(TGT) Target - Overview

Sector: Consumer Defensive | Industry: Discount Stores | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 58.285m USD | Total Return: 36.8% in 12m

Apparel, Grocery, Home Goods, Electronics, Beauty Products
Total Rating 50
Safety 57
Buy Signal 0.09
Discount Stores
Industry Rotation: +8.1
Market Cap: 58.3B
Avg Turnover: 595M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility30.9%
VaR 5th Pctl5.19%
VaR vs Median2.01%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.05
Rel. Str. IBD75.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group66.1
Character TTM
Beta1.193
Beta Downside1.536
Hurst Exponent0.464
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD49.77%
CAGR/Max DD0.05
CAGR/Mean DD0.11
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TGT over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-04": 3.69, "2021-07": 3.64, "2021-10": 3.03, "2022-01": 3.19, "2022-04": 2.19, "2022-07": 0.39, "2022-10": 1.54, "2023-01": 1.89, "2023-04": 2.05, "2023-07": 1.8, "2023-10": 2.1, "2024-01": 2.98, "2024-04": 2.03, "2024-07": 2.57, "2024-10": 1.85, "2025-01": 2.41, "2025-04": 1.3, "2025-07": 2.05, "2025-10": 1.78, "2026-01": 2.44, "2026-04": 1.71,
EPS CAGR: -2.57%
EPS Trend: -24.4%
Last SUE: 0.86
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of TGT over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-04: 24197, 2021-07: 25160, 2021-10: 25652, 2022-01: 30996, 2022-04: 25170, 2022-07: 26037, 2022-10: 26518, 2023-01: 31395, 2023-04: 25322, 2023-07: 24773, 2023-10: 25398, 2024-01: 31919, 2024-04: 24531, 2024-07: 25452, 2024-10: 25668, 2025-01: 30915, 2025-04: 23846, 2025-07: 25211, 2025-10: 25270, 2026-01: 30453, 2026-04: 24531,
Rev. CAGR: -0.95%
Rev. Trend: -88.2%
Last SUE: -0.48
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: TGT Target

Target Corporation (TGT) is a Minneapolis-based general merchandise retailer operating exclusively within the United States. Its inventory spans multiple categories, including apparel, beauty, electronics, home décor, and groceries. The company utilizes a multichannel distribution strategy, fulfilling orders through a nationwide network of physical stores and its proprietary e-commerce platform.

The business model relies on a cheap chic value proposition, differentiating itself from discount competitors through exclusive design partnerships and curated shop-in-shop experiences. As a constituent of the Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail sub-industry, Target balances low-margin household essentials with higher-margin discretionary goods to drive foot traffic and basket size. Investors may find it useful to examine ValueRay for deeper insights into these retail trends.

Target’s operational structure integrates in-store amenities and digital services to support a unified commerce approach. Founded in 1902, the company has evolved from a regional department store into a scaled mass-market retailer with a significant footprint in the domestic consumer discretionary and staples sectors.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Inventory shrink and organized retail crime pressure operating margins and profitability
  • Consumer shift toward essential grocery categories reduces high-margin discretionary merchandise sales
  • Digital fulfillment and same-day services drive omnichannel revenue growth and market share
  • Fluctuating interest rates and inflation impact middle-class consumer discretionary spending power
  • Private label brand expansion improves gross margins through differentiated product offerings
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5
Net Income: 3.61b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.88 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -1.25% < 20% (prev -1.16%; Δ -0.09% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 7.00b > Net Income 3.61b
Net Debt (15.8b) to EBITDA (8.20b): 1.92 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.93 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (455.8m) vs 12m ago -0.15% < -2%
Gross Margin: 25.65% > 18% (prev 28.00%; Δ -2.35% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 184.7% > 50% (prev 188.5%; Δ -3.74% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.19 > 6 (EBIT TTM 5.13b / Interest Expense TTM 459.0m)
Altman Z'' 1.41
A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 18.1b - Total Current Liabilities 19.4b) / Total Assets 58.0b
B: 0.16 (Retained Earnings 9.55b / Total Assets 58.0b)
C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 5.13b / Avg Total Assets 57.1b)
D: 0.39 (Book Value of Equity 16.4b / Total Liabilities 41.6b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.41 = BB
Beneish M -2.59
DSRI: 1.18 (Receivables 1.81b/1.54b, Revenue 105b/106b)
GMI: 1.09 (GM 28.00% / 25.65%)
AQI: 1.36 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.03)
SGI: 1.00 (Revenue 105b / 106b)
TATA: -0.06 (NI 3.61b - CFO 7.00b) / TA 58.0b)
Beneish M = -2.59 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of TGT shares?

As of June 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 122.57 with a total of 3,139,497 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.54%, over one month by -3.95%, over three months by +2.80% and over the past year by +36.82%.

Is TGT a buy, sell or hold?

Target has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.46. Therefore, it is recommended to hold TGT.

  • StrongBuy: 9
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 23
  • Sell: 3
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the TGT price?
Analysts Target Price 131.5 7.2%
Target (TGT) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 30 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 58.3b (58.3b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 16.5587
P/E Forward = 15.7233
P/S = 0.5479
P/B = 3.555
P/EG = 2.3828
Revenue TTM = 105b USD
EBIT TTM = 5.13b USD
EBITDA TTM = 8.20b USD
Long Term Debt = 14.3b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.13b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 19.3b USD (corrected: LT Debt 14.3b + ST Debt 1.13b) + Leases 3.83b
Net Debt = 15.8b USD (calculated: Debt 19.3b - CCE 3.53b)
Enterprise Value = 74.0b USD (58.3b + Debt 19.3b - CCE 3.53b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.19 (Ebit TTM 5.13b / Interest Expense TTM 459.0m)
EV/FCF = 17.79x (Enterprise Value 74.0b / FCF TTM 4.16b)
FCF Yield = 5.62% (FCF TTM 4.16b / Enterprise Value 74.0b)
FCF Margin = 3.95% (FCF TTM 4.16b / Revenue TTM 105b)
Net Margin = 3.42% (Net Income TTM 3.61b / Revenue TTM 105b)
Gross Margin = 25.65% ((Revenue TTM 105b - Cost of Revenue TTM 78.4b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.35% (prev 24.39%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.28 (Enterprise Value 74.0b / Total Assets 58.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.38% (Interest Expense 459.0m / Debt 19.3b)
Taxrate = 21.56% (993.0m / 4.61b)
NOPAT = 4.03b (EBIT 5.13b * (1 - 21.56%))
Current Ratio = 0.93 (Total Current Assets 18.1b / Total Current Liabilities 19.4b)
Debt / Equity = 1.18 (Debt 19.3b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 16.4b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.92 (Net Debt 15.8b / EBITDA 8.20b)
Debt / FCF = 3.79 (Net Debt 15.8b / FCF TTM 4.16b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 15.9b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.33% (Net Income 3.61b / Total Assets 58.0b)
RoE = 22.76% (Net Income TTM 3.61b / Total Stockholder Equity 15.9b)
RoCE = 17.00% (EBIT 5.13b / Capital Employed (Equity 15.9b + L.T.Debt 14.3b))
RoIC = 11.12% (NOPAT 4.03b / Invested Capital 36.2b)
WACC = 8.11% (E(58.3b)/V(77.6b) * Re(10.18%) + D(19.3b)/V(77.6b) * Rd(2.38%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 10.18% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -80.90 | Cagr: -0.70%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈3.91b ; Y1≈4.48b ; Y5≈6.60b
[DCF] Fair Price = 183.9 (EV 99.3b - Net Debt 15.8b = Equity 83.5b / Shares 454.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -24.39 | EPS CAGR: -2.57% | SUE: 0.86 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -88.17 | Revenue CAGR: -0.95% | SUE: -0.48 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=2.24 | Chg30d=+0.04% | Revisions=-10% | Analysts=31
EPS next Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=1.90 | Chg30d=+1.42% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=31
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=8.33 | Chg30d=+4.23% | Revisions=+79% | GrowthEPS=+10.0% | GrowthRev=+3.8%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=8.89 | Chg30d=+4.47% | Revisions=+84% | GrowthEPS=+6.7% | GrowthRev=+2.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +84%