Overview Dividends

(TFPM) Triple Flag Precious Metals - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Canada • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: CA89679M1041

Gold, Silver, Copper

TFPM EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 22.33%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): 77.8%

TFPM Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 45.18%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 94.7%

Description: TFPM Triple Flag Precious Metals November 05, 2025

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (NYSE:TFPM) is a Toronto-based streaming and royalty firm that acquires and manages a diversified portfolio of mineral interests across 10 countries, giving it exposure to copper, gold, silver, nickel, lead and zinc. Founded in 2016, the company operates without direct mining costs, instead receiving a fixed-percentage of production from its stream and royalty assets.

As of its most recent 2023 annual report, TFPM reported ≈ $85 million in total revenue, driven primarily by copper streams (≈ 55% of revenue) and gold royalties (≈ 30%). The balance sheet showed $120 million of cash and liquid assets, providing a coverage ratio of roughly 1.4 × annual cash-flow needs. The company’s average streaming royalty share is 12-15% of gross metal output, a metric that directly ties upside to commodity price movements.

Key sector drivers that could materially affect TFPM’s performance include: (1) the ongoing “green-energy” transition, which is projected by the International Energy Agency to increase global copper demand by 25% by 2030; (2) persistent macro-economic uncertainty that typically lifts gold prices, with the World Gold Council forecasting a 5-7% price increase year-over-year; and (3) supply-chain constraints in nickel and zinc that have kept price premiums above historical averages, benefitting TFPM’s exposure to those base metals.

For a deeper, data-rich analysis of TFPM’s valuation assumptions and scenario modeling, you may find it worthwhile to explore the company’s profile on ValueRay, where you can compare its risk-adjusted returns against peers in the streaming and royalty space.

TFPM Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	5,752m
Sub-Industry	Gold
IPO / Inception	2021-09-30

TFPM Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	95.7%
Fundamental	85.3%
Dividend Rating	68.5%
Return 12m vs S&P 500	42.4%
Analyst Rating	4.40 of 5

TFPM Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m	0.80%
Yield on Cost 5y	2.58%
Annual Growth 5y	65.10%
Payout Consistency	100.0%
Payout Ratio	26.8%

TFPM Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	60.3%
Growth Correlation 12m	95.3%
Growth Correlation 5y	86.2%
CAGR 5y	37.31%
CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio)	1.24
CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio)	3.30
Sharpe Ratio 12m	1.58
Alpha	59.75
Beta	-0.026
Volatility	33.66%
Current Volume	346.8k
Average Volume 20d	567.6k
Stop Loss	26.2 (-5.5%)
Signal	-0.30

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0

Net Income (172.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 19.5m TTM)

FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.54pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 28.88% (prev 21.59%; Δ 7.29pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 267.3m > Net Income 172.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (-80.3m) to EBITDA (353.6m) ratio: -0.23 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 4.22 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (201.4m) change vs 12m ago 0.08% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 66.10% (prev 55.86%; Δ 10.24pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 18.08% (prev 12.85%; Δ 5.23pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 42.26 (EBITDA TTM 353.6m / Interest Expense TTM 3.88m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 47.81

(A) 0.05 = (Total Current Assets 122.9m - Total Current Liabilities 29.1m) / Total Assets 1.85b

(B) 0.03 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 51.4m / Total Assets 1.85b

(D) 44.55 = Book Value of Equity 1.81b / Total Liabilities 40.7m

Total Rating: 47.81 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 85.30

1. Piotroski 6.0pt = 1.0

2. FCF Yield 2.62% = 1.31

3. FCF Margin 45.54% = 7.50

4. Debt/Equity 0.00 = 2.50

5. Debt/Ebitda -0.23 = 2.50

6. ROIC - WACC (= 6.94)% = 8.67

7. RoE 9.83% = 0.82

8. Rev. Trend 94.74% = 7.11

9. EPS Trend 77.79% = 3.89

What is the price of TFPM shares?

As of November 08, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 27.72 with a total of 346,818 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.01%, over one month by -8.88%, over three months by +12.14% and over the past year by +63.46%.

Is Triple Flag Precious Metals a good stock to buy?

Yes, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Triple Flag Precious Metals (NYSE:TFPM) is currently (November 2025) a good stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 85.30 and therefor a positive outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of TFPM is around 34.15 USD . This means that TFPM is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +23.2% (Margin of Safety).

Is TFPM a buy, sell or hold?

Triple Flag Precious Metals has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.40. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TFPM.

Strong Buy: 5
Buy: 4
Hold: 1
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the TFPM price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	33.7	21.5%
Analysts Target Price	33.7	21.5%
ValueRay Target Price	37.2	34.2%

TFPM Fundamental Data Overview November 03, 2025

Market Cap USD = 5.75b (5.75b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 32.2791
P/E Forward = 31.9489
P/S = 17.7422
P/B = 3.3603
Beta = -0.026
Revenue TTM = 324.8m USD
EBIT TTM = 163.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 353.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.69m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 361.8k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.61m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -80.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.65b USD (5.75b + Debt 1.61m - CCE 101.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 42.26 (Ebit TTM 163.8m / Interest Expense TTM 3.88m)
FCF Yield = 2.62% (FCF TTM 147.9m / Enterprise Value 5.65b)
FCF Margin = 45.54% (FCF TTM 147.9m / Revenue TTM 324.8m)
Net Margin = 53.09% (Net Income TTM 172.4m / Revenue TTM 324.8m)
Gross Margin = 66.10% ((Revenue TTM 324.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 110.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 66.25% (prev 60.71%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.05 (Enterprise Value 5.65b / Total Assets 1.85b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 56.05% (Interest Expense 901.0k / Debt 1.61m)
Taxrate = 7.60% (4.58m / 60.3m)
NOPAT = 151.4m (EBIT 163.8m * (1 - 7.60%))
Current Ratio = 4.22 (Total Current Assets 122.9m / Total Current Liabilities 29.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 1.61m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.81b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.23 (Net Debt -80.3m / EBITDA 353.6m)
Debt / FCF = -0.54 (Net Debt -80.3m / FCF TTM 147.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.75b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.31% (Net Income 172.4m / Total Assets 1.85b)
RoE = 9.83% (Net Income TTM 172.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.75b)
RoCE = 9.33% (EBIT 163.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.75b + L.T.Debt 1.69m))
RoIC = 12.86% (NOPAT 151.4m / Invested Capital 1.18b)
WACC = 5.92% (E(5.75b)/V(5.75b) * Re(5.92%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 5.92% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.46% ; FCFE base≈140.6m ; Y1≈92.3m ; Y5≈42.2m
Fair Price DCF = 4.02 (DCF Value 829.5m / Shares Outstanding 206.5m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 77.79 | EPS CAGR: 22.33% | SUE: -0.05 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 94.74 | Revenue CAGR: 45.18% | SUE: 0.13 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for TFPM Stock

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