(TAP) Molson Coors Brewing - Overview

Sector: Consumer Defensive | Industry: Beverages - Brewers | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 7.654m USD | Total Return: -25% in 12m

Beer, Hard Seltzers, Spirits, Energy Drinks, Cider
Total Rating 26
Safety 42
Buy Signal -0.49
Beverages - Brewers
Industry Rotation: +0.8
Market Cap: 7.65B
Avg Turnover: 136M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility23.4%
VaR 5th Pctl4.11%
VaR vs Median6.71%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-1.14
Rel. Str. IBD11.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group22
Character TTM
Beta0.142
Beta Downside0.345
Hurst Exponent0.534
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD36.88%
CAGR/Max DD-0.28
CAGR/Mean DD-0.58
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TAP over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.01, "2021-06": 1.58, "2021-09": 1.75, "2021-12": 0.81, "2022-03": 0.29, "2022-06": 1.19, "2022-09": 1.32, "2022-12": 1.3, "2023-03": 0.54, "2023-06": 1.78, "2023-09": 1.92, "2023-12": 1.19, "2024-03": 0.95, "2024-06": 1.92, "2024-09": 0.96, "2024-12": 1.3, "2025-03": 0.5, "2025-06": 2.05, "2025-09": 1.67, "2025-12": 1.21, "2026-03": 0.62,
EPS CAGR: -15.96%
EPS Trend: -10.9%
Last SUE: 0.16
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of TAP over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 1898.4, 2021-06: 2939.4, 2021-09: 2822.7, 2021-12: 2619.2, 2022-03: 2214.6, 2022-06: 2921.7, 2022-09: 2935.2, 2022-12: 2629.5, 2023-03: 2346.3, 2023-06: 3266.6, 2023-09: 3298.4, 2023-12: 2790.8, 2024-03: 2596.4, 2024-06: 3252.3, 2024-09: 3042.7, 2024-12: 2735.6, 2025-03: 2304.1, 2025-06: 3200.8, 2025-09: 2973.5, 2025-12: 2662.4, 2026-03: 2351.1,
Rev. CAGR: -5.63%
Rev. Trend: -19.1%
Last SUE: 0.30
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Interest Coverage Ratio -10.0 is critical

Altman Z'' -0.05 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: TAP Molson Coors Brewing

Molson Coors Beverage Company is a global producer and distributor of beer, malt beverages, and non-alcoholic drinks. The company maintains a tiered portfolio ranging from economy labels like Keystone to premium global brands such as Coors Light and Miller Lite. Its recent expansion into spirits, hard seltzers, and energy drinks reflects a strategic shift toward the broader beyond beer category to capture evolving consumer preferences.

Operating within the highly consolidated brewing industry, the company utilizes a three-tier distribution system in the United States, involving independent wholesalers to reach retail and on-premise channels. This business model relies on significant marketing investment and supply chain efficiency to maintain market share against both craft competitors and global conglomerates. Investors can monitor the companys shifting product mix and margin trends by exploring the detailed financial data available on ValueRay.

