(TALO) Talos Energy - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US87484T1088
Oil, Natural Gas, Natural Gas Liquids, Carbon Capture
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 44.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 71.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.62% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.38 |
| Alpha | -9.32 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.23 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.446 |
| Beta | 1.415 |
| Beta Downside | 2.005 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 69.60% |
| Mean DD | 41.49% |
| Median DD | 43.54% |
Description: TALO Talos Energy November 13, 2025
Talos Energy Inc. (NYSE:TALO) is an independent upstream company that explores and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids across onshore assets in the United States and Mexico, while also developing carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) projects. Founded in 2011 and based in Houston, Texas, Talos operates under a common-stock structure within the GICS sub-industry of Oil & Gas Exploration & Production.
Key operational metrics as of the latest 2023 annual report show approximately 30,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (BOE/d) of net production, with proven reserves of roughly 350 MMBOE, of which about 30% are offshore Mexico assets. The company’s capital expenditure for 2023 was $750 million, funded primarily through a $1.2 billion revolving credit facility, leaving net debt at $2.1 billion (Debt/EBITDA ≈ 2.5×). Talos’s earnings are highly sensitive to WTI crude prices and to the U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy on inflation, which influences energy demand and financing costs; a 10% rise in WTI typically lifts adjusted EBITDA by ~15% in the short term.
For a deeper quantitative view, you might explore ValueRay’s detailed financial models for TALO to assess how these drivers translate into valuation scenarios.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (-356.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 112.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.16 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 10.10pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 9.28% (prev -1.19%; Δ 10.47pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.19 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.08b > Net Income -356.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.03b) to EBITDA (968.5m) ratio: 1.06 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.27 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (173.3m) change vs 12m ago -4.03% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 14.75% (prev 18.65%; Δ -3.90pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 30.96% (prev 29.28%; Δ 1.69pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -1.48 (EBITDA TTM 968.5m / Interest Expense TTM 164.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.71
| (A) 0.03 = (Total Current Assets 810.9m - Total Current Liabilities 637.1m) / Total Assets 5.70b |
| (B) -0.13 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -715.8m / Total Assets 5.70b |
| (C) -0.04 = EBIT TTM -243.4m / Avg Total Assets 6.05b |
| (D) -0.22 = Book Value of Equity -713.9m / Total Liabilities 3.32b |
| Total Rating: -0.71 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 52.52
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 30.48% |
| 3. FCF Margin 49.63% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.57 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.06 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -12.77)% |
| 7. RoE -13.71% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 47.45% |
| 9. EPS Trend -45.52% |
What is the price of TALO shares?
As of December 14, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 11.38 with a total of 1,285,065 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.97%, over one month by +9.53%, over three months by +18.54% and over the past year by +13.80%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.97%, over one month by +9.53%, over three months by +18.54% and over the past year by +13.80%.
Is TALO a buy, sell or hold?
Talos Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.36.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy TALO.
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TALO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 13.7 | 20.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 13.7 | 20.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 11.8 | 3.8% |
TALO Fundamental Data Overview December 10, 2025
Market Cap USD = 2.02b (2.02b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 81.9672
P/S = 1.081
P/B = 0.8462
Beta = 0.55
Revenue TTM = 1.87b USD
EBIT TTM = -243.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 968.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.22b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 24.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.36b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.03b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.05b USD (2.02b + Debt 1.36b - CCE 332.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.48 (Ebit TTM -243.4m / Interest Expense TTM 164.1m)
FCF Yield = 30.48% (FCF TTM 929.7m / Enterprise Value 3.05b)
FCF Margin = 49.63% (FCF TTM 929.7m / Revenue TTM 1.87b)
Net Margin = -19.02% (Net Income TTM -356.2m / Revenue TTM 1.87b)
Gross Margin = 14.75% ((Revenue TTM 1.87b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.60b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 11.91% (prev 4.22%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.54 (Enterprise Value 3.05b / Total Assets 5.70b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.01% (Interest Expense 40.8m / Debt 1.36b)
Taxrate = 20.15% (-24.2m / -120.1m)
NOPAT = -194.3m (EBIT -243.4m * (1 - 20.15%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.27 (Total Current Assets 810.9m / Total Current Liabilities 637.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.57 (Debt 1.36b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.38b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.06 (Net Debt 1.03b / EBITDA 968.5m)
Debt / FCF = 1.10 (Net Debt 1.03b / FCF TTM 929.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.60b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -6.25% (Net Income -356.2m / Total Assets 5.70b)
RoE = -13.71% (Net Income TTM -356.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.60b)
RoCE = -6.37% (EBIT -243.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.60b + L.T.Debt 1.22b))
RoIC = -5.09% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -194.3m / Invested Capital 3.82b)
WACC = 7.69% (E(2.02b)/V(3.38b) * Re(11.23%) + D(1.36b)/V(3.38b) * Rd(3.01%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 11.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 17.66%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.79% ; FCFE base≈716.8m ; Y1≈884.2m ; Y5≈1.51b
Fair Price DCF = 90.88 (DCF Value 15.45b / Shares Outstanding 170.0m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -45.52 | EPS CAGR: -20.23% | SUE: 0.45 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 47.45 | Revenue CAGR: 4.40% | SUE: 1.46 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.33 | Chg30d=+0.130 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=9
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-1.38 | Chg30d=+0.546 | Revisions Net=+7 | Growth EPS=-51.0% | Growth Revenue=-6.5%
P/E Forward = 81.9672
P/S = 1.081
P/B = 0.8462
Beta = 0.55
Revenue TTM = 1.87b USD
EBIT TTM = -243.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 968.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.22b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 24.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.36b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.03b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.05b USD (2.02b + Debt 1.36b - CCE 332.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.48 (Ebit TTM -243.4m / Interest Expense TTM 164.1m)
FCF Yield = 30.48% (FCF TTM 929.7m / Enterprise Value 3.05b)
FCF Margin = 49.63% (FCF TTM 929.7m / Revenue TTM 1.87b)
Net Margin = -19.02% (Net Income TTM -356.2m / Revenue TTM 1.87b)
Gross Margin = 14.75% ((Revenue TTM 1.87b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.60b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 11.91% (prev 4.22%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.54 (Enterprise Value 3.05b / Total Assets 5.70b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.01% (Interest Expense 40.8m / Debt 1.36b)
Taxrate = 20.15% (-24.2m / -120.1m)
NOPAT = -194.3m (EBIT -243.4m * (1 - 20.15%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.27 (Total Current Assets 810.9m / Total Current Liabilities 637.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.57 (Debt 1.36b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.38b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.06 (Net Debt 1.03b / EBITDA 968.5m)
Debt / FCF = 1.10 (Net Debt 1.03b / FCF TTM 929.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.60b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -6.25% (Net Income -356.2m / Total Assets 5.70b)
RoE = -13.71% (Net Income TTM -356.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.60b)
RoCE = -6.37% (EBIT -243.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.60b + L.T.Debt 1.22b))
RoIC = -5.09% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -194.3m / Invested Capital 3.82b)
WACC = 7.69% (E(2.02b)/V(3.38b) * Re(11.23%) + D(1.36b)/V(3.38b) * Rd(3.01%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 11.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 17.66%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.79% ; FCFE base≈716.8m ; Y1≈884.2m ; Y5≈1.51b
Fair Price DCF = 90.88 (DCF Value 15.45b / Shares Outstanding 170.0m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -45.52 | EPS CAGR: -20.23% | SUE: 0.45 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 47.45 | Revenue CAGR: 4.40% | SUE: 1.46 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.33 | Chg30d=+0.130 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=9
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-1.38 | Chg30d=+0.546 | Revisions Net=+7 | Growth EPS=-51.0% | Growth Revenue=-6.5%
Additional Sources for TALO Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle