TBBB Stock Analysis: BBB Foods | NYSE
Discount Stores | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 6.868m USD | 12M Return: 133.7% | VGG0896C1032 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 48.6M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 99.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 2.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
BBB Foods Inc. (NYSE: TBBB) is a Mexico-based grocery retailer that operates a chain of stores offering both food and non-food products, including clothing, electronics, and household goods. The company sells a mix of branded and private label items, targeting low-to-middle income households. Founded in 2004 and headquartered in Mexico City, BBB Foods went public in February 2024 and is classified within the Consumer Staples sector, specifically the Food Retail sub-industry. As a multi-format value-oriented grocer focused on price-sensitive consumers, the company operates in a competitive Mexican retail landscape that includes both domestic chains and international discount formats. Its emphasis on private label products is a common margin-enhancing strategy used by food retailers serving cost-conscious shoppers.
- Same-store sales growth drives revenue as new store openings expand footprint
- Peso depreciation and inflation pressure squeeze gross margins
- Competition from Walmart and Chedraui limits pricing power in low-income segment
- Capital allocation focused on rapid unit growth in underserved Mexican regions
| Net Income: -3.38b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.63 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -6.28% < 20% (prev -5.73%; Δ -0.55% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.19 > 3% & CFO 7.05b > Net Income -3.38b |
| Net Debt (23.9b) to EBITDA (1.16b): 20.61 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.68 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (118.8m) vs 12m ago 3.48% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 16.37% > 18% (prev 16.14%; Δ 0.23% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 292.8% > 50% (prev 267.1%; Δ 25.75% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.60 > 6 (EBIT TTM -1.05b / Interest Expense TTM 1.74b) |
| A: -0.15 (Total Current Assets 12.1b - Total Current Liabilities 17.8b) / Total Assets 36.8b |
| B: -0.26 (Retained Earnings -9.41b / Total Assets 36.8b) |
| C: -0.03 (EBIT TTM -1.05b / Avg Total Assets 31.0b) |
| D: 0.19 (Book Value of Equity 6.00b / Total Liabilities 30.8b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -1.87 = D |
| DSRI: 0.15 (Receivables 270.4m/1.32b, Revenue 90.7b/67.1b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 16.14% / 16.37%) |
| AQI: 1.12 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 1.35 (Revenue 90.7b / 67.1b) |
| TATA: -0.28 (NI -3.38b - CFO 7.05b) / TA 36.8b) |
| Beneish M = -3.45 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of November 04, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 62.97 with a total of 2,943,053 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.68%, over one month by +16.89%, over three months by +46.95% and over the past year by +133.74%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 61.00 (which is 3.1% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
BBB Foods has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.31. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TBBB.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 58.8 | -6.7% |
Market Cap MXN = 128b (6.87b USD * 18.574 USD.MXN)
P/E Forward = 163.9344
P/S = 0.0754
P/B = 21.1809
Revenue TTM = 90.7b MXN
EBIT TTM = -1.05b MXN
EBITDA TTM = 1.16b MXN
Long Term Debt = 254.1m MXN (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.96b MXN (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 30.0b MXN (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 14.1b
Net Debt = 23.9b MXN (calculated: Debt 30.0b - CCE 6.11b)
Enterprise Value = 152b MXN (128b + Debt 30.0b - CCE 6.11b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.60 (Ebit TTM -1.05b / Interest Expense TTM 1.74b)
EV/FCF = 46.76x (Enterprise Value 152b / FCF TTM 3.24b)
FCF Yield = 2.14% (FCF TTM 3.24b / Enterprise Value 152b)
FCF Margin = 3.57% (FCF TTM 3.24b / Revenue TTM 90.7b)
Net Margin = -3.73% (Net Income TTM -3.38b / Revenue TTM 90.7b)
Gross Margin = 16.37% ((Revenue TTM 90.7b - Cost of Revenue TTM 75.8b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.75% (prev 16.20%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.12 (Enterprise Value 152b / Total Assets 36.8b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.80% (Interest Expense 1.74b / Debt 30.0b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -830.6m (EBIT -1.05b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.68 (Total Current Assets 12.1b / Total Current Liabilities 17.8b)
Debt / Equity = 5.00 (Debt 30.0b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.00b)
Debt / EBITDA = 20.61 (Net Debt 23.9b / EBITDA 1.16b)
Debt / FCF = 7.39 (Net Debt 23.9b / FCF TTM 3.24b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.67b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -10.91% (Net Income -3.38b / Total Assets 36.8b)
RoE = -72.30% (Net Income TTM -3.38b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.67b)
RoCE = -21.34% (EBIT -1.05b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.67b + L.T.Debt 254.1m))
RoIC = -4.75% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -830.6m / Invested Capital 17.5b)
WACC = 6.70% (E(128b)/V(158b) * Re(7.20%) + D(30.0b)/V(158b) * Rd(5.80%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.20% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 37.22 | Cagr: 16.54%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈2.56b ; Y1≈2.94b ; Y5≈4.33b
[DCF] Fair Price = 528.1 (EV 65.1b - Net Debt 23.9b = Equity 41.2b / Shares 77.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.03 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.94 | Revenue CAGR: 33.23% | SUE: 0.07 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-10.29 | Chg30d=-0.52% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+54.6% | GrowthRev=+35.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.14 | Chg30d=+568.29% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+120.8% | GrowthRev=+30.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=2, down=2)