(SW) Smurfit WestRock - NYSE
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Packaging & Containers | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 21.650m USD | Total Return: -7.2% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 166M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 91.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Choppy Below Avwap Earnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Smurfit Westrock (SW) is a vertically integrated manufacturer and distributor of paper-based packaging solutions, operating a global footprint across the Americas, Europe, Asia, and Africa. The company’s portfolio includes containerboard, corrugated containers, folding cartons, and specialized products like bag-in-box and paper sacks. By controlling the production process from raw paperboard to finished secondary packaging, the firm achieves operational efficiencies and serves diverse end-markets including food and beverage, healthcare, and industrial sectors.
The paper packaging industry is characterized by high capital intensity and a strong correlation with global manufacturing output and e-commerce volumes. As a primary provider of sustainable packaging, the company benefits from the structural shift away from single-use plastics toward recyclable fiber-based materials. Evaluating the companys valuation metrics on ValueRay can provide further insight into its competitive positioning. Headquartered in Dublin, Smurfit Westrock utilizes a multi-channel distribution strategy involving direct sales forces and independent distributors to reach its international client base.
- Synergies from Smurfit Kappa and WestRock merger reduce operational overhead costs
- Global demand for sustainable paper packaging replaces single-use plastic alternatives
- Fluctuations in recycled fiber and energy costs impact manufacturing profit margins
- Economic slowdown in consumer goods sectors reduces corrugated container shipping volume
- Integration of North American and European operations optimizes global supply chain efficiency
| Net Income: 371.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.39 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 10.71% < 20% (prev 12.95%; Δ -2.24% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 3.36b > Net Income 371.5m |
| Net Debt (13.6b) to EBITDA (4.47b): 3.04 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.44 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (538.9m) vs 12m ago 2.45% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 18.42% > 18% (prev 19.57%; Δ -1.15% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 67.30% > 50% (prev 55.08%; Δ 12.21% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.24 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.89b / Interest Expense TTM 843.0m) |
| A: 0.07 (Total Current Assets 10.6b - Total Current Liabilities 7.31b) / Total Assets 45.2b |
| B: 0.05 (Retained Earnings 2.40b / Total Assets 45.2b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 1.89b / Avg Total Assets 44.9b) |
| D: 0.67 (Book Value of Equity 18.1b / Total Liabilities 27.1b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.63 = BB |
| DSRI: 0.83 (Receivables 4.64b/4.55b, Revenue 30.2b/24.6b) |
| GMI: 1.06 (GM 19.57% / 18.42%) |
| AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.26 / AQ_t-1 0.25) |
| SGI: 1.23 (Revenue 30.2b / 24.6b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 371.5m - CFO 3.36b) / TA 45.2b) |
| Beneish M = -2.93 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of June 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 38.95 with a total of 6,897,663 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.53%,
over one month by -3.68%,
over three months by -7.83% and
over the past year by -7.24%.
Smurfit WestRock has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.67. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SW.
- StrongBuy: 10
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 53.5 | 37.3% |
P/E Trailing = 57.3333
P/E Forward = 17.1527
P/S = 0.6931
P/B = 1.1989
P/EG = 0.277
Revenue TTM = 30.2b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.89b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.47b USD
Long Term Debt = 13.3b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 980.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14.3b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 13.6b USD (calculated: Debt 14.3b - CCE 674.0m)
Enterprise Value = 35.2b USD (21.6b + Debt 14.3b - CCE 674.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.24 (Ebit TTM 1.89b / Interest Expense TTM 843.0m)
EV/FCF = 34.47x (Enterprise Value 35.2b / FCF TTM 1.02b)
FCF Yield = 2.90% (FCF TTM 1.02b / Enterprise Value 35.2b)
FCF Margin = 3.38% (FCF TTM 1.02b / Revenue TTM 30.2b)
Net Margin = 1.23% (Net Income TTM 371.5m / Revenue TTM 30.2b)
Gross Margin = 18.42% ((Revenue TTM 30.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 24.7b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.44% (prev 18.23%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.78 (Enterprise Value 35.2b / Total Assets 45.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.91% (Interest Expense 843.0m / Debt 14.3b)
Taxrate = 42.10% (270.2m / 642.0m)
NOPAT = 1.09b (EBIT 1.89b * (1 - 42.10%))
Current Ratio = 1.44 (Total Current Assets 10.6b / Total Current Liabilities 7.31b)
Debt / Equity = 0.79 (Debt 14.3b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 18.1b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.04 (Net Debt 13.6b / EBITDA 4.47b)
Debt / FCF = 13.29 (Net Debt 13.6b / FCF TTM 1.02b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 18.3b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.83% (Net Income 371.5m / Total Assets 45.2b)
RoE = 2.03% (Net Income TTM 371.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 18.3b)
RoCE = 5.98% (EBIT 1.89b / Capital Employed (Equity 18.3b + L.T.Debt 13.3b))
RoIC = 2.86% (NOPAT 1.09b / Invested Capital 38.2b)
WACC = 7.70% (E(21.6b)/V(35.9b) * Re(10.51%) + D(14.3b)/V(35.9b) * Rd(5.91%) * (1-Tc(0.42)))
Discount Rate = 10.51% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 80.90 | Cagr: 38.37%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈1.02b ; Y1≈1.03b ; Y5≈1.09b
[DCF] Fair Price = 6.34 (EV 16.9b - Net Debt 13.6b = Equity 3.33b / Shares 524.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.63 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 91.25 | Revenue CAGR: 58.42% | SUE: -0.23 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.47 | Chg30d=-14.35% | Revisions=-64% | Analysts=8
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.76 | Chg30d=+3.07% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.22 | Chg30d=-4.94% | Revisions=-60% | GrowthEPS=+67.1% | GrowthRev=+2.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.16 | Chg30d=+1.49% | Revisions=+45% | GrowthEPS=+37.4% | GrowthRev=+4.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -64%