(SW) Smurfit WestRock - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: Ireland •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: IE00028FXN24
Stock: Paper Packaging, Corrugated Boxes, Containerboard, Consumer Packaging
Total Rating 32
Risk 59
Buy Signal -1.87
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 122% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -55.4% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.12 |
| Alpha | -24.53 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.233 |
| Beta Downside | 1.743 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 39.78% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.26 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: SW Smurfit WestRock March 05, 2026
Smurfit WestRock Plc (SW) is a packaging company. It produces containerboard, corrugated containers, and other paper-based packaging. The company operates in 40 countries, serving diverse sectors including food and beverage, e-commerce, and industrial markets. This business model relies on consistent demand for packaging across various industries.
SWs product range includes linerboard, corrugated medium, folding cartons, and recycled paper-based packaging. The company also offers packaging machinery. The packaging sector is cyclical, influenced by global economic growth and consumer spending. Investors may find further analysis on ValueRay beneficial for deeper insights.
Headlines to watch out for
- Global e-commerce growth boosts packaging demand
- Raw material pulp prices impact production costs
- Sustainable packaging trends increase market share
- Industrial production levels drive corrugated box sales
- Regulatory environmental mandates affect manufacturing expenses
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 659.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.61 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 11.94% < 20% (prev 13.85%; Δ -1.91% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 3.39b > Net Income 659.7m |
| Net Debt (11.76b) to EBITDA (4.17b): 2.82 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.48 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (538.9m) vs 12m ago 17.79% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 19.42% > 18% (prev 0.20%; Δ 1.92k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 63.59% > 50% (prev 44.91%; Δ 18.68% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.64 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 4.17b / Interest Expense TTM 704.7m) |
Altman Z'' 1.01
| A: 0.07 (Total Current Assets 10.44b - Total Current Liabilities 7.06b) / Total Assets 45.16b |
| B: 0.05 (Retained Earnings 2.26b / Total Assets 45.16b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 1.86b / Avg Total Assets 44.46b) |
| D: 0.07 (Book Value of Equity 1.96b / Total Liabilities 26.80b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.01 = BB |
Beneish M -3.07
| DSRI: 0.61 (Receivables 3.63b/4.12b, Revenue 28.27b/19.65b) |
| GMI: 1.02 (GM 19.42% / 19.81%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.25 / AQ_t-1 0.25) |
| SGI: 1.44 (Revenue 28.27b / 19.65b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 659.7m - CFO 3.39b) / TA 45.16b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.07 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of SW shares?
As of March 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 42.20 with a total of 3,394,380 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -10.94%, over one month by -22.09%, over three months by +7.72% and over the past year by -6.56%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -10.94%, over one month by -22.09%, over three months by +7.72% and over the past year by -6.56%.
Is SW a buy, sell or hold?
Smurfit WestRock has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.17.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy SW.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SW price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 59.1 | 40% |
| Analysts Target Price | 59.1 | 40% |
SW Fundamental Data Overview March 08, 2026
P/E Trailing = 33.4766
P/E Forward = 16.6945
P/S = 0.7205
P/B = 1.2755
P/EG = 0.2642
Revenue TTM = 28.27b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.86b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.17b USD
Long Term Debt = 13.43b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 567.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 12.65b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 11.76b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 34.23b USD (22.46b + Debt 12.65b - CCE 892.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.64 (Ebit TTM 1.86b / Interest Expense TTM 704.7m)
EV/FCF = 28.52x (Enterprise Value 34.23b / FCF TTM 1.20b)
FCF Yield = 3.51% (FCF TTM 1.20b / Enterprise Value 34.23b)
FCF Margin = 4.24% (FCF TTM 1.20b / Revenue TTM 28.27b)
Net Margin = 2.33% (Net Income TTM 659.7m / Revenue TTM 28.27b)
Gross Margin = 19.42% ((Revenue TTM 28.27b - Cost of Revenue TTM 22.78b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.23% (prev 19.61%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.76 (Enterprise Value 34.23b / Total Assets 45.16b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.37% (Interest Expense 172.8m / Debt 12.65b)
Taxrate = 44.0% (65.5m / 148.9m)
NOPAT = 1.04b (EBIT 1.86b * (1 - 44.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.48 (Total Current Assets 10.44b / Total Current Liabilities 7.06b)
Debt / Equity = 0.81 (Debt 12.65b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 15.60b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.82 (Net Debt 11.76b / EBITDA 4.17b)
Debt / FCF = 9.80 (Net Debt 11.76b / FCF TTM 1.20b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.55b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.48% (Net Income 659.7m / Total Assets 45.16b)
RoE = 3.76% (Net Income TTM 659.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 17.55b)
RoCE = 6.01% (EBIT 1.86b / Capital Employed (Equity 17.55b + L.T.Debt 13.43b))
RoIC = 3.22% (NOPAT 1.04b / Invested Capital 32.43b)
WACC = 6.97% (E(22.46b)/V(35.12b) * Re(10.46%) + D(12.65b)/V(35.12b) * Rd(1.37%) * (1-Tc(0.44)))
Discount Rate = 10.46% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 42.23%
[DCF] Terminal Value 82.23% ; FCFF base≈727.5m ; Y1≈739.6m ; Y5≈809.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 11.49 (EV 17.78b - Net Debt 11.76b = Equity 6.02b / Shares 524.3m; r=6.97% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 1.41% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 67.57 | EPS CAGR: 97.18% | SUE: -0.68 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 73.55 | Revenue CAGR: 20.63% | SUE: -0.77 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.61 | Chg7d=-0.071 | Chg30d=-0.164 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.40 | Chg7d=-0.383 | Chg30d=-0.383 | Revisions Net=-6 | Growth EPS=+80.7% | Growth Revenue=+1.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.27 | Chg7d=-0.011 | Chg30d=-0.280 | Revisions Net=-8 | Growth EPS=+31.0% | Growth Revenue=+2.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 6 Down within 30d for Current Year)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 7.5% (Discount Rate 10.5% - Earnings Yield 3.0%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -7.3% (Analyst 0.2% - Implied 7.5%)
P/E Forward = 16.6945
P/S = 0.7205
P/B = 1.2755
P/EG = 0.2642
Revenue TTM = 28.27b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.86b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.17b USD
Long Term Debt = 13.43b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 567.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 12.65b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 11.76b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 34.23b USD (22.46b + Debt 12.65b - CCE 892.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.64 (Ebit TTM 1.86b / Interest Expense TTM 704.7m)
EV/FCF = 28.52x (Enterprise Value 34.23b / FCF TTM 1.20b)
FCF Yield = 3.51% (FCF TTM 1.20b / Enterprise Value 34.23b)
FCF Margin = 4.24% (FCF TTM 1.20b / Revenue TTM 28.27b)
Net Margin = 2.33% (Net Income TTM 659.7m / Revenue TTM 28.27b)
Gross Margin = 19.42% ((Revenue TTM 28.27b - Cost of Revenue TTM 22.78b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.23% (prev 19.61%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.76 (Enterprise Value 34.23b / Total Assets 45.16b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.37% (Interest Expense 172.8m / Debt 12.65b)
Taxrate = 44.0% (65.5m / 148.9m)
NOPAT = 1.04b (EBIT 1.86b * (1 - 44.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.48 (Total Current Assets 10.44b / Total Current Liabilities 7.06b)
Debt / Equity = 0.81 (Debt 12.65b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 15.60b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.82 (Net Debt 11.76b / EBITDA 4.17b)
Debt / FCF = 9.80 (Net Debt 11.76b / FCF TTM 1.20b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.55b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.48% (Net Income 659.7m / Total Assets 45.16b)
RoE = 3.76% (Net Income TTM 659.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 17.55b)
RoCE = 6.01% (EBIT 1.86b / Capital Employed (Equity 17.55b + L.T.Debt 13.43b))
RoIC = 3.22% (NOPAT 1.04b / Invested Capital 32.43b)
WACC = 6.97% (E(22.46b)/V(35.12b) * Re(10.46%) + D(12.65b)/V(35.12b) * Rd(1.37%) * (1-Tc(0.44)))
Discount Rate = 10.46% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 42.23%
[DCF] Terminal Value 82.23% ; FCFF base≈727.5m ; Y1≈739.6m ; Y5≈809.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 11.49 (EV 17.78b - Net Debt 11.76b = Equity 6.02b / Shares 524.3m; r=6.97% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 1.41% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 67.57 | EPS CAGR: 97.18% | SUE: -0.68 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 73.55 | Revenue CAGR: 20.63% | SUE: -0.77 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.61 | Chg7d=-0.071 | Chg30d=-0.164 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.40 | Chg7d=-0.383 | Chg30d=-0.383 | Revisions Net=-6 | Growth EPS=+80.7% | Growth Revenue=+1.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.27 | Chg7d=-0.011 | Chg30d=-0.280 | Revisions Net=-8 | Growth EPS=+31.0% | Growth Revenue=+2.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 6 Down within 30d for Current Year)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 7.5% (Discount Rate 10.5% - Earnings Yield 3.0%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -7.3% (Analyst 0.2% - Implied 7.5%)