(SPH) Suburban Propane Partners - Ratings and Ratios
Propane, Fuel Oil, Refined Fuels, Natural Gas, Electricity
SPH EPS (Earnings per Share)
SPH Revenue
Description: SPH Suburban Propane Partners
Suburban Propane Partners LP (NYSE:SPH) is a leading energy provider in the United States, specializing in the distribution of propane, renewable propane, fuel oil, and refined fuels to a diverse customer base across residential, commercial, industrial, and agricultural sectors. The companys comprehensive service portfolio includes retail marketing, distribution, and wholesale supply of energy products, as well as the sale, installation, and maintenance of home comfort equipment. With a strong presence on the east and west coasts, as well as in the midwest and Alaska, Suburban Propane Partners LP has established itself as a reliable energy solutions provider.
By analyzing the companys operational segments, it becomes clear that Suburban Propane Partners LP has a diversified revenue stream. The Propane segment is a significant contributor, catering to various industries and households that rely on propane for heating, cooking, and other applications. The Fuel Oil and Refined Fuels segment serves residential and commercial customers, primarily for heating purposes. Additionally, the Natural Gas and Electricity segment allows the company to capitalize on deregulated energy markets in specific regions. The All Other segment provides opportunities for cross-selling and upselling of home comfort equipment and services, further enhancing customer relationships and revenue potential.
From a technical analysis perspective, the stocks current price is $18.17, with a 20-day SMA at $18.74 and a 50-day SMA at $19.35, indicating a potential downward trend. The ATR of 0.51 (2.80%) suggests moderate volatility. Given the 52-week high and low of $21.84 and $15.86, respectively, the stock is currently trading near the lower end of its recent range. Using this technical data, a potential forecast could be that the stock may continue to consolidate around its current levels or potentially break out if it can surpass the 20-day SMA.
Fundamental analysis reveals a market capitalization of $1.242 billion and a P/E ratio of 13.19, indicating a relatively undervalued stock compared to its earnings. The forward P/E of 16.61 suggests expected growth. With an RoE of 32.89%, the company demonstrates strong profitability. By combining these fundamental insights with the technical analysis, a forecast can be made that Suburban Propane Partners LP may experience a moderate increase in stock price as it approaches the 20-day SMA, driven by its solid earnings and relatively stable market presence.
Based on the analysis, a potential trading strategy could involve monitoring the stocks price action around the 20-day SMA and considering a long position if it breaks out above this level, with a target price near the 50-day SMA. Conversely, if the stock continues to trade below its current levels, a more cautious approach may be warranted, with a potential stop-loss around the 52-week low.
SPH Stock Overview
Market Cap in USD | 1,204m |
Sub-Industry | Gas Utilities |
IPO / Inception | 1996-02-29 |
SPH Stock Ratings
Growth Rating | 71.7 |
Fundamental | 61.7% |
Dividend Rating | 66.1 |
Rel. Strength | -6.79 |
Analysts | 3.00 of 5 |
Fair Price Momentum | 20.38 USD |
Fair Price DCF | 20.56 USD |
SPH Dividends
Dividend Yield 12m | 7.10% |
Yield on Cost 5y | 14.32% |
Annual Growth 5y | -6.30% |
Payout Consistency | 95.5% |
Payout Ratio | 66.1% |
SPH Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | -29.5% |
Growth Correlation 12m | 55.3% |
Growth Correlation 5y | 93.1% |
CAGR 5y | 15.19% |
CAGR/Max DD 5y | 0.75 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.35 |
Alpha | 4.45 |
Beta | 0.494 |
Volatility | 28.73% |
Current Volume | 79.7k |
Average Volume 20d | 125.6k |
Stop Loss | 17.8 (-3.4%) |
Signal | -1.54 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
Net Income (97.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 85.8m TTM) |
FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.17pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
NWC/Revenue -5.27% (prev -6.52%; Δ 1.24pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 181.2m > Net Income 97.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
Net Debt (1.34b) to EBITDA (246.2m) ratio: 5.46 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
Current Ratio 0.70 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (65.4m) change vs 12m ago 1.53% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
Gross Margin 50.55% (prev 41.79%; Δ 8.76pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
Asset Turnover 62.19% (prev 58.90%; Δ 3.28pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
Interest Coverage Ratio 2.27 (EBITDA TTM 246.2m / Interest Expense TTM 77.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.77
(A) -0.03 = (Total Current Assets 175.2m - Total Current Liabilities 250.6m) / Total Assets 2.31b |
(B) 0.02 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 45.4m / Total Assets 2.31b |
(C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 175.2m / Avg Total Assets 2.30b |
(D) 0.39 = Book Value of Equity 646.1m / Total Liabilities 1.67b |
Total Rating: 0.77 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 61.67
1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0 |
2. FCF Yield 4.24% = 2.12 |
3. FCF Margin 7.30% = 1.82 |
4. Debt/Equity 1.95 = 0.85 |
5. Debt/Ebitda 5.12 = -2.50 |
6. ROIC - WACC 4.74% = 5.92 |
7. RoE 16.12% = 1.34 |
8. Rev. Trend 4.68% = 0.23 |
9. Rev. CAGR 3.06% = 0.38 |
10. EPS Trend data missing |
11. EPS CAGR 35.76% = 2.50 |
What is the price of SPH shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.67%, over one month by +2.30%, over three months by -2.75% and over the past year by +9.65%.
