(SSL) Sasol - Overview
Stock: Fuels, Chemicals, Polymers, Lubricants, Wax
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 56.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.72% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.09 |
| Alpha | 42.16 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.012 |
| Beta Downside | 1.482 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 81.01% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.27 |
Description: SSL Sasol January 11, 2026
Sasol Ltd (NYSE: SSL) is a South-African integrated chemicals and energy group that manufactures a broad portfolio of fuels, lubricants, and specialty chemicals-including bitumen, gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, LPG, and a range of industrial and agricultural chemicals. The company also operates downstream activities such as engineering services, R&D, gas-to-liquids (GTL) and coal-to-liquids (CTL) projects, as well as coal mining and the trading of oil, petrochemical and derivative products.
Key recent metrics: 2023 revenue reached roughly $15 billion, with adjusted EBITDA margin hovering around 13 % despite volatile oil prices; the GTL segment contributed over 30 % of total earnings, reflecting its strategic importance. Sasol’s performance is tightly linked to global crude oil price movements (a $10 rise in Brent typically lifts earnings by ~2 %), and to South Africa’s domestic energy demand, which drives a steady need for gasoline, diesel and industrial fuels. A sector trend worth watching is the accelerating shift toward lower-carbon fuels and the company’s ongoing investment in hydrogen-compatible GTL technologies, which could become a differentiator as carbon-pricing regimes tighten.
For a deeper, data-driven look at Sasol’s valuation assumptions and scenario analyses, you might find the ValueRay platform’s research useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income: 22.64b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.53 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 18.19% < 20% (prev 11.72%; Δ 6.47% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.23 > 3% & CFO 81.00b > Net Income 22.64b |
| Net Debt (79.62b) to EBITDA (66.38b): 1.20 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.87 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (614.0m) vs 12m ago -5.32% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 33.35% > 18% (prev 0.44%; Δ 3291 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 91.79% > 50% (prev 126.9%; Δ -35.13% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.91 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 66.38b / Interest Expense TTM 8.48b) |
Altman Z'' 3.65
| A: 0.17 (Total Current Assets 130.15b - Total Current Liabilities 69.44b) / Total Assets 359.56b |
| B: 0.26 (Retained Earnings 91.97b / Total Assets 359.56b) |
| C: 0.14 (EBIT TTM 50.08b / Avg Total Assets 363.61b) |
| D: 0.75 (Book Value of Equity 151.16b / Total Liabilities 201.94b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.65 = AA |
Beneish M -2.60
| DSRI: 1.67 (Receivables 41.64b/34.93b, Revenue 333.75b/466.63b) |
| GMI: 1.31 (GM 33.35% / 43.84%) |
| AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.17 / AQ_t-1 0.18) |
| SGI: 0.72 (Revenue 333.75b / 466.63b) |
| TATA: -0.16 (NI 22.64b - CFO 81.00b) / TA 359.56b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.60 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of SSL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.37%, over one month by +9.20%, over three months by +14.29% and over the past year by +67.27%.
Is SSL a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SSL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 6.8 | -7.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 6.8 | -7.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 7.1 | -3% |
SSL Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
P/E Trailing = 11.3016
P/E Forward = 7.8064
P/S = 0.0182
P/B = 0.4975
P/EG = 0.1363
Revenue TTM = 333.75b ZAR
EBIT TTM = 50.08b ZAR
EBITDA TTM = 66.38b ZAR
Long Term Debt = 88.55b ZAR (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 16.94b ZAR (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 120.67b ZAR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = 79.62b ZAR (from netDebt column, last fiscal year)
Enterprise Value = 146.94b ZAR (72.94b + Debt 120.67b - CCE 46.66b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.91 (Ebit TTM 50.08b / Interest Expense TTM 8.48b)
EV/FCF = 4.30x (Enterprise Value 146.94b / FCF TTM 34.13b)
FCF Yield = 23.23% (FCF TTM 34.13b / Enterprise Value 146.94b)
FCF Margin = 10.23% (FCF TTM 34.13b / Revenue TTM 333.75b)
Net Margin = 6.78% (Net Income TTM 22.64b / Revenue TTM 333.75b)
Gross Margin = 33.35% ((Revenue TTM 333.75b - Cost of Revenue TTM 222.46b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.79% (prev 35.79%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.41 (Enterprise Value 146.94b / Total Assets 359.56b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.05% (Interest Expense 1.27b / Debt 120.67b)
Taxrate = 43.31% (5.24b / 12.10b)
NOPAT = 28.39b (EBIT 50.08b * (1 - 43.31%))
Current Ratio = 1.87 (Total Current Assets 130.15b / Total Current Liabilities 69.44b)
Debt / Equity = 0.79 (Debt 120.67b / totalStockholderEquity, last fiscal year 152.43b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.20 (Net Debt 79.62b / EBITDA 66.38b)
Debt / FCF = 2.33 (Net Debt 79.62b / FCF TTM 34.13b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 146.64b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.23% (Net Income 22.64b / Total Assets 359.56b)
RoE = 15.44% (Net Income TTM 22.64b / Total Stockholder Equity 146.64b)
RoCE = 21.30% (EBIT 50.08b / Capital Employed (Equity 146.64b + L.T.Debt 88.55b))
RoIC = 11.10% (NOPAT 28.39b / Invested Capital 255.74b)
WACC = 4.00% (E(72.94b)/V(193.61b) * Re(9.64%) + D(120.67b)/V(193.61b) * Rd(1.05%) * (1-Tc(0.43)))
Discount Rate = 9.64% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.35%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 88.00% ; FCFF base≈24.84b ; Y1≈29.22b ; Y5≈44.57b
Fair Price DCF = 1940 (EV 1304.21b - Net Debt 79.62b = Equity 1224.59b / Shares 631.2m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 18.76% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -15.50 | EPS CAGR: 0.0% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -53.74 | Revenue CAGR: -16.86% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=1.49 | Chg30d=-0.380 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=-25.4% | Growth Revenue=-3.8%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=1.57 | Chg30d=-0.413 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+4.9% | Growth Revenue=+5.1%