(SPR) Spirit Aerosystems Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Fuselage Assemblies, Wing Structures, Nacelles, Flight Control Surfaces, Spare Parts
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 25.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 35.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -16.49% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.37 |
| Alpha | -1.84 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.17 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.496 |
| Beta | 0.778 |
| Beta Downside | 0.834 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 61.23% |
| Mean DD | 16.73% |
| Median DD | 13.60% |
Description: SPR Spirit Aerosystems Holdings November 07, 2025
Spirit AeroSystems Holdings (NYSE: SPR) designs, engineers, manufactures and markets commercial aerostructures and operates through three segments: Commercial (fuselage sections, wing structures, flight-control surfaces for jet programs), Defense & Space (missile, hypersonic, rotorcraft and classified aerospace components for U.S. government contracts) and Aftermarket (MRO, spare-parts, repair, leasing and engineering services for both civil and defense customers). The firm traces its roots to 1927 and is headquartered in Wichita, Kansas.
Key quantitative drivers: (1) FY 2023 revenue of roughly $5.5 billion, with a backlog exceeding $30 billion-about 5 years of work at current spend rates, underscoring revenue visibility; (2) the Commercial segment derives > 70 % of revenue from Boeing programs (737 MAX, 777X, 787), making SPR highly sensitive to Boeing’s production ramp-up and any supply-chain disruptions; (3) Defense & Space revenue grew ~ 9 % YoY in 2023, buoyed by increased U.S. defense spending on hypersonics and missile modernization, a sector that historically expands at 3-4 % annually regardless of airline cycles.
For a deeper, data-rich view of SPR’s valuation dynamics and scenario analysis, you may find ValueRay’s platform a useful next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (-2.60b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 383.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.13 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 5.60pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -27.13% (prev 7.74%; Δ -34.87pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO -613.8m > Net Income -2.60b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 0.68 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (117.6m) change vs 12m ago 0.34% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin -27.68% (prev -9.63%; Δ -18.05pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 97.21% (prev 91.90%; Δ 5.31pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -5.57 (EBITDA TTM -1.93b / Interest Expense TTM 393.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -6.32
| (A) -0.28 = (Total Current Assets 3.73b - Total Current Liabilities 5.46b) / Total Assets 6.10b |
| (B) -0.57 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -3.49b / Total Assets 6.10b |
| (C) -0.33 = EBIT TTM -2.19b / Avg Total Assets 6.58b |
| (D) -0.33 = Book Value of Equity -3.54b / Total Liabilities 10.62b |
| Total Rating: -6.32 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 37.93
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -8.64% |
| 3. FCF Margin -12.56% |
| 4. Debt/Equity -1.21 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -2.69 |
| 7. RoE 73.52% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 81.13% |
| 9. EPS Trend -72.50% |
What is the price of SPR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.50%, over one month by -8.95%, over three months by -13.44% and over the past year by +11.07%.
Is SPR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SPR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 38.2 | 5.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 38.2 | 5.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 35.7 | -1.1% |
SPR Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
P/E Forward = 69.9301
P/S = 0.6426
P/B = 10.9289
P/EG = 1.3
Beta = 1.118
Revenue TTM = 6.39b USD
EBIT TTM = -2.19b USD
EBITDA TTM = -1.93b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.95b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.45b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.49b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.19b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.30b USD (4.11b + Debt 5.49b - CCE 299.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -5.57 (Ebit TTM -2.19b / Interest Expense TTM 393.6m)
FCF Yield = -8.64% (FCF TTM -803.1m / Enterprise Value 9.30b)
FCF Margin = -12.56% (FCF TTM -803.1m / Revenue TTM 6.39b)
Net Margin = -40.65% (Net Income TTM -2.60b / Revenue TTM 6.39b)
Gross Margin = -27.68% ((Revenue TTM 6.39b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -39.08% (prev -14.15%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.52 (Enterprise Value 9.30b / Total Assets 6.10b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.72% (Interest Expense 94.5m / Debt 5.49b)
Taxrate = 0.36% (-2.60m / -726.6m)
NOPAT = -2.19b (EBIT -2.19b * (1 - 0.36%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.68 (Total Current Assets 3.73b / Total Current Liabilities 5.46b)
Debt / Equity = -1.21 (negative equity) (Debt 5.49b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -4.52b)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.69 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 5.19b / EBITDA -1.93b)
Debt / FCF = -6.46 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 5.19b / FCF TTM -803.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -3.54b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -42.57% (Net Income -2.60b / Total Assets 6.10b)
RoE = 73.52% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -2.60b / Total Stockholder Equity -3.54b)
RoCE = -532.9% (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -2.19b / Capital Employed (Equity -3.54b + L.T.Debt 3.95b))
RoIC = -126.6% (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT -2.19b / Invested Capital 1.73b)
WACC = 4.78% (E(4.11b)/V(9.60b) * Re(8.88%) + D(5.49b)/V(9.60b) * Rd(1.72%) * (1-Tc(0.00)))
Discount Rate = 8.88% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.60%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -803.1m)
EPS Correlation: -72.50 | EPS CAGR: -58.30% | SUE: -3.23 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 81.13 | Revenue CAGR: 11.05% | SUE: -1.73 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for SPR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle