(TAC) TransAlta - Ratings and Ratios
Hydroelectric Plants, Wind Farms, Solar Farms, Gas Plants, Coal Plants
TAC EPS (Earnings per Share)
TAC Revenue
Description: TAC TransAlta
TransAlta Corp (NYSE:TAC) is a Canadian independent power producer and energy trader with a diverse portfolio of assets across North America and Australia. The company operates through multiple segments, including Hydro, Wind and Solar, Gas, Energy Transition, and Energy Marketing, generating electricity from various sources such as hydroelectric, wind, solar, gas, and coal.
The companys renewable energy capacity is substantial, with approximately 922 MW of hydroelectric, 2,057 MW of wind and solar, and a growing presence in battery storage. This positions TransAlta to benefit from the global transition to cleaner energy sources. Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) to watch include the companys Renewable Energy Capacity as a percentage of total capacity, and the growth rate of its wind and solar assets.
TransAltas Energy Marketing segment plays a crucial role in optimizing the value of its generation assets by trading power, natural gas, and environmental products. The companys customer base spans various industries, including commercial real estate, municipal, manufacturing, and oil and gas. To gauge the effectiveness of this segment, we can monitor KPIs such as Gross Margin on Energy Sales and the companys ability to capture price volatility in the markets it serves.
With a market capitalization of approximately $3.57 billion USD, TransAltas financial health and ability to invest in growth opportunities are critical to its long-term success. Key metrics to monitor include Debt-to-Equity Ratio, Interest Coverage Ratio, and Funds From Operations (FFO) as a percentage of debt. The companys high P/E ratio and low RoE suggest that investors are pricing in significant growth expectations, making it essential to track progress against these expectations.
To further evaluate TransAltas prospects, we should examine its pipeline of growth projects, including new wind and solar developments, and the potential for acquisitions or divestitures. The companys ability to execute on its strategy and navigate the complex energy landscape will be critical to delivering long-term value to shareholders.
TAC Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 3,712m |
| Sector | Utilities |
| Industry | Utilities - Independent Power Producers |
| GiC Sub-Industry | Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders |
| IPO / Inception | 2001-07-31 |
TAC Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 38.0 |
| Fundamental | 37.8% |
| Dividend Rating | 63.1 |
| Rel. Strength | 25.1 |
| Analysts | 3.73 of 5 |
| Fair Price Momentum | 11.81 USD |
| Fair Price DCF | 5.17 USD |
TAC Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 2.00% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.76% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 6.45% |
| Payout Consistency | 91.6% |
| Payout Ratio | % |
TAC Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 91.2% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 22.5% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 22.1% |
| CAGR 5y | 15.11% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | 0.32 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 1.36 |
| Alpha | 30.36 |
| Beta | 1.036 |
| Volatility | 36.56% |
| Current Volume | 4400.5k |
| Average Volume 20d | 1163.2k |
| Stop Loss | 11.5 (-4.2%) |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (-115.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 150.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -6.03pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -15.36% (prev -9.27%; Δ -6.08pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 608.0m > Net Income -115.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (4.29b) to EBITDA (631.0m) ratio: 6.80 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.79 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (296.4m) change vs 12m ago -2.16% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 61.43% (prev 51.64%; Δ 9.79pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 28.68% (prev 37.09%; Δ -8.42pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.77 (EBITDA TTM 631.0m / Interest Expense TTM 270.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -1.42
| (A) -0.04 = (Total Current Assets 1.44b - Total Current Liabilities 1.83b) / Total Assets 8.94b |
| (B) -0.28 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -2.55b / Total Assets 8.94b |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 209.0m / Avg Total Assets 8.74b |
| (D) -0.35 = Book Value of Equity -2.55b / Total Liabilities 7.28b |
| Total Rating: -1.42 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 37.84
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.25% = 1.62 |
| 3. FCF Margin 12.17% = 3.04 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.86 = -0.56 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 7.15 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC -2.74% = -3.42 |
| 7. RoE -6.69% = -1.12 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -64.52% = -3.23 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR -22.47% = -2.50 |
| 10. EPS Trend data missing |
| 11. EPS CAGR -43.30% = -2.50 |
As of August 12, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 12.00 with a total of 4,400,500 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.15%, over one month by +5.17%, over three months by +35.49% and over the past year by +50.08%.
No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, TransAlta (NYSE:TAC) is currently (August 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 37.84 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of TAC is around 11.81 USD . This means that TAC is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -1.58%.
TransAlta has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.73. Therefor, it is recommend to hold TAC.
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
According to our own proprietary Forecast Model, TAC TransAlta will be worth about 12.8 in August 2026. The stock is currently trading at 12.00. This means that the stock has a potential upside of +6.92%.
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 11.3 | -5.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 11.3 | -5.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 12.8 | 6.9% |
TAC Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 222.0m CAD (Cash only, last quarter)
P/E Forward = 53.4759
P/S = 1.4805
P/B = 7.9599
P/EG = -2.34
Beta = 0.55
Revenue TTM = 2.51b CAD
EBIT TTM = 209.0m CAD
EBITDA TTM = 631.0m CAD
Long Term Debt = 3.59b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 918.0m CAD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.51b CAD (Calculated: Short Term 918.0m + Long Term 3.59b)
Net Debt = 4.29b CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.39b CAD (5.11b + Debt 4.51b - CCE 222.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.77 (Ebit TTM 209.0m / Interest Expense TTM 270.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.25% (FCF TTM 305.0m / Enterprise Value 9.39b)
FCF Margin = 12.17% (FCF TTM 305.0m / Revenue TTM 2.51b)
Net Margin = -4.59% (Net Income TTM -115.0m / Revenue TTM 2.51b)
Gross Margin = 61.43% ((Revenue TTM 2.51b - Cost of Revenue TTM 967.0m) / Revenue TTM)
[93m Tobins Q-Ratio = -3.69 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 9.39b / Book Value Of Equity -2.55b)
[39m Interest Expense / Debt = 1.51% (Interest Expense 68.0m / Debt 4.51b)
Taxrate = 25.08% (from yearly Income Tax Expense: 80.0m / 319.0m)
NOPAT = 156.6m (EBIT 209.0m * (1 - 25.08%))
Current Ratio = 0.79 (Total Current Assets 1.44b / Total Current Liabilities 1.83b)
Debt / Equity = 2.86 (Debt 4.51b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 1.58b)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.15 (Net Debt 4.29b / EBITDA 631.0m)
Debt / FCF = 14.79 (Debt 4.51b / FCF TTM 305.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.72b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -1.29% (Net Income -115.0m, Total Assets 8.94b )
RoE = -6.69% (Net Income TTM -115.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.72b)
RoCE = 3.94% (Ebit 209.0m / (Equity 1.72b + L.T.Debt 3.59b))
RoIC = 3.01% (NOPAT 156.6m / Invested Capital 5.20b)
WACC = 5.75% (E(5.11b)/V(9.62b) * Re(9.83%)) + (D(4.51b)/V(9.62b) * Rd(1.51%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: 60.0 | Cagr: 1.81%
Discount Rate = 9.83% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 58.21% ; FCFE base≈505.8m ; Y1≈285.2m ; Y5≈96.0m
Fair Price DCF = 5.17 (DCF Value 1.53b / Shares Outstanding 296.4m; 5y FCF grow -50.0% → 2.90% )
Revenue Correlation: -64.52 | Revenue CAGR: -22.47%
Revenue Growth Correlation: -30.40%
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: -43.30%
EPS Growth Correlation: -77.93%
Additional Sources for TAC Stock
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