TDS Stock Analysis: Telephone Data Systems | NYSE
Telecom Services | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 4.120m USD | 12M Return: 15.4% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 41.0M
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: -78.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. (TDS) is a US telecommunications company headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, incorporated in 1968. It provides communications services to residential, commercial, and wholesale customers through two operating segments: TDS Telecom and Array. Its offerings span broadband and fiber internet, Wi-Fi, security, TV (including the TDS TV+ cloud platform), local and long-distance voice, VoIP, hosted voice/video collaboration, wireless services, and wholesale data transport. The company also leases tower space and operates sales channels including direct sales, retail stores, sales agents, and online platforms.
TDS operates in the US Communication Services sector and is classified under Wireless Telecommunication Services. It serves as a regional and rural-focused provider in a market dominated by national carriers such as AT&T, Verizon, and T-Mobile, with a long-standing emphasis on extending communications services to underserved and smaller-market areas. The company distributes its products through a mix of third-party direct sales, retail stores, commissioned sales agents, and digital channels.
- Rural fiber broadband expansion accelerates with BEAD funding
- UScellular sale proceeds boost capital returns to shareholders
- TDS Telecom segment margins pressured by elevated capex
| Net Income: 132.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.66 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 50.42% < 20% (prev 14.87%; Δ 35.56% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 473.4m > Net Income 132.2m |
| Net Debt (458.8m) to EBITDA (928.2m): 0.49 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.43 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (117.5m) vs 12m ago 3.08% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 40.98% > 18% (prev 57.56%; Δ -16.57% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 19.63% > 50% (prev 35.87%; Δ -16.24% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.17 > 6 (EBIT TTM 427.1m / Interest Expense TTM 134.9m) |
| A: 0.13 (Total Current Assets 1.52b - Total Current Liabilities 443.7m) / Total Assets 8.21b |
| B: 0.22 (Retained Earnings 1.81b / Total Assets 8.21b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 427.1m / Avg Total Assets 10.9b) |
| D: 1.67 (Book Value of Equity 4.92b / Total Liabilities 2.95b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.60 = A |
| DSRI: 0.23 (Receivables 102.9m/1.01b, Revenue 2.13b/4.86b) |
| GMI: 1.40 (GM 57.56% / 40.98%) |
| AQI: 0.87 (AQ_t 0.38 / AQ_t-1 0.44) |
| SGI: 0.44 (Revenue 2.13b / 4.86b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 132.2m - CFO 473.4m) / TA 8.21b) |
| Beneish M = -3.78 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 34.71 with a total of 799,604 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.42%, over one month by -11.66%, over three months by -23.91% and over the past year by +15.44%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 33.30 (which is 4.1% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
Telephone Data Systems has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TDS.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 50.5 | 45.5% |
P/E Trailing = 21.2882
P/E Forward = 39.0625
P/S = 3.3035
P/B = 1.0967
P/EG = 7.7889
Revenue TTM = 2.13b USD
EBIT TTM = 427.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 928.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 672.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 33.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.83b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 574.7m
Net Debt = 458.8m USD (calculated: Debt 1.83b - CCE 1.37b)
Enterprise Value = 4.58b USD (4.12b + Debt 1.83b - CCE 1.37b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.17 (Ebit TTM 427.1m / Interest Expense TTM 134.9m)
EV/FCF = 80.90x (Enterprise Value 4.58b / FCF TTM 56.6m)
FCF Yield = 1.24% (FCF TTM 56.6m / Enterprise Value 4.58b)
FCF Margin = 2.65% (FCF TTM 56.6m / Revenue TTM 2.13b)
Net Margin = 6.19% (Net Income TTM 132.2m / Revenue TTM 2.13b)
Gross Margin = 40.98% ((Revenue TTM 2.13b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.26b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.00% (prev 2.47%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.56 (Enterprise Value 4.58b / Total Assets 8.21b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.37% (Interest Expense 134.9m / Debt 1.83b)
Taxrate = 2.19% (7.57m / 346.1m)
NOPAT = 417.7m (EBIT 427.1m * (1 - 2.19%))
Current Ratio = 3.43 (Total Current Assets 1.52b / Total Current Liabilities 443.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.37 (Debt 1.83b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.92b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.49 (Net Debt 458.8m / EBITDA 928.2m)
Debt / FCF = 8.11 (Net Debt 458.8m / FCF TTM 56.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.80b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.22% (Net Income 132.2m / Total Assets 8.21b)
RoE = 2.75% (Net Income TTM 132.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.80b)
RoCE = 7.80% (EBIT 427.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.80b + L.T.Debt 672.7m))
RoIC = 5.43% (NOPAT 417.7m / Invested Capital 7.69b)
WACC = 8.10% (E(4.12b)/V(5.95b) * Re(8.49%) + D(1.83b)/V(5.95b) * Rd(7.37%) * (1-Tc(0.02)))
Discount Rate = 8.49% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 61.27 | Cagr: 1.76%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈161.2m ; Y1≈141.3m ; Y5≈114.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 12.92 (EV 1.83b - Net Debt 458.8m = Equity 1.37b / Shares 106.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -78.33 | Revenue CAGR: -21.73% | SUE: -0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.12 | Chg30d=-18.73% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.07 | Chg30d=+240.60% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.36 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+306.8% | GrowthRev=+1.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.23 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-83.3% | GrowthRev=+0.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=2, down=2)