(TFPM) Triple Flag Precious Metals - Ratings and Ratios
Gold, Silver, Copper
TFPM EPS (Earnings per Share)
TFPM Revenue
Description: TFPM Triple Flag Precious Metals
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp (NYSE:TFPM) is a precious metals streaming and royalty company that acquires and manages precious metals streams, royalties, and other mineral interests across multiple countries. The companys diversified portfolio provides exposure to various metals, including copper, gold, silver, nickel, lead, and zinc.
From a financial perspective, TFPM has a market capitalization of approximately $4.87 billion USD, indicating a significant presence in the industry. The companys price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 786, which may indicate high growth expectations, while the forward P/E ratio is 29.94, suggesting a more normalized earnings multiple in the future. The return on equity (RoE) is 0.31, which may indicate relatively low profitability. To further evaluate TFPMs performance, key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, operating margins, and debt-to-equity ratio should be examined.
Some additional KPIs to consider when evaluating TFPM include: the companys streaming and royalty revenue as a percentage of total revenue, the average cash cost per ounce of gold/silver equivalent, and the companys dividend yield and payout ratio. Furthermore, the companys asset portfolio, including the number of operating mines, mine life, and reserve replacement ratio, can provide insight into TFPMs long-term sustainability and growth prospects.
To assess TFPMs stock performance, technical indicators such as relative strength index (RSI), Bollinger Bands, and moving average convergence divergence (MACD) can be used to identify trends and potential buy/sell signals. Additionally, sentiment analysis of news articles, analyst ratings, and investor positioning can provide further context on market expectations and potential price movements.
TFPM Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 6,088m |
| Sub-Industry | Gold |
| IPO / Inception | 2021-09-30 |
TFPM Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 94.3% |
| Fundamental | 83.1% |
| Dividend Rating | 64.0% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 58.6% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.40 of 5 |
TFPM Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 0.90% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.58% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 45.65% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 28.9% |
TFPM Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 93.2% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 91% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 85.2% |
| CAGR 5y | 39.08% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 1.30 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 3.50 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 1.62 |
| Alpha | 83.60 |
| Beta | -0.026 |
| Volatility | 33.35% |
| Current Volume | 585.8k |
| Average Volume 20d | 631.1k |
| Stop Loss | 28.9 (-3.7%) |
| Signal | -0.42 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (172.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 19.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.54pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 28.88% (prev 21.59%; Δ 7.29pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 267.3m > Net Income 172.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-80.3m) to EBITDA (353.6m) ratio: -0.23 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 4.22 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (201.4m) change vs 12m ago 0.08% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 66.10% (prev 55.86%; Δ 10.24pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 18.08% (prev 12.85%; Δ 5.23pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 42.26 (EBITDA TTM 353.6m / Interest Expense TTM 3.88m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 47.81
| (A) 0.05 = (Total Current Assets 122.9m - Total Current Liabilities 29.1m) / Total Assets 1.85b |
| (B) 0.03 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 51.4m / Total Assets 1.85b |
| (C) 0.09 = EBIT TTM 163.8m / Avg Total Assets 1.80b |
| (D) 44.55 = Book Value of Equity 1.81b / Total Liabilities 40.7m |
| Total Rating: 47.81 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 83.12
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt = 1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.47% = 1.23 |
| 3. FCF Margin 45.54% = 7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.01 = 2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.03 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 6.94)% = 8.67 |
| 7. RoE 9.83% = 0.82 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 94.74% = 7.11 |
| 9. EPS Trend 35.87% = 1.79 |
What is the price of TFPM shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.60%, over one month by +4.31%, over three months by +22.44% and over the past year by +89.16%.
Is Triple Flag Precious Metals a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of TFPM is around 38.12 USD . This means that TFPM is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +26.98% (Margin of Safety).
Is TFPM a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TFPM price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 28.3 | -5.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 28.3 | -5.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 41.5 | 38.3% |
Last update: 2025-10-04 04:00
TFPM Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 101.4m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 34.2093
P/E Forward = 31.9489
P/S = 18.7773
P/B = 3.3603
Beta = -0.026
Revenue TTM = 324.8m USD
EBIT TTM = 163.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 353.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 11.5m USD (from nonCurrentLiabilitiesTotal, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 361.8k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 11.9m USD (Calculated: Short Term 361.8k + Long Term 11.5m)
Net Debt = -80.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.00b USD (6.09b + Debt 11.9m - CCE 101.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 42.26 (Ebit TTM 163.8m / Interest Expense TTM 3.88m)
FCF Yield = 2.47% (FCF TTM 147.9m / Enterprise Value 6.00b)
FCF Margin = 45.54% (FCF TTM 147.9m / Revenue TTM 324.8m)
Net Margin = 53.09% (Net Income TTM 172.4m / Revenue TTM 324.8m)
Gross Margin = 66.10% ((Revenue TTM 324.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 110.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.31 (Enterprise Value 6.00b / Book Value Of Equity 1.81b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.56% (Interest Expense 901.0k / Debt 11.9m)
Taxrate = 7.60% (4.58m / 60.3m)
NOPAT = 151.4m (EBIT 163.8m * (1 - 7.60%))
Current Ratio = 4.22 (Total Current Assets 122.9m / Total Current Liabilities 29.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 11.9m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 1.81b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.03 (Net Debt -80.3m / EBITDA 353.6m)
Debt / FCF = 0.08 (Debt 11.9m / FCF TTM 147.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.75b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 9.31% (Net Income 172.4m, Total Assets 1.85b )
RoE = 9.83% (Net Income TTM 172.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.75b)
RoCE = 9.28% (Ebit 163.8m / (Equity 1.75b + L.T.Debt 11.5m))
RoIC = 12.86% (NOPAT 151.4m / Invested Capital 1.18b)
WACC = 5.92% (E(6.09b)/V(6.10b) * Re(5.92%)) + (D(11.9m)/V(6.10b) * Rd(7.56%) * (1-Tc(0.08)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.05%
Discount Rate = 5.92% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.46% ; FCFE base≈140.6m ; Y1≈92.3m ; Y5≈42.2m
Fair Price DCF = 4.02 (DCF Value 829.5m / Shares Outstanding 206.5m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 35.87 | EPS CAGR: -38.79% | SUE: -4.45 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 94.74 | Revenue CAGR: 45.18% | SUE: 0.13 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for TFPM Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle