SSD Stock Analysis: Simpson Manufacturing | NYSE
Lumber & Wood Production | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 7.817m USD | 12M Return: 16.2% | US8290731053 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 60.1M
EPS Trend: 20.0%
Qual. Beats: 3
Rev. Trend: 95.2%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. (NYSE: SSD) designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells structural connection products for wood, concrete, and steel construction across North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific. Operating within the GICS Building Products sub-industry, the company supplies components that are integral to both new construction and repair applications, serving residential, commercial, industrial, infrastructure, remodeling, and DIY end markets.
The companys product portfolio spans wood construction connectors, fasteners, and lateral-force resisting systems, as well as concrete anchor, repair, and strengthening products including coatings, mortars, and fiber-reinforced polymer systems. Simpson also offers engineering, design, and software services, distributing through dealers, home centers, distributors, OEM relationships, wood component manufacturers, and contractors.
Founded in 1956 and headquartered in Pleasanton, California, Simpson Manufacturing has been listed on the NYSE since 1994.
- housing starts decline pressures wood connector volumes
- Steel and raw material costs pressure gross margins
- European segment growth diversifies US housing cycle exposure
| Net Income: 380.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.68 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 42.49% < 20% (prev 40.94%; Δ 1.55% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 458.7m > Net Income 380.6m |
| Net Debt (-10.3m) to EBITDA (609.3m): -0.02 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.37 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (40.7m) vs 12m ago -2.32% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 45.59% > 18% (prev 46.02%; Δ -0.43% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 78.98% > 50% (prev 75.88%; Δ 3.10% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: 0.33 (Total Current Assets 1.47b - Total Current Liabilities 435.9m) / Total Assets 3.12b |
| B: 0.59 (Retained Earnings 1.84b / Total Assets 3.12b) |
| C: 0.16 (EBIT TTM 506.5m / Avg Total Assets 3.09b) |
| D: 2.19 (Book Value of Equity 2.15b / Total Liabilities 979.6m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 7.50 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.98 (Receivables 409.4m/395.4m, Revenue 2.44b/2.31b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 46.02% / 45.59%) |
| AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.30 / AQ_t-1 0.32) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 2.44b / 2.31b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 380.6m - CFO 458.7m) / TA 3.12b) |
| Beneish M = -3.04 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of November 04, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 200.54 with a total of 344,197 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +10.19%, over one month by +15.55%, over three months by +4.54% and over the past year by +16.20%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 194.30 (which is 3.1% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Simpson Manufacturing has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SSD.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 213.6 | 6.5% |
P/E Trailing = 20.6205
P/E Forward = 17.6056
P/S = 3.2084
P/B = 3.6938
P/EG = 3.8025
Revenue TTM = 2.44b USD
EBIT TTM = 506.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 609.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 355.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 15.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 481.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 90.4m
Net Debt = -10.3m USD (calculated: Debt 481.0m - CCE 491.3m)
Enterprise Value = 7.81b USD (7.82b + Debt 481.0m - CCE 491.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 506.5m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 26.23x (Enterprise Value 7.81b / FCF TTM 297.6m)
FCF Yield = 3.81% (FCF TTM 297.6m / Enterprise Value 7.81b)
FCF Margin = 12.21% (FCF TTM 297.6m / Revenue TTM 2.44b)
Net Margin = 15.62% (Net Income TTM 380.6m / Revenue TTM 2.44b)
Gross Margin = 45.59% ((Revenue TTM 2.44b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.33b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 45.69% (prev 47.42%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.50 (Enterprise Value 7.81b / Total Assets 3.12b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 481.0m)
Taxrate = 25.12% (127.6m / 508.2m)
NOPAT = 379.3m (EBIT 506.5m * (1 - 25.12%))
Current Ratio = 3.37 (Total Current Assets 1.47b / Total Current Liabilities 435.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.22 (Debt 481.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.15b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.02 (Net Debt -10.3m / EBITDA 609.3m)
Debt / FCF = -0.03 (Net Debt -10.3m / FCF TTM 297.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.09b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.34% (Net Income 380.6m / Total Assets 3.12b)
RoE = 18.23% (Net Income TTM 380.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.09b)
RoCE = 20.73% (EBIT 506.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.09b + L.T.Debt 355.5m))
RoIC = 14.69% (NOPAT 379.3m / Invested Capital 2.58b)
WACC = 7.96% (E(7.82b)/V(8.30b) * Re(8.45%) + D(481.0m)/V(8.30b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 8.45% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -98.64 | Cagr: -1.78%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈274.1m ; Y1≈314.2m ; Y5≈462.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 170.1 (EV 6.96b - Net Debt -10.3m = Equity 6.97b / Shares 41.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 19.95 | EPS CAGR: 1.30% | SUE: 1.10 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 95.25 | Revenue CAGR: 3.96% | SUE: 1.07 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=2.02 | Chg30d=-9.00% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.26 | Chg30d=+1.57% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+16.2% | GrowthRev=+4.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=9.71 | Chg30d=-0.05% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+4.8% | GrowthRev=+2.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -22% (up=2, down=4)