(SMG) Scotts Miracle-Gro - Overview

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US8101861065

Stock:

Total Rating 51

Risk 76

Buy Signal 0.47

Agricultural Inputs -4.4
Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals -6.2

Market Cap: 4,054m
Avg Trading Vol: 54.5M USD

ATR: 2.89%
Peers RS (IBD): 54.55

Risk 5d forecast
Volatility	37.9%
Relative Tail Risk	-10.3%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	0.68
Alpha	12.48

Character TTM
Beta	0.612
Beta Downside	0.665

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	47.42%
CAGR/Max DD	0.01

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -29.02%
EPS Trend: -17.9%

Last SUE: 0.93
Qual. Beats: 1

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -33.95%
Rev. Trend: -32.8%

Last SUE: -0.09
Qual. Beats: 0

Description: SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, marketing, and sale of products for lawn, garden care, and indoor and hydroponic gardening in the United States and internationally. The company provides lawn care products, comprising lawn fertilizers, clover and grass seed products, spreaders, and other durable products, as well as lawn-related weed, pest, and disease control products; and gardening and landscape products, which include water-soluble and continuous-release plant foods, potting mixes, garden soils, mulches and ground cover products, plant-related pest and disease control products, organic garden products, and live goods and seeding solutions. It also offers hydroponic products that help users to grow plants, flowers, and vegetables using little or no soil; lighting systems and components; insect, rodent, and weed control products for home areas; and non-selective weed killer products. The company sells its products under the Scotts, Turf Builder, Grower's Edge, EZ Seed, PatchMaster, Thick'R Lawn, GrubEx, EdgeGuard, Whirl, Wizz, Miracle-Gro, LiquaFeed, Shake 'N Feed, Hyponex, Earthgro, Miracle-Gro Organic, CAN-FAN, CAN-FILTERS, EcoPlus, Bug B Gon, Nature Scapes, Ortho, Miracle-Gro Performance Organics, Miracle-Gro Organic Choice, Whitney Farms, Ortho Max, Home Defense, Mother Earth, Botanicare, General Hydroponics, CYCO, Gavita, Agrolux, HydroLogic Purification System, Gro Pro, AeroGarden, Titan, Tomcat, Ortho Weed B Gon, Roundup, Groundclear, and Alchemist brands. It serves home centers, mass merchandisers, warehouse clubs, large hardware chains, independent hardware stores, nurseries, garden centers, e-commerce platforms, and food and drug stores, as well as indoor gardening and hydroponic distributors, retailers, and growers. The company was formerly known as The Scotts Company. The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company was founded in 1868 and is headquartered in Marysville, Ohio.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0

Net Income: 89.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.65 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 9.69% < 20% (prev 16.90%; Δ -7.21% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 446.2m > Net Income 89.8m
Net Debt (2.52b) to EBITDA (448.6m): 5.62 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.35 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (57.9m) vs 12m ago 1.05% < -2%
Gross Margin: 30.98% > 18% (prev 0.25%; Δ 3073 % > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 108.0% > 50% (prev 112.3%; Δ -4.25% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.08 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 448.6m / Interest Expense TTM 122.3m)

Altman Z'' 1.77

A: 0.11 (Total Current Assets 1.26b - Total Current Liabilities 932.4m) / Total Assets 3.03b
B: 0.04 (Retained Earnings 131.2m / Total Assets 3.03b)
C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 376.7m / Avg Total Assets 3.10b)
D: 0.11 (Book Value of Equity 371.9m / Total Liabilities 3.53b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 1.77 = BBB

Beneish M -3.43

DSRI: 0.96 (Receivables 193.8m/213.6m, Revenue 3.35b/3.56b)
GMI: 0.80 (GM 30.98% / 24.81%)
AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.38 / AQ_t-1 0.40)
SGI: 0.94 (Revenue 3.35b / 3.56b)
TATA: -0.12 (NI 89.8m - CFO 446.2m) / TA 3.03b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.43 (Cap -4..+1) = AA

What is the price of SMG shares?

As of March 03, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 70.38 with a total of 506,848 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.82%, over one month by +13.97%, over three months by +27.81% and over the past year by +31.50%.

Is SMG a buy, sell or hold?

Scotts Miracle-Gro has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.36. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SMG.

StrongBuy: 7
Buy: 1
Hold: 3
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the SMG price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	74	5.1%
Analysts Target Price	74	5.1%

SMG Fundamental Data Overview February 28, 2026

P/E Trailing = 25.0358
P/E Forward = 13.3156
P/S = 1.1921
P/B = 18.9789
P/EG = 0.2279
Revenue TTM = 3.35b USD
EBIT TTM = 376.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 448.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.25b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 278.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.53b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.52b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.57b USD (4.05b + Debt 2.53b - CCE 8.30m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.08 (Ebit TTM 376.7m / Interest Expense TTM 122.3m)
EV/FCF = 18.36x (Enterprise Value 6.57b / FCF TTM 358.1m)
FCF Yield = 5.45% (FCF TTM 358.1m / Enterprise Value 6.57b)
FCF Margin = 10.69% (FCF TTM 358.1m / Revenue TTM 3.35b)
Net Margin = 2.68% (Net Income TTM 89.8m / Revenue TTM 3.35b)
Gross Margin = 30.98% ((Revenue TTM 3.35b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.31b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.03% (prev 6.07%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.17 (Enterprise Value 6.57b / Total Assets 3.03b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.08% (Interest Expense 27.2m / Debt 2.53b)
Taxrate = 34.51% (76.5m / 221.7m)
NOPAT = 246.7m (EBIT 376.7m * (1 - 34.51%))
Current Ratio = 1.35 (Total Current Assets 1.26b / Total Current Liabilities 932.4m)
Debt / Equity = -5.05 (negative equity) (Debt 2.53b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -500.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.62 (Net Debt 2.52b / EBITDA 448.6m)
Debt / FCF = 7.04 (Net Debt 2.52b / FCF TTM 358.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -329.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.89% (Net Income 89.8m / Total Assets 3.03b)
RoE = -27.23% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 89.8m / Total Stockholder Equity -329.8m)
RoCE = 19.62% (EBIT 376.7m / Capital Employed (Equity -329.8m + L.T.Debt 2.25b))
RoIC = 12.26% (NOPAT 246.7m / Invested Capital 2.01b)
WACC = 5.30% (E(4.05b)/V(6.58b) * Re(8.17%) + D(2.53b)/V(6.58b) * Rd(1.08%) * (1-Tc(0.35)))
Discount Rate = 8.17% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.05%
[DCF] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈410.9m ; Y1≈269.7m ; Y5≈123.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 24.16 (EV 3.92b - Net Debt 2.52b = Equity 1.40b / Shares 58.0m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -39.99% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -17.91 | EPS CAGR: -29.02% | SUE: 0.93 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -32.77 | Revenue CAGR: -33.95% | SUE: -0.09 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.86 | Chg7d=+0.002 | Chg30d=-0.202 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=4.28 | Chg7d=+0.001 | Chg30d=-0.021 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+14.5% | Growth Revenue=-3.0%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=4.87 | Chg7d=+0.014 | Chg30d=-0.063 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+13.8% | Growth Revenue=+2.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.43 (2 Up / 5 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 4.2% (Discount Rate 8.2% - Earnings Yield 4.0%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -2.1% (Analyst 2.1% - Implied 4.2%)

Additional Sources for SMG Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle