(TAP) Molson Coors Brewing - Ratings and Ratios
Beer, Cider, Seltzer, Spirits
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 23.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 37.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.29% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.95 |
| Alpha | -28.11 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.541 |
| Beta | 0.294 |
| Beta Downside | 0.211 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 34.39% |
| Mean DD | 14.22% |
| Median DD | 12.32% |
Description: TAP Molson Coors Brewing October 31, 2025
Molson Coors Beverage Company (NYSE: TAP) is a global brewer that produces, markets, and distributes a wide portfolio of beer, flavored malt beverages, hard seltzers, and ready-to-drink spirits across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific. Its brand hierarchy spans economy labels (e.g., Coors Light, Miller Lite), premium offerings (e.g., Blue Moon, Stella Artois, Pilsner Urquell) and fast-growing “above-premium” segments such as Topo Chico Hard Seltzer, Vizzy, and ZOA Energy.
In FY 2023 the company generated approximately **$5.0 billion** in net sales, with a **gross margin of 45 %** and **adjusted EPS of $2.60**, reflecting modest top-line growth driven primarily by the hard-seltzer and ready-to-drink categories, which posted double-digit volume gains year-over-year.
Key economic drivers for TAP include U.S. discretionary consumer spending, commodity price volatility (especially barley and aluminum), and the broader industry shift toward premiumization and low-alcohol alternatives. The firm’s exposure to the U.S. market-accounting for roughly 70 % of revenue-makes it sensitive to macro-level shifts in employment and disposable income, while its diversified international footprint provides a hedge against regional demand fluctuations.
From a sector perspective, the global beer market is expected to grow at a **CAGR of ~2 %** through 2028, with hard-seltzer and non-alcoholic beverages outpacing traditional lagers, underscoring the strategic importance of TAP’s “above-premium” portfolio expansion.
For a deeper dive into TAP’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a transparent, data-driven toolkit you may find useful.
TAP Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 9,119m |
| Sub-Industry | Brewers |
| IPO / Inception | 1984-09-07 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -30.5% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.43 of 5 |
TAP Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.00% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.49% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 32.56% |
| Payout Consistency | 93.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 34.1% |
TAP Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | -2.67% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.08 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.19 |
| Current Volume | 18871.2k |
| Average Volume | 2987.6k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (-2.09b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 672.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.46pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -18.86% (prev -0.16%; Δ -18.69pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.74b > Net Income -2.09b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 0.60 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (197.9m) change vs 12m ago -4.86% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 38.74% (prev 38.77%; Δ -0.03pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 45.30% (prev 43.86%; Δ 1.44pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -10.29 (EBITDA TTM -1.51b / Interest Expense TTM 223.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.02
| (A) -0.09 = (Total Current Assets 3.23b - Total Current Liabilities 5.34b) / Total Assets 22.87b |
| (B) 0.24 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 5.58b / Total Assets 22.87b |
| (C) -0.09 = EBIT TTM -2.30b / Avg Total Assets 24.75b |
| (D) 0.39 = Book Value of Equity 4.80b / Total Liabilities 12.20b |
| Total Rating: -0.02 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 41.00
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 7.56% |
| 3. FCF Margin 9.75% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.61 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -3.54 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -14.80)% |
| 7. RoE -16.74% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 12.44% |
| 9. EPS Trend 10.51% |
What is the price of TAP shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.34%, over one month by +1.74%, over three months by -9.57% and over the past year by -21.22%.
Is TAP a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 14
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the TAP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 50.8 | 9.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 50.8 | 9.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 43.4 | -6% |
TAP Fundamental Data Overview November 25, 2025
P/E Forward = 8.0515
P/S = 0.8131
P/B = 0.8826
P/EG = 8.0541
Beta = 0.45
Revenue TTM = 11.21b USD
EBIT TTM = -2.30b USD
EBITDA TTM = -1.51b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.88b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.41b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.29b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.34b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 14.46b USD (9.12b + Debt 6.29b - CCE 950.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -10.29 (Ebit TTM -2.30b / Interest Expense TTM 223.1m)
FCF Yield = 7.56% (FCF TTM 1.09b / Enterprise Value 14.46b)
FCF Margin = 9.75% (FCF TTM 1.09b / Revenue TTM 11.21b)
Net Margin = -18.64% (Net Income TTM -2.09b / Revenue TTM 11.21b)
Gross Margin = 38.74% ((Revenue TTM 11.21b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.87b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.47% (prev 40.05%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.63 (Enterprise Value 14.46b / Total Assets 22.87b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.89% (Interest Expense 56.0m / Debt 6.29b)
Taxrate = 15.98% (-558.6m / -3.50b)
NOPAT = -1.93b (EBIT -2.30b * (1 - 15.98%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.60 (Total Current Assets 3.23b / Total Current Liabilities 5.34b)
Debt / Equity = 0.61 (Debt 6.29b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 10.33b)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.54 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 5.34b / EBITDA -1.51b)
Debt / FCF = 4.89 (Net Debt 5.34b / FCF TTM 1.09b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.49b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -9.14% (Net Income -2.09b / Total Assets 22.87b)
RoE = -16.74% (Net Income TTM -2.09b / Total Stockholder Equity 12.49b)
RoCE = -14.02% (EBIT -2.30b / Capital Employed (Equity 12.49b + L.T.Debt 3.88b))
RoIC = -10.29% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -1.93b / Invested Capital 18.74b)
WACC = 4.51% (E(9.12b)/V(15.41b) * Re(7.10%) + D(6.29b)/V(15.41b) * Rd(0.89%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 7.10% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.41%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.34% ; FCFE base≈1.12b ; Y1≈1.12b ; Y5≈1.20b
Fair Price DCF = 114.1 (DCF Value 21.14b / Shares Outstanding 185.3m; 5y FCF grow -0.19% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 10.51 | EPS CAGR: 9.54% | SUE: -0.17 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 12.44 | Revenue CAGR: 4.57% | SUE: -0.43 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for TAP Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle