(SNAP) Snap - Ratings and Ratios
Snapchat, Spectacles, Subscription, Advertising, AR
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 56.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 81.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.88% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.50 |
| Alpha | -55.98 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.09 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.486 |
| Beta | 1.594 |
| Beta Downside | 1.414 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 59.94% |
| Mean DD | 30.26% |
| Median DD | 33.52% |
Description: SNAP Snap October 30, 2025
Snap Inc. (NYSE: SNAP) is a North-American-based technology firm that runs Snapchat, a visual-messaging platform featuring camera, Stories, Snap Map, Spotlight, and a paid tier called Snapchat+. The company also sells Spectacles smart-glasses and monetizes its ecosystem through a suite of advertising formats, including AR lenses, video, collection, and dynamic ads. Snap rebranded from Snapchat, Inc. in September 2016 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, California.
Key recent metrics: as of Q2 2024 Snap reported ~414 million daily active users (DAU), a 5 % YoY increase, while revenue grew 14 % YoY to $1.38 billion, driven largely by higher AR ad spend and a 12 % rise in average revenue per user (ARPU). The platform’s growth is sensitive to overall digital advertising budgets, which have been pressured by slower consumer spending and higher interest rates; however, the shift toward short-form video and immersive ad experiences remains a sector tailwind that benefits Snap relative to legacy display networks.
For a deeper, data-driven valuation perspective, you may find ValueRay’s analytical tools useful for modeling Snap’s forward-looking cash flows and scenario analysis.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (-496.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 346.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.52pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 56.40% (prev 66.84%; Δ -10.43pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 617.2m > Net Income -496.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 3.67 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.70b) change vs 12m ago 2.02% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 54.29% (prev 53.07%; Δ 1.21pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 76.10% (prev 68.04%; Δ 8.06pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -4.20 (EBITDA TTM -223.7m / Interest Expense TTM 91.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -6.12
| (A) 0.43 = (Total Current Assets 4.48b - Total Current Liabilities 1.22b) / Total Assets 7.58b |
| (B) -1.81 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -13.74b / Total Assets 7.58b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.81 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.05 = EBIT TTM -383.5m / Avg Total Assets 7.58b |
| (D) -2.56 = Book Value of Equity -13.72b / Total Liabilities 5.35b |
| Total Rating: -6.12 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 41.69
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.88% |
| 3. FCF Margin 7.17% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.86 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -14.31 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -15.83)% |
| 7. RoE -21.93% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 67.22% |
| 9. EPS Trend 8.94% |
What is the price of SNAP shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.10%, over one month by -7.59%, over three months by +11.22% and over the past year by -35.76%.
Is SNAP a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 32
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the SNAP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 9.9 | 23.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 9.9 | 23.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 7.3 | -8.6% |
SNAP Fundamental Data Overview November 25, 2025
P/E Forward = 18.315
P/S = 2.2906
P/B = 5.9361
P/EG = 496.0591
Beta = 0.85
Revenue TTM = 5.77b USD
EBIT TTM = -383.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = -223.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.49b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 90.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.15b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.20b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 14.38b USD (13.22b + Debt 4.15b - CCE 2.99b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -4.20 (Ebit TTM -383.5m / Interest Expense TTM 91.3m)
FCF Yield = 2.88% (FCF TTM 414.0m / Enterprise Value 14.38b)
FCF Margin = 7.17% (FCF TTM 414.0m / Revenue TTM 5.77b)
Net Margin = -8.60% (Net Income TTM -496.6m / Revenue TTM 5.77b)
Gross Margin = 54.29% ((Revenue TTM 5.77b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.64b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 55.26% (prev 51.42%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.90 (Enterprise Value 14.38b / Total Assets 7.58b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.83% (Interest Expense 34.5m / Debt 4.15b)
Taxrate = -0.49% (negative due to tax credits) (510.0k / -103.0m)
NOPAT = -385.4m (EBIT -383.5m * (1 - -0.49%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 3.67 (Total Current Assets 4.48b / Total Current Liabilities 1.22b)
Debt / Equity = 1.86 (Debt 4.15b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.23b)
Debt / EBITDA = -14.31 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 3.20b / EBITDA -223.7m)
Debt / FCF = 7.73 (Net Debt 3.20b / FCF TTM 414.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.26b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -6.55% (Net Income -496.6m / Total Assets 7.58b)
RoE = -21.93% (Net Income TTM -496.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.26b)
RoCE = -6.66% (EBIT -383.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.26b + L.T.Debt 3.49b))
RoIC = -6.58% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -385.4m / Invested Capital 5.86b)
WACC = 9.25% (E(13.22b)/V(17.38b) * Re(11.89%) + D(4.15b)/V(17.38b) * Rd(0.83%) * (1-Tc(-0.00)))
Discount Rate = 11.89% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 1.75%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 55.31% ; FCFE base≈307.3m ; Y1≈201.7m ; Y5≈92.3m
Fair Price DCF = 0.75 (DCF Value 1.10b / Shares Outstanding 1.47b; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 8.94 | EPS CAGR: -18.96% | SUE: 1.71 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 67.22 | Revenue CAGR: 4.06% | SUE: 0.45 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.08 | Chg30d=+0.019 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=20
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.20 | Chg30d=+0.136 | Revisions Net=+22 | Growth EPS=+41.5% | Growth Revenue=+14.3%
Additional Sources for SNAP Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle