(TFPM) Triple Flag Precious Metals - Overview
Sector: Basic MaterialsIndustry: Other Precious Metals & Mining | Exchange NYSE (USA) | Currency USD | Market Cap: 6.337m | Total Return 65.8% in 12m
Stock: Precious Metals, Royalties, Streams, Minerals
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 45.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 1.75% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.30 |
| Alpha | 55.92 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.410 |
| Beta Downside | 0.654 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 30.02% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.00 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: TFPM Triple Flag Precious Metals March 04, 2026
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM) is a Canadian company, founded in 2016, operating in the precious metals streaming and royalty sector. This business model involves upfront payments to mining companies in exchange for a percentage of future metal production or revenue.
TFPM acquires and manages interests in precious metals across multiple countries, including Australia, Canada, and the United States. Their portfolio provides exposure to a range of metals beyond traditional gold and silver, such as copper, nickel, and lithium. Diversification across various metals can mitigate risks associated with price fluctuations in a single commodity.
To learn more about TFPMs specific financials and operational performance, further research on platforms like ValueRay is recommended.
Headlines to watch out for
- Precious metals price fluctuations impact revenue
- New stream and royalty acquisitions drive growth
- Mining operational risks affect royalty payments
- Global economic conditions influence metal demand
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income: 241.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -7.11 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 29.10% < 20% (prev 18.04%; Δ 11.06% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 313.4m > Net Income 241.2m |
| Net Debt (-26.4m) to EBITDA (328.7m): -0.08 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.92 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (207.2m) vs 12m ago 2.90% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 72.42% > 18% (prev 0.58%; Δ 7.18k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 20.13% > 50% (prev 15.20%; Δ 4.94% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 71.75 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 328.7m / Interest Expense TTM 3.47m) |
Altman Z'' 10.00
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 152.5m - Total Current Liabilities 38.9m) / Total Assets 2.11b |
| B: 0.08 (Retained Earnings 164.6m / Total Assets 2.11b) |
| C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 248.8m / Avg Total Assets 1.94b) |
| D: 29.96 (Book Value of Equity 2.04b / Total Liabilities 68.1m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 32.93 = AAA |
Beneish M -2.83
| DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 25.3m/17.6m, Revenue 390.5m/269.0m) |
| GMI: 0.80 (GM 72.42% / 57.70%) |
| AQI: 1.16 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.03) |
| SGI: 1.45 (Revenue 390.5m / 269.0m) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 241.2m - CFO 313.4m) / TA 2.11b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.83 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of TFPM shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.57%, over one month by -21.64%, over three months by -10.78% and over the past year by +65.79%.
Is TFPM a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TFPM price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 44.3 | 39.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 44.3 | 39.9% |
TFPM Fundamental Data Overview March 22, 2026
P/E Forward = 20.8768
P/S = 16.3018
P/B = 3.0856
Revenue TTM = 390.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 248.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 328.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 13.0m USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 378k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.54m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -26.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.22b USD (6.34b + Debt 2.54m - CCE 122.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 71.75 (Ebit TTM 248.8m / Interest Expense TTM 3.47m)
EV/FCF = 62.86x (Enterprise Value 6.22b / FCF TTM 98.9m)
FCF Yield = 1.59% (FCF TTM 98.9m / Enterprise Value 6.22b)
FCF Margin = 25.32% (FCF TTM 98.9m / Revenue TTM 390.5m)
Net Margin = 61.76% (Net Income TTM 241.2m / Revenue TTM 390.5m)
Gross Margin = 72.42% ((Revenue TTM 390.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 107.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 72.76% (prev 88.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.95 (Enterprise Value 6.22b / Total Assets 2.11b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 22.96% (Interest Expense 584k / Debt 2.54m)
Taxrate = 15.21% (14.0m / 92.0m)
NOPAT = 211.0m (EBIT 248.8m * (1 - 15.21%))
Current Ratio = 3.92 (Total Current Assets 152.5m / Total Current Liabilities 38.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 2.54m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.04b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.08 (Net Debt -26.4m / EBITDA 328.7m)
Debt / FCF = -0.27 (Net Debt -26.4m / FCF TTM 98.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.90b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.43% (Net Income 241.2m / Total Assets 2.11b)
RoE = 12.71% (Net Income TTM 241.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.90b)
RoCE = 13.02% (EBIT 248.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.90b + L.T.Debt 13.0m))
RoIC = 10.91% (NOPAT 211.0m / Invested Capital 1.93b)
WACC = 7.42% (E(6.34b)/V(6.34b) * Re(7.42%) + D(2.54m)/V(6.34b) * Rd(22.96%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 7.42% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.00%
[DCF] Terminal Value 83.49% ; FCFF base≈142.9m ; Y1≈176.2m ; Y5≈300.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 28.50 (EV 5.86b - Net Debt -26.4m = Equity 5.89b / Shares 206.6m; r=7.42% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 78.51 | EPS CAGR: 37.49% | SUE: 3.29 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 96.84 | Revenue CAGR: 36.34% | SUE: 0.09 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.33 | Chg7d=+0.026 | Chg30d=+0.003 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.42 | Chg7d=+0.042 | Chg30d=+0.071 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+40.5% | Growth Revenue=+30.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.58 | Chg7d=+0.074 | Chg30d=-0.020 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+11.7% | Growth Revenue=+6.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.00 (1 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 4.1% (Discount Rate 7.9% - Earnings Yield 3.9%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -4.1% (Analyst 0.0% - Implied 4.1%)