TDS Stock Analysis: Telephone Data Systems | NYSE

Telecom Services | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 3.991m USD | 12M Return: 11.7% | US8794338298 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Internet, Television, Wireless, Voice
Total Rating 43
Safety 90
Buy Signal -0.04
Telecom Services
Industry Rotation: +8.3
Market Cap: 3.99B
Avg Turnover: 34.4M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility44.7%
VaR 5th Pctl7.06%
VaR vs Median-3.35%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.33
Rel. Str. IBD14.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group38.2
Character TTM
Beta0.714
Beta Downside0.568
Hurst Exponent0.513
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD33.36%
CAGR/Max DD1.05
CAGR/Mean DD3.43
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TDS over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.2, "2021-09": 0.29, "2021-12": 0.19, "2022-03": 0.39, "2022-06": 0.21, "2022-09": -0.18, "2022-12": -0.38, "2023-03": -0.03, "2023-06": -0.17, "2023-09": -0.16, "2023-12": -4.64, "2024-03": 0.1, "2024-06": -0.13, "2024-09": -0.73, "2024-12": -0.1, "2025-03": -0.09, "2025-06": -0.05, "2025-09": -0.85, "2025-12": 0.33, "2026-03": 1.11, "2026-06": 2.24,
Last SUE: 2.52
Qual. Beats: 2
Revenue Revenue of TDS over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 1311, 2021-09: 1328, 2021-12: 1372, 2022-03: 1315, 2022-06: 1349, 2022-09: 1392, 2022-12: 1357, 2023-03: 1303, 2023-06: 1267, 2023-09: 1278, 2023-12: 1312, 2024-03: 1262, 2024-06: 1238, 2024-09: 1224, 2024-12: 1240, 2025-03: 1154, 2025-06: 1186, 2025-09: 308.521, 2025-12: 330.712, 2026-03: 309.45, 2026-06: 309.281,
Rev. CAGR: -33.21%
Rev. Trend: -80.7%
Last SUE: -0.02
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Earnings Expected To Drop (P/E To P/E Forward)
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +2.2% 20
Feb -3.7% 42
Mar +0.2% 7
Apr +0.1% 5
May -1.2% 19
Jun +0.7% 8
Jul +1.2% 8
Aug +3.2% 14
Sep -4.8% 44
Oct -0.2% 0
Nov +3.7% 15
Dec +0.2% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: TDS Telephone Data Systems

Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. (TDS) is a US telecommunications company headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, incorporated in 1968. It provides communications services to residential, commercial, and wholesale customers through two operating segments: TDS Telecom and Array. Its offerings span broadband and fiber internet, Wi-Fi, security, TV (including the TDS TV+ cloud platform), local and long-distance voice, VoIP, hosted voice/video collaboration, wireless services, and wholesale data transport. The company also leases tower space and operates sales channels including direct sales, retail stores, sales agents, and online platforms.

TDS operates in the US Communication Services sector and is classified under Wireless Telecommunication Services. It serves as a regional and rural-focused provider in a market dominated by national carriers such as AT&T, Verizon, and T-Mobile, with a long-standing emphasis on extending communications services to underserved and smaller-market areas. The company distributes its products through a mix of third-party direct sales, retail stores, commissioned sales agents, and digital channels.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Rural fiber broadband expansion accelerates with BEAD funding
  • UScellular sale proceeds boost capital returns to shareholders
  • TDS Telecom segment margins pressured by elevated capex
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.5
Net Income: 418.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -9.34 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 137.9% < 20% (prev 16.34%; Δ 121.6% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 105.7m > Net Income 418.6m
Net Debt (-376.1m) to EBITDA (1.20b): -0.31 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.82 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (116.3m) vs 12m ago 1.12% < -2%
Gross Margin: 28.68% > 18% (prev 57.74%; Δ -29.06% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 11.48% > 50% (prev 35.52%; Δ -24.03% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.13 > 6 (EBIT TTM 849.1m / Interest Expense TTM 76.3m)
Altman Z'' 4.49
A: 0.21 (Total Current Assets 2.35b - Total Current Liabilities 615.6m) / Total Assets 8.38b
B: 0.24 (Retained Earnings 2.02b / Total Assets 8.38b)
C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 849.1m / Avg Total Assets 11.0b)
D: 1.73 (Book Value of Equity 5.17b / Total Liabilities 2.98b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.49 = AA
Beneish M -3.33
DSRI: 0.40 (Receivables 105.8m/1.01b, Revenue 1.26b/4.80b)
GMI: 2.01 (GM 57.74% / 28.68%)
AQI: 0.65 (AQ_t 0.29 / AQ_t-1 0.44)
SGI: 0.26 (Revenue 1.26b / 4.80b)
TATA: 0.04 (NI 418.6m - CFO 105.7m) / TA 8.38b)
Beneish M = -3.33 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of TDS shares?

As of August 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 33.09 with a total of 1,183,584 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.14%, over one month by -3.72%, over three months by -14.76% and over the past year by +11.65%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 31.60 (which is 4.5% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is TDS a buy, sell or hold?

Telephone Data Systems has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TDS.

  • StrongBuy: 0
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the TDS price?
Analysts Target Price 49 48.1%
Telephone Data Systems (TDS) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 21 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 3.99b (3.99b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 8.5394
P/E Forward = 39.0625
P/S = 3.1726
P/B = 0.9602
P/EG = 7.7889
Revenue TTM = 1.26b USD
EBIT TTM = 849.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.20b USD
Long Term Debt = 670.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 37.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.82b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 568.9m
Net Debt = -376.1m USD (calculated: Debt 1.82b - CCE 2.19b)
Enterprise Value = 3.61b USD (3.99b + Debt 1.82b - CCE 2.19b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.13 (Ebit TTM 849.1m / Interest Expense TTM 76.3m)
EV/FCF = -7.99x (Enterprise Value 3.61b / FCF TTM -452.3m)
FCF Yield = -12.51% (FCF TTM -452.3m / Enterprise Value 3.61b)
FCF Margin = -35.96% (FCF TTM -452.3m / Revenue TTM 1.26b)
Net Margin = 33.27% (Net Income TTM 418.6m / Revenue TTM 1.26b)
Gross Margin = 28.68% ((Revenue TTM 1.26b - Cost of Revenue TTM 897.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 58.19% (prev 32.00%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.43 (Enterprise Value 3.61b / Total Assets 8.38b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.20% (Interest Expense 76.3m / Debt 1.82b)
Taxrate = 14.36% (111.0m / 772.8m)
NOPAT = 727.2m (EBIT 849.1m * (1 - 14.36%))
Current Ratio = 3.82 (Total Current Assets 2.35b / Total Current Liabilities 615.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.35 (Debt 1.82b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.17b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.31 (Net Debt -376.1m / EBITDA 1.20b)
 Debt / FCF = 0.83 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -376.1m / FCF TTM -452.3m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 4.84b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.82% (Net Income 418.6m / Total Assets 8.38b)
RoE = 8.65% (Net Income TTM 418.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.84b)
RoCE = 15.41% (EBIT 849.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.84b + L.T.Debt 670.6m))
RoIC = 9.39% (NOPAT 727.2m / Invested Capital 7.74b)
WACC = 6.96% (E(3.99b)/V(5.81b) * Re(8.49%) + D(1.82b)/V(5.81b) * Rd(4.20%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 8.49% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 48.45 | Cagr: -0.27%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -452.3m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 2.52 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -80.68 | Revenue CAGR: -33.21% | SUE: -0.02 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.10 | Chg30d=+42.25% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.70 | Chg30d=+171.06% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+660.6% | GrowthRev=+1.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.28 | Chg30d=+21.89% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-92.5% | GrowthRev=+1.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +17% (up=2, down=1)