SJM Stock Analysis: The J. M. Smucker | NYSE
Packaged Foods | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 12.519m USD | 12M Return: 18.7% | US8326964058 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 145M
EPS Trend: -33.5%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 92.3%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
The J. M. Smucker Company (NYSE: SJM) is a U.S.-based packaged food manufacturer founded in 1897 and headquartered in Orrville, Ohio. The company operates through five reporting segments: U.S. Retail Coffee, U.S. Retail Frozen Handheld and Spreads, U.S. Retail Pet Foods, Sweet Baked Snacks, and Away From Home, producing a diverse portfolio of coffee, sweet baked goods, peanut butter, frozen sandwiches, pet food, and spreads.
Smuckers products are sold under well-known brands including Folgers, Dunkin, Jif, Smuckers, Uncrustables, Meow Mix, Milk-Bone, Pup-Peroni, and Hostess, distributed through a broad mix of retail, foodservice, and online channels. Operating in the Consumer Staples sector, the companys business model is centered on building and defending market share through established brand equity across multiple shelf-stable and refrigerated food categories, which typically generate recurring demand.
- Coffee input costs pressure U.S. Retail Coffee segment margins
- Hostess acquisition expands Sweet Baked Snacks revenue base
- Uncrustables growth offsets declining spreads and frozen categories
| Net Income: 229.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.01 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -3.25% < 20% (prev -6.33%; Δ 3.08% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 1.91b > Net Income 229.5m |
| Net Debt (7.01b) to EBITDA (1.33b): 5.25 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.87 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (107.1m) vs 12m ago 0.47% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 38.65% > 18% (prev 35.14%; Δ 3.51% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 53.95% > 50% (prev 49.12%; Δ 4.83% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.16 > 6 (EBIT TTM 785.3m / Interest Expense TTM 363.3m) |
| A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 1.99b - Total Current Liabilities 2.29b) / Total Assets 16.2b |
| B: 0.01 (Retained Earnings 103.6m / Total Assets 16.2b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 785.3m / Avg Total Assets 17.0b) |
| D: 0.55 (Book Value of Equity 5.75b / Total Liabilities 10.5b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.79 = B |
| DSRI: 0.91 (Receivables 615.7m/643.2m, Revenue 9.16b/8.71b) |
| GMI: 0.91 (GM 35.14% / 38.65%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.68 / AQ_t-1 0.69) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 9.16b / 8.71b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 229.5m - CFO 1.91b) / TA 16.2b) |
| Beneish M = -3.16 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 119.83 with a total of 928,281 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.25%, over one month by -2.82%, over three months by +9.09% and over the past year by +18.69%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 115.30 (which is 3.8% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).
The J. M. Smucker has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.89. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SJM.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 142.1 | 18.6% |
P/E Trailing = 54.7617
P/E Forward = 11.9904
P/S = 1.3671
P/B = 2.2738
P/EG = 1.6776
Revenue TTM = 9.16b USD
EBIT TTM = 785.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.33b USD
Long Term Debt = 6.39b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 343.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.06b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 159.3m
Net Debt = 7.01b USD (calculated: Debt 7.06b - CCE 43.2m)
Enterprise Value = 19.5b USD (12.5b + Debt 7.06b - CCE 43.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.16 (Ebit TTM 785.3m / Interest Expense TTM 363.3m)
EV/FCF = 12.30x (Enterprise Value 19.5b / FCF TTM 1.59b)
FCF Yield = 8.13% (FCF TTM 1.59b / Enterprise Value 19.5b)
FCF Margin = 17.35% (FCF TTM 1.59b / Revenue TTM 9.16b)
Net Margin = 2.51% (Net Income TTM 229.5m / Revenue TTM 9.16b)
Gross Margin = 38.65% ((Revenue TTM 9.16b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.62b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 44.14% (prev 38.01%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.21 (Enterprise Value 19.5b / Total Assets 16.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.15% (Interest Expense 363.3m / Debt 7.06b)
Taxrate = 45.62% (192.5m / 422.0m)
NOPAT = 427.1m (EBIT 785.3m * (1 - 45.62%))
Current Ratio = 0.87 (Total Current Assets 1.99b / Total Current Liabilities 2.29b)
Debt / Equity = 1.23 (Debt 7.06b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.75b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.25 (Net Debt 7.01b / EBITDA 1.33b)
Debt / FCF = 4.42 (Net Debt 7.01b / FCF TTM 1.59b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.65b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.35% (Net Income 229.5m / Total Assets 16.2b)
RoE = 4.06% (Net Income TTM 229.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.65b)
RoCE = 6.52% (EBIT 785.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 5.65b + L.T.Debt 6.39b))
RoIC = 3.00% (NOPAT 427.1m / Invested Capital 14.2b)
WACC = 3.85% (E(12.5b)/V(19.6b) * Re(4.44%) + D(7.06b)/V(19.6b) * Rd(5.15%) * (1-Tc(0.46)))
Discount Rate = 4.44% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 78.33 | Cagr: 0.29%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.22b ; Y1≈1.40b ; Y5≈2.06b
[DCF] Fair Price = 224.8 (EV 31.0b - Net Debt 7.01b = Equity 24.0b / Shares 106.8m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -33.53 | EPS CAGR: -2.31% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 92.28 | Revenue CAGR: 4.03% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=2.55 | Chg30d=-0.28% | Revisions=-7% | Analysts=15
EPS next Quarter (2027-01-31): EPS=2.54 | Chg30d=-0.53% | Revisions=-13% | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2027-04-30): EPS=10.77 | Chg30d=+0.78% | Revisions=+83% | GrowthEPS=+17.7% | GrowthRev=-1.3%
EPS next Year (2028-04-30): EPS=9.04 | Chg30d=+0.33% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+0.3% | GrowthRev=+1.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +30% (up=27, down=14)