Is Suburban Propane Partners a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of SPH is around 20.38 USD . This means that SPH is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +10.58% (Margin of Safety).
Is SPH a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the SPH price?
Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | 17 | -7.8% |
Analysts Target Price | 17 | -7.8% |
ValueRay Target Price | 21.9 | 18.9% |
Last update: 2025-08-14 02:52
SPH Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 4.63m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 12.4257
P/E Forward = 16.6113
P/S = 0.8421
P/B = 1.8635
P/EG = 1.2448
Beta = 0.141
Revenue TTM = 1.43b USD
EBIT TTM = 175.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 246.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.23b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 35.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.26b USD (Calculated: Short Term 35.1m + Long Term 1.23b)
Net Debt = 1.34b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.46b USD (1.20b + Debt 1.26b - CCE 4.63m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.27 (Ebit TTM 175.2m / Interest Expense TTM 77.1m)
FCF Yield = 4.24% (FCF TTM 104.3m / Enterprise Value 2.46b)
FCF Margin = 7.30% (FCF TTM 104.3m / Revenue TTM 1.43b)
Net Margin = 6.79% (Net Income TTM 97.1m / Revenue TTM 1.43b)
Gross Margin = 50.55% ((Revenue TTM 1.43b - Cost of Revenue TTM 707.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.81 (Enterprise Value 2.46b / Book Value Of Equity 646.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.50% (Interest Expense 18.9m / Debt 1.26b)
Taxrate = 0.98% (from yearly Income Tax Expense: 734.0k / 74.9m)
NOPAT = 173.5m (EBIT 175.2m * (1 - 0.98%))
Current Ratio = 0.70 (Total Current Assets 175.2m / Total Current Liabilities 250.6m)
Debt / Equity = 1.95 (Debt 1.26b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 646.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.12 (Net Debt 1.34b / EBITDA 246.2m)
Debt / FCF = 12.08 (Debt 1.26b / FCF TTM 104.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 602.5m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 4.20% (Net Income 97.1m, Total Assets 2.31b )
RoE = 16.12% (Net Income TTM 97.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 602.5m)
RoCE = 9.59% (Ebit 175.2m / (Equity 602.5m + L.T.Debt 1.23b))
RoIC = 9.33% (NOPAT 173.5m / Invested Capital 1.86b)
WACC = 4.59% (E(1.20b)/V(2.46b) * Re(7.84%)) + (D(1.26b)/V(2.46b) * Rd(1.50%) * (1-Tc(0.01)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.65%
Discount Rate = 7.84% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.59% ; FCFE base≈114.5m ; Y1≈96.8m ; Y5≈73.5m
Fair Price DCF = 20.56 (DCF Value 1.35b / Shares Outstanding 65.5m; 5y FCF grow -18.69% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: 4.68 | Revenue CAGR: 3.06%
Revenue Growth Correlation: 65.11%
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: 35.76%
EPS Growth Correlation: 14.56%
Additional Sources for SPH Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle