(SSD) Simpson Manufacturing - Ratings and Ratios
Connectors, Fasteners, Anchors, Adhesives, Software
SSD EPS (Earnings per Share)
SSD Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 30.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 47.3% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.28 |
| Alpha | -29.01 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.446 |
| Beta | 1.352 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 34.40% |
| Mean DD | 12.45% |
Description: SSD Simpson Manufacturing November 05, 2025
Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. (NYSE:SSD) designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells a broad portfolio of structural connection solutions-including wood, concrete, and steel connectors, fasteners, adhesives, and related tools-across North America, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific. The company also provides engineering services and software tools, serving residential, commercial, industrial, infrastructure, remodeling, and DIY markets. Founded in 1956, SSD is headquartered in Pleasanton, California, and is classified under the Building Products sub-industry.
Key recent metrics: FY2023 revenue was approximately $1.1 billion with an operating margin near 9%; inventory turnover averaged 5.2 ×, reflecting efficient supply-chain management. The business is highly sensitive to housing-starts trends-U.S. single-family starts rose about 5 % YoY in 2023-while the remodeling market, which accounts for roughly 30 % of SSD’s sales, continues to benefit from aging home stock and low-interest-rate financing.
For a deeper quantitative view, you might explore SSD’s metrics and peer comparisons on ValueRay.
SSD Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 7,107m |
| Sub-Industry | Building Products |
| IPO / Inception | 1994-05-25 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -22.4% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.0 of 5 |
SSD Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.85% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.65% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 12.37% |
| Payout Consistency | 95.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 14.6% |
SSD Growth Ratios
| CAGR | 24.32% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.71 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 1.95 |
| Current Volume | 251.4k |
| Average Volume | 248.9k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (344.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 138.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.30pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 40.94% (prev 43.17%; Δ -2.23pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 248.6m <= Net Income 344.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-220.7m) to EBITDA (589.2m) ratio: -0.37 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 3.35 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (41.7m) change vs 12m ago -1.49% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 46.02% (prev 45.98%; Δ 0.04pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 77.77% (prev 76.50%; Δ 1.27pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 13.52 (EBITDA TTM 589.2m / Interest Expense TTM 37.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 8.34
| (A) 0.31 = (Total Current Assets 1.35b - Total Current Liabilities 403.3m) / Total Assets 3.05b |
| (B) 0.59 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.80b / Total Assets 3.05b |
| (C) 0.17 = EBIT TTM 501.3m / Avg Total Assets 2.97b |
| (D) 3.09 = Book Value of Equity 1.77b / Total Liabilities 574.0m |
| Total Rating: 8.34 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 69.80
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.83% = 0.42 |
| 3. FCF Margin 2.61% = 0.65 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.18 = 2.48 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.37 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 6.24)% = 7.80 |
| 7. RoE 17.01% = 1.42 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 52.83% = 3.96 |
| 9. EPS Trend 11.35% = 0.57 |
What is the price of SSD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.76%, over one month by +1.63%, over three months by -6.75% and over the past year by -10.59%.
Is Simpson Manufacturing a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of SSD is around 164.23 USD . This means that SSD is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -2.79%.
Is SSD a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SSD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 197.3 | 16.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 197.3 | 16.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 186.2 | 10.2% |
SSD Fundamental Data Overview November 10, 2025
P/E Trailing = 20.799
P/S = 3.0752
P/B = 3.6308
P/EG = 1.47
Beta = 1.352
Revenue TTM = 2.31b USD
EBIT TTM = 501.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 589.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 362.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 22.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 445.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -220.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.26b USD (7.11b + Debt 445.8m - CCE 297.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.52 (Ebit TTM 501.3m / Interest Expense TTM 37.1m)
FCF Yield = 0.83% (FCF TTM 60.3m / Enterprise Value 7.26b)
FCF Margin = 2.61% (FCF TTM 60.3m / Revenue TTM 2.31b)
Net Margin = 14.90% (Net Income TTM 344.3m / Revenue TTM 2.31b)
Gross Margin = 46.02% ((Revenue TTM 2.31b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.25b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.39% (prev 46.66%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.38 (Enterprise Value 7.26b / Total Assets 3.05b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.45% (Interest Expense 1.99m / Debt 445.8m)
Taxrate = 25.30% (36.4m / 143.8m)
NOPAT = 374.5m (EBIT 501.3m * (1 - 25.30%))
Current Ratio = 3.35 (Total Current Assets 1.35b / Total Current Liabilities 403.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.18 (Debt 445.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.47b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.37 (Net Debt -220.7m / EBITDA 589.2m)
Debt / FCF = -3.66 (Net Debt -220.7m / FCF TTM 60.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.02b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.31% (Net Income 344.3m / Total Assets 3.05b)
RoE = 17.01% (Net Income TTM 344.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.02b)
RoCE = 21.01% (EBIT 501.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.02b + L.T.Debt 362.6m))
RoIC = 16.61% (NOPAT 374.5m / Invested Capital 2.25b)
WACC = 10.37% (E(7.11b)/V(7.55b) * Re(11.0%) + D(445.8m)/V(7.55b) * Rd(0.45%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 11.0% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.14%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.31% ; FCFE base≈74.2m ; Y1≈78.5m ; Y5≈93.4m
Fair Price DCF = 24.74 (DCF Value 1.03b / Shares Outstanding 41.6m; 5y FCF grow 6.46% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 11.35 | EPS CAGR: 16.49% | SUE: -1.11 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 52.83 | Revenue CAGR: 10.35% | SUE: 1.02 | # QB: 2
Additional Sources for SSD Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle