TGT Stock Analysis: Target | NYSE
Discount Stores | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 59.140m USD | 12M Return: 30.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 608M
EPS Trend: -24.4%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: -79.4%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Target Corporation is a U.S. general merchandise retailer offering a broad assortment across apparel, beauty, food and beverage, electronics, home goods, and household essentials. The company operates an omnichannel business model, selling through both its physical store network and digital channels such as Target.com, and enhances its offering through periodic design collaborations and shop-in-shop experiences. Headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota, Target was incorporated in 1902 and is classified within the Consumer Staples sector under the Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail sub-industry, reflecting its focus on everyday goods alongside discretionary categories like apparel and home décor.
- Discretionary category weakness weighs on comparable sales growth
- Tariff costs and inventory shrink pressure gross margins
- Aggressive buybacks and dividends accelerate capital returns
| Net Income: 3.45b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.90 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -1.24% < 20% (prev -1.16%; Δ -0.08% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 7.00b > Net Income 3.45b |
| Net Debt (18.7b) to EBITDA (8.03b): 2.33 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.93 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (455.8m) vs 12m ago -0.15% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 28.14% > 18% (prev 28.00%; Δ 0.14% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 186.3% > 50% (prev 188.5%; Δ -2.14% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 10.88 > 6 (EBIT TTM 4.87b / Interest Expense TTM 447.0m) |
| A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 18.1b - Total Current Liabilities 19.4b) / Total Assets 58.0b |
| B: 0.16 (Retained Earnings 9.55b / Total Assets 58.0b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 4.87b / Avg Total Assets 57.1b) |
| D: 0.39 (Book Value of Equity 16.4b / Total Liabilities 41.6b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.37 = BB |
As of July 04, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 130.21 with a total of 3,272,000 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.71%, over one month by +4.33%, over three months by +7.55% and over the past year by +30.62%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 122.90 (which is 5.6% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).
Target has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.45. Therefore, it is recommended to hold TGT.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 24
- Sell: 3
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 133.7 | 2.7% |
P/E Trailing = 17.2008
P/E Forward = 15.9744
P/S = 0.5559
P/B = 3.6094
P/EG = 2.4192
Revenue TTM = 106b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.87b USD
EBITDA TTM = 8.03b USD
Long Term Debt = 14.3b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.13b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 22.2b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 3.42b
Net Debt = 18.7b USD (calculated: Debt 22.2b - CCE 3.53b)
Enterprise Value = 77.9b USD (59.1b + Debt 22.2b - CCE 3.53b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.88 (Ebit TTM 4.87b / Interest Expense TTM 447.0m)
EV/FCF = 24.91x (Enterprise Value 77.9b / FCF TTM 3.13b)
FCF Yield = 4.02% (FCF TTM 3.13b / Enterprise Value 77.9b)
FCF Margin = 2.94% (FCF TTM 3.13b / Revenue TTM 106b)
Net Margin = 3.24% (Net Income TTM 3.45b / Revenue TTM 106b)
Gross Margin = 28.14% ((Revenue TTM 106b - Cost of Revenue TTM 76.4b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.01% (prev 26.63%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.34 (Enterprise Value 77.9b / Total Assets 58.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.01% (Interest Expense 447.0m / Debt 22.2b)
Taxrate = 21.91% (968.0m / 4.42b)
NOPAT = 3.80b (EBIT 4.87b * (1 - 21.91%))
Current Ratio = 0.93 (Total Current Assets 18.1b / Total Current Liabilities 19.4b)
Debt / Equity = 1.36 (Debt 22.2b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 16.4b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.33 (Net Debt 18.7b / EBITDA 8.03b)
Debt / FCF = 5.99 (Net Debt 18.7b / FCF TTM 3.13b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 15.9b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.04% (Net Income 3.45b / Total Assets 58.0b)
RoE = 21.74% (Net Income TTM 3.45b / Total Stockholder Equity 15.9b)
RoCE = 16.13% (EBIT 4.87b / Capital Employed (Equity 15.9b + L.T.Debt 14.3b))
RoIC = 10.49% (NOPAT 3.80b / Invested Capital 36.2b)
WACC = 7.49% (E(59.1b)/V(81.4b) * Re(9.72%) + D(22.2b)/V(81.4b) * Rd(2.01%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 9.72% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -80.90 | Cagr: -0.70%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.70% ; FCFF base≈3.29b ; Y1≈2.98b ; Y5≈2.57b
[DCF] Fair Price = 49.04 (EV 41.0b - Net Debt 18.7b = Equity 22.3b / Shares 454.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -11.54% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -24.39 | EPS CAGR: -2.57% | SUE: 0.86 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -79.44 | Revenue CAGR: -0.81% | SUE: 2.98 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=2.25 | Chg30d=+0.35% | Revisions=-13% | Analysts=31
EPS next Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=1.90 | Chg30d=-0.01% | Revisions=+28% | Analysts=31
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=8.35 | Chg30d=+0.29% | Revisions=+86% | GrowthEPS=+10.3% | GrowthRev=+3.9%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=8.92 | Chg30d=+0.40% | Revisions=+86% | GrowthEPS=+6.8% | GrowthRev=+2.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +54% (up=96, down=28)