(TFPM) Triple Flag Precious Metals - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Canada • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: CA89679M1041

Gold, Silver, Copper, Nickel, Zinc

Gold
Market Cap in USD: 7,218m

IPO / Inception: 2021-09-30
12m vs SPY: 92.2%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -28.06%
EPS Trend: 43.2%

Last SUE: -4.00
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 28.04%
Rev. Trend: 96.4%

Last SUE: 0.00
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield	0.96%
Yield on Cost 5y	2.61%
Yield CAGR 5y	4.89%
Payout Consistency	100.0%
Payout Ratio	26.2%

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	38.4%
Value at Risk 5%th	62.8%
Relative Tail Risk	-0.61%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	2.30
Alpha	123.95
CAGR/Max DD	1.30

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.433
Beta	0.276
Beta Downside	0.113

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	30.02%
Mean DD	11.14%
Median DD	9.49%

Description: TFPM Triple Flag Precious Metals January 08, 2026

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (NYSE: TFPM) is a Toronto-based streaming and royalty firm founded in 2016 that acquires and manages interests in precious-metal and base-metal projects across ten countries, including Australia, Canada, and the United States.

Its portfolio delivers exposure to a diversified basket of commodities-copper, gold, silver, nickel, lead and zinc-through a mix of streaming agreements (typically 2-5% of production) and royalty contracts (generally 1-3% of gross revenues). As of the latest filing, TFPM reported streaming revenue of roughly US$45 million for 2023 and held a cash balance of US$120 million, giving it a net-debt-to-cash ratio well below 0.2.

Key sector drivers that could amplify TFPM’s upside include the ongoing copper super-cycle tied to electric-vehicle battery demand (copper prices have risen about 20% year-to-date) and sustained gold buying pressure amid higher real-interest-rate uncertainty. The company’s royalty exposure to copper-heavy assets in Chile and the Democratic Republic of Congo positions it to benefit disproportionately if copper prices breach the US$4.50 per-lb threshold.

For a deeper quantitative breakdown, you might explore TFPM’s metrics on ValueRay.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0

Net Income (204.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 20.6m TTM)

FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -6.65pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 7.41% (prev 17.59%; Δ -10.18pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 284.0m > Net Income 204.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (5.58m) to EBITDA (281.2m) ratio: 0.02 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.68 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (206.7m) change vs 12m ago 2.27% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 70.16% (prev 54.87%; Δ 15.28pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 18.01% (prev 13.90%; Δ 4.11pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 49.24 (EBITDA TTM 281.2m / Interest Expense TTM 4.33m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 32.97

(A) 0.01 = (Total Current Assets 63.2m - Total Current Liabilities 37.7m) / Total Assets 2.05b

(B) 0.05 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 100.7m / Total Assets 2.05b

(D) 30.46 = Book Value of Equity 1.98b / Total Liabilities 65.1m

Total Rating: 32.97 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 77.25

1. Piotroski 7.0pt

2. FCF Yield 0.96%

3. FCF Margin 20.09%

4. Debt/Equity 0.01

5. Debt/Ebitda 0.02

6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.53)%

7. RoE 11.22%

8. Rev. Trend 96.43%

9. EPS Trend 43.19%

What is the price of TFPM shares?

As of January 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 35.10 with a total of 456,029 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.28%, over one month by +1.15%, over three months by +13.42% and over the past year by +132.10%.

Is TFPM a buy, sell or hold?

Triple Flag Precious Metals has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.40. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TFPM.

Strong Buy: 5
Buy: 4
Hold: 1
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the TFPM price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	34.7	-1.2%
Analysts Target Price	34.7	-1.2%
ValueRay Target Price	46.9	33.6%

TFPM Fundamental Data Overview January 10, 2026

P/E Trailing = 34.4852
P/E Forward = 29.9401
P/S = 20.9817
P/B = 3.6323
Beta = 0.048
Revenue TTM = 344.0m USD
EBIT TTM = 213.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 281.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 13.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 368.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.58m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.21b USD (7.22b + Debt 14.5m - CCE 24.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 49.24 (Ebit TTM 213.2m / Interest Expense TTM 4.33m)
EV/FCF = 104.3x (Enterprise Value 7.21b / FCF TTM 69.1m)
FCF Yield = 0.96% (FCF TTM 69.1m / Enterprise Value 7.21b)
FCF Margin = 20.09% (FCF TTM 69.1m / Revenue TTM 344.0m)
Net Margin = 59.43% (Net Income TTM 204.5m / Revenue TTM 344.0m)
Gross Margin = 70.16% ((Revenue TTM 344.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 102.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 88.48% (prev 66.25%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.52 (Enterprise Value 7.21b / Total Assets 2.05b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 9.53% (Interest Expense 1.38m / Debt 14.5m)
Taxrate = 10.13% (6.98m / 68.9m)
NOPAT = 191.6m (EBIT 213.2m * (1 - 10.13%))
Current Ratio = 1.68 (Total Current Assets 63.2m / Total Current Liabilities 37.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 14.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.98b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.02 (Net Debt 5.58m / EBITDA 281.2m)
Debt / FCF = 0.08 (Net Debt 5.58m / FCF TTM 69.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.82b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.71% (Net Income 204.5m / Total Assets 2.05b)
RoE = 11.22% (Net Income TTM 204.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.82b)
RoCE = 11.62% (EBIT 213.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.82b + L.T.Debt 13.0m))
RoIC = 10.47% (NOPAT 191.6m / Invested Capital 1.83b)
WACC = 6.93% (E(7.22b)/V(7.23b) * Re(6.93%) + D(14.5m)/V(7.23b) * Rd(9.53%) * (1-Tc(0.10)))
Discount Rate = 6.93% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.56%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 84.82% ; FCFF base≈112.6m ; Y1≈138.9m ; Y5≈236.5m
Fair Price DCF = 24.61 (EV 5.09b - Net Debt 5.58m = Equity 5.08b / Shares 206.6m; r=6.93% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 43.19 | EPS CAGR: -28.06% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.43 | Revenue CAGR: 28.04% | SUE: -0.00 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.29 | Chg30d=+0.018 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.11 | Chg30d=+0.034 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+13.1% | Growth Revenue=+7.9%

Additional Sources for TFPM Stock

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