(TBBB) BBB Foods - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: Mexico •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: VGG0896C1032
Stock: Groceries, Clothing, Electronics, Household Goods, Private Label
Total Rating 49
Risk 36
Buy Signal 1.70
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 45.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.77% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.49 |
| Alpha | 8.45 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.607 |
| Beta Downside | 0.688 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 29.64% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.52 |
Description: TBBB BBB Foods January 12, 2026
BBB Foods Inc. (NYSE:TBBB) operates a network of grocery retail stores across Mexico, targeting low-to-middle-income households with a mix of food, non-food, and private-label items. Founded in 2004 and headquartered in Mexico City, the firm’s business model relies on high-frequency, low-margin sales of everyday essentials.
Key industry metrics that shape BBB’s outlook include Mexico’s retail sales growth of roughly 5 % YoY in 2023, driven by modest real-wage gains and a gradual rebound in consumer confidence after pandemic-related shocks. The company’s same-store sales (SSS) have historically tracked within ±1 % of the sector average, while its EBITDA margin hovers near 4 %-both figures are sensitive to inflation-linked cost pressures on food and fuel. Competitive dynamics are dominated by Walmart de México, OXXO, and emerging e-commerce platforms, which compress pricing power and accelerate the shift toward omnichannel fulfillment.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of BBB Foods’ valuation and risk profile, you may find the analyst tools on ValueRay useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income: -1.80b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.22 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -6.51% < 20% (prev -4.00%; Δ -2.50% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 4.47b > Net Income -1.80b |
| Net Debt (10.65b) to EBITDA (970.2m): 10.97 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.65 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (115.4m) vs 12m ago -15.32% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 16.22% > 18% (prev 0.16%; Δ 1605 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 301.2% > 50% (prev 255.7%; Δ 45.54% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.26 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 970.2m / Interest Expense TTM 1.38b) |
Altman Z'' -2.06
| A: -0.17 (Total Current Assets 8.65b - Total Current Liabilities 13.35b) / Total Assets 27.10b |
| B: -0.27 (Retained Earnings -7.42b / Total Assets 27.10b) |
| C: -0.01 (EBIT TTM -357.8m / Avg Total Assets 24.00b) |
| D: 0.07 (Book Value of Equity 1.53b / Total Liabilities 22.83b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -2.06 = D |
Beneish M 1.00
| DSRI: 0.15 (Receivables 218.4m/1.11b, Revenue 72.28b/53.41b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 16.22% / 16.27%) |
| AQI: 14.36 (AQ_t 0.37 / AQ_t-1 0.03) |
| SGI: 1.35 (Revenue 72.28b / 53.41b) |
| TATA: -0.23 (NI -1.80b - CFO 4.47b) / TA 27.10b) |
| Beneish M-Score: 4.21 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
What is the price of TBBB shares?
As of February 03, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 36.38 with a total of 746,261 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.51%, over one month by +5.85%, over three months by +35.04% and over the past year by +16.49%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.51%, over one month by +5.85%, over three months by +35.04% and over the past year by +16.49%.
Is TBBB a buy, sell or hold?
BBB Foods has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.80.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold TBBB.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TBBB price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 39.1 | 7.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 39.1 | 7.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 39.3 | 8.1% |
TBBB Fundamental Data Overview January 29, 2026
Market Cap MXN = 69.05b (3.96b USD * 17.45 USD.MXN)
P/E Forward = 163.9344
P/S = 0.0546
P/B = 16.2341
Revenue TTM = 72.28b MXN
EBIT TTM = -357.8m MXN
EBITDA TTM = 970.2m MXN
Long Term Debt = 170.0m MXN (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.47b MXN (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 11.76b MXN (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 10.65b MXN (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 76.93b MXN (69.05b + Debt 11.76b - CCE 3.89b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.26 (Ebit TTM -357.8m / Interest Expense TTM 1.38b)
EV/FCF = 58.57x (Enterprise Value 76.93b / FCF TTM 1.31b)
FCF Yield = 1.71% (FCF TTM 1.31b / Enterprise Value 76.93b)
FCF Margin = 1.82% (FCF TTM 1.31b / Revenue TTM 72.28b)
Net Margin = -2.50% (Net Income TTM -1.80b / Revenue TTM 72.28b)
Gross Margin = 16.22% ((Revenue TTM 72.28b - Cost of Revenue TTM 60.56b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.16% (prev 16.21%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.84 (Enterprise Value 76.93b / Total Assets 27.10b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.05% (Interest Expense 358.4m / Debt 11.76b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -282.7m (EBIT -357.8m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.65 (Total Current Assets 8.65b / Total Current Liabilities 13.35b)
Debt / Equity = 2.75 (Debt 11.76b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.28b)
Debt / EBITDA = 10.97 (Net Debt 10.65b / EBITDA 970.2m)
Debt / FCF = 8.11 (Net Debt 10.65b / FCF TTM 1.31b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.15b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -7.52% (Net Income -1.80b / Total Assets 27.10b)
RoE = -43.46% (Net Income TTM -1.80b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.15b)
RoCE = -8.28% (EBIT -357.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.15b + L.T.Debt 170.0m))
RoIC = -5.24% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -282.7m / Invested Capital 5.40b)
WACC = 7.31% (E(69.05b)/V(80.81b) * Re(8.15%) + D(11.76b)/V(80.81b) * Rd(3.05%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.15% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 81.65 | Cagr: 1.42%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.66% ; FCFF base≈1.21b ; Y1≈1.21b ; Y5≈1.28b
Fair Price DCF = 246.1 (EV 25.92b - Net Debt 10.65b = Equity 15.27b / Shares 62.0m; r=7.31% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -0.77% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -29.30 | EPS CAGR: 14.47% | SUE: -0.01 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.45 | Revenue CAGR: 28.62% | SUE: -0.00 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-3.53 | Chg30d=+0.195 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-6.09 | Chg30d=+0.086 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+69.6% | Growth Revenue=+29.9%
P/E Forward = 163.9344
P/S = 0.0546
P/B = 16.2341
Revenue TTM = 72.28b MXN
EBIT TTM = -357.8m MXN
EBITDA TTM = 970.2m MXN
Long Term Debt = 170.0m MXN (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.47b MXN (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 11.76b MXN (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 10.65b MXN (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 76.93b MXN (69.05b + Debt 11.76b - CCE 3.89b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.26 (Ebit TTM -357.8m / Interest Expense TTM 1.38b)
EV/FCF = 58.57x (Enterprise Value 76.93b / FCF TTM 1.31b)
FCF Yield = 1.71% (FCF TTM 1.31b / Enterprise Value 76.93b)
FCF Margin = 1.82% (FCF TTM 1.31b / Revenue TTM 72.28b)
Net Margin = -2.50% (Net Income TTM -1.80b / Revenue TTM 72.28b)
Gross Margin = 16.22% ((Revenue TTM 72.28b - Cost of Revenue TTM 60.56b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.16% (prev 16.21%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.84 (Enterprise Value 76.93b / Total Assets 27.10b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.05% (Interest Expense 358.4m / Debt 11.76b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -282.7m (EBIT -357.8m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.65 (Total Current Assets 8.65b / Total Current Liabilities 13.35b)
Debt / Equity = 2.75 (Debt 11.76b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.28b)
Debt / EBITDA = 10.97 (Net Debt 10.65b / EBITDA 970.2m)
Debt / FCF = 8.11 (Net Debt 10.65b / FCF TTM 1.31b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.15b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -7.52% (Net Income -1.80b / Total Assets 27.10b)
RoE = -43.46% (Net Income TTM -1.80b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.15b)
RoCE = -8.28% (EBIT -357.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.15b + L.T.Debt 170.0m))
RoIC = -5.24% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -282.7m / Invested Capital 5.40b)
WACC = 7.31% (E(69.05b)/V(80.81b) * Re(8.15%) + D(11.76b)/V(80.81b) * Rd(3.05%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.15% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 81.65 | Cagr: 1.42%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.66% ; FCFF base≈1.21b ; Y1≈1.21b ; Y5≈1.28b
Fair Price DCF = 246.1 (EV 25.92b - Net Debt 10.65b = Equity 15.27b / Shares 62.0m; r=7.31% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -0.77% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -29.30 | EPS CAGR: 14.47% | SUE: -0.01 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.45 | Revenue CAGR: 28.62% | SUE: -0.00 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-3.53 | Chg30d=+0.195 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-6.09 | Chg30d=+0.086 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+69.6% | Growth Revenue=+29.9%