TBBB Stock Analysis: BBB Foods | NYSE
Discount Stores | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 5.072m USD | 12M Return: 66.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 25.0M
Qual. Beats: -4
Rev. Trend: 99.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 2.4 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
BBB Foods Inc. (NYSE: TBBB) is a Mexican grocery retailer that operates a chain of stores offering both food and non-food products, including clothing, electronics, and household goods. The company markets a mix of branded and private label items, with a business model focused on serving low-to-middle income households, a demographic segment that represents a significant share of Mexicos consumer base. Incorporated in 2004 and headquartered in Mexico City, BBB Foods went public on the NYSE in February 2024 and is classified within the Consumer Staples sector under Food Retail.
- New store openings accelerate revenue growth across Mexico
- Mexican peso depreciation pressures dollar-reported earnings
- Low-income consumer spending weakens amid persistent food inflation
| Net Income: -3.28b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.00 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -7.64% < 20% (prev -4.92%; Δ -2.72% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 > 3% & CFO 5.48b > Net Income -3.28b |
| Net Debt (23.4b) to EBITDA (871.2m): 26.87 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.60 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (117.2m) vs 12m ago 2.98% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 16.22% > 18% (prev 16.25%; Δ -0.03% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 296.2% > 50% (prev 258.2%; Δ 38.03% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.72 > 6 (EBIT TTM -1.18b / Interest Expense TTM 1.64b) |
| A: -0.20 (Total Current Assets 9.70b - Total Current Liabilities 16.1b) / Total Assets 32.3b |
| B: -0.28 (Retained Earnings -9.02b / Total Assets 32.3b) |
| C: -0.04 (EBIT TTM -1.18b / Avg Total Assets 28.1b) |
| D: 0.15 (Book Value of Equity 4.29b / Total Liabilities 28.0b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -2.33 = D |
| DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 1.38b/990.7m, Revenue 83.3b/61.9b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 16.25% / 16.22%) |
| AQI: 18.59 (AQ_t 0.66 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 1.35 (Revenue 83.3b / 61.9b) |
| TATA: -0.27 (NI -3.28b - CFO 5.48b) / TA 32.3b) |
| Beneish M = 7.65 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of July 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 42.58 with a total of 724,120 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.21%, over one month by +6.11%, over three months by +13.12% and over the past year by +66.78%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 38.60 (which is 9.3% or 2.7 ATR below the current price).
BBB Foods has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.80. Therefore, it is recommended to hold TBBB.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 43 | 1% |
Market Cap MXN = 89.0b (5.07b USD * 17.5384 USD.MXN)
P/E Forward = 163.9344
P/S = 0.0605
P/B = 20.5173
Revenue TTM = 83.3b MXN
EBIT TTM = -1.18b MXN
EBITDA TTM = 871.2m MXN
Long Term Debt = 207.7m MXN (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.75b MXN (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 27.5b MXN (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 12.9b
Net Debt = 23.4b MXN (calculated: Debt 27.5b - CCE 4.07b)
Enterprise Value = 112b MXN (89.0b + Debt 27.5b - CCE 4.07b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.72 (Ebit TTM -1.18b / Interest Expense TTM 1.64b)
EV/FCF = 64.95x (Enterprise Value 112b / FCF TTM 1.73b)
FCF Yield = 1.54% (FCF TTM 1.73b / Enterprise Value 112b)
FCF Margin = 2.08% (FCF TTM 1.73b / Revenue TTM 83.3b)
Net Margin = -3.93% (Net Income TTM -3.28b / Revenue TTM 83.3b)
Gross Margin = 16.22% ((Revenue TTM 83.3b - Cost of Revenue TTM 69.8b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.20% (prev 16.29%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.48 (Enterprise Value 112b / Total Assets 32.3b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.95% (Interest Expense 1.64b / Debt 27.5b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -930.7m (EBIT -1.18b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.60 (Total Current Assets 9.70b / Total Current Liabilities 16.1b)
Debt / Equity = 6.41 (Debt 27.5b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.29b)
Debt / EBITDA = 26.87 (Net Debt 23.4b / EBITDA 871.2m)
Debt / FCF = 13.53 (Net Debt 23.4b / FCF TTM 1.73b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.21b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -11.65% (Net Income -3.28b / Total Assets 32.3b)
RoE = -77.91% (Net Income TTM -3.28b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.21b)
RoCE = -26.69% (EBIT -1.18b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.21b + L.T.Debt 207.7m))
RoIC = -6.26% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -930.7m / Invested Capital 14.9b)
WACC = 7.63% (E(89.0b)/V(116b) * Re(8.54%) + D(27.5b)/V(116b) * Rd(5.95%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.54% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 64.41 | Cagr: 1.97%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.73% ; FCFF base≈1.65b ; Y1≈1.86b ; Y5≈2.65b
[DCF] Fair Price = 213.8 (EV 40.1b - Net Debt 23.4b = Equity 16.7b / Shares 77.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 13.48% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -1.05 | # QB: -4
Revenue Correlation: 99.90 | Revenue CAGR: 32.20% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-4.77 | Chg30d=-27.85% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-3.36 | Chg30d=-46.77% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-10.14 | Chg30d=+0.34% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+55.3% | GrowthRev=+31.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-3.92 | Chg30d=-296.73% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+61.4% | GrowthRev=+28.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -40% (up=0, down=2)