TGT Stock Analysis: Target | NYSE
Discount Stores | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 71.188m USD | 12M Return: 79.4% | US87612E1064 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 565M
EPS Trend: -48.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -39.9%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Target Corporation (TGT) is a large-cap U.S. general merchandise retailer headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota, and incorporated in 1902. The company sells a broad assortment of products, including clothing, shoes, and accessories for all age groups; beauty and personal care items; food and beverages (both dry and perishable grocery); electronics, toys, and sporting goods; home décor, furniture, and kitchenware; and household essentials such as cleaning products, over-the-counter healthcare, and pet supplies.
Target distributes its merchandise through a network of physical stores as well as digital channels, including Target.com, and also offers periodic design collaborations and shop-in-shop experiences. Within the GICS classification system, Target is categorized under the Consumer Staples sector and the Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail sub-industry, reflecting its substantial exposure to essential goods like groceries and household items alongside its general merchandise offering. The companys hybrid omnichannel model, combining owned retail locations with e-commerce, is typical of mass-market discount retailers competing for value-conscious shoppers.
- Tariff costs compress gross margins on imported discretionary goods
- Comparable sales decline as discretionary consumer spending weakens
- Market share competition intensifies against Walmart, Amazon, and Costco
| Net Income: 4.39b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.34 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -0.23% < 20% (prev -0.18%; Δ -0.06% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 8.72b > Net Income 4.39b |
| Net Debt (16.6b) to EBITDA (9.26b): 1.79 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.99 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (456.6m) vs 12m ago 0.11% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 29.30% > 18% (prev 27.76%; Δ 1.54% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 180.9% > 50% (prev 182.6%; Δ -1.72% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 14.19 > 6 (EBIT TTM 6.09b / Interest Expense TTM 429.0m) |
| A: -0.00 (Total Current Assets 20.9b - Total Current Liabilities 21.2b) / Total Assets 61.2b |
| B: 0.18 (Retained Earnings 10.9b / Total Assets 61.2b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 6.09b / Avg Total Assets 59.5b) |
| D: 0.41 (Book Value of Equity 17.8b / Total Liabilities 43.4b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.67 = BB |
As of October 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 153.64 with a total of 3,599,827 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.51%, over one month by -2.46%, over three months by +17.05% and over the past year by +79.44%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 148.70 (which is 3.2% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Target has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.53. Therefore, it is recommended to hold TGT.
- StrongBuy: 11
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 21
- Sell: 4
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 164.7 | 7.2% |
P/E Trailing = 16.2552
P/E Forward = 15.625
P/S = 0.6609
P/B = 4.0488
P/EG = 1.9793
Revenue TTM = 108b USD
EBIT TTM = 6.09b USD
EBITDA TTM = 9.26b USD
Long Term Debt = 14.2b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.14b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 22.0b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 3.33b
Net Debt = 16.6b USD (calculated: Debt 22.0b - CCE 5.41b)
Enterprise Value = 87.8b USD (71.2b + Debt 22.0b - CCE 5.41b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.19 (Ebit TTM 6.09b / Interest Expense TTM 429.0m)
EV/FCF = 19.29x (Enterprise Value 87.8b / FCF TTM 4.55b)
FCF Yield = 5.18% (FCF TTM 4.55b / Enterprise Value 87.8b)
FCF Margin = 4.23% (FCF TTM 4.55b / Revenue TTM 108b)
Net Margin = 4.08% (Net Income TTM 4.39b / Revenue TTM 108b)
Gross Margin = 29.30% ((Revenue TTM 108b - Cost of Revenue TTM 76.1b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.67% (prev 29.01%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.43 (Enterprise Value 87.8b / Total Assets 61.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.95% (Interest Expense 429.0m / Debt 22.0b)
Taxrate = 22.39% (1.27b / 5.66b)
NOPAT = 4.72b (EBIT 6.09b * (1 - 22.39%))
Current Ratio = 0.99 (Total Current Assets 20.9b / Total Current Liabilities 21.2b)
Debt / Equity = 1.23 (Debt 22.0b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 17.8b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.79 (Net Debt 16.6b / EBITDA 9.26b)
Debt / FCF = 3.65 (Net Debt 16.6b / FCF TTM 4.55b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 16.5b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.38% (Net Income 4.39b / Total Assets 61.2b)
RoE = 26.66% (Net Income TTM 4.39b / Total Stockholder Equity 16.5b)
RoCE = 19.83% (EBIT 6.09b / Capital Employed (Equity 16.5b + L.T.Debt 14.2b))
RoIC = 13.20% (NOPAT 4.72b / Invested Capital 35.8b)
WACC = 6.76% (E(71.2b)/V(93.2b) * Re(8.39%) + D(22.0b)/V(93.2b) * Rd(1.95%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 8.39% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -86.43 | Cagr: -0.70%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈3.91b ; Y1≈4.48b ; Y5≈6.59b
[DCF] Fair Price = 181.8 (EV 99.2b - Net Debt 16.6b = Equity 82.6b / Shares 454.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -48.80 | EPS CAGR: -4.63% | SUE: 0.53 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -39.93 | Revenue CAGR: -0.39% | SUE: 1.05 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=2.05 | Chg30d=+0.01% | Revisions=+79% | Analysts=31
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=10.24 | Chg30d=+0.86% | Revisions=+92% | GrowthEPS=+35.3% | GrowthRev=+5.2%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=9.55 | Chg30d=+0.49% | Revisions=+92% | GrowthEPS=-6.8% | GrowthRev=+3.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +93% (up=98, down=2)