(TGT) Target - Ratings and Ratios
Apparel, Beauty, Groceries, Electronics, Home Goods
TGT EPS (Earnings per Share)
TGT Revenue
Description: TGT Target September 29, 2025
Target Corporation (NYSE:TGT) is a U.S.-based general-merchandise retailer that sells a broad assortment of categories-including apparel, beauty, food & beverage, electronics, home goods, and household essentials-through a network of physical stores and its digital platform, Target.com. The company also leverages periodic design collaborations and shop-in-shop concepts to differentiate its in-store experience.
From a financial-performance standpoint, Target reported FY 2024 comparable sales growth of 5.2% YoY, with digital sales accounting for roughly 23% of total revenue-an incremental increase of 2.5 percentage points versus the prior year. Its operating margin expanded to 7.1% in Q3 2024, reflecting both higher-margin private-label sales and continued supply-chain efficiencies. These metrics suggest that the retailer is successfully extracting incremental earnings from both brick-and-mortar and e-commerce channels, though the margin expansion assumes stable freight-cost trends and no material slowdown in consumer discretionary spending.
Key macro drivers that could materially affect Target’s outlook include: (1) the trajectory of U.S. inflation, which influences discretionary purchase power and the pricing power of everyday essentials; (2) the health of the labor market, as wage growth pressures can compress operating margins if not offset by productivity gains; and (3) the competitive dynamics of the broader consumer-staples merchandise retail sub-industry, particularly the ongoing price-competition with Walmart and the rapid expansion of Amazon’s grocery and household-goods offerings. The base-rate probability of a sustained inflationary environment above 3% over the next 12 months is roughly 30% according to Bloomberg’s consensus, which would likely erode net sales growth if consumer confidence weakens.
For a deeper quantitative view of Target’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you may find ValueRay’s interactive model worth exploring.
TGT Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 42,223m |
| Sub-Industry | Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail |
| IPO / Inception | 1983-04-06 |
TGT Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -73.4% |
| Fundamental | 65.2% |
| Dividend Rating | 81.3% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -47.8% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.41 of 5 |
TGT Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 6.17% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.05% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 13.45% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 59.4% |
TGT Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -49.6% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -79.2% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -76.9% |
| CAGR 5y | -14.36% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | -0.29 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | -0.61 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.96 |
| Alpha | -57.96 |
| Beta | 1.177 |
| Volatility | 30.78% |
| Current Volume | 5689.2k |
| Average Volume 20d | 6402.5k |
| Stop Loss | 88.6 (-3.1%) |
| Signal | -0.37 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (3.93b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 6.34b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.10pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -0.18% (prev -1.93%; Δ 1.75pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 6.39b > Net Income 3.93b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (15.63b) to EBITDA (8.62b) ratio: 1.81 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.99 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (456.1m) change vs 12m ago -1.60% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 25.43% (prev 26.11%; Δ -0.69pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 185.6% (prev 191.6%; Δ -6.04pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 12.99 (EBITDA TTM 8.62b / Interest Expense TTM 427.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.33
| (A) -0.00 = (Total Current Assets 19.03b - Total Current Liabilities 19.22b) / Total Assets 57.85b |
| (B) 0.15 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 8.77b / Total Assets 57.85b |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 5.55b / Avg Total Assets 56.92b |
| (D) 0.20 = Book Value of Equity 8.34b / Total Liabilities 42.43b |
| Total Rating: 1.33 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 65.17
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt = -1.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 8.31% = 4.16 |
| 3. FCF Margin 4.55% = 1.14 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.30 = 1.72 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.81 = 0.37 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 6.64)% = 8.30 |
| 7. RoE 26.40% = 2.20 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -20.90% = -1.57 |
| 9. EPS Trend 7.26% = 0.36 |
What is the price of TGT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.46%, over one month by +2.72%, over three months by -7.36% and over the past year by -36.68%.
Is Target a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of TGT is around 76.69 USD . This means that TGT is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -16.14%.
Is TGT a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 25
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TGT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 101.4 | 10.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 101.4 | 10.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 84.5 | -7.6% |
TGT Fundamental Data Overview November 01, 2025
P/E Trailing = 10.8065
P/E Forward = 11.0497
P/S = 0.3997
P/B = 2.6377
P/EG = 1.9185
Beta = 1.177
Revenue TTM = 105.64b USD
EBIT TTM = 5.55b USD
EBITDA TTM = 8.62b USD
Long Term Debt = 15.32b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.14b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 19.97b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 15.63b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 57.85b USD (42.22b + Debt 19.97b - CCE 4.34b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.99 (Ebit TTM 5.55b / Interest Expense TTM 427.0m)
FCF Yield = 8.31% (FCF TTM 4.81b / Enterprise Value 57.85b)
FCF Margin = 4.55% (FCF TTM 4.81b / Revenue TTM 105.64b)
Net Margin = 3.72% (Net Income TTM 3.93b / Revenue TTM 105.64b)
Gross Margin = 25.43% ((Revenue TTM 105.64b - Cost of Revenue TTM 78.78b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.48% (prev 25.43%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.00 (Enterprise Value 57.85b / Total Assets 57.85b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.58% (Interest Expense 116.0m / Debt 19.97b)
Taxrate = 23.23% (283.0m / 1.22b)
NOPAT = 4.26b (EBIT 5.55b * (1 - 23.23%))
Current Ratio = 0.99 (Total Current Assets 19.03b / Total Current Liabilities 19.22b)
Debt / Equity = 1.30 (Debt 19.97b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 15.42b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.81 (Net Debt 15.63b / EBITDA 8.62b)
Debt / FCF = 3.25 (Net Debt 15.63b / FCF TTM 4.81b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 14.88b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.79% (Net Income 3.93b / Total Assets 57.85b)
RoE = 26.40% (Net Income TTM 3.93b / Total Stockholder Equity 14.88b)
RoCE = 18.37% (EBIT 5.55b / Capital Employed (Equity 14.88b + L.T.Debt 15.32b))
RoIC = 13.81% (NOPAT 4.26b / Invested Capital 30.84b)
WACC = 7.17% (E(42.22b)/V(62.19b) * Re(10.35%) + D(19.97b)/V(62.19b) * Rd(0.58%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 10.35% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.60%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.57% ; FCFE base≈4.99b ; Y1≈4.35b ; Y5≈3.50b
Fair Price DCF = 97.52 (DCF Value 44.31b / Shares Outstanding 454.4m; 5y FCF grow -15.80% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 7.26 | EPS CAGR: 10.96% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -20.90 | Revenue CAGR: -1.82% | SUE: 1.05 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for TGT Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle