(STAG) STAG Industrial - Overview
Sector: Real Estate | Industry: REIT - Industrial | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 7.100m USD | Total Return: 28.7% in 12m
Industrial, Reit, Warehouse, Manufacturing, Logistics
Total Rating 43
Safety 43
Buy Signal 0.39
REIT - Industrial
Industry Rotation: -3.4
Industry Rotation: -3.4
Market Cap:
7.10B
Avg Turnover: 47.4M USD
Avg Turnover: 47.4M USD
ATR:
2.04%
Peers RS (IBD): 45.0
Peers RS (IBD): 45.0
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility20.6%
Rel. Tail Risk0.94%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.95
Alpha12.53
Character TTM
Beta0.452
Beta Downside0.561
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD24.59%
CAGR/Max DD0.41
EPS (Earnings per Share)
EPS CAGR: -42.16%
EPS Trend: 2.1%
EPS Trend: 2.1%
Last SUE: -2.10
Qual. Beats: 0
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue
Rev. CAGR: 9.13%
Rev. Trend: 99.4%
Rev. Trend: 99.4%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 1
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Altman Z'' -0.60 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Description: STAG STAG Industrial
STAG Industrial, Inc. (NYSE: STAG) is a U.S.-based REIT that acquires, develops, owns, and operates single-tenant industrial properties across the country. As of March 31 2025, its portfolio comprised 597 buildings in 41 states, totaling roughly 117.6 million rentable square feet.
Key recent metrics show the company delivering a 2024 adjusted FFO of $1.02 per share, up 8% year-over-year, while maintaining an occupancy rate of 95.6%, reflecting strong demand for logistics space amid e-commerce growth. The dividend yield remains attractive at about 5.1%, and STAG’s balance sheet is bolstered by a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 4.3×, indicating manageable leverage despite a higher interest-rate environment.
Industry drivers such as sustained supply-chain reshoring, continued e-commerce expansion, and limited new industrial construction capacity are supporting rent growth and low vacancy across the sector, benefitting REITs like STAG that own well-located, single-tenant assets.
For a deeper dive, you might explore ValueRay’s analysis of STAG.
- Industrial real estate demand remains robust
- E-commerce growth fuels warehouse and logistics space
- Interest rate hikes increase borrowing costs
- Tenant retention crucial for stable occupancy
- Economic slowdown impacts industrial output and leasing
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict)
4.0
| Net Income: 273.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.99 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -29.60% < 20% (prev -37.70%; Δ 8.10% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 463.4m > Net Income 273.5m |
| Net Debt (3.28b) to EBITDA (718.2m): 4.56 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.41 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (188.2m) vs 12m ago 3.16% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 61.34% > 18% (prev 0.80%; Δ 6.05k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 12.04% > 50% (prev 11.23%; Δ 0.81% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.04 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 718.2m / Interest Expense TTM 137.2m) |
Altman Z''
-0.60
| A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 171.4m - Total Current Liabilities 421.6m) / Total Assets 7.21b |
| B: -0.14 (Retained Earnings -1.03b / Total Assets 7.21b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 416.4m / Avg Total Assets 7.02b) |
| D: -0.29 (Book Value of Equity -1.02b / Total Liabilities 3.54b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.60 = B |
Beneish M
-2.66
| DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 156.5m/136.4m, Revenue 845.2m/767.4m) |
| GMI: 1.30 (GM 61.34% / 79.82%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.97 / AQ_t-1 0.96) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 845.2m / 767.4m) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 273.5m - CFO 463.4m) / TA 7.21b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.66 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of STAG shares?
As of April 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 38.15 with a total of 704,577 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.87%, over one month by +0.51%, over three months by +1.43% and over the past year by +28.72%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.87%, over one month by +0.51%, over three months by +1.43% and over the past year by +28.72%.
Is STAG a buy, sell or hold?
STAG Industrial has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.67.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold STAG.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the STAG price?
| Analysts Target Price | 41.6 | 8.9% |
STAG Industrial (STAG) - Fundamental Data Overview
as of 08 April 2026
P/E Trailing = 24.9178 P/E Forward = 144.9275
P/S = 8.4009
P/B = 1.9432
P/EG = 19.4854
Revenue TTM = 845.2m USD
EBIT TTM = 416.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 718.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.99b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 262.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.29b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.28b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 10.38b USD (7.10b + Debt 3.29b - CCE 14.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.04 (Ebit TTM 416.4m / Interest Expense TTM 137.2m)
EV/FCF = 24.55x (Enterprise Value 10.38b / FCF TTM 422.6m)
FCF Yield = 4.07% (FCF TTM 422.6m / Enterprise Value 10.38b)
FCF Margin = 50.01% (FCF TTM 422.6m / Revenue TTM 845.2m)
Net Margin = 32.36% (Net Income TTM 273.5m / Revenue TTM 845.2m)
Gross Margin = 61.34% ((Revenue TTM 845.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 326.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 9.23% (prev 80.03%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.44 (Enterprise Value 10.38b / Total Assets 7.21b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.20% (Interest Expense 39.4m / Debt 3.29b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 329.0m (EBIT 416.4m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.41 (Total Current Assets 171.4m / Total Current Liabilities 421.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.92 (Debt 3.29b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.60b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.56 (Net Debt 3.28b / EBITDA 718.2m)
Debt / FCF = 7.75 (Net Debt 3.28b / FCF TTM 422.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.48b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.90% (Net Income 273.5m / Total Assets 7.21b)
RoE = 7.85% (Net Income TTM 273.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.48b)
RoCE = 6.43% (EBIT 416.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.48b + L.T.Debt 2.99b))
RoIC = 4.99% (NOPAT 329.0m / Invested Capital 6.59b)
WACC = 5.47% (E(7.10b)/V(10.39b) * Re(7.57%) + D(3.29b)/V(10.39b) * Rd(1.20%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.57% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.68%
[DCF] Terminal Value 87.54% ; FCFF base≈386.9m ; Y1≈440.6m ; Y5≈606.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 75.84 (EV 17.77b - Net Debt 3.28b = Equity 14.50b / Shares 191.2m; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 16.21% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 2.11 | EPS CAGR: -42.16% | SUE: -2.10 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.41 | Revenue CAGR: 9.13% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.27 | Chg7d=+0.269 | Chg30d=+0.269 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.02 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=-30.3% | Growth Revenue=+7.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.14 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+12.1% | Growth Revenue=+7.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.33 (2 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Current Year)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 3.9% (Discount Rate 7.9% - Earnings Yield 4.0%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +3.9% (Analyst 7.8% - Implied 3.9%)
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