(TFPM) Triple Flag Precious Metals - NYSE

Sector: Basic Materials | Industry: Other Precious Metals & Mining | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 5.785m USD | Total Return: 16.9% in 12m

Gold, Silver, Copper, Nickel, Zinc
Total Rating 51
Safety 64
Buy Signal -1.04
Other Precious Metals & Mining
Industry Rotation: -36.3
Market Cap: 5.78B
Avg Turnover: 19.9M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility47.8%
VaR 5th Pctl8.75%
VaR vs Median11.2%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.54
Rel. Str. IBD17.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group8.3
Character TTM
Beta0.574
Beta Downside0.564
Hurst Exponent0.524
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD34.87%
CAGR/Max DD0.88
CAGR/Mean DD3.94
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TFPM over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.12, "2021-09": 0.09, "2021-12": 0.09, "2022-03": 0.1, "2022-06": 0.1, "2022-09": 0.09, "2022-12": 0.12, "2023-03": 0.07, "2023-06": 0.09, "2023-09": 0.09, "2023-12": 0.09, "2024-03": 0.12, "2024-06": 0.13, "2024-09": 0.15, "2024-12": 0.18, "2025-03": 0.2, "2025-06": 0.24, "2025-09": 0.24, "2025-12": 0.33, "2026-03": 0.45,
EPS CAGR: 60.59%
EPS Trend: 97.2%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 4
Revenue Revenue of TFPM over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 40.939, 2021-09: 37.126, 2021-12: 36.99, 2022-03: 37.755, 2022-06: 36.49, 2022-09: 33.754, 2022-12: 50.269, 2023-03: 50.269, 2023-06: 52.591, 2023-09: 49.425, 2023-12: 51.739, 2024-03: 57.528, 2024-06: 63.581, 2024-09: 73.669, 2024-12: 74.213, 2025-03: 82.245, 2025-06: 94.087, 2025-09: 93.456, 2025-12: 120.74389, 2026-03: 144.956892,
Rev. CAGR: 36.74%
Rev. Trend: 98.3%
Last SUE: -0.52
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Choppy Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: TFPM Triple Flag Precious Metals

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. is a Toronto-based streaming and royalty company with a diversified portfolio of mineral interests across North America, South America, Australia, and Africa. The company focuses primarily on gold and silver but maintains secondary exposure to base and battery metals, including copper, nickel, and lithium.

Unlike traditional mining operators, the streaming and royalty business model provides upfront capital to miners in exchange for the right to purchase a percentage of future production at a fixed cost or to receive a percentage of revenue. This structure limits the company’s exposure to direct operating cost inflation and capital expenditure overruns typically associated with mine development.

The precious metals sector often utilizes these financing arrangements to fund exploration or debt reduction without equity dilution for the operator. For a deeper look into how these royalty structures impact long-term valuation, consider reviewing the detailed metrics on ValueRay. Triple Flag manages a geographically dispersed asset base to mitigate jurisdictional risk while maintaining a lean corporate overhead.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Gold and silver price volatility directly impacts quarterly royalty revenue streams
  • Production volume growth at core assets like Northparkes and RBPlat
  • Asset diversification reduces jurisdictional risk across major mining regions
  • High-margin royalty business model insulates company from rising mine operating costs
  • Strategic acquisition of new streams determines long-term net asset value growth
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.0
Net Income: 311.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.66 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 45.11% < 20% (prev 11.37%; Δ 33.74% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 358.8m > Net Income 311.0m
Net Debt (-209.0m) to EBITDA (365.5m): -0.57 < 3
Current Ratio: 6.31 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (207.3m) vs 12m ago 2.94% < -2%
Gross Margin: 74.40% > 18% (prev 58.52%; Δ 15.88% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 22.55% > 50% (prev 16.37%; Δ 6.18% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 95.69 > 6 (EBIT TTM 284.5m / Interest Expense TTM 2.97m)
Altman Z'' 10.00
A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 243.0m - Total Current Liabilities 38.5m) / Total Assets 2.23b
B: 0.12 (Retained Earnings 270.3m / Total Assets 2.23b)
C: 0.14 (EBIT TTM 284.5m / Avg Total Assets 2.01b)
D: 31.05 (Book Value of Equity 2.16b / Total Liabilities 69.4m)
Altman-Z'' = 34.55 = AAA
Beneish M -2.54
DSRI: 1.19 (Receivables 30.1m/16.3m, Revenue 453.2m/293.7m)
GMI: 0.79 (GM 58.52% / 74.40%)
AQI: 1.23 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.03)
SGI: 1.54 (Revenue 453.2m / 293.7m)
TATA: -0.02 (NI 311.0m - CFO 358.8m) / TA 2.23b)
Beneish M = -2.54 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of TFPM shares?

As of June 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 29.16 with a total of 888,180 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.15%, over one month by -17.89%, over three months by -18.60% and over the past year by +16.86%.

Is TFPM a buy, sell or hold?

Triple Flag Precious Metals has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.40. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TFPM.

  • StrongBuy: 5
  • Buy: 4
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the TFPM price?
Analysts Target Price 41 40.6%
Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 12 June 2026
Market Cap USD = 5.78b (5.78b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 18.543
P/E Forward = 20.4082
P/S = 12.7575
P/B = 2.5809
Revenue TTM = 453.2m USD
EBIT TTM = 284.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 365.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.01m USD (estimated: total debt 1.39m - short term 384k)
Short Term Debt = 384k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.39m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 1.39m already included)
Net Debt = -209.0m USD (calculated: Debt 1.39m - CCE 210.4m)
Enterprise Value = 5.58b USD (5.78b + Debt 1.39m - CCE 210.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 95.69 (Ebit TTM 284.5m / Interest Expense TTM 2.97m)
EV/FCF = 31.23x (Enterprise Value 5.58b / FCF TTM 178.5m)
FCF Yield = 3.20% (FCF TTM 178.5m / Enterprise Value 5.58b)
FCF Margin = 39.39% (FCF TTM 178.5m / Revenue TTM 453.2m)
Net Margin = 68.61% (Net Income TTM 311.0m / Revenue TTM 453.2m)
Gross Margin = 74.40% ((Revenue TTM 453.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 116.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 71.99% (prev 72.76%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.51 (Enterprise Value 5.58b / Total Assets 2.23b)
 Interest Expense / Debt = 214.0% (Interest Expense 2.97m / Debt 1.39m)
 Taxrate = 11.08% (38.7m / 349.7m)
NOPAT = 253.0m (EBIT 284.5m * (1 - 11.08%))
Current Ratio = 6.31 (Total Current Assets 243.0m / Total Current Liabilities 38.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 1.39m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.16b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.57 (Net Debt -209.0m / EBITDA 365.5m)
Debt / FCF = -1.17 (Net Debt -209.0m / FCF TTM 178.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.00b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 15.47% (Net Income 311.0m / Total Assets 2.23b)
RoE = 15.57% (Net Income TTM 311.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.00b)
RoCE = 14.24% (EBIT 284.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.00b + L.T.Debt 1.01m))
RoIC = 11.69% (NOPAT 253.0m / Invested Capital 2.17b)
WACC = 8.00% (E(5.78b)/V(5.79b) * Re(8.0%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 8.0% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 86.67 | Cagr: 1.52%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.80% ; FCFF base≈176.6m ; Y1≈181.4m ; Y5≈201.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 16.08 (EV 3.11b - Net Debt -209.0m = Equity 3.32b / Shares 206.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 2.77% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 97.16 | EPS CAGR: 60.59% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: 98.28 | Revenue CAGR: 36.74% | SUE: -0.52 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.34 | Chg30d=-5.70% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=9
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.35 | Chg30d=-7.03% | Revisions=+14% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.48 | Chg30d=-1.79% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+46.3% | GrowthRev=+36.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.48 | Chg30d=-4.38% | Revisions=-27% | GrowthEPS=+0.5% | GrowthRev=+13.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -27%