(TAP) Molson Coors Brewing - Overview
Stock: Beer, Cider, Seltzer, Spirits
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 30.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.92% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.76 |
| Alpha | -23.27 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.206 |
| Beta Downside | 0.096 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 34.39% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.01 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: TAP Molson Coors Brewing January 04, 2026
Molson Coors Beverage Company (NYSE:TAP) manufactures, markets and distributes a broad portfolio of beer and malt-based drinks across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa and Asia-Pacific. Its lineup spans economy brands (e.g., Coors Light, Miller Lite), premium labels (e.g., Blue Moon, Stella Artois) and fast-growing flavored-malt categories such as hard seltzers (Topo Chico, Vizzy) and ready-to-drink cocktails.
In 2023 the company reported net sales of roughly **$5.2 billion**, with comparable volume down about **2 % YoY** but **adjusted EBITDA margin holding at 14 %**, reflecting cost-containment amid higher commodity prices. Hard-seltzer and RTD segments together delivered **~15 % revenue growth**, offsetting modest declines in traditional core beer volumes.
Key economic drivers include discretionary-spending trends, inflation-linked input costs (barley, aluminum) and shifting consumer preferences toward premium and low-calorie alternatives. At the sector level, the U.S. beer market is contracting (~1 % annual decline), prompting consolidation and a strategic pivot to higher-margin premium and flavored-malt offerings.
For a deeper, data-rich look at TAP’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you may find ValueRay’s research platform a useful next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income: -2.14b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.40 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -21.32% < 20% (prev -1.69%; Δ -19.63% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 1.74b > Net Income -2.14b |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 0.55 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (195.7m) vs 12m ago -5.23% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 38.37% > 18% (prev 0.39%; Δ 3798 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 45.66% > 50% (prev 44.61%; Δ 1.05% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -11.76 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -1.79b / Interest Expense TTM 225.6m) |
Altman Z'' -0.37
| A: -0.10 (Total Current Assets 2.94b - Total Current Liabilities 5.31b) / Total Assets 22.74b |
| B: 0.25 (Retained Earnings 5.72b / Total Assets 22.74b) |
| C: -0.11 (EBIT TTM -2.65b / Avg Total Assets 24.40b) |
| D: 0.21 (Book Value of Equity 2.62b / Total Liabilities 12.20b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.37 = B |
Beneish M -3.37
| DSRI: 0.87 (Receivables 703.0m/842.9m, Revenue 11.14b/11.63b) |
| GMI: 1.02 (GM 38.37% / 38.99%) |
| AQI: 0.92 (AQ_t 0.66 / AQ_t-1 0.72) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 11.14b / 11.63b) |
| TATA: -0.17 (NI -2.14b - CFO 1.74b) / TA 22.74b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.37 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of TAP shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -11.09%, over one month by -3.30%, over three months by +7.92% and over the past year by -16.61%.
Is TAP a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 14
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the TAP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 50 | 3.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 50 | 3.3% |
TAP Fundamental Data Overview February 20, 2026
P/S = 0.8526
P/B = 1.0187
P/EG = 4.5207
Revenue TTM = 11.14b USD
EBIT TTM = -2.65b USD
EBITDA TTM = -1.79b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.88b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 2.43b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.30b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.40b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 14.96b USD (9.56b + Debt 6.30b - CCE 896.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -11.76 (Ebit TTM -2.65b / Interest Expense TTM 225.6m)
EV/FCF = 13.69x (Enterprise Value 14.96b / FCF TTM 1.09b)
FCF Yield = 7.31% (FCF TTM 1.09b / Enterprise Value 14.96b)
FCF Margin = 9.81% (FCF TTM 1.09b / Revenue TTM 11.14b)
Net Margin = -19.21% (Net Income TTM -2.14b / Revenue TTM 11.14b)
Gross Margin = 38.37% ((Revenue TTM 11.14b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.87b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.37% (prev 39.47%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.66 (Enterprise Value 14.96b / Total Assets 22.74b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.89% (Interest Expense 56.2m / Debt 6.30b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -2.10b (EBIT -2.65b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.55 (Total Current Assets 2.94b / Total Current Liabilities 5.31b)
Debt / Equity = 0.62 (Debt 6.30b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 10.23b)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.02 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 5.40b / EBITDA -1.79b)
Debt / FCF = 4.94 (Net Debt 5.40b / FCF TTM 1.09b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.77b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -8.77% (Net Income -2.14b / Total Assets 22.74b)
RoE = -18.18% (Net Income TTM -2.14b / Total Stockholder Equity 11.77b)
RoCE = -16.95% (EBIT -2.65b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.77b + L.T.Debt 3.88b))
RoIC = -11.29% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -2.10b / Invested Capital 18.57b)
WACC = 4.30% (E(9.56b)/V(15.86b) * Re(6.67%) + D(6.30b)/V(15.86b) * Rd(0.89%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 6.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.95%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 86.37% ; FCFF base≈1.12b ; Y1≈1.12b ; Y5≈1.19b
Fair Price DCF = 162.8 (EV 35.57b - Net Debt 5.40b = Equity 30.17b / Shares 185.3m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -0.19% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 31.97 | EPS CAGR: 46.36% | SUE: 0.15 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 18.65 | Revenue CAGR: 5.03% | SUE: -0.49 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.46 | Chg30d=-0.117 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.03 | Chg30d=-0.498 | Revisions Net=-6 | Growth EPS=-7.3% | Growth Revenue=+0.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.34 | Chg30d=-0.382 | Revisions Net=-6 | Growth EPS=+6.1% | Growth Revenue=+0.1%