(TFPM) Triple Flag Precious Metals - Overview

Sector: Basic Materials | Industry: Other Precious Metals & Mining | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 7.361m USD | Total Return: 66.2% in 12m

Precious Metals, Royalties, Streams, Minerals
Total Rating 52
Safety 77
Buy Signal -0.23
Other Precious Metals & Mining
Industry Rotation: -1.4
Market Cap: 7.36B
Avg Turnover: 21.7M USD
ATR: 4.71%
Peers RS (IBD): 17.2
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility43.1%
Rel. Tail Risk1.87%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.53
Alpha78.45
Character TTM
Beta0.380
Beta Downside0.815
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD30.02%
CAGR/Max DD1.00
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TFPM over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0, "2021-06": 0.12, "2021-09": 0.09, "2021-12": 0.09, "2022-03": 0.1, "2022-06": 0.07, "2022-09": 0.09, "2022-12": 0.12, "2023-03": 0.07, "2023-06": 0.09, "2023-09": -0.03, "2023-12": 0.09, "2024-03": 0.12, "2024-06": 0.13, "2024-09": 0.15, "2024-12": 0.18, "2025-03": 0.2, "2025-06": 0.24, "2025-09": 0.24, "2025-12": 0.33, "2026-03": 0,
EPS CAGR: -23.01%
EPS Trend: 52.5%
Last SUE: -4.00
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of TFPM over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 35.366, 2021-06: 40.939, 2021-09: 37.126, 2021-12: 36.99, 2022-03: 37.755, 2022-06: 36.49, 2022-09: 33.754, 2022-12: 50.269, 2023-03: 50.269, 2023-06: 52.591, 2023-09: 49.425, 2023-12: 51.739, 2024-03: 57.528, 2024-06: 63.581, 2024-09: 73.669, 2024-12: 74.213, 2025-03: 82.245, 2025-06: 94.087, 2025-09: 93.456, 2025-12: 120.74389, 2026-03: null,
Rev. CAGR: 36.34%
Rev. Trend: 96.8%
Last SUE: 0.09
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: TFPM Triple Flag Precious Metals

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM) is a Canadian company, founded in 2016, operating in the precious metals streaming and royalty sector. This business model involves upfront payments to mining companies in exchange for a percentage of future metal production or revenue.

TFPM acquires and manages interests in precious metals across multiple countries, including Australia, Canada, and the United States. Their portfolio provides exposure to a range of metals beyond traditional gold and silver, such as copper, nickel, and lithium. Diversification across various metals can mitigate risks associated with price fluctuations in a single commodity.

To learn more about TFPMs specific financials and operational performance, further research on platforms like ValueRay is recommended.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Precious metals price fluctuations impact revenue
  • New stream and royalty acquisitions drive growth
  • Mining operational risks affect royalty payments
  • Global economic conditions influence metal demand
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 241.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -7.11 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 29.10% < 20% (prev 18.04%; Δ 11.06% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 313.4m > Net Income 241.2m
Net Debt (-108.6m) to EBITDA (328.7m): -0.33 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.92 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (207.2m) vs 12m ago 2.90% < -2%
Gross Margin: 72.42% > 18% (prev 0.58%; Δ 7.18k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 20.13% > 50% (prev 15.20%; Δ 4.94% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 71.75 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 328.7m / Interest Expense TTM 3.47m)
Altman Z'' 10.00
A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 152.5m - Total Current Liabilities 38.9m) / Total Assets 2.11b
B: 0.08 (Retained Earnings 164.6m / Total Assets 2.11b)
C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 248.8m / Avg Total Assets 1.94b)
D: 29.96 (Book Value of Equity 2.04b / Total Liabilities 68.1m)
Altman-Z'' Score: 32.93 = AAA
Beneish M -2.83
DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 25.3m/17.6m, Revenue 390.5m/269.0m)
GMI: 0.80 (GM 72.42% / 57.70%)
AQI: 1.16 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.03)
SGI: 1.45 (Revenue 390.5m / 269.0m)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 241.2m - CFO 313.4m) / TA 2.11b)
Beneish M-Score: -2.83 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of TFPM shares? As of April 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 35.63 with a total of 285,325 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.91%, over one month by -4.96%, over three months by -1.25% and over the past year by +66.23%.
Is TFPM a buy, sell or hold? Triple Flag Precious Metals has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.40. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TFPM.
  • StrongBuy: 5
  • Buy: 4
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TFPM price?
Analysts Target Price 45 26.3%
Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 12 April 2026
P/E Trailing = 30.1949
P/E Forward = 23.9808
P/S = 18.9381
P/B = 3.576
Revenue TTM = 390.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 248.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 328.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 13.0m USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 378k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.4m USD (corrected: LT Debt 13.0m + ST Debt 378k)
Net Debt = -108.6m USD (recalculated: Debt 13.4m - CCE 122.0m)
Enterprise Value = 7.25b USD (7.36b + Debt 13.4m - CCE 122.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 71.75 (Ebit TTM 248.8m / Interest Expense TTM 3.47m)
EV/FCF = 73.33x (Enterprise Value 7.25b / FCF TTM 98.9m)
FCF Yield = 1.36% (FCF TTM 98.9m / Enterprise Value 7.25b)
FCF Margin = 25.32% (FCF TTM 98.9m / Revenue TTM 390.5m)
Net Margin = 61.76% (Net Income TTM 241.2m / Revenue TTM 390.5m)
Gross Margin = 72.42% ((Revenue TTM 390.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 107.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 72.76% (prev 88.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.44 (Enterprise Value 7.25b / Total Assets 2.11b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.36% (Interest Expense 584k / Debt 13.4m)
Taxrate = 15.21% (14.0m / 92.0m)
NOPAT = 211.0m (EBIT 248.8m * (1 - 15.21%))
Current Ratio = 3.92 (Total Current Assets 152.5m / Total Current Liabilities 38.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 13.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.04b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.33 (Net Debt -108.6m / EBITDA 328.7m)
Debt / FCF = -1.10 (Net Debt -108.6m / FCF TTM 98.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.90b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.43% (Net Income 241.2m / Total Assets 2.11b)
RoE = 12.71% (Net Income TTM 241.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.90b)
RoCE = 13.02% (EBIT 248.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.90b + L.T.Debt 13.0m))
RoIC = 10.91% (NOPAT 211.0m / Invested Capital 1.93b)
WACC = 7.31% (E(7.36b)/V(7.37b) * Re(7.32%) + D(13.4m)/V(7.37b) * Rd(4.36%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 7.32% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.00%
[DCF] Terminal Value 83.87% ; FCFF base≈142.9m ; Y1≈176.2m ; Y5≈300.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 29.64 (EV 6.02b - Net Debt -108.6m = Equity 6.12b / Shares 206.6m; r=7.31% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 52.55 | EPS CAGR: -23.01% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.84 | Revenue CAGR: 36.34% | SUE: 0.09 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.34 | Chg7d=+0.006 | Chg30d=+0.031 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.44 | Chg7d=-0.005 | Chg30d=+0.067 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+43.0% | Growth Revenue=+34.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.65 | Chg7d=+0.006 | Chg30d=+0.141 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+14.3% | Growth Revenue=+7.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.00 (1 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 4.6% (Discount Rate 7.9% - Earnings Yield 3.3%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +3.4% (Analyst 8.0% - Implied 4.6%)
External Resources
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