(SWK) Stanley Black & Decker - Ratings and Ratios
Power Tools, Hand Tools, Outdoor Equipment, Industrial Fasteners
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.63% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.23% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 2.58% |
| Payout Consistency | 74.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 90.2% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 36.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 52.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.40% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.08 |
| Alpha | -21.53 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.05 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.357 |
| Beta | 1.608 |
| Beta Downside | 1.587 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 48.31% |
| Mean DD | 18.53% |
| Median DD | 16.76% |
Description: SWK Stanley Black & Decker January 04, 2026
Stanley Black & Decker (NYSE:SWK) operates two core segments: Tools & Outdoor, which markets professional-grade power and hand tools, lawn-and-garden equipment, and storage solutions under brands such as DEWALT, CRAFTSMAN, BLACK+DECKER and HUSTLER; and Industrial, which supplies engineered fasteners, rivets, weld studs and related components to automotive, aerospace, construction and electronics manufacturers. Both segments reach customers through a mix of retailers, distributors and direct sales forces.
In FY 2023 the company generated roughly $12.5 billion in revenue, with the Tools & Outdoor segment contributing about 70 % and delivering an adjusted operating margin near 13 %. Free cash flow topped $1.8 billion, supporting a 2.5 % dividend yield and a $2 billion share-repurchase program. The business is highly sensitive to construction activity and housing starts-U.S. residential construction spending grew 4.2 % YoY in Q4 2023-while the Industrial segment tracks cyclical demand in automotive production and aerospace orders.
Key macro drivers include the ongoing rebound in professional construction demand, the DIY “home-improvement” tailwind that boosted retail sales of cordless tools, and supply-chain normalization that is easing component shortages for fasteners. Conversely, a slowdown in housing permits or a prolonged semiconductor shortage could compress margins in the Industrial line.
For a deeper, data-driven view of SWK’s valuation dynamics, you may find ValueRay’s analytical dashboards useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income: 438.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.02 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 4.21% < 20% (prev 10.00%; Δ -5.80% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 694.6m > Net Income 438.6m |
| Net Debt (5.79b) to EBITDA (1.34b): 4.33 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.11 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (152.0m) vs 12m ago 0.33% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 29.38% > 18% (prev 0.31%; Δ 2907 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 68.57% > 50% (prev 68.42%; Δ 0.15% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.63 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.34b / Interest Expense TTM 497.8m) |
Altman Z'' 2.22
| A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 6.50b - Total Current Liabilities 5.86b) / Total Assets 21.75b |
| B: 0.38 (Retained Earnings 8.21b / Total Assets 21.75b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 809.1m / Avg Total Assets 22.12b) |
| D: 0.52 (Book Value of Equity 6.65b / Total Liabilities 12.78b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.22 = BBB |
Beneish M -3.01
| DSRI: 0.96 (Receivables 1.42b/1.50b, Revenue 15.17b/15.38b) |
| GMI: 1.07 (GM 29.38% / 31.47%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.61 / AQ_t-1 0.60) |
| SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 15.17b / 15.38b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 438.6m - CFO 694.6m) / TA 21.75b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.01 = AA |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 38.45
| 1. Piotroski: 3.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: 2.02% |
| 3. FCF Margin: 2.44% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: 0.67 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: 4.33 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: -4.38% |
| 7. RoE: 4.93% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: -76.16% |
| 9. EPS Trend: -13.49% |
What is the price of SWK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.52%, over one month by +10.49%, over three months by +18.53% and over the past year by -2.40%.
Is SWK a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the SWK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 87.5 | 6.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 87.5 | 6.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 91.7 | 11.1% |
SWK Fundamental Data Overview January 22, 2026
P/E Forward = 12.87
P/S = 0.8246
P/B = 1.393
P/EG = 1.3679
Revenue TTM = 15.17b USD
EBIT TTM = 809.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.34b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.70b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.35b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.06b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.79b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 18.29b USD (12.51b + Debt 6.06b - CCE 268.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.63 (Ebit TTM 809.1m / Interest Expense TTM 497.8m)
EV/FCF = 49.50x (Enterprise Value 18.29b / FCF TTM 369.6m)
FCF Yield = 2.02% (FCF TTM 369.6m / Enterprise Value 18.29b)
FCF Margin = 2.44% (FCF TTM 369.6m / Revenue TTM 15.17b)
Net Margin = 2.89% (Net Income TTM 438.6m / Revenue TTM 15.17b)
Gross Margin = 29.38% ((Revenue TTM 15.17b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.71b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.65% (prev 26.46%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.84 (Enterprise Value 18.29b / Total Assets 21.75b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.11% (Interest Expense 127.9m / Debt 6.06b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 639.2m (EBIT 809.1m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.11 (Total Current Assets 6.50b / Total Current Liabilities 5.86b)
Debt / Equity = 0.67 (Debt 6.06b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.98b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.33 (Net Debt 5.79b / EBITDA 1.34b)
Debt / FCF = 15.66 (Net Debt 5.79b / FCF TTM 369.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.90b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.98% (Net Income 438.6m / Total Assets 21.75b)
RoE = 4.93% (Net Income TTM 438.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 8.90b)
RoCE = 5.95% (EBIT 809.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 8.90b + L.T.Debt 4.70b))
RoIC = 4.14% (NOPAT 639.2m / Invested Capital 15.43b)
WACC = 8.52% (E(12.51b)/V(18.56b) * Re(11.84%) + D(6.06b)/V(18.56b) * Rd(2.11%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 11.84% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.67%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.88% ; FCFF base≈555.9m ; Y1≈364.9m ; Y5≈166.5m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 2.98b - Net Debt 5.79b = -2.81b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: -13.49 | EPS CAGR: -38.77% | SUE: -3.81 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -76.16 | Revenue CAGR: -2.11% | SUE: -0.17 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.05 | Chg30d=+0.026 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=8
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.63 | Chg30d=-0.191 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+23.8% | Growth Revenue=+3.0%
Additional Sources for SWK Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle