(SWK) Stanley Black & Decker - Ratings and Ratios
Power Tools, Hand Tools, Outdoor Equipment, Fasteners, Storage
SWK EPS (Earnings per Share)
SWK Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 34.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 49.4% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.37 |
| Alpha Jensen | -37.48 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.368 |
| Beta | 1.204 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 48.31% |
| Mean DD | 17.00% |
Description: SWK Stanley Black & Decker October 31, 2025
Stanley Black & Decker (NYSE: SWK) is a diversified tools and industrial products company that sells hand tools, power tools, outdoor equipment, and related accessories across North America, Europe, and Asia. Its legacy brands-including DEWALT, CRAFTSMAN, BLACK+DECKER, and HUSTLER-are distributed through retailers, third-party distributors, independent dealers, and a direct sales force.
The business is organized into two primary segments. The **Tools & Outdoor** segment offers a full line of professional-grade corded and cordless electric tools (drills, impact wrenches, saws, etc.), pneumatic tools, fasteners, hand-held vacuums, and lawn-and-garden equipment, sold under the aforementioned brands. The **Industrial** segment supplies engineered fasteners, rivets, weld studs, and related components to automotive, aerospace, construction, electronics, and manufacturing customers, primarily via a direct sales force and selected distributors.
Key operating metrics from the most recent FY 2023 filing show total revenue of roughly **$15.5 billion**, a **12 % year-over-year increase** driven largely by strong demand for cordless tools, and an adjusted operating margin of **~14 %**. Free-cash-flow conversion was about **13 %** of revenue, supporting a **ROIC of ~13 %**. The segment’s growth is closely tied to macro-level construction activity-U.S. housing starts rose ~5 % YoY in 2023-and to the DIY renovation wave, which has boosted sales of consumer-grade tools. A potential risk is the cyclicality of construction spending; a sustained slowdown could pressure the Tools & Outdoor segment’s professional sales.
For a deeper dive into how these drivers affect SWK’s valuation and risk profile, you may find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit worth exploring.
SWK Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 10,574m |
| Sub-Industry | Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components |
| IPO / Inception | 1985-07-01 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -28.3% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.40 of 5 |
SWK Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.88% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.07% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 4.06% |
| Payout Consistency | 73.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 69.5% |
SWK Growth Ratios
| CAGR | -2.00% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.04 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.12 |
| Current Volume | 1005.9k |
| Average Volume | 1545.3k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (438.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 910.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.02pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 4.21% (prev 10.00%; Δ -5.80pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO 694.6m > Net Income 438.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (5.79b) to EBITDA (1.34b) ratio: 4.33 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.11 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (152.0m) change vs 12m ago 0.33% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 29.38% (prev 29.09%; Δ 0.29pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 68.57% (prev 68.42%; Δ 0.15pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.63 (EBITDA TTM 1.34b / Interest Expense TTM 497.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.22
| (A) 0.03 = (Total Current Assets 6.50b - Total Current Liabilities 5.86b) / Total Assets 21.75b |
| (B) 0.38 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 8.21b / Total Assets 21.75b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 809.1m / Avg Total Assets 22.12b |
| (D) 0.52 = Book Value of Equity 6.65b / Total Liabilities 12.78b |
| Total Rating: 2.22 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 49.45
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.26% = 1.13 |
| 3. FCF Margin 2.44% = 0.61 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.67 = 2.28 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.33 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -0.16)% = -0.20 |
| 7. RoE 4.93% = 0.41 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -56.31% = -4.22 |
| 9. EPS Trend 78.95% = 3.95 |
What is the price of SWK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.10%, over one month by +4.51%, over three months by -10.25% and over the past year by -18.27%.
Is Stanley Black & Decker a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of SWK is around 62.05 USD . This means that SWK is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -7.94%.
Is SWK a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the SWK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 84.9 | 25.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 84.9 | 25.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 68.7 | 2% |
SWK Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025
P/E Trailing = 23.5414
P/E Forward = 11.7509
P/S = 0.6972
P/B = 1.2646
P/EG = 1.3679
Beta = 1.204
Revenue TTM = 15.17b USD
EBIT TTM = 809.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.34b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.60b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.35b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.06b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.79b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 16.36b USD (10.57b + Debt 6.06b - CCE 268.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.63 (Ebit TTM 809.1m / Interest Expense TTM 497.8m)
FCF Yield = 2.26% (FCF TTM 369.6m / Enterprise Value 16.36b)
FCF Margin = 2.44% (FCF TTM 369.6m / Revenue TTM 15.17b)
Net Margin = 2.89% (Net Income TTM 438.6m / Revenue TTM 15.17b)
Gross Margin = 29.38% ((Revenue TTM 15.17b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.71b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.65% (prev 26.46%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.75 (Enterprise Value 16.36b / Total Assets 21.75b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.11% (Interest Expense 127.9m / Debt 6.06b)
Taxrate = -44.38% (negative due to tax credits) (-15.8m / 35.6m)
NOPAT = 1.17b (EBIT 809.1m * (1 - -44.38%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 1.11 (Total Current Assets 6.50b / Total Current Liabilities 5.86b)
Debt / Equity = 0.67 (Debt 6.06b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.98b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.33 (Net Debt 5.79b / EBITDA 1.34b)
Debt / FCF = 15.66 (Net Debt 5.79b / FCF TTM 369.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.90b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.02% (Net Income 438.6m / Total Assets 21.75b)
RoE = 4.93% (Net Income TTM 438.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 8.90b)
RoCE = 5.58% (EBIT 809.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 8.90b + L.T.Debt 5.60b))
RoIC = 7.59% (NOPAT 1.17b / Invested Capital 15.38b)
WACC = 7.75% (E(10.57b)/V(16.63b) * Re(10.45%) + D(6.06b)/V(16.63b) * Rd(2.11%) * (1-Tc(-0.44)))
Discount Rate = 10.45% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.67%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 60.44% ; FCFE base≈555.9m ; Y1≈365.0m ; Y5≈166.9m
Fair Price DCF = 15.00 (DCF Value 2.32b / Shares Outstanding 154.9m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 78.95 | EPS CAGR: 76.16% | SUE: 1.23 | # QB: 6
Revenue Correlation: -56.31 | Revenue CAGR: -2.15% | SUE: -0.17 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for SWK Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle