STAG Stock Analysis: STAG Industrial | NYSE
REIT - Industrial | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 7.644m USD | 12M Return: 12.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 59.1M
EPS Trend: 78.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 99.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
STAG Industrial, Inc. (NYSE: STAG) is a U.S.-based real estate investment trust (REIT) that acquires, develops, owns, and operates industrial properties across the country. As of December 31, 2025, the companys portfolio comprises 601 buildings located in 41 states, totaling approximately 120.0 million rentable square feet. STAG Industrial was incorporated in 2010, is headquartered in Boston, and has been publicly traded since its April 2011 IPO.
As an industrial REIT, STAG generates revenue primarily by leasing warehouse, distribution, and light manufacturing space to tenants under long-term rental agreements, and is required by U.S. tax law to distribute the majority of its taxable income as dividends to shareholders.
- E-commerce demand softening pressures industrial leasing and occupancy
- Higher interest rates weigh on industrial REIT valuations and cap rates
- Acquisition pipeline accelerates external growth and FFO expansion
| Net Income: 244.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.81 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -9.74% < 20% (prev -46.61%; Δ 36.87% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 477.3m > Net Income 244.1m |
| Net Debt (3.26b) to EBITDA (696.2m): 4.68 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.79 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (191.2m) vs 12m ago 2.40% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 61.75% > 18% (prev 79.70%; Δ -17.95% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 12.31% > 50% (prev 11.47%; Δ 0.84% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.77 > 6 (EBIT TTM 389.8m / Interest Expense TTM 140.5m) |
| A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 319.2m - Total Current Liabilities 403.3m) / Total Assets 7.18b |
| B: -0.15 (Retained Earnings -1.05b / Total Assets 7.18b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 389.8m / Avg Total Assets 7.02b) |
| D: 1.02 (Book Value of Equity 3.59b / Total Liabilities 3.52b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.89 = B |
| DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 161.4m/141.9m, Revenue 863.8m/785.4m) |
| GMI: 1.29 (GM 79.70% / 61.75%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.95 / AQ_t-1 0.95) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 863.8m / 785.4m) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 244.1m - CFO 477.3m) / TA 7.18b) |
| Beneish M = -2.67 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 38.92 with a total of 933,814 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.51%, over one month by +3.42%, over three months by +3.72% and over the past year by +12.23%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 37.80 (which is 2.9% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
STAG Industrial has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.67. Therefore, it is recommended to hold STAG.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 41.6 | 6.8% |
P/E Trailing = 30.3566
P/E Forward = 144.9275
P/S = 8.8493
P/B = 2.0445
P/EG = 19.4854
Revenue TTM = 863.8m USD
EBIT TTM = 389.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 696.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.99b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 200.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.27b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 36.5m
Net Debt = 3.26b USD (calculated: Debt 3.27b - CCE 8.86m)
Enterprise Value = 10.9b USD (7.64b + Debt 3.27b - CCE 8.86m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.77 (Ebit TTM 389.8m / Interest Expense TTM 140.5m)
EV/FCF = 25.27x (Enterprise Value 10.9b / FCF TTM 431.5m)
FCF Yield = 3.96% (FCF TTM 431.5m / Enterprise Value 10.9b)
FCF Margin = 49.95% (FCF TTM 431.5m / Revenue TTM 863.8m)
Net Margin = 28.26% (Net Income TTM 244.1m / Revenue TTM 863.8m)
Gross Margin = 61.75% ((Revenue TTM 863.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 330.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 78.90% (prev 9.23%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.52 (Enterprise Value 10.9b / Total Assets 7.18b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.30% (Interest Expense 140.5m / Debt 3.27b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 307.9m (EBIT 389.8m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.79 (Total Current Assets 319.2m / Total Current Liabilities 403.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.91 (Debt 3.27b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.59b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.68 (Net Debt 3.26b / EBITDA 696.2m)
Debt / FCF = 7.55 (Net Debt 3.26b / FCF TTM 431.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.51b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.48% (Net Income 244.1m / Total Assets 7.18b)
RoE = 6.95% (Net Income TTM 244.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.51b)
RoCE = 5.99% (EBIT 389.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.51b + L.T.Debt 2.99b))
RoIC = 4.42% (NOPAT 307.9m / Invested Capital 6.97b)
WACC = 6.04% (E(7.64b)/V(10.9b) * Re(7.17%) + D(3.27b)/V(10.9b) * Rd(4.30%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.17% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 91.11 | Cagr: 2.23%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈401.2m ; Y1≈459.9m ; Y5≈676.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 36.23 (EV 10.2b - Net Debt 3.26b = Equity 6.93b / Shares 191.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 78.22 | EPS CAGR: 17.58% | SUE: 0.09 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.87 | Revenue CAGR: 9.00% | SUE: 0.67 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.22 | Chg30d=-19.80% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.24 | Chg30d=-17.00% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.12 | Chg30d=+8.41% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=-23.4% | GrowthRev=+7.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.14 | Chg30d=+1.83% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+1.8% | GrowthRev=+7.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -36% (up=2, down=6)