(SPIR) Spire Global - Overview
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Specialty Business Services | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 954m USD | Total Return: 114.3% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 31.3M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -40.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Share dilution 24.2% YoY
High Debt/EBITDA (709.2) with thin interest coverage (-13.1)
High Debt while negative Cash Flow
Interest Coverage Ratio -13.1 is critical
Beneish M-Score 1.00 > -1.5 - likely earnings manipulation
Altman Z'' -15.00 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
Rs Leader, Idiosyncratic Leader, Tailwind, Pullback 52w, Confidence
Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) operates a space-to-cloud data and analytics business utilizing a constellation of multipurpose nanosatellites. The company employs a subscription-based model to deliver proprietary data across four primary segments: maritime and aviation tracking, weather forecasting, and space-as-a-service infrastructure. By leveraging a low-earth orbit (LEO) network, Spire provides global coverage for government and commercial clients in sectors such as defense, logistics, and energy.
The satellite data industry is characterized by high high fixed costs for orbital deployment but benefits from low marginal costs for data distribution once the constellation is operational. Spire’s Space Services model allows third parties to deploy sensors or software on existing satellite buses, reducing the capital barriers to entry for orbital research. For a deeper dive into the companys fundamentals and valuation metrics, consider reviewing the detailed reports on ValueRay. Spire Global was founded in 2012 and maintains its headquarters in Vienna, Virginia.
- High-margin subscription revenue growth from government defense and intelligence contracts
- Expansion of Space Services infrastructure drives recurring maritime and aviation data sales
- Federal regulatory shifts impact satellite deployment timelines and orbital frequency licensing
- High research and development costs challenge path toward consistent GAAP profitability
- Geopolitical instability increases demand for real-time tactical weather and reconnaissance analytics
| Net Income: -91.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 23.95 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -6.00k% < 20% (prev -53.81%; Δ -5.95k% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.00 > 3% & CFO -59.8m > Net Income -91.3m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 0.94 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (33.3m) vs 12m ago 29.40% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 38.36% > 18% (prev 0.36%; Δ 3.80k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 0.07% > 50% (prev 57.06%; Δ -56.98% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -13.09 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -58.7m / Interest Expense TTM 5.73m) |
| A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 64.4b - Total Current Liabilities 68.5b) / Total Assets 183b |
| B: -2.81 (Retained Earnings -513b / Total Assets 183b) |
| C: -0.00 (EBIT TTM -75.1m / Avg Total Assets 91.5b) |
| D: -5.66 (Book Value of Equity -518b / Total Liabilities 91.7b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -15.24 = D |
| DSRI: 853.4 (Receivables 7.04b/13.4m, Revenue 68.2m/110.5m) |
| GMI: 0.94 (GM 38.36% / 36.12%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.14 / AQ_t-1 0.14) |
| SGI: 0.62 (Revenue 68.2m / 110.5m) |
| TATA: -0.00 (NI -91.3m - CFO -59.8m) / TA 183b) |
| Beneish M = 698.2 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of May 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 22.84 with a total of 1,342,276 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +18.90%,
over one month by +44.47%,
over three months by +158.08% and
over the past year by +114.26%.
Spire Global has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.60. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SPIR.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 20.4 | -10.8% |
P/E Trailing = 15.4969
P/S = 15.037
P/B = 8.9812
Revenue TTM = 68.2m USD
EBIT TTM = -75.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = -58.7m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = 4.64m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 7.85b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 11.8m
Net Debt = -41.6b USD (calculated: Debt 7.85b - CCE 49.5b)
Enterprise Value = 953.9m USD (floored to Market Cap, CCE > MCap+Debt)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -13.09 (Ebit TTM -75.1m / Interest Expense TTM 5.73m)
EV/FCF = -10.30x (Enterprise Value 953.9m / FCF TTM -92.6m)
FCF Yield = -9.71% (FCF TTM -92.6m / Enterprise Value 953.9m)
FCF Margin = -135.8% (FCF TTM -92.6m / Revenue TTM 68.2m)
Net Margin = -133.8% (Net Income TTM -91.3m / Revenue TTM 68.2m)
Gross Margin = 38.36% ((Revenue TTM 68.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 42.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.82% (prev 40.64%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.01 (Enterprise Value 953.9m / Total Assets 183b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.07% (Interest Expense 5.73m / Debt 7.85b)
Taxrate = 6.58% (3.61m / 54.9m)
NOPAT = -70.1m (EBIT -75.1m * (1 - 6.58%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.94 (Total Current Assets 64.4b / Total Current Liabilities 68.5b)
Debt / Equity = 0.09 (Debt 7.85b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 91.2b)
Debt / EBITDA = 709.2 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -41.6b / EBITDA -58.7m)
Debt / FCF = 449.3 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -41.6b / FCF TTM -92.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 22.9b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.10% (Net Income -91.3m / Total Assets 183b)
RoE = -0.02% (Net Income TTM -91.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 536b)
RoCE = -0.07% (EBIT -75.1m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 183b - Current Liab 68.5b))
RoIC = -0.06% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -70.1m / Invested Capital 114b)
WACC = 1.73% (E(953.9m)/V(8.80b) * Re(15.41%) + D(7.85b)/V(8.80b) * Rd(0.07%) * (1-Tc(0.07)))
Discount Rate = 15.41% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 100.00 | Cagr: 22.81%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -92.6m)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.10 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -40.72 | Revenue CAGR: -6.86% | SUE: 0.14 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.27 | Chg30d=+26.39% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.15 | Chg30d=+40.00% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.88 | Chg30d=+30.83% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+55.1% | GrowthRev=+11.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.25 | Chg30d=+56.52% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+71.4% | GrowthRev=+23.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +20%