(TGI) Triumph - Ratings and Ratios
Aircraft,Fiber,Composites,Engines,Structures
TGI EPS (Earnings per Share)
TGI Revenue
Description: TGI Triumph
Triumph Group Inc (NYSE:TGI) is a US-based company operating in the Aerospace & Defense sub-industry. To evaluate its stock performance, we need to examine key drivers and metrics that impact its valuation.
The companys market capitalization stands at $2.02 billion, indicating a relatively modest size compared to other players in the industry. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 56.54, suggesting that the stock may be overvalued relative to its current earnings. However, the forward P/E ratio is significantly lower at 14.73, implying expected earnings growth in the future.
To better understand TGIs performance, we should analyze its revenue growth, profit margins, and return on equity (ROE). Although the provided data does not include ROE, we can infer that the companys ability to generate returns for shareholders is crucial. Key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth rate, operating margin, and cash flow conversion rate are essential in assessing TGIs financial health and competitiveness.
The Aerospace & Defense industry is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors, including government defense spending, global conflict, and technological advancements. TGIs performance is likely tied to the demand for its products and services, which are used in various aerospace and defense applications. The companys ability to adapt to changing market conditions, invest in research and development, and maintain a strong order backlog will be critical in driving future growth.
From a trading perspective, TGIs stock has exhibited significant volatility, with a beta of 2.263 indicating that its price movements are more than twice as volatile as the broader market. This suggests that investors should be prepared for potential price swings. Analyzing the stocks price action, we can see that it has reached a 52-week high, which may indicate a strong uptrend. However, it is essential to examine the underlying drivers of this trend and assess whether it is sustainable.
TGI Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 2,023m |
| Sub-Industry | Aerospace & Defense |
| IPO / Inception | 1996-10-25 |
TGI Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 83.2% |
| Fundamental | 54.8% |
| Dividend Rating | 16.8% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 1,535% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.0 of 5 |
TGI Dividends
Currently no dividends paidTGI Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 80.1% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 96.8% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 20.5% |
| CAGR 5y | 179.11% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | 4.04 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | 16.87 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.01 |
| Alpha | 0.00 |
| Beta | 0.947 |
| Volatility | 43.88% |
| Current Volume | 15.8k |
| Average Volume 20d | 4.1k |
| Stop Loss | 248.6 (-6.9%) |
| Signal | 0.55 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (40.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 75.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.87pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 38.34% (prev 44.02%; Δ -5.68pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO 37.9m <= Net Income 40.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (709.9m) to EBITDA (173.1m) ratio: 4.10 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.22 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (78.2m) change vs 12m ago 0.43% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 31.55% (prev 26.39%; Δ 5.16pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 75.21% (prev 76.62%; Δ -1.41pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.64 (EBITDA TTM 173.1m / Interest Expense TTM 87.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.48
| (A) 0.30 = (Total Current Assets 878.9m - Total Current Liabilities 395.1m) / Total Assets 1.63b |
| (B) -0.40 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -654.3m / Total Assets 1.63b |
| (C) 0.09 = EBIT TTM 143.5m / Avg Total Assets 1.68b |
| (D) -0.70 = Book Value of Equity -1.20b / Total Liabilities 1.70b |
| Total Rating: 0.48 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 54.77
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt = -2.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.69% = 0.35 |
| 3. FCF Margin 1.49% = 0.37 |
| 4. Debt/Equity data missing |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.64 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 7.05)% = 8.81 |
| 7. RoE data missing |
| 8. Rev. Trend -9.59% = -0.72 |
| 9. EPS Trend 19.29% = 0.96 |
What is the price of TGI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.27%, over one month by -13.07%, over three months by +889.16% and over the past year by +1840.02%.
Is Triumph a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of TGI is around 273.10 USD . This means that TGI is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 2.32%.
Is TGI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TGI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 26 | -90.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 26 | -90.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 300.9 | 12.7% |
Last update: 2025-09-16 04:41
TGI Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 277.2m USD (last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 56.5435
P/E Forward = 14.7275
P/S = 1.6032
P/EG = 0.2024
Beta = 2.263
Revenue TTM = 1.26b USD
EBIT TTM = 143.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 173.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 963.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 11.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 975.5m USD (Calculated: Short Term 11.8m + Long Term 963.7m)
Net Debt = 709.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.72b USD (2.02b + Debt 975.5m - CCE 277.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.64 (Ebit TTM 143.5m / Interest Expense TTM 87.6m)
FCF Yield = 0.69% (FCF TTM 18.8m / Enterprise Value 2.72b)
FCF Margin = 1.49% (FCF TTM 18.8m / Revenue TTM 1.26b)
Net Margin = 3.24% (Net Income TTM 40.9m / Revenue TTM 1.26b)
Gross Margin = 31.55% ((Revenue TTM 1.26b - Cost of Revenue TTM 863.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -2.28 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 2.72b / Book Value Of Equity -1.20b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.67% (Interest Expense 26.1m / Debt 975.5m)
Taxrate = 13.49% (5.59m / 41.4m)
NOPAT = 124.2m (EBIT 143.5m * (1 - 13.49%))
Current Ratio = 2.22 (Total Current Assets 878.9m / Total Current Liabilities 395.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.64 (Net Debt 709.9m / EBITDA 173.1m)
Debt / FCF = 51.81 (Debt 975.5m / FCF TTM 18.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -93.4m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 2.51% (Net Income 40.9m, Total Assets 1.63b )
RoE = unknown (Net Income TTM 40.9m / Total Stockholder Equity -93.4m)
RoCE = 16.49% (Ebit 143.5m / (Equity -93.4m + L.T.Debt 963.7m))
RoIC = 14.21% (NOPAT 124.2m / Invested Capital 873.9m)
WACC = 7.16% (E(2.02b)/V(3.00b) * Re(9.50%)) + (D(975.5m)/V(3.00b) * Rd(2.67%) * (1-Tc(0.13)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 84.85 | Cagr: 1.71%
Discount Rate = 9.50% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 64.16% ; FCFE base≈18.8m ; Y1≈12.4m ; Y5≈5.65m
Fair Price DCF = 1.14 (DCF Value 88.7m / Shares Outstanding 77.8m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 19.29 | EPS CAGR: -11.60% | SUE: -2.41 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -9.59 | Revenue CAGR: 8.58% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for TGI Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle