(SOC) Sable Offshore - Overview

Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Drilling | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 2.261m USD | Total Return: -41.4% in 12m

Crude Oil, Natural Gas
Total Rating 27
Safety 43
Buy Signal -0.50
Oil & Gas Drilling
Industry Rotation: -21.0
Market Cap: 2.26B
Avg Turnover: 44.4M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility88.2%
VaR 5th Pctl13.8%
VaR vs Median-6.23%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.25
Rel. Str. IBD78.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group60.8
Character TTM
Beta2.564
Beta Downside2.129
Hurst Exponent0.500
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD87.52%
CAGR/Max DD0.11
CAGR/Mean DD0.42

Warnings

Share dilution 16.3% YoY

Interest Coverage Ratio -3.9 is critical

Altman Z'' -7.50 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Choppy Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Confidence

Description: SOC Sable Offshore

Sable Offshore Corp. (SOC) is a Houston-based independent energy company focused on the exploration and production of oil and gas in U.S. federal waters. Its core infrastructure includes three offshore platforms and 16 federal leases covering approximately 76,000 acres off the coast of California. The company maintains integrated midstream assets, including subsea pipelines designed to transport crude oil, natural gas, and produced water to onshore processing facilities.

The offshore exploration and production sector is characterized by high capital intensity and complex regulatory requirements, particularly for operations in federal waters. Sable Offshore Corp. operates under a business model that integrates extraction with dedicated transport infrastructure to manage the logistical challenges of offshore-to-onshore energy delivery. For further analysis of the companys valuation metrics, consider reviewing the data available on ValueRay.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Restart of Santa Ynez Unit production drives initial revenue generation
  • Regulatory approval for pipeline restart remains critical for operational viability
  • California environmental litigation poses significant risk to production timelines
  • High fixed costs require sustained oil price levels for profitability
  • Successful integration of acquired ExxonMobil assets determines future cash flow potential
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 1.0
Net Income: -497.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.37 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -16.65 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -78.1k% < 20% (prev 517.5%; Δ -78.6k% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.22 > 3% & CFO -386.2m > Net Income -497.6m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 0.08 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (98.2m) vs 12m ago 16.28% < -2%
Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin)
Asset Turnover: 0.08% > 50% (prev 1.21%; Δ -1.14% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -3.90 > 6 (EBIT TTM -395.0m / Interest Expense TTM 101.3m)
Altman Z'' -7.50
A: -0.57 (Total Current Assets 85.0m - Total Current Liabilities 1.08b) / Total Assets 1.73b
B: -0.75 (Retained Earnings -1.31b / Total Assets 1.73b)
C: -0.24 (EBIT TTM -395.0m / Avg Total Assets 1.65b)
D: 0.32 (Book Value of Equity 421.9m / Total Liabilities 1.31b)
Altman-Z'' = -7.50 = D
What is the price of SOC shares?

As of June 05, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 13.54 with a total of 2,394,081 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.83%, over one month by -6.62%, over three months by +34.19% and over the past year by -41.39%.

Is SOC a buy, sell or hold?

Sable Offshore has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.80. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SOC.

  • StrongBuy: 4
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the SOC price?
Analysts Target Price 27.7 104.4%
Sable Offshore (SOC) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 01 June 2026
Market Cap USD = 2.26b (2.26b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 13.8122
P/S = 1779.2421
P/B = 5.3605
Revenue TTM = 1.27m USD
EBIT TTM = -395.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = -381.2m USD
 Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Short Term Debt = 956.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 23.2m USD (Leases only: 23.2m)
Net Debt = -28.9m USD (calculated: Debt 23.2m - CCE 52.2m)
Enterprise Value = 2.23b USD (2.26b + Debt 23.2m - CCE 52.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -3.90 (Ebit TTM -395.0m / Interest Expense TTM 101.3m)
EV/FCF = -3.53x (Enterprise Value 2.23b / FCF TTM -631.9m)
FCF Yield = -28.30% (FCF TTM -631.9m / Enterprise Value 2.23b)
 FCF Margin = -49.7k% (FCF TTM -631.9m / Revenue TTM 1.27m)
 Net Margin = -39.2k% (Net Income TTM -497.6m / Revenue TTM 1.27m)
 Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 1.27m - Cost of Revenue TTM 79.1m) / Revenue TTM)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.29 (Enterprise Value 2.23b / Total Assets 1.73b)
 Interest Expense / Debt = 435.9% (Interest Expense 101.3m / Debt 23.2m)
 Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -312.0m (EBIT -395.0m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.08 (Total Current Assets 85.0m / Total Current Liabilities 1.08b)
Debt / Equity = 0.06 (Debt 23.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 421.9m)
 Debt / EBITDA = 0.08 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -28.9m / EBITDA -381.2m)
 Debt / FCF = 0.05 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -28.9m / FCF TTM -631.9m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 437.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -30.23% (Net Income -497.6m / Total Assets 1.73b)
RoE = -113.8% (Net Income TTM -497.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 437.5m)
RoCE = -60.57% (EBIT -395.0m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 1.73b - Current Liab 1.08b))
 RoIC = -47.85% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -312.0m / Invested Capital 652.0m)
 WACC = 14.85% (E(2.26b)/V(2.28b) * Re(15.0%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 15.0% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 92.01 | Cagr: 42.23%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -631.9m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.81 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.09 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.52 | Chg30d=+87.93% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.85 | Chg30d=+51.79% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.06 | Chg30d=+27.71% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+125.4% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.99 | Chg30d=+14.85% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+182.1% | GrowthRev=+27.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +33%