48.46%; Δ 0.42pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 92.78% (prev 96.18%; Δ -3.41pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 8.51 (EBITDA TTM 4.40b / Interest Expense TTM 440.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.16
| (A) -0.05 = (Total Current Assets 6.15b - Total Current Liabilities 7.47b) / Total Assets 26.21b |
| (B) 0.33 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 8.74b / Total Assets 26.21b |
| (C) 0.15 = EBIT TTM 3.75b / Avg Total Assets 25.09b |
| (D) 0.38 = Book Value of Equity 8.25b / Total Liabilities 21.78b |
| Total Rating: 2.16 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 73.11
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.54% |
| 3. FCF Margin 10.42% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 3.07 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.03 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 12.16)% |
| 7. RoE 60.49% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 46.70% |
| 9. EPS Trend 58.27% |
What is the price of SHW shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.81%, over one month by +2.19%, over three months by -6.42% and over the past year by -13.51%.
Is SHW a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 10
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the SHW price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 386.5 | 12.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 386.5 | 12.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 347 | 1.3% |
SHW Fundamental Data Overview November 21, 2025
P/E Trailing = 32.1423
P/E Forward = 25.3165
P/S = 3.5327
P/B = 18.1401
P/EG = 3.1236
Beta = 1.242
Revenue TTM = 23.28b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.75b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.40b USD
Long Term Debt = 9.32b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.68b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.58b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 13.34b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 95.56b USD (82.23b + Debt 13.58b - CCE 241.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.51 (Ebit TTM 3.75b / Interest Expense TTM 440.2m)
FCF Yield = 2.54% (FCF TTM 2.43b / Enterprise Value 95.56b)
FCF Margin = 10.42% (FCF TTM 2.43b / Revenue TTM 23.28b)
Net Margin = 11.05% (Net Income TTM 2.57b / Revenue TTM 23.28b)
Gross Margin = 48.88% ((Revenue TTM 23.28b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.90b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 49.16% (prev 49.38%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.65 (Enterprise Value 95.56b / Total Assets 26.21b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.86% (Interest Expense 117.2m / Debt 13.58b)
Taxrate = 21.44% (227.4m / 1.06b)
NOPAT = 2.94b (EBIT 3.75b * (1 - 21.44%))
Current Ratio = 0.82 (Total Current Assets 6.15b / Total Current Liabilities 7.47b)
Debt / Equity = 3.07 (Debt 13.58b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.43b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.03 (Net Debt 13.34b / EBITDA 4.40b)
Debt / FCF = 5.50 (Net Debt 13.34b / FCF TTM 2.43b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.25b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.81% (Net Income 2.57b / Total Assets 26.21b)
RoE = 60.49% (Net Income TTM 2.57b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.25b)
RoCE = 27.61% (EBIT 3.75b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.25b + L.T.Debt 9.32b))
RoIC = 19.66% (NOPAT 2.94b / Invested Capital 14.97b)
WACC = 7.50% (E(82.23b)/V(95.80b) * Re(8.63%) + D(13.58b)/V(95.80b) * Rd(0.86%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.63% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.55%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.86% ; FCFE base≈2.27b ; Y1≈2.38b ; Y5≈2.75b
Fair Price DCF = 174.9 (DCF Value 43.35b / Shares Outstanding 247.9m; 5y FCF grow 4.81% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 58.27 | EPS CAGR: 30.06% | SUE: 0.47 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 46.70 | Revenue CAGR: 8.01% | SUE: 2.11 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for SHW Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle