TFPM Stock Analysis: Triple Flag Precious Metals | NYSE
Other Precious Metals & Mining | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 6.858m USD | 12M Return: 30.7% | CA89679M1041 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 15.9M
EPS Trend: 98.9%
Qual. Beats: 5
Rev. Trend: 98.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 4.8 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM) is a Toronto-based precious metals streaming and royalty company founded in 2016 and listed on the NYSE in September 2021. The company acquires and manages streams, royalties, and other mineral interests across a geographically diversified footprint spanning Australia, Canada, Colombia, Côte dIvoire, Mexico, Mongolia, Peru, South Africa, and the United States. Its portfolio provides exposure to a broad range of commodities, including copper, gold, silver, nickel, lead, lithium, and zinc. As a mid-cap stock classified within the GICS Materials sector (Gold sub-industry), Triple Flag operates under a business model that finances mining operations in exchange for a share of future metal production or revenue, which typically carries lower direct operating risk than traditional mining companies.
- Gold prices rally lifts streaming revenue and margins
- New royalty deals expand production growth pipeline
- Copper silver prices drive diversified commodity revenue
| Net Income: 411.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -19.10 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 18.01% < 20% (prev 28.87%; Δ -10.85% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 390.6m > Net Income 411.5m |
| Net Debt (221.2m) to EBITDA (395.4m): 0.56 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.67 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (206.9m) vs 12m ago 2.73% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 74.36% > 18% (prev 60.24%; Δ 14.11% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 22.10% > 50% (prev 17.54%; Δ 4.56% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 144.1 > 6 (EBIT TTM 314.4m / Interest Expense TTM 2.18m) |
| A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 120.9m - Total Current Liabilities 32.9m) / Total Assets 2.57b |
| B: 0.16 (Retained Earnings 404.1m / Total Assets 2.57b) |
| C: 0.14 (EBIT TTM 314.4m / Avg Total Assets 2.21b) |
| D: 7.87 (Book Value of Equity 2.28b / Total Liabilities 289.8m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 9.96 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 29.7m/19.4m, Revenue 488.4m/324.2m) |
| GMI: 0.81 (GM 60.24% / 74.36%) |
| AQI: 8.75 (AQ_t 0.22 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 1.51 (Revenue 488.4m / 324.2m) |
| TATA: 0.01 (NI 411.5m - CFO 390.6m) / TA 2.57b) |
| Beneish M = 1.77 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of August 22, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 33.79 with a total of 822,660 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.37%, over one month by +18.48%, over three months by +6.15% and over the past year by +30.73%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 31.40 (which is 7.1% or 2.1 ATR below the current price).
Triple Flag Precious Metals has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.40. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TFPM.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 39.3 | 16.2% |
P/E Trailing = 16.399
P/E Forward = 23.2558
P/S = 14.0364
P/B = 2.955
Revenue TTM = 488.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 314.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 395.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 235.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 397k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 236.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.39m
Net Debt = 221.2m USD (calculated: Debt 236.4m - CCE 15.2m)
Enterprise Value = 7.08b USD (6.86b + Debt 236.4m - CCE 15.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 144.1 (Ebit TTM 314.4m / Interest Expense TTM 2.18m)
EV/FCF = -32.48x (Enterprise Value 7.08b / FCF TTM -217.9m)
FCF Yield = -3.08% (FCF TTM -217.9m / Enterprise Value 7.08b)
FCF Margin = -44.63% (FCF TTM -217.9m / Revenue TTM 488.4m)
Net Margin = 84.27% (Net Income TTM 411.5m / Revenue TTM 488.4m)
Gross Margin = 74.36% ((Revenue TTM 488.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 125.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 68.30% (prev 71.99%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.75 (Enterprise Value 7.08b / Total Assets 2.57b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.92% (Interest Expense 2.18m / Debt 236.4m)
Taxrate = 7.89% (35.2m / 446.8m)
NOPAT = 289.6m (EBIT 314.4m * (1 - 7.89%))
Current Ratio = 3.67 (Total Current Assets 120.9m / Total Current Liabilities 32.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.10 (Debt 236.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.28b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.56 (Net Debt 221.2m / EBITDA 395.4m)
Debt / FCF = -1.01 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 221.2m / FCF TTM -217.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.12b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 18.62% (Net Income 411.5m / Total Assets 2.57b)
RoE = 19.46% (Net Income TTM 411.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.12b)
RoCE = 13.38% (EBIT 314.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.12b + L.T.Debt 235.0m))
RoIC = 11.48% (NOPAT 289.6m / Invested Capital 2.52b)
WACC = 7.58% (E(6.86b)/V(7.09b) * Re(7.81%) + D(236.4m)/V(7.09b) * Rd(0.92%) * (1-Tc(0.08)))
Discount Rate = 7.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 85.83 | Cagr: 1.26%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -217.9m)
EPS Correlation: 98.87 | EPS CAGR: 70.42% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 5
Revenue Correlation: 98.66 | Revenue CAGR: 40.39% | SUE: -0.00 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.29 | Chg30d=+0.66% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.39 | Chg30d=+3.05% | Revisions=+12% | GrowthEPS=+38.0% | GrowthRev=+33.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.54 | Chg30d=+10.05% | Revisions=-36% | GrowthEPS=+10.8% | GrowthRev=+22.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -15% (up=7, down=10)