SSD Stock Analysis: Simpson Manufacturing | NYSE
Lumber & Wood Production | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 8.257m USD | 12M Return: 26.7% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 67.8M
EPS Trend: -50.3%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 94.4%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. (NYSE: SSD) designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells structural connection solutions for wood, concrete, and steel construction. Its product portfolio includes wood connectors, fasteners, and lateral-force resisting systems, as well as concrete repair, protection, and strengthening products such as coatings, mortars, and fiber-reinforced polymer systems. The company also provides engineering, design, and software services to support its product applications.
Founded in 1956 and headquartered in Pleasanton, California, Simpson operates within the Building Products sub-industry of the Industrials sector. It serves residential, commercial, industrial, infrastructure, remodeling, and DIY end markets across North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific, distributing primarily through dealers, home centers, distributors, OEM relationships, wood component manufacturers, and contractors. As a structural connector and fastener supplier, the companys results are closely tied to North American construction activity, particularly trends in housing starts and non-residential building activity.
- North American residential construction drives wood connector volumes
- Steel and raw material costs compress product gross margins
- Acquisitions expand concrete repair and international product lines
| Net Income: 355.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.51 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 40.18% < 20% (prev 36.91%; Δ 3.26% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 484.7m > Net Income 355.4m |
| Net Debt (233.7m) to EBITDA (568.8m): 0.41 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.40 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (41.4m) vs 12m ago -1.53% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 45.54% > 18% (prev 46.12%; Δ -0.58% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 81.20% > 50% (prev 79.37%; Δ 1.84% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: 0.31 (Total Current Assets 1.36b - Total Current Liabilities 398.5m) / Total Assets 3.04b |
| B: 0.59 (Retained Earnings 1.80b / Total Assets 3.04b) |
| C: 0.16 (EBIT TTM 474.3m / Avg Total Assets 2.93b) |
| D: 2.10 (Book Value of Equity 2.06b / Total Liabilities 978.4m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 7.29 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 400.1m/373.2m, Revenue 2.38b/2.24b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 46.12% / 45.54%) |
| AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.31 / AQ_t-1 0.34) |
| SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 2.38b / 2.24b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 355.4m - CFO 484.7m) / TA 3.04b) |
| Beneish M = -3.00 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 200.72 with a total of 401,747 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.11%, over one month by +8.42%, over three months by +19.93% and over the past year by +26.72%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 193.20 (which is 3.7% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Simpson Manufacturing has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SSD.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 217.8 | 8.5% |
P/E Trailing = 23.5864
P/E Forward = 17.6056
P/S = 3.4667
P/B = 4.0524
P/EG = 3.8025
Revenue TTM = 2.38b USD
EBIT TTM = 474.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 568.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 351.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 36.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 574.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 93.0m
Net Debt = 233.7m USD (calculated: Debt 574.7m - CCE 341.0m)
Enterprise Value = 8.49b USD (8.26b + Debt 574.7m - CCE 341.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 474.3m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 23.84x (Enterprise Value 8.49b / FCF TTM 356.1m)
FCF Yield = 4.19% (FCF TTM 356.1m / Enterprise Value 8.49b)
FCF Margin = 14.95% (FCF TTM 356.1m / Revenue TTM 2.38b)
Net Margin = 14.92% (Net Income TTM 355.4m / Revenue TTM 2.38b)
Gross Margin = 45.54% ((Revenue TTM 2.38b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.30b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 45.22% (prev 43.58%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.79 (Enterprise Value 8.49b / Total Assets 3.04b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 574.7m)
Taxrate = 25.06% (118.9m / 474.3m)
NOPAT = 355.4m (EBIT 474.3m * (1 - 25.06%))
Current Ratio = 3.40 (Total Current Assets 1.36b / Total Current Liabilities 398.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.28 (Debt 574.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.06b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.41 (Net Debt 233.7m / EBITDA 568.8m)
Debt / FCF = 0.66 (Net Debt 233.7m / FCF TTM 356.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.01b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.12% (Net Income 355.4m / Total Assets 3.04b)
RoE = 17.68% (Net Income TTM 355.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.01b)
RoCE = 20.08% (EBIT 474.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.01b + L.T.Debt 351.9m))
RoIC = 13.87% (NOPAT 355.4m / Invested Capital 2.56b)
WACC = 8.81% (E(8.26b)/V(8.83b) * Re(9.42%) + D(574.7m)/V(8.83b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.42% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -100.00 | Cagr: -1.37%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.50% ; FCFF base≈272.4m ; Y1≈312.2m ; Y5≈459.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 149.9 (EV 6.40b - Net Debt 233.7m = Equity 6.17b / Shares 41.1m; r=8.81% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -50.32 | EPS CAGR: -2.26% | SUE: 1.76 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 94.40 | Revenue CAGR: 3.04% | SUE: 2.06 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.69 | Chg30d=+0.25% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.55 | Chg30d=-5.68% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.02 | Chg30d=+1.23% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+13.2% | GrowthRev=+4.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=9.85 | Chg30d=+0.14% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+9.2% | GrowthRev=+4.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -8% (up=4, down=5)