Founded in 1774 and headquartered in Golden, Colorado, the firm rebranded from Molson Coors Brewing Company in 2020 to align with its diversified beverage offerings. Its geographic footprint spans the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific, supported by a mix of owned brands and licensed partnerships for international distribution.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Core premium brand volume growth offsets declining economy beer segment demand
  • Aluminum and energy price volatility impacts gross manufacturing and distribution margins
  • Market share gains from competitors drive revenue growth in North American markets
  • Expansion into non-alcoholic and spirits categories diversifies long-term revenue streams
  • High interest rates increase debt servicing costs for capital intensive brewing operations
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 5.0
Net Income: -2.11b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.98 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -21.27% < 20% (prev -2.67%; Δ -18.61% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 1.88b > Net Income -2.11b
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 0.54 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (189.4m) vs 12m ago -7.16% < -2%
Gross Margin: 37.83% > 18% (prev 0.39%; Δ 3.74k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 46.33% > 50% (prev 43.71%; Δ 2.62% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -9.99 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -1.54b / Interest Expense TTM 227.5m)
Altman Z'' -0.05
A: -0.11 (Total Current Assets 2.74b - Total Current Liabilities 5.12b) / Total Assets 22.37b
B: 0.26 (Retained Earnings 5.78b / Total Assets 22.37b)
C: -0.09 (EBIT TTM -2.27b / Avg Total Assets 24.15b)
D: 0.42 (Book Value of Equity 5.02b / Total Liabilities 12.02b)
Altman-Z'' Score: -0.05 = B
Beneish M -3.17
DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 971.9m/909.0m, Revenue 11.19b/11.33b)
GMI: 1.03 (GM 37.83% / 39.00%)
AQI: 0.92 (AQ_t 0.67 / AQ_t-1 0.73)
SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 11.19b / 11.33b)
TATA: -0.18 (NI -2.11b - CFO 1.88b) / TA 22.37b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.17 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of TAP shares? As of May 18, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 40.84 with a total of 2,536,852 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.70%, over one month by -8.41%, over three months by -18.94% and over the past year by -24.97%.
Is TAP a buy, sell or hold? Molson Coors Brewing has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.43. Therefor, it is recommend to hold TAP.
  • StrongBuy: 4
  • Buy: 4
  • Hold: 14
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the TAP price?
Analysts Target Price 46.2 13.2%
Molson Coors Brewing (TAP) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 16 May 2026
P/E Forward = 8.8183
P/S = 0.6944
P/B = 0.791
P/EG = 4.1986
Revenue TTM = 11.19b USD
EBIT TTM = -2.27b USD
EBITDA TTM = -1.54b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.85b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.42b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.27b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.89b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 13.54b USD (7.65b + Debt 6.27b - CCE 382.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -9.99 (Ebit TTM -2.27b / Interest Expense TTM 227.5m)
EV/FCF = 11.61x (Enterprise Value 13.54b / FCF TTM 1.17b)
FCF Yield = 8.61% (FCF TTM 1.17b / Enterprise Value 13.54b)
FCF Margin = 10.43% (FCF TTM 1.17b / Revenue TTM 11.19b)
Net Margin = -18.85% (Net Income TTM -2.11b / Revenue TTM 11.19b)
Gross Margin = 37.83% ((Revenue TTM 11.19b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.96b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.16% (prev 33.06%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.61 (Enterprise Value 13.54b / Total Assets 22.37b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.92% (Interest Expense 57.6m / Debt 6.27b)
Taxrate = 22.91% (44.6m / 194.7m)
NOPAT = -1.75b (EBIT -2.27b * (1 - 22.91%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.54 (Total Current Assets 2.74b / Total Current Liabilities 5.12b)
Debt / Equity = 0.62 (Debt 6.27b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 10.06b)
 Debt / EBITDA = -3.81 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 5.89b / EBITDA -1.54b)
 Debt / FCF = 5.05 (Net Debt 5.89b / FCF TTM 1.17b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.01b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -8.73% (Net Income -2.11b / Total Assets 22.37b)
RoE = -19.15% (Net Income TTM -2.11b / Total Stockholder Equity 11.01b)
RoCE = -15.29% (EBIT -2.27b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.01b + L.T.Debt 3.85b))
 RoIC = -10.12% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -1.75b / Invested Capital 17.31b)
 WACC = 3.88% (E(7.65b)/V(13.93b) * Re(6.48%) + D(6.27b)/V(13.93b) * Rd(0.92%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 6.48% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -100.00 | Cagr: -5.79%
[DCF] Terminal Value 86.44% ; FCFF base≈1.14b ; Y1≈1.15b ; Y5≈1.25b
[DCF] Fair Price = 177.7 (EV 37.03b - Net Debt 5.89b = Equity 31.14b / Shares 175.2m; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 0.69% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -10.93 | EPS CAGR: -15.96% | SUE: 0.16 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -19.12 | Revenue CAGR: -5.63% | SUE: 0.30 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.53 | Chg30d=-13.85% | Revisions=-78% | Analysts=16
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.52 | Chg30d=+1.03% | Revisions=-18% | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.76 | Chg30d=+0.79% | Revisions=+56% | GrowthEPS=-12.2% | GrowthRev=-0.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.01 | Chg30d=-0.13% | Revisions=-10% | GrowthEPS=+5.3% | GrowthRev=+0.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -78%