(STEM) Stem - Ratings and Ratios
Software, Hardware, Storage, Analytics, Optimization
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 122% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 172% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -14.03% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.16 |
| Alpha | 78.26 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.499 |
| Beta | 1.489 |
| Beta Downside | 2.109 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 97.85% |
| Mean DD | 78.93% |
| Median DD | 90.21% |
Description: STEM Stem November 17, 2025
Stem, Inc. (NYSE:STEM) develops AI-powered software, edge-hardware, and OEM energy-storage systems that help a broad set of customers-including utilities, independent power producers, and grid operators-plan, deploy, and operate clean-energy assets across the United States and select international markets. Founded in 2009 and headquartered in San Francisco, the company positions itself at the intersection of energy-storage technology and data-analytics services.
Key recent metrics: Stem reported FY 2023 revenue of roughly $140 million, a year-over-year increase of about 30 % driven by expanding contracts with utility-scale storage projects; cumulative deployed storage capacity now exceeds 600 MWh, and the AI platform claims to shave 10-15 % off customers’ energy costs on average. The sector’s growth is underpinned by accelerating renewable-energy adoption, tightening grid-balancing requirements, and regulatory incentives such as FERC Order 2222, which encourages participation of distributed storage in ancillary-service markets.
For a deeper, data-driven look at Stem’s valuation and risk profile, you may find ValueRay’s analytical dashboard a useful next step.
STEM Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 129m |
| Sub-Industry | Electrical Components & Equipment |
| IPO / Inception | 2020-10-08 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 85.9% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.0 of 5 |
STEM Dividends
Currently no dividends paidSTEM Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | -63.36% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.65 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.80 |
| Current Volume | 234.1k |
| Average Volume | 284.7k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (102.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 9.90m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.60pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -12.01% (prev 8.02%; Δ -20.03pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO -16.1m <= Net Income 102.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (278.5m) to EBITDA (156.6m) ratio: 1.78 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.83 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (8.38m) change vs 12m ago 3.00% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 20.90% (prev 4.63%; Δ 16.27pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 36.64% (prev 47.63%; Δ -11.00pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 6.13 (EBITDA TTM 156.6m / Interest Expense TTM 20.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -14.35
| (A) -0.05 = (Total Current Assets 93.8m - Total Current Liabilities 113.6m) / Total Assets 362.6m |
| (B) -4.06 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.47b / Total Assets 362.6m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -4.06 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.27 = EBIT TTM 123.0m / Avg Total Assets 450.2m |
| (D) -2.46 = Book Value of Equity -1.47b / Total Liabilities 597.7m |
| Total Rating: -14.35 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 43.13
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -4.85% |
| 3. FCF Margin -11.99% |
| 4. Debt/Equity -1.37 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.78 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 115.1)% |
| 7. RoE -32.44% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -68.47% |
| 9. EPS Trend -54.95% |
What is the price of STEM shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -16.06%, over one month by -43.68%, over three months by -15.91% and over the past year by +107.96%.
Is STEM a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the STEM price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 19.2 | 38.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 19.2 | 38.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 8.1 | -41.4% |
STEM Fundamental Data Overview November 21, 2025
P/S = 0.7833
P/B = 0.6265
Beta = 1.434
Revenue TTM = 164.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 123.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 156.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 311.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.76m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 321.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 278.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 407.7m USD (129.2m + Debt 321.7m - CCE 43.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.13 (Ebit TTM 123.0m / Interest Expense TTM 20.1m)
FCF Yield = -4.85% (FCF TTM -19.8m / Enterprise Value 407.7m)
FCF Margin = -11.99% (FCF TTM -19.8m / Revenue TTM 164.9m)
Net Margin = 62.20% (Net Income TTM 102.6m / Revenue TTM 164.9m)
Gross Margin = 20.90% ((Revenue TTM 164.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 130.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.52% (prev 33.36%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.12 (Enterprise Value 407.7m / Total Assets 362.6m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.26% (Interest Expense 7.27m / Debt 321.7m)
Taxrate = 0.59% (-141.0k / -23.9m)
NOPAT = 122.3m (EBIT 123.0m * (1 - 0.59%))
Current Ratio = 0.83 (Total Current Assets 93.8m / Total Current Liabilities 113.6m)
Debt / Equity = -1.37 (negative equity) (Debt 321.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -235.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.78 (Net Debt 278.5m / EBITDA 156.6m)
Debt / FCF = -14.08 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 278.5m / FCF TTM -19.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -316.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 28.30% (Net Income 102.6m / Total Assets 362.6m)
RoE = -32.44% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 102.6m / Total Stockholder Equity -316.3m)
RoCE = -2341 % (out of range, set to none) (EBIT 123.0m / Capital Employed (Equity -316.3m + L.T.Debt 311.0m))
RoIC = 120.0% (NOPAT 122.3m / Invested Capital 101.9m)
WACC = 4.90% (E(129.2m)/V(450.9m) * Re(11.50%) + D(321.7m)/V(450.9m) * Rd(2.26%) * (1-Tc(0.01)))
Discount Rate = 11.50% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.65%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -19.8m)
EPS Correlation: -54.95 | EPS CAGR: -78.09% | SUE: 0.02 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -68.47 | Revenue CAGR: -39.95% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for STEM Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle