SSD Stock Analysis: Simpson Manufacturing | NYSE
Lumber & Wood Production | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 7.639m USD | 12M Return: 9.5% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 54.3M
EPS Trend: -19.7%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 93.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. (NYSE: SSD) designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells structural connection solutions for wood, concrete, and steel construction. Its product portfolio includes wood connectors, fasteners, and lateral-force resisting systems, as well as concrete repair, protection, and strengthening products such as coatings, mortars, and fiber-reinforced polymer systems. The company also provides engineering, design, and software services to support its product applications.
Founded in 1956 and headquartered in Pleasanton, California, Simpson operates within the Building Products sub-industry of the Industrials sector. It serves residential, commercial, industrial, infrastructure, remodeling, and DIY end markets across North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific, distributing primarily through dealers, home centers, distributors, OEM relationships, wood component manufacturers, and contractors. As a structural connector and fastener supplier, the companys results are closely tied to North American construction activity, particularly trends in housing starts and non-residential building activity.
- North American residential construction drives wood connector volumes
- Steel and raw material costs compress product gross margins
- Acquisitions expand concrete repair and international product lines
| Net Income: 378.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.49 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 42.22% < 20% (prev 38.92%; Δ 3.30% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 323.9m > Net Income 378.9m |
| Net Debt (33.2m) to EBITDA (602.9m): 0.06 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.29 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (41.1m) vs 12m ago -2.04% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 45.77% > 18% (prev 46.13%; Δ -0.36% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 79.35% > 50% (prev 76.73%; Δ 2.62% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: 0.33 (Total Current Assets 1.47b - Total Current Liabilities 447.0m) / Total Assets 3.14b |
| B: 0.59 (Retained Earnings 1.84b / Total Assets 3.14b) |
| C: 0.17 (EBIT TTM 504.0m / Avg Total Assets 3.05b) |
| D: 3.86 (Book Value of Equity 2.49b / Total Liabilities 645.7m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 9.22 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 438.1m/415.9m, Revenue 2.42b/2.27b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 46.13% / 45.77%) |
| AQI: 0.89 (AQ_t 0.30 / AQ_t-1 0.34) |
| SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 2.42b / 2.27b) |
| TATA: 0.02 (NI 378.9m - CFO 323.9m) / TA 3.14b) |
| Beneish M = -3.05 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 05, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 196.48 with a total of 186,281 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.91%, over one month by -0.58%, over three months by +5.39% and over the past year by +9.50%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 188.10 (which is 4.3% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Simpson Manufacturing has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SSD.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 218.8 | 11.4% |
P/E Trailing = 22.6865
P/E Forward = 17.6056
P/S = 3.368
P/B = 3.8496
P/EG = 3.8025
Revenue TTM = 2.42b USD
EBIT TTM = 504.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 602.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 355.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 35.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 483.7m USD (corrected: LT Debt 355.5m + ST Debt 35.3m) + Leases 93.0m
Net Debt = 33.2m USD (calculated: Debt 483.7m - CCE 450.5m)
Enterprise Value = 7.67b USD (7.64b + Debt 483.7m - CCE 450.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 504.0m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 30.57x (Enterprise Value 7.67b / FCF TTM 250.9m)
FCF Yield = 3.27% (FCF TTM 250.9m / Enterprise Value 7.67b)
FCF Margin = 10.36% (FCF TTM 250.9m / Revenue TTM 2.42b)
Net Margin = 15.65% (Net Income TTM 378.9m / Revenue TTM 2.42b)
Gross Margin = 45.77% ((Revenue TTM 2.42b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.31b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.42% (prev 45.22%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.44 (Enterprise Value 7.67b / Total Assets 3.14b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 483.7m)
Taxrate = 25.07% (126.8m / 505.7m)
NOPAT = 377.6m (EBIT 504.0m * (1 - 25.07%))
Current Ratio = 3.29 (Total Current Assets 1.47b / Total Current Liabilities 447.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.19 (Debt 483.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.49b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.06 (Net Debt 33.2m / EBITDA 602.9m)
Debt / FCF = 0.13 (Net Debt 33.2m / FCF TTM 250.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.15b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.41% (Net Income 378.9m / Total Assets 3.14b)
RoE = 17.63% (Net Income TTM 378.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.15b)
RoCE = 20.12% (EBIT 504.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.15b + L.T.Debt 355.5m))
RoIC = 14.48% (NOPAT 377.6m / Invested Capital 2.61b)
WACC = 8.52% (E(7.64b)/V(8.12b) * Re(9.06%) + D(483.7m)/V(8.12b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.06% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -99.38 | Cagr: -1.64%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.42% ; FCFF base≈215.8m ; Y1≈247.3m ; Y5≈364.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 128.5 (EV 5.32b - Net Debt 33.2m = Equity 5.29b / Shares 41.1m; r=8.52% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -19.66 | EPS CAGR: -1.04% | SUE: 2.00 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 93.82 | Revenue CAGR: 3.50% | SUE: 0.76 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.42 | Chg30d=-5.07% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.06 | Chg30d=+0.38% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+13.7% | GrowthRev=+3.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=9.71 | Chg30d=-1.45% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+7.2% | GrowthRev=+4.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -22% (up=2, down=4)