SWK Stock Analysis: Stanley Black & Decker | NYSE
Tools & Accessories | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 13.336m USD | 12M Return: 46.7% | US8545021011 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 144M
EPS Trend: 77.4%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: -88.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (NYSE: SWK) is a U.S.-based industrial manufacturer operating through two main segments: Tools & Outdoor and Industrial. The Tools & Outdoor segment offers a broad range of professional and consumer products, including corded and cordless power tools, hand tools, accessories, storage solutions, and outdoor equipment, sold under well-known brands such as DEWALT, CRAFTSMAN, CUB CADET, STANLEY, BLACK+DECKER, and HUSTLER. The Industrial segment supplies engineered fastening and assembly solutions-ranging from threaded fasteners and blind rivets to self-piercing riveting systems-serving customers in the automotive, manufacturing, electronics, construction, and aerospace industries. The company sells through retailers, distributors, independent dealers, and a direct sales force, with operations across the United States, Canada, Other Americas, Europe, and Asia. Founded in 1843 and headquartered in New Britain, Connecticut, the company was renamed Stanley Black & Decker in March 2010 following its merger with Black & Decker.
As a constituent of the GICS Industrials sector, SWK operates in the highly competitive tools and engineered fastening markets, which tend to track closely with trends in construction activity, residential DIY spending, and global automotive production. Its portfolio of legacy and acquired brands positions it as one of the largest branded tool manufacturers in North America, while the Industrial segment diversifies revenue into B2B fastening solutions used across multiple manufacturing verticals.
- Tools & Outdoor demand softens on housing slowdown
- Industrial segment pressured by automotive production cuts
- Margin recovery and debt paydown boost free cash flow
| Net Income: 620.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.58 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 12.56% < 20% (prev 1.88%; Δ 10.67% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 1.55b > Net Income 620.5m |
| Net Debt (4.30b) to EBITDA (1.41b): 3.05 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.43 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (152.4m) vs 12m ago 0.44% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 31.72% > 18% (prev 29.36%; Δ 2.36% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 71.61% > 50% (prev 67.41%; Δ 4.20% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.47 > 6 (EBIT TTM 942.4m / Interest Expense TTM 381.7m) |
| A: 0.10 (Total Current Assets 6.34b - Total Current Liabilities 4.43b) / Total Assets 20.1b |
| B: 0.42 (Retained Earnings 8.41b / Total Assets 20.1b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 942.4m / Avg Total Assets 21.3b) |
| D: 0.80 (Book Value of Equity 8.96b / Total Liabilities 11.1b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.13 = A |
| DSRI: 0.95 (Receivables 1.47b/1.54b, Revenue 15.2b/15.2b) |
| GMI: 0.93 (GM 29.36% / 31.72%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.60 / AQ_t-1 0.60) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 15.2b / 15.2b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 620.5m - CFO 1.55b) / TA 20.1b) |
| Beneish M = -3.14 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 90.71 with a total of 1,098,669 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.80%, over one month by +2.05%, over three months by +5.78% and over the past year by +46.74%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 84.30 (which is 7.1% or 2.4 ATR below the current price).
Stanley Black & Decker has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.53. Therefore, it is recommended to hold SWK.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 101.1 | 11.4% |
P/E Trailing = 22.0224
P/E Forward = 14.5138
P/S = 0.8746
P/B = 1.5468
P/EG = 1.3904
Revenue TTM = 15.2b USD
EBIT TTM = 942.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.41b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.70b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 53.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.89b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 133.1m
Net Debt = 4.30b USD (calculated: Debt 4.89b - CCE 592.4m)
Enterprise Value = 17.6b USD (13.3b + Debt 4.89b - CCE 592.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.47 (Ebit TTM 942.4m / Interest Expense TTM 381.7m)
EV/FCF = 13.68x (Enterprise Value 17.6b / FCF TTM 1.29b)
FCF Yield = 7.31% (FCF TTM 1.29b / Enterprise Value 17.6b)
FCF Margin = 8.45% (FCF TTM 1.29b / Revenue TTM 15.2b)
Net Margin = 4.07% (Net Income TTM 620.5m / Revenue TTM 15.2b)
Gross Margin = 31.72% ((Revenue TTM 15.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.4b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.97% (prev 30.09%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.88 (Enterprise Value 17.6b / Total Assets 20.1b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.80% (Interest Expense 381.7m / Debt 4.89b)
Taxrate = 26.78% (226.9m / 847.4m)
NOPAT = 690.1m (EBIT 942.4m * (1 - 26.78%))
Current Ratio = 1.43 (Total Current Assets 6.34b / Total Current Liabilities 4.43b)
Debt / Equity = 0.55 (Debt 4.89b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.96b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.05 (Net Debt 4.30b / EBITDA 1.41b)
Debt / FCF = 3.33 (Net Debt 4.30b / FCF TTM 1.29b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.99b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.91% (Net Income 620.5m / Total Assets 20.1b)
RoE = 6.90% (Net Income TTM 620.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 8.99b)
RoCE = 6.88% (EBIT 942.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 8.99b + L.T.Debt 4.70b))
RoIC = 4.56% (NOPAT 690.1m / Invested Capital 15.1b)
WACC = 10.32% (E(13.3b)/V(18.2b) * Re(12.01%) + D(4.89b)/V(18.2b) * Rd(7.80%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 12.01% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 91.06 | Cagr: 0.43%
[DCF] Terminal Value 71.87% ; FCFF base≈938.9m ; Y1≈1.08b ; Y5≈1.58b
[DCF] Fair Price = 88.59 (EV 17.7b - Net Debt 4.30b = Equity 13.4b / Shares 151.0m; r=10.32% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 77.41 | EPS CAGR: 86.61% | SUE: 2.10 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -88.90 | Revenue CAGR: -1.84% | SUE: 0.04 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.56 | Chg30d=-0.06% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=12
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.60 | Chg30d=-0.13% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+19.9% | GrowthRev=+0.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.35 | Chg30d=-0.49% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+13.4% | GrowthRev=+1.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +25% (up=6, down=3)