(TGT) Target - NYSE
Sector: Consumer Defensive | Industry: Discount Stores | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 60.589m USD | Total Return: 42.9% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 598M
EPS Trend: -24.4%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: -79.4%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Confidence
Target Corporation (TGT) is a Minneapolis-based general merchandise retailer operating exclusively within the United States. Its inventory spans multiple categories, including apparel, beauty, electronics, home décor, and groceries. The company utilizes a multichannel distribution strategy, fulfilling orders through a nationwide network of physical stores and its proprietary e-commerce platform.
The business model relies on a cheap chic value proposition, differentiating itself from discount competitors through exclusive design partnerships and curated shop-in-shop experiences. As a constituent of the Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail sub-industry, Target balances low-margin household essentials with higher-margin discretionary goods to drive foot traffic and basket size. Investors may find it useful to examine ValueRay for deeper insights into these retail trends.
Target’s operational structure integrates in-store amenities and digital services to support a unified commerce approach. Founded in 1902, the company has evolved from a regional department store into a scaled mass-market retailer with a significant footprint in the domestic consumer discretionary and staples sectors.
- Inventory shrink and organized retail crime pressure operating margins and profitability
- Consumer shift toward essential grocery categories reduces high-margin discretionary merchandise sales
- Digital fulfillment and same-day services drive omnichannel revenue growth and market share
- Fluctuating interest rates and inflation impact middle-class consumer discretionary spending power
- Private label brand expansion improves gross margins through differentiated product offerings
| Net Income: 3.45b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.90 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -1.24% < 20% (prev -1.16%; Δ -0.08% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 7.00b > Net Income 3.45b |
| Net Debt (18.7b) to EBITDA (8.03b): 2.33 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.93 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (455.8m) vs 12m ago -0.15% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 28.14% > 18% (prev 28.00%; Δ 0.14% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 186.3% > 50% (prev 188.5%; Δ -2.14% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 10.88 > 6 (EBIT TTM 4.87b / Interest Expense TTM 447.0m) |
| A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 18.1b - Total Current Liabilities 19.4b) / Total Assets 58.0b |
| B: 0.16 (Retained Earnings 9.55b / Total Assets 58.0b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 4.87b / Avg Total Assets 57.1b) |
| D: 0.39 (Book Value of Equity 16.4b / Total Liabilities 41.6b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.37 = BB |
As of June 20, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 130.74 with a total of 7,528,819 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.43%,
over one month by +2.75%,
over three months by +15.29% and
over the past year by +42.85%.
Target has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.45. Therefore, it is recommended to hold TGT.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 24
- Sell: 3
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 131.8 | 0.8% |
P/E Trailing = 17.5989
P/E Forward = 16.3132
P/S = 0.5696
P/B = 3.6892
P/EG = 2.4727
Revenue TTM = 106b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.87b USD
EBITDA TTM = 8.03b USD
Long Term Debt = 14.3b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.13b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 22.2b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 3.42b
Net Debt = 18.7b USD (calculated: Debt 22.2b - CCE 3.53b)
Enterprise Value = 79.3b USD (60.6b + Debt 22.2b - CCE 3.53b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.88 (Ebit TTM 4.87b / Interest Expense TTM 447.0m)
EV/FCF = 25.37x (Enterprise Value 79.3b / FCF TTM 3.13b)
FCF Yield = 3.94% (FCF TTM 3.13b / Enterprise Value 79.3b)
FCF Margin = 2.94% (FCF TTM 3.13b / Revenue TTM 106b)
Net Margin = 3.24% (Net Income TTM 3.45b / Revenue TTM 106b)
Gross Margin = 28.14% ((Revenue TTM 106b - Cost of Revenue TTM 76.4b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.01% (prev 26.63%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.37 (Enterprise Value 79.3b / Total Assets 58.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.01% (Interest Expense 447.0m / Debt 22.2b)
Taxrate = 21.91% (968.0m / 4.42b)
NOPAT = 3.80b (EBIT 4.87b * (1 - 21.91%))
Current Ratio = 0.93 (Total Current Assets 18.1b / Total Current Liabilities 19.4b)
Debt / Equity = 1.36 (Debt 22.2b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 16.4b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.33 (Net Debt 18.7b / EBITDA 8.03b)
Debt / FCF = 5.99 (Net Debt 18.7b / FCF TTM 3.13b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 15.9b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.04% (Net Income 3.45b / Total Assets 58.0b)
RoE = 21.74% (Net Income TTM 3.45b / Total Stockholder Equity 15.9b)
RoCE = 16.13% (EBIT 4.87b / Capital Employed (Equity 15.9b + L.T.Debt 14.3b))
RoIC = 10.49% (NOPAT 3.80b / Invested Capital 36.2b)
WACC = 7.69% (E(60.6b)/V(82.8b) * Re(9.94%) + D(22.2b)/V(82.8b) * Rd(2.01%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 9.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -80.90 | Cagr: -0.70%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.70% ; FCFF base≈3.29b ; Y1≈2.98b ; Y5≈2.57b
[DCF] Fair Price = 49.04 (EV 41.0b - Net Debt 18.7b = Equity 22.3b / Shares 454.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -11.54% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -24.39 | EPS CAGR: -2.57% | SUE: 0.86 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -79.44 | Revenue CAGR: -0.81% | SUE: 2.98 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=2.25 | Chg30d=+0.28% | Revisions=-12% | Analysts=31
EPS next Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=1.90 | Chg30d=+1.05% | Revisions=+27% | Analysts=31
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=8.34 | Chg30d=+3.51% | Revisions=+84% | GrowthEPS=+10.2% | GrowthRev=+3.9%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=8.90 | Chg30d=+4.31% | Revisions=+84% | GrowthEPS=+6.7% | GrowthRev=+2.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +84%