(SSD) Simpson Manufacturing - Ratings and Ratios
Connectors, Fasteners, Shearwalls, Anchors, Adhesives
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.66% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.19% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 4.39% |
| Payout Consistency | 95.7% |
| Payout Ratio | 14.8% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 31.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 49.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.71% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.26 |
| Alpha | -9.50 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.63 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.470 |
| Beta | 0.823 |
| Beta Downside | 0.666 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 34.40% |
| Mean DD | 13.48% |
| Median DD | 13.77% |
Description: SSD Simpson Manufacturing January 08, 2026
Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. (NYSE:SSD) designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells a broad portfolio of structural connection solutions-including metal connectors, fasteners, pre-fabricated shearwalls, and anchoring systems-for wood, concrete, and steel construction across North America, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific.
The product suite also covers adhesives, mechanical anchors, carbide drill bits, powder-actuated tools, grouts, coatings, sealers, mortars, FRP systems, and asphalt products, complemented by engineering, design, and software services that serve residential, commercial, industrial, infrastructure, remodeling, and DIY markets.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue reached approximately $1.2 billion, with an operating margin of ~9% and a backlog of roughly $500 million, indicating steady demand. The segment’s performance is highly sensitive to U.S. housing starts (which grew 4.5% YoY in Q4 2023) and to commercial-construction spending, which has been buoyed by a 3% annual rise in non-residential construction outlays. Additionally, the shift toward prefabricated and modular building methods-projected to expand at a 6% CAGR through 2028-provides a secular tailwind for Simpson’s engineered-connection products.
For a deeper quantitative dive, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst toolkit, which aggregates sector-level forecasts and company-specific fundamentals in one place.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (344.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 138.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.57pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 40.94% (prev 43.17%; Δ -2.23pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 418.8m > Net Income 344.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (148.5m) to EBITDA (589.2m) ratio: 0.25 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 3.35 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (41.7m) change vs 12m ago -1.49% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 46.02% (prev 45.98%; Δ 0.04pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 77.77% (prev 76.50%; Δ 1.27pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 13.52 (EBITDA TTM 589.2m / Interest Expense TTM 37.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 6.90
| (A) 0.31 = (Total Current Assets 1.35b - Total Current Liabilities 403.3m) / Total Assets 3.05b |
| (B) 0.59 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.80b / Total Assets 3.05b |
| (C) 0.17 = EBIT TTM 501.3m / Avg Total Assets 2.97b |
| (D) 1.72 = Book Value of Equity 1.78b / Total Liabilities 1.03b |
| Total Rating: 6.90 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 76.86
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.25% |
| 3. FCF Margin 10.34% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.22 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.25 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 7.84)% |
| 7. RoE 18.04% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 57.42% |
| 9. EPS Trend 2.25% |
What is the price of SSD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.03%, over one month by +3.88%, over three months by +0.12% and over the past year by +9.53%.
Is SSD a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SSD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 194.8 | 12.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 194.8 | 12.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 198.6 | 14.8% |
SSD Fundamental Data Overview January 09, 2026
P/S = 3.1158
P/B = 3.4044
P/EG = 1.47
Beta = 1.367
Revenue TTM = 2.31b USD
EBIT TTM = 501.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 589.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 346.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 22.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 445.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 148.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.35b USD (7.20b + Debt 445.8m - CCE 297.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.52 (Ebit TTM 501.3m / Interest Expense TTM 37.1m)
FCF Yield = 3.25% (FCF TTM 238.9m / Enterprise Value 7.35b)
FCF Margin = 10.34% (FCF TTM 238.9m / Revenue TTM 2.31b)
Net Margin = 14.90% (Net Income TTM 344.3m / Revenue TTM 2.31b)
Gross Margin = 46.02% ((Revenue TTM 2.31b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.25b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.39% (prev 46.66%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.41 (Enterprise Value 7.35b / Total Assets 3.05b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.45% (Interest Expense 1.99m / Debt 445.8m)
Taxrate = 25.30% (36.4m / 143.8m)
NOPAT = 374.5m (EBIT 501.3m * (1 - 25.30%))
Current Ratio = 3.35 (Total Current Assets 1.35b / Total Current Liabilities 403.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.22 (Debt 445.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.01b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.25 (Net Debt 148.5m / EBITDA 589.2m)
Debt / FCF = 0.62 (Net Debt 148.5m / FCF TTM 238.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.91b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.59% (Net Income 344.3m / Total Assets 3.05b)
RoE = 18.04% (Net Income TTM 344.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.91b)
RoCE = 22.22% (EBIT 501.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.91b + L.T.Debt 346.7m))
RoIC = 16.38% (NOPAT 374.5m / Invested Capital 2.29b)
WACC = 8.54% (E(7.20b)/V(7.65b) * Re(9.05%) + D(445.8m)/V(7.65b) * Rd(0.45%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.05% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.14%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.36% ; FCFF base≈181.4m ; Y1≈192.0m ; Y5≈228.3m
Fair Price DCF = 84.25 (EV 3.64b - Net Debt 148.5m = Equity 3.49b / Shares 41.5m; r=8.54% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 6.46% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 2.25 | EPS CAGR: 7.75% | SUE: -1.11 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 57.42 | Revenue CAGR: 11.21% | SUE: 1.02 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.93 | Chg30d=-0.045 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.88 | Chg30d=+0.057 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+10.0% | Growth Revenue=+3.6%
Additional Sources for SSD Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle