(T) AT&T - Ratings and Ratios
Wireless, Fiber, Broadband, VoIP, Prepaid
T EPS (Earnings per Share)
T Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 36.5% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.79 |
| Alpha Jensen | 10.80 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.430 |
| Beta | 0.598 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 32.01% |
| Mean DD | 8.53% |
Description: T AT&T September 24, 2025
AT&T Inc. (NYSE:T) is a global telecommunications and technology provider organized into two operating segments: Communications and Latin America. The Communications segment delivers wireless voice and data services, sells handsets and accessories, and offers a suite of wired solutions-including AT&T Dedicated Internet, fiber Ethernet, broadband, fixed-wireless, VPN, and managed services-to residential, business, government, and wholesale customers under brands such as AT&T, AT&T Business, Cricket, AT&T PREPAID, AT&T Fiber, and AT&T Internet Air. The Latin America segment focuses on post-paid and prepaid wireless services in Mexico under the AT&T and Unefon brands and also sells smartphones through various retail channels.
Based on AT&T’s 2023 Form 10-K (the most recent filed data as of Q3 2024), the company generated roughly **$120 billion in revenue** with an **adjusted EBITDA margin of ~30 %** and **free cash flow of about $7 billion**. Net debt remained high at **~$150 billion**, translating to a debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 5.0×, which is a material risk factor given the current **U.S. interest-rate environment**. The wireless subscriber base was approximately **155 million post-paid** and **65 million prepaid** lines, while broadband (including fiber) subscriptions topped **15 million**. These figures are subject to revision pending AT&T’s next quarterly release.
Key drivers shaping AT&T’s outlook include: (1) **5G rollout intensity**-AT&T has invested >$30 billion in 5G infrastructure since 2020, and the speed of enterprise adoption will directly affect ARPU growth; (2) **Fiber-broadband demand**-U.S. residential broadband spend is projected to rise 3-4 % YoY in 2024, benefitting AT&T’s fiber expansion plans in high-density markets; and (3) **Macro-economic pressures**-elevated interest rates increase debt-service costs and may dampen discretionary handset upgrades, while inflation-adjusted consumer spending trends influence churn and prepaid uptake. Monitoring these variables against industry base rates (e.g., average 5G penetration of ~55 % of U.S. wireless customers) is essential for assessing AT&T’s relative positioning.
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T Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 176,031m |
| Sub-Industry | Integrated Telecommunication Services |
| IPO / Inception | 1984-07-19 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 5.95% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.07 of 5 |
T Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.34% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 7.11% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -14.49% |
| Payout Consistency | 96.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 52.2% |
T Growth Ratios
| CAGR | 17.36% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.54 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 2.04 |
| Current Volume | 49771.3k |
| Average Volume | 75032.7k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (22.25b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 7.47b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.42pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 0.56% (prev -8.90%; Δ 9.46pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 40.86b > Net Income 22.25b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (138.22b) to EBITDA (55.82b) ratio: 2.48 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.01 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (7.17b) change vs 12m ago -0.54% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 42.70% (prev 43.54%; Δ -0.85pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 30.47% (prev 31.00%; Δ -0.53pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.23 (EBITDA TTM 55.82b / Interest Expense TTM 6.63b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.76
| (A) 0.00 = (Total Current Assets 54.58b - Total Current Liabilities 53.88b) / Total Assets 423.21b |
| (B) 0.03 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 13.97b / Total Assets 423.21b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 34.68b / Avg Total Assets 408.47b |
| (D) 0.07 = Book Value of Equity 20.95b / Total Liabilities 294.47b |
| Total Rating: 0.76 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 66.89
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.35% = 3.18 |
| 3. FCF Margin 16.03% = 4.01 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.43 = 1.55 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.48 = -0.91 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 8.81)% = 11.01 |
| 7. RoE 20.98% = 1.75 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 13.30% = 1.00 |
| 9. EPS Trend -73.69% = -3.68 |
What is the price of T shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.08%, over one month by +0.63%, over three months by -8.35% and over the past year by +20.68%.
Is AT&T a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of T is around 25.46 USD . This means that T is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -1.13%.
Is T a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 12
- Buy: 8
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the T price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 30.6 | 19% |
| Analysts Target Price | 30.6 | 19% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 27.4 | 6.6% |
T Fundamental Data Overview November 09, 2025
P/E Trailing = 8.0879
P/E Forward = 12.1065
P/S = 1.4141
P/B = 1.8346
P/EG = 0.9847
Beta = 0.598
Revenue TTM = 124.48b USD
EBIT TTM = 34.68b USD
EBITDA TTM = 55.82b USD
Long Term Debt = 118.44b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 11.38b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 158.49b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 138.22b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 314.25b USD (176.03b + Debt 158.49b - CCE 20.27b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.23 (Ebit TTM 34.68b / Interest Expense TTM 6.63b)
FCF Yield = 6.35% (FCF TTM 19.96b / Enterprise Value 314.25b)
FCF Margin = 16.03% (FCF TTM 19.96b / Revenue TTM 124.48b)
Net Margin = 17.87% (Net Income TTM 22.25b / Revenue TTM 124.48b)
Gross Margin = 42.70% ((Revenue TTM 124.48b - Cost of Revenue TTM 71.33b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 44.20% (prev 43.59%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.74 (Enterprise Value 314.25b / Total Assets 423.21b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.07% (Interest Expense 1.70b / Debt 158.49b)
Taxrate = 9.16% (976.0m / 10.65b)
NOPAT = 31.51b (EBIT 34.68b * (1 - 9.16%))
Current Ratio = 1.01 (Total Current Assets 54.58b / Total Current Liabilities 53.88b)
Debt / Equity = 1.43 (Debt 158.49b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 110.71b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.48 (Net Debt 138.22b / EBITDA 55.82b)
Debt / FCF = 6.93 (Net Debt 138.22b / FCF TTM 19.96b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 106.02b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.26% (Net Income 22.25b / Total Assets 423.21b)
RoE = 20.98% (Net Income TTM 22.25b / Total Stockholder Equity 106.02b)
RoCE = 15.45% (EBIT 34.68b / Capital Employed (Equity 106.02b + L.T.Debt 118.44b))
RoIC = 13.59% (NOPAT 31.51b / Invested Capital 231.80b)
WACC = 4.79% (E(176.03b)/V(334.52b) * Re(8.22%) + D(158.49b)/V(334.52b) * Rd(1.07%) * (1-Tc(0.09)))
Discount Rate = 8.22% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.15%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.80% ; FCFE base≈20.07b ; Y1≈20.25b ; Y5≈21.87b
Fair Price DCF = 52.72 (DCF Value 373.72b / Shares Outstanding 7.09b; 5y FCF grow 0.49% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -73.69 | EPS CAGR: -4.34% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 13.30 | Revenue CAGR: -0.74% | SUE: -0.50 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for T Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle