(SJM) The J. M. Smucker - Overview
Sector: Consumer Defensive | Industry: Packaged Foods | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 10.869m USD | Total Return: -6.4% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 171M
EPS Trend: -12.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 73.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Interest Coverage Ratio -1.8 is critical
Altman Z'' -0.54 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Choppy
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) is a diversified consumer packaged goods (CPG) firm specializing in coffee, pet food, and snacks. Its portfolio includes market-leading brands such as Folgers, Jif, and Milk-Bone, distributed globally through retail, e-commerce, and foodservice channels. The company recently expanded its presence in the snack category through the acquisition of Hostess Brands, aligning with its strategy to target high-growth convenience segments.
Operating within the Packaged Foods & Meats sub-industry, SJM utilizes a brand-centric business model that relies on economies of scale and significant marketing spend to maintain shelf space. The consumer staples sector typically exhibits lower price elasticity, allowing firms like SJM to mitigate input cost volatility through strategic pricing adjustments. Investors may find it useful to examine ValueRay for deeper insights into the company’s valuation metrics.
Founded in 1897, the company maintains a vertically integrated supply chain to support its four core segments: U.S. Retail Coffee, Frozen Handheld and Spreads, Pet Foods, and Sweet Baked Snacks. This diversification helps stabilize revenue streams against shifting consumer preferences in any single food category.
- Hostess acquisition integration and synergy realization drive long-term margin expansion
- Uncrustables production capacity expansion fuels volume growth in frozen handheld segment
- Coffee segment profitability fluctuates with green coffee commodity price volatility
- Pet snack brand performance shifts market share within high-margin specialty categories
- Household penetration of Folgers and Dunkin brands dictates retail coffee revenue stability
| Net Income: -1.26b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.55 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -4.13% < 20% (prev -14.95%; Δ 10.82% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 1.29b > Net Income -1.26b |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 0.84 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (106.7m) vs 12m ago 0.28% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 32.67% > 18% (prev 0.40%; Δ 3.23k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 51.46% > 50% (prev 47.69%; Δ 3.77% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -1.83 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -156.8m / Interest Expense TTM 384.5m) |
| A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 1.99b - Total Current Liabilities 2.36b) / Total Assets 16.3b |
| B: -0.02 (Retained Earnings -372.8m / Total Assets 16.3b) |
| C: -0.04 (EBIT TTM -702.8m / Avg Total Assets 17.3b) |
| D: -0.05 (Book Value of Equity -514.3m / Total Liabilities 11.0b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -0.54 = B |
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 645.7m/654.3m, Revenue 8.93b/8.79b) |
| GMI: 1.21 (GM 32.67% / 39.54%) |
| AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.69 / AQ_t-1 0.72) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 8.93b / 8.79b) |
| TATA: -0.16 (NI -1.26b - CFO 1.29b) / TA 16.3b) |
| Beneish M = -3.03 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of May 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 102.32 with a total of 1,106,954 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.27%,
over one month by +8.52%,
over three months by -10.81% and
over the past year by -6.44%.
The J. M. Smucker has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.55. Therefore, it is recommended to hold SJM.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 115.8 | 13.2% |
P/E Forward = 10.3734
P/S = 1.2175
P/B = 2.0757
P/EG = 1.6776
Revenue TTM = 8.93b USD
EBIT TTM = -702.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = -156.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 6.84b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 486.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.58b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 126.1m
Net Debt = 7.53b USD (calculated: Debt 7.58b - CCE 52.8m)
Enterprise Value = 18.4b USD (10.9b + Debt 7.58b - CCE 52.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.83 (Ebit TTM -702.8m / Interest Expense TTM 384.5m)
EV/FCF = 18.94x (Enterprise Value 18.4b / FCF TTM 971.2m)
FCF Yield = 5.28% (FCF TTM 971.2m / Enterprise Value 18.4b)
FCF Margin = 10.88% (FCF TTM 971.2m / Revenue TTM 8.93b)
Net Margin = -14.07% (Net Income TTM -1.26b / Revenue TTM 8.93b)
Gross Margin = 32.67% ((Revenue TTM 8.93b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.01b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.77% (prev 33.56%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.13 (Enterprise Value 18.4b / Total Assets 16.3b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.07% (Interest Expense 384.5m / Debt 7.58b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -555.2m (EBIT -702.8m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.84 (Total Current Assets 1.99b / Total Current Liabilities 2.36b)
Debt / Equity = 1.45 (Debt 7.58b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.24b)
Debt / EBITDA = -48.01 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 7.53b / EBITDA -156.8m)
Debt / FCF = 7.75 (Net Debt 7.53b / FCF TTM 971.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.83b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -7.24% (Net Income -1.26b / Total Assets 16.3b)
RoE = -20.26% (Net Income TTM -1.26b / Total Stockholder Equity 6.20b)
RoCE = -5.39% (EBIT -702.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 6.20b + L.T.Debt 6.84b))
RoIC = -3.86% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -555.2m / Invested Capital 14.4b)
WACC = 5.11% (E(10.9b)/V(18.4b) * Re(5.88%) + D(7.58b)/V(18.4b) * Rd(5.07%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 5.88% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 72.17 | Cagr: 1.85%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈908.8m ; Y1≈1.04b ; Y5≈1.53b
[DCF] Fair Price = 145.8 (EV 23.1b - Net Debt 7.53b = Equity 15.5b / Shares 106.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -12.16 | EPS CAGR: -0.83% | SUE: 0.81 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 73.61 | Revenue CAGR: 2.57% | SUE: 0.50 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=2.20 | Chg30d=-0.56% | Revisions=-14% | Analysts=12
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -14%