SSL Stock Analysis: Sasol | NYSE

Specialty Chemicals | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 8.526m USD | 12M Return: 111.6% | US8038663006 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Gasoline, Diesel, Lubricants, Natural Gas
Total Rating 66
Safety 65
Buy Signal 0.82
Specialty Chemicals
Industry Rotation: -7.3
Market Cap: 8.53B
Avg Turnover: 14.4M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility60.9%
VaR 5th Pctl10.3%
VaR vs Median2.93%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.53
Rel. Str. IBD95.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group99.4
Character TTM
Beta-0.219
Beta Downside-0.615
Hurst Exponent0.504
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD78.95%
CAGR/Max DD0.09
CAGR/Mean DD0.16

Warnings

Overextended 3d

Tailwinds

Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader
Ep Pivot

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +3.2% 38
Feb -0.8% 7
Mar +3.3% 35
Apr +2.0% 2
May -2.0% 15
Jun -2.9% 15
Jul +4.8% 30
Aug -3.2% 41
Sep -3.1% 27
Oct -1.0% 2
Nov -0.5% 13
Dec -0.0% 5

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: SSL Sasol

Sasol Limited is a South African chemical and energy company that produces a wide range of fuels and lubricant products, including bitumen, naphtha, liquefied petroleum gas, petrol, diesel, jet fuel, and industrial heating fuels. The company is classified under the GICS Materials sector, specifically the Diversified Chemicals sub-industry.

In addition to fuels, Sasol supplies commodity and specialty chemicals such as ammonium nitrate, nitric acid, caustic soda, polyethylene glycols, surfactants, and alumina-based catalysts to end markets including agriculture, construction, mining, textiles, personal care, and packaging. The company is also involved in coal mining, engineering services, research and development, and the marketing and trading of oil, petrochemical, and chemical products.

A distinguishing feature of Sasols business model is its involvement in gas-to-liquid (GTL) and coal-to-liquid (CTL) ventures, which use the Fischer-Tropsch process to convert natural gas or coal into synthetic liquid fuels. Founded in 1950 and headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa, the company has been listed on the NYSE under the ticker SSL since 1982.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Crude oil price swings drive Secunda GTL fuel margins
  • Weak South African rand lifts dollar-denominated energy earnings
  • Lake Charles chemicals project ramp boosts specialty product margins
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.0
Net Income: 26.2b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.93 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 15.59% < 20% (prev 13.29%; Δ 2.30% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.20 > 3% & CFO 72.2b > Net Income 26.2b
Net Debt (78.5b) to EBITDA (106b): 0.74 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.79 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (654.1m) vs 12m ago 3.00% < -2%
Gross Margin: 32.58% > 18% (prev 38.77%; Δ -6.18% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 113.6% > 50% (prev 127.1%; Δ -13.45% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.22 > 6 (EBIT TTM 86.0b / Interest Expense TTM 11.9b)
Altman Z'' 4.59
A: 0.18 (Total Current Assets 145b - Total Current Liabilities 81.0b) / Total Assets 361b
B: 0.29 (Retained Earnings 104b / Total Assets 361b)
C: 0.24 (EBIT TTM 86.0b / Avg Total Assets 360b)
D: 0.84 (Book Value of Equity 162b / Total Liabilities 192b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.59 = AA
Beneish M -2.76
DSRI: 1.23 (Receivables 45.8b/41.6b, Revenue 409b/457b)
GMI: 1.19 (GM 38.77% / 32.58%)
AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.16 / AQ_t-1 0.17)
SGI: 0.90 (Revenue 409b / 457b)
TATA: -0.13 (NI 26.2b - CFO 72.2b) / TA 361b)
Beneish M = -2.76 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of SSL shares?

As of September 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 14.58 with a total of 4,957,108 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +17.11%, over one month by +26.67%, over three months by +7.36% and over the past year by +111.61%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 14.00 (which is 4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is SSL a buy, sell or hold?

Sasol has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold SSL.

  • StrongBuy: 0
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the SSL price?
Analysts Target Price 12 -17.7%
Sasol (SSL) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 10 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 8.53b (8.53b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
Market Cap ZAR = 137b (8.53b USD * 16.048 USD.ZAR)
P/E Trailing = 11.3675
P/E Forward = 7.8064
P/S = 0.0313
P/B = 0.7752
P/EG = 0.1363
Revenue TTM = 409b ZAR
EBIT TTM = 86.0b ZAR
EBITDA TTM = 106b ZAR
Long Term Debt = 67.9b ZAR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 27.3b ZAR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 128b ZAR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 17.4b
Net Debt = 78.5b ZAR (calculated: Debt 128b - CCE 49.1b)
Enterprise Value = 215b ZAR (137b + Debt 128b - CCE 49.1b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.22 (Ebit TTM 86.0b / Interest Expense TTM 11.9b)
EV/FCF = 8.55x (Enterprise Value 215b / FCF TTM 25.2b)
FCF Yield = 11.69% (FCF TTM 25.2b / Enterprise Value 215b)
FCF Margin = 6.15% (FCF TTM 25.2b / Revenue TTM 409b)
Net Margin = 6.40% (Net Income TTM 26.2b / Revenue TTM 409b)
Gross Margin = 32.58% ((Revenue TTM 409b - Cost of Revenue TTM 276b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.20% (prev 35.79%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.60 (Enterprise Value 215b / Total Assets 361b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 9.33% (Interest Expense 11.9b / Debt 128b)
Taxrate = 33.99% (14.7b / 43.3b)
NOPAT = 56.8b (EBIT 86.0b * (1 - 33.99%))
Current Ratio = 1.79 (Total Current Assets 145b / Total Current Liabilities 81.0b)
Debt / Equity = 0.79 (Debt 128b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 162b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.74 (Net Debt 78.5b / EBITDA 106b)
Debt / FCF = 3.12 (Net Debt 78.5b / FCF TTM 25.2b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 153b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.27% (Net Income 26.2b / Total Assets 361b)
RoE = 17.08% (Net Income TTM 26.2b / Total Stockholder Equity 153b)
RoCE = 38.86% (EBIT 86.0b / Capital Employed (Equity 153b + L.T.Debt 67.9b))
RoIC = 19.79% (NOPAT 56.8b / Invested Capital 287b)
WACC = 5.67% (E(137b)/V(264b) * Re(5.21%) + D(128b)/V(264b) * Rd(9.33%) * (1-Tc(0.34)))
Discount Rate = 5.21% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 20.08 | Cagr: 1.61%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈19.5b ; Y1≈22.3b ; Y5≈32.9b
[DCF] Fair Price = 656.0 (EV 495b - Net Debt 78.5b = Equity 416b / Shares 634.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -79.62 | Revenue CAGR: -10.58% | SUE: -0.04 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=1.66 | Chg30d=-26.20% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+26.2% | GrowthRev=+8.8%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=1.66 | Chg30d=-26.20% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-29.0% | GrowthRev=-2.2%