(TDG) Transdigm - Ratings and Ratios
Actuators, Ignition, Pumps, Motors, Connectors
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 6.50% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 17.75% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 69.44% |
| Payout Consistency | 44.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 2.4% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 21.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 36.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 1.16% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.63 |
| Alpha | 3.51 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.92 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.587 |
| Beta | 0.654 |
| Beta Downside | 0.771 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 17.98% |
| Mean DD | 4.87% |
| Median DD | 3.39% |
Description: TDG Transdigm December 02, 2025
TransDigm Group (TDG) designs, manufactures, and supplies a broad portfolio of aircraft components across three primary segments: Power & Control, Airframe, and Non-Aviation. The Power & Control segment focuses on actuators, ignition systems, pumps, valves, electric motors, batteries, sensors, and cargo-handling equipment. The Airframe segment delivers latching and locking devices, cockpit displays, interior furnishings, lighting, thermal protection, testing services, and communications hardware. The Non-Aviation segment provides safety restraints, actuators, refueling systems, and turbine controls for off-road, child-restraint, satellite, and heavy-equipment markets.
Its customer base spans engine and subsystem suppliers, airlines, third-party maintenance providers, military agencies, airframe manufacturers, cabin-system vendors, and heavy-equipment makers. This diversified exposure reduces reliance on any single end-user while positioning the firm to capture aftermarket demand from both commercial and defense aviation.
Founded in 1993 and headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio, the company was originally named TD Holding Corporation before rebranding to TransDigm Group in 2006. It trades on the NYSE under the ticker “TDG” and is classified in the Aerospace & Defense GICS sub-industry.
Key operating metrics (FY 2023) include approximately $2.3 billion in revenue, an operating margin of ~13 %, and free cash flow of $350 million, supporting a backlog of roughly $1.5 billion that underpins future earnings. The segment’s growth is driven by secular trends such as global airline fleet renewal (estimated 3-4 % annual growth), rising defense procurement budgets, and increasing aftermarket spend as airlines seek cost-effective life-extension solutions for aging aircraft. However, these drivers are sensitive to macro-economic variables like fuel price volatility and airline profitability, which introduce uncertainty into demand forecasts.
For a deeper quantitative view of TDG’s valuation metrics, you might explore the company’s profile on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (2.07b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 529.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.58pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 54.70% (prev 46.47%; Δ 8.23pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.04b <= Net Income 2.07b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (27.22b) to EBITDA (4.57b) ratio: 5.96 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 3.21 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (58.1m) change vs 12m ago 0.17% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 60.15% (prev 58.85%; Δ 1.29pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 36.42% (prev 31.03%; Δ 5.38pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.67 (EBITDA TTM 4.57b / Interest Expense TTM 1.57b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.70
| (A) 0.21 = (Total Current Assets 7.01b - Total Current Liabilities 2.18b) / Total Assets 22.91b |
| (B) -0.46 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -10.61b / Total Assets 22.91b |
| (C) 0.17 = EBIT TTM 4.20b / Avg Total Assets 24.25b |
| (D) -0.33 = Book Value of Equity -10.62b / Total Liabilities 32.59b |
| Total Rating: 0.70 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 66.59
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.75% |
| 3. FCF Margin 20.57% |
| 4. Debt/Equity -3.10 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.96 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 10.95)% |
| 7. RoE -31.17% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 97.28% |
| 9. EPS Trend -4.40% |
What is the price of TDG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.17%, over one month by +2.83%, over three months by +7.85% and over the past year by +18.83%.
Is TDG a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 14
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TDG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 1592.1 | 14.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 1592.1 | 14.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 1918 | 38.5% |
TDG Fundamental Data Overview January 04, 2026
P/E Trailing = 42.3752
P/E Forward = 34.0136
P/S = 8.6689
P/EG = 3.2982
Beta = 0.92
Revenue TTM = 8.83b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.20b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.57b USD
Long Term Debt = 29.17b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 863.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 30.03b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 27.22b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 103.78b USD (76.55b + Debt 30.03b - CCE 2.81b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.67 (Ebit TTM 4.20b / Interest Expense TTM 1.57b)
FCF Yield = 1.75% (FCF TTM 1.82b / Enterprise Value 103.78b)
FCF Margin = 20.57% (FCF TTM 1.82b / Revenue TTM 8.83b)
Net Margin = 23.49% (Net Income TTM 2.07b / Revenue TTM 8.83b)
Gross Margin = 60.15% ((Revenue TTM 8.83b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.52b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 60.32% (prev 59.54%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.53 (Enterprise Value 103.78b / Total Assets 22.91b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.40% (Interest Expense 420.0m / Debt 30.03b)
Taxrate = 19.12% (144.0m / 753.0m)
NOPAT = 3.40b (EBIT 4.20b * (1 - 19.12%))
Current Ratio = 3.21 (Total Current Assets 7.01b / Total Current Liabilities 2.18b)
Debt / Equity = -3.10 (negative equity) (Debt 30.03b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -9.69b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.96 (Net Debt 27.22b / EBITDA 4.57b)
Debt / FCF = 14.99 (Net Debt 27.22b / FCF TTM 1.82b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -6.65b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.05% (Net Income 2.07b / Total Assets 22.91b)
RoE = -31.17% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 2.07b / Total Stockholder Equity -6.65b)
RoCE = 18.67% (EBIT 4.20b / Capital Employed (Equity -6.65b + L.T.Debt 29.17b))
RoIC = 17.32% (NOPAT 3.40b / Invested Capital 19.63b)
WACC = 6.37% (E(76.55b)/V(106.58b) * Re(8.42%) + D(30.03b)/V(106.58b) * Rd(1.40%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 8.42% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 81.65 | Cagr: 0.87%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.23% ; FCFE base≈1.84b ; Y1≈2.27b ; Y5≈3.88b
Fair Price DCF = 1088 (DCF Value 61.29b / Shares Outstanding 56.3m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -4.40 | EPS CAGR: -38.31% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.28 | Revenue CAGR: 20.96% | SUE: 0.70 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=9.21 | Chg30d=-0.014 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=38.39 | Chg30d=+0.007 | Revisions Net=-9 | Growth EPS=+2.8% | Growth Revenue=+12.4%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=45.71 | Chg30d=+0.020 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+19.1% | Growth Revenue=+7.9%
Additional Sources for TDG Stock
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