(SMFG) Sumitomo Mitsui Financial - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Japan • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US86562M2098

Banking, Leasing, Securities, Consumer Finance, Advisory

Dividends

Dividend Yield 2.80%
Yield on Cost 5y 10.77%
Yield CAGR 5y 2.68%
Payout Consistency 83.1%
Payout Ratio 0.5%
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 29.9%
Value at Risk 5%th 46.0%
Relative Tail Risk -6.40%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 0.88
Alpha 11.96
CAGR/Max DD 1.81
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.522
Beta 1.020
Beta Downside 1.453
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 25.67%
Mean DD 5.21%
Median DD 4.13%

Description: SMFG Sumitomo Mitsui Financial December 02, 2025

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (SMFG) is a diversified Japanese banking conglomerate operating through four business units: Wholesale, Retail, Global, and Global Markets. It offers a full suite of financial services-including loans, deposits, securities, leasing, and advisory-across Japan and major international regions such as the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Asia, and Oceania.

Key metrics: as of FY2024, SMFG reported a net profit of ¥1.2 trillion and a return on equity (ROE) of 8.3%, supported by a robust Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio of 13.5%. The bank’s loan portfolio grew 4.2% year-over-year, driven by rising demand for corporate financing in the U.S. and Europe, while Japan’s ultra-low interest-rate environment continues to compress net interest margins, prompting accelerated digital transformation initiatives.

For a deeper dive into SMFG’s valuation and risk profile, the ValueRay analysis provides useful data and insights.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0

Net Income (1386.33b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 580.94b TTM)
FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.46pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue -1622 % (prev -1877 %; Δ 255.2pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO 4969.42b > Net Income 1386.33b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (-14281.46b) to EBITDA (1948.02b) ratio: -7.33 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 0.32 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (3.85b) change vs 12m ago -2.26% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 49.88% (prev 19.93%; Δ 29.96pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 3.25% (prev 2.10%; Δ 1.15pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 0.43 (EBITDA TTM 1948.02b / Interest Expense TTM 4501.78b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' -3.18

(A) -0.51 = (Total Current Assets 72818.80b - Total Current Liabilities 229848.30b) / Total Assets 305905.91b
(B) 0.03 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 8660.59b / Total Assets 305905.91b
(C) 0.01 = EBIT TTM 1948.02b / Avg Total Assets 297964.25b
(D) 0.05 = Book Value of Equity 14592.05b / Total Liabilities 290601.66b
Total Rating: -3.18 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 69.78

1. Piotroski 4.0pt
2. FCF Yield 115.5%
3. FCF Margin 47.53%
4. Debt/Equity 3.85
5. Debt/Ebitda -7.33
6. ROIC - WACC (= -0.51)%
7. RoE 9.32%
8. Rev. Trend 75.72%
9. EPS Trend 36.58%

What is the price of SMFG shares?

As of December 06, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 18.96 with a total of 2,507,830 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.06%, over one month by +17.47%, over three months by +17.24% and over the past year by +29.19%.

Is SMFG a buy, sell or hold?

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SMFG.
  • Strong Buy: 1
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the SMFG price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 18.6 -1.8%
Analysts Target Price 18.6 -1.8%
ValueRay Target Price 26.3 38.9%

SMFG Fundamental Data Overview December 02, 2025

Market Cap JPY = 18267.08b (117.74b USD * 155.1421 USD.JPY)
P/E Trailing = 13.3333
P/E Forward = 11.7233
P/S = 0.0344
P/B = 1.2039
P/EG = 1.2469
Beta = 0.159
Revenue TTM = 9682.39b JPY
EBIT TTM = 1948.02b JPY
EBITDA TTM = 1948.02b JPY
Long Term Debt = 24722.51b JPY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 33593.99b JPY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 58316.50b JPY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -14281.46b JPY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3985.63b JPY (18267.08b + Debt 58316.50b - CCE 72597.96b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.43 (Ebit TTM 1948.02b / Interest Expense TTM 4501.78b)
FCF Yield = 115.5% (FCF TTM 4602.46b / Enterprise Value 3985.63b)
FCF Margin = 47.53% (FCF TTM 4602.46b / Revenue TTM 9682.39b)
Net Margin = 14.32% (Net Income TTM 1386.33b / Revenue TTM 9682.39b)
Gross Margin = 49.88% ((Revenue TTM 9682.39b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4852.55b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 56.23% (prev 49.79%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.01 (Enterprise Value 3985.63b / Total Assets 305905.91b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.97% (Interest Expense 1149.60b / Debt 58316.50b)
Taxrate = 29.62% (235.17b / 793.90b)
NOPAT = 1370.98b (EBIT 1948.02b * (1 - 29.62%))
Current Ratio = 0.32 (Total Current Assets 72818.80b / Total Current Liabilities 229848.30b)
Debt / Equity = 3.85 (Debt 58316.50b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 15166.41b)
Debt / EBITDA = -7.33 (Net Debt -14281.46b / EBITDA 1948.02b)
Debt / FCF = -3.10 (Net Debt -14281.46b / FCF TTM 4602.46b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 14869.70b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.45% (Net Income 1386.33b / Total Assets 305905.91b)
RoE = 9.32% (Net Income TTM 1386.33b / Total Stockholder Equity 14869.70b)
RoCE = 4.92% (EBIT 1948.02b / Capital Employed (Equity 14869.70b + L.T.Debt 24722.51b))
RoIC = 2.88% (NOPAT 1370.98b / Invested Capital 47595.98b)
WACC = 3.39% (E(18267.08b)/V(76583.59b) * Re(9.77%) + D(58316.50b)/V(76583.59b) * Rd(1.97%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 9.77% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.81%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.07% ; FCFE base≈2817.49b ; Y1≈1849.81b ; Y5≈845.93b
Fair Price DCF = 2001 (DCF Value 12803.08b / Shares Outstanding 6.40b; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 36.58 | EPS CAGR: 28.23% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 75.72 | Revenue CAGR: 30.48% | SUE: 0.55 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-03-31): EPS=1.48 | Chg30d=+0.094 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+20.2% | Growth Revenue=+9.1%
EPS next Year (2027-03-31): EPS=1.65 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+11.1% | Growth Revenue=+104.2%

Additional Sources for SMFG Stock

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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle