(SMG) Scotts Miracle-Gro - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US8101861065
Stock: Lawn Care, Fertilizer, Seeds, Hydroponics, Pest Control
Total Rating 41
Risk 88
Buy Signal 0.51
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.47% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.64% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 0.77% |
| Payout Consistency | 90.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 89.5% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 40.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.4% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.03 |
| Alpha | -15.77 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.952 |
| Beta Downside | 1.020 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 48.26% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.04 |
Description: SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro January 10, 2026
The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (NYSE:SMG) manufactures and markets a broad portfolio of lawn, garden and indoor-hydroponic products under brands such as Scotts, Miracle-Gro, Ortho and AeroGarden. Its offerings span traditional fertilizers, seed and pest-control items to high-tech hydroponic lighting and nutrient systems, sold through big-box retailers, e-commerce sites and specialty growers worldwide. The firm, founded in 1868 and based in Marysville, Ohio, operates primarily in the Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals sub-industry.
Key recent metrics: SMG generated roughly $5.0 billion in revenue for FY 2023, with a 7 % YoY increase driven by strong demand for premium lawn care and a 12 % rise in its hydroponics segment (≈$300 million). The business benefits from macro-drivers such as higher consumer spending on home improvement (U.S. home-center sales up ~5 % YoY) and a secular shift toward indoor gardening, which has grown at a CAGR of ~15 % since 2020. Conversely, exposure to volatile fertilizer input costs and regulatory scrutiny of weed-killer products (e.g., Roundup litigation) adds downside risk.
For a deeper dive into SMG’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a concise, data-driven overview.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income: 89.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -9.38 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 9.69% < 20% (prev 16.90%; Δ -7.21% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 371.3m > Net Income 89.8m |
| Net Debt (2.52b) to EBITDA (448.6m): 5.62 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.35 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (57.9m) vs 12m ago 1.05% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 30.98% > 18% (prev 0.25%; Δ 3073 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 108.0% > 50% (prev 112.3%; Δ -4.25% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.08 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 448.6m / Interest Expense TTM 122.3m) |
Altman Z'' 1.99
| A: 0.11 (Total Current Assets 1.26b - Total Current Liabilities 932.4m) / Total Assets 3.03b |
| B: 0.10 (Retained Earnings 294.7m / Total Assets 3.03b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 376.7m / Avg Total Assets 3.10b) |
| D: 0.15 (Book Value of Equity 536.6m / Total Liabilities 3.53b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.99 = BBB |
Beneish M -3.40
| DSRI: 0.96 (Receivables 193.8m/213.6m, Revenue 3.35b/3.56b) |
| GMI: 0.80 (GM 30.98% / 24.81%) |
| AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.38 / AQ_t-1 0.40) |
| SGI: 0.94 (Revenue 3.35b / 3.56b) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI 89.8m - CFO 371.3m) / TA 3.03b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.40 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of SMG shares?
As of February 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 65.04 with a total of 1,097,847 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.58%, over one month by +7.86%, over three months by +17.57% and over the past year by -2.16%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.58%, over one month by +7.86%, over three months by +17.57% and over the past year by -2.16%.
Is SMG a buy, sell or hold?
Scotts Miracle-Gro has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.36.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy SMG.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SMG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 73.2 | 12.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 73.2 | 12.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 73.1 | 12.5% |
SMG Fundamental Data Overview January 31, 2026
P/E Trailing = 22.9544
P/E Forward = 15.1057
P/S = 1.1158
P/B = 18.9789
P/EG = 0.2666
Revenue TTM = 3.35b USD
EBIT TTM = 376.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 448.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.05b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 278.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.53b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.52b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.32b USD (3.79b + Debt 2.53b - CCE 8.30m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.08 (Ebit TTM 376.7m / Interest Expense TTM 122.3m)
EV/FCF = 23.06x (Enterprise Value 6.32b / FCF TTM 273.9m)
FCF Yield = 4.34% (FCF TTM 273.9m / Enterprise Value 6.32b)
FCF Margin = 8.17% (FCF TTM 273.9m / Revenue TTM 3.35b)
Net Margin = 2.68% (Net Income TTM 89.8m / Revenue TTM 3.35b)
Gross Margin = 30.98% ((Revenue TTM 3.35b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.31b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.03% (prev 6.07%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.08 (Enterprise Value 6.32b / Total Assets 3.03b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.08% (Interest Expense 27.2m / Debt 2.53b)
Taxrate = 34.51% (76.5m / 221.7m)
NOPAT = 246.7m (EBIT 376.7m * (1 - 34.51%))
Current Ratio = 1.35 (Total Current Assets 1.26b / Total Current Liabilities 932.4m)
Debt / Equity = -5.05 (negative equity) (Debt 2.53b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -500.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.62 (Net Debt 2.52b / EBITDA 448.6m)
Debt / FCF = 9.20 (Net Debt 2.52b / FCF TTM 273.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -329.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.89% (Net Income 89.8m / Total Assets 3.03b)
RoE = -27.23% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 89.8m / Total Stockholder Equity -329.8m)
RoCE = 21.91% (EBIT 376.7m / Capital Employed (Equity -329.8m + L.T.Debt 2.05b))
RoIC = 12.29% (NOPAT 246.7m / Invested Capital 2.01b)
WACC = 5.93% (E(3.79b)/V(6.32b) * Re(9.42%) + D(2.53b)/V(6.32b) * Rd(1.08%) * (1-Tc(0.35)))
Discount Rate = 9.42% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.63% ; FCFF base≈397.7m ; Y1≈261.1m ; Y5≈119.1m
Fair Price DCF = 21.28 (EV 3.75b - Net Debt 2.52b = Equity 1.23b / Shares 58.0m; r=5.93% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: -17.91 | EPS CAGR: -29.02% | SUE: 0.93 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -32.77 | Revenue CAGR: -33.95% | SUE: -0.09 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=3.99 | Chg30d=-0.003 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=4.28 | Chg30d=-0.033 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+14.5% | Growth Revenue=-3.0%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=4.86 | Chg30d=-0.135 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+13.5% | Growth Revenue=+2.4%
P/E Forward = 15.1057
P/S = 1.1158
P/B = 18.9789
P/EG = 0.2666
Revenue TTM = 3.35b USD
EBIT TTM = 376.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 448.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.05b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 278.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.53b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.52b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.32b USD (3.79b + Debt 2.53b - CCE 8.30m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.08 (Ebit TTM 376.7m / Interest Expense TTM 122.3m)
EV/FCF = 23.06x (Enterprise Value 6.32b / FCF TTM 273.9m)
FCF Yield = 4.34% (FCF TTM 273.9m / Enterprise Value 6.32b)
FCF Margin = 8.17% (FCF TTM 273.9m / Revenue TTM 3.35b)
Net Margin = 2.68% (Net Income TTM 89.8m / Revenue TTM 3.35b)
Gross Margin = 30.98% ((Revenue TTM 3.35b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.31b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.03% (prev 6.07%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.08 (Enterprise Value 6.32b / Total Assets 3.03b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.08% (Interest Expense 27.2m / Debt 2.53b)
Taxrate = 34.51% (76.5m / 221.7m)
NOPAT = 246.7m (EBIT 376.7m * (1 - 34.51%))
Current Ratio = 1.35 (Total Current Assets 1.26b / Total Current Liabilities 932.4m)
Debt / Equity = -5.05 (negative equity) (Debt 2.53b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -500.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.62 (Net Debt 2.52b / EBITDA 448.6m)
Debt / FCF = 9.20 (Net Debt 2.52b / FCF TTM 273.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -329.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.89% (Net Income 89.8m / Total Assets 3.03b)
RoE = -27.23% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 89.8m / Total Stockholder Equity -329.8m)
RoCE = 21.91% (EBIT 376.7m / Capital Employed (Equity -329.8m + L.T.Debt 2.05b))
RoIC = 12.29% (NOPAT 246.7m / Invested Capital 2.01b)
WACC = 5.93% (E(3.79b)/V(6.32b) * Re(9.42%) + D(2.53b)/V(6.32b) * Rd(1.08%) * (1-Tc(0.35)))
Discount Rate = 9.42% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.63% ; FCFF base≈397.7m ; Y1≈261.1m ; Y5≈119.1m
Fair Price DCF = 21.28 (EV 3.75b - Net Debt 2.52b = Equity 1.23b / Shares 58.0m; r=5.93% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: -17.91 | EPS CAGR: -29.02% | SUE: 0.93 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -32.77 | Revenue CAGR: -33.95% | SUE: -0.09 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=3.99 | Chg30d=-0.003 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=4.28 | Chg30d=-0.033 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+14.5% | Growth Revenue=-3.0%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=4.86 | Chg30d=-0.135 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+13.5% | Growth Revenue=+2.4%