(TD) Toronto Dominion Bank - Ratings and Ratios
Banking, Credit, Loans, Insurance, Investments
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 5.51% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.54% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 4.66% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 38.7% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 17.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 28.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.33% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 3.58 |
| Alpha | 72.32 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.90 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.513 |
| Beta | 0.386 |
| Beta Downside | 0.300 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 19.90% |
| Mean DD | 8.21% |
| Median DD | 9.53% |
Description: TD Toronto Dominion Bank December 02, 2025
The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) operates through four core segments-Canadian Personal & Commercial Banking, U.S. Retail, Wealth Management & Insurance, and Wholesale Banking-offering a full suite of deposit, loan, credit-card, payment, wealth-management, and insurance products to retail, business, and institutional clients across North America and beyond.
Key recent metrics: TD reported a Q4 2024 net income of $5.2 billion, with a Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio of 13.5 %-well above the regulatory minimum. Loan growth is being driven primarily by its U.S. retail franchise, where mortgage and consumer loan balances rose 6 % YoY, reflecting a resilient housing market and higher consumer spending. Meanwhile, the bank’s digital-banking adoption rate now exceeds 70 % of active customers, supporting lower cost-to-serve ratios and higher fee income.
For a deeper, data-rich look at how these trends translate into valuation upside, you might explore the TD profile on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (20.54b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 6.95b TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -5.99pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -1241 % (prev -1138 %; Δ -102.4pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO -69.65b <= Net Income 20.54b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (546.65b) to EBITDA (25.81b) ratio: 21.18 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.12 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.72b) change vs 12m ago -2.00% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 49.01% (prev 43.64%; Δ 5.38pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 5.57% (prev 5.78%; Δ -0.21pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.43 (EBITDA TTM 25.81b / Interest Expense TTM 54.56b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -4.24
| (A) -0.69 = (Total Current Assets 204.11b - Total Current Liabilities 1641.44b) / Total Assets 2094.56b |
| (B) 0.04 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 78.32b / Total Assets 2094.56b |
| (C) 0.01 = EBIT TTM 23.64b / Avg Total Assets 2078.15b |
| (D) 0.06 = Book Value of Equity 115.92b / Total Liabilities 1966.73b |
| Total Rating: -4.24 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 39.22
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -9.84% |
| 3. FCF Margin -61.97% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 5.19 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 21.18 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.22)% |
| 7. RoE 16.49% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 83.64% |
| 9. EPS Trend -20.63% |
What is the price of TD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.10%, over one month by +3.51%, over three months by +20.52% and over the past year by +81.11%.
Is TD a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 90.3 | -4.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 90.3 | -4.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 115.6 | 22.6% |
TD Fundamental Data Overview January 10, 2026
P/E Trailing = 11.3046
P/E Forward = 14.5138
P/S = 2.5241
P/B = 1.8941
P/EG = 1.0362
Beta = 0.89
Revenue TTM = 115.84b CAD
EBIT TTM = 23.64b CAD
EBITDA TTM = 25.81b CAD
Long Term Debt = 47.27b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 432.89b CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 663.58b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 546.65b CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 729.28b CAD (221.77b + Debt 663.58b - CCE 156.06b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.43 (Ebit TTM 23.64b / Interest Expense TTM 54.56b)
EV/FCF = -10.16x (Enterprise Value 729.28b / FCF TTM -71.79b)
FCF Yield = -9.84% (FCF TTM -71.79b / Enterprise Value 729.28b)
FCF Margin = -61.97% (FCF TTM -71.79b / Revenue TTM 115.84b)
Net Margin = 17.73% (Net Income TTM 20.54b / Revenue TTM 115.84b)
Gross Margin = 49.01% ((Revenue TTM 115.84b - Cost of Revenue TTM 59.06b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.83% (prev 50.56%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.35 (Enterprise Value 729.28b / Total Assets 2094.56b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.94% (Interest Expense 12.88b / Debt 663.58b)
Taxrate = 20.04% (822.0m / 4.10b)
NOPAT = 18.91b (EBIT 23.64b * (1 - 20.04%))
Current Ratio = 0.12 (Total Current Assets 204.11b / Total Current Liabilities 1641.44b)
Debt / Equity = 5.19 (Debt 663.58b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 127.83b)
Debt / EBITDA = 21.18 (Net Debt 546.65b / EBITDA 25.81b)
Debt / FCF = -7.61 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 546.65b / FCF TTM -71.79b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 124.58b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.99% (Net Income 20.54b / Total Assets 2094.56b)
RoE = 16.49% (Net Income TTM 20.54b / Total Stockholder Equity 124.58b)
RoCE = 13.76% (EBIT 23.64b / Capital Employed (Equity 124.58b + L.T.Debt 47.27b))
RoIC = 4.23% (NOPAT 18.91b / Invested Capital 447.42b)
WACC = 3.00% (E(221.77b)/V(885.35b) * Re(7.34%) + D(663.58b)/V(885.35b) * Rd(1.94%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 7.34% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.49%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -71.79b)
EPS Correlation: -20.63 | EPS CAGR: 1.26% | SUE: 0.69 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 83.64 | Revenue CAGR: 25.20% | SUE: 2.62 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=2.16 | Chg30d=+0.005 | Revisions Net=+7 | Analysts=12
EPS current Year (2026-10-31): EPS=9.07 | Chg30d=+0.014 | Revisions Net=+13 | Growth EPS=+8.4% | Growth Revenue=+4.0%
EPS next Year (2027-10-31): EPS=10.11 | Chg30d=+0.013 | Revisions Net=+9 | Growth EPS=+11.4% | Growth Revenue=+4.2%
Additional Sources for TD Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle