TGT Stock Analysis: Target | NYSE
Discount Stores | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 75.381m USD | 12M Return: 75.4% | US87612E1064 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 727M
EPS Trend: -48.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -39.9%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Target Corporation is a U.S. general merchandise retailer offering a broad assortment across apparel, beauty, food and beverage, electronics, home goods, and household essentials. The company operates an omnichannel business model, selling through both its physical store network and digital channels such as Target.com, and enhances its offering through periodic design collaborations and shop-in-shop experiences. Headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota, Target was incorporated in 1902 and is classified within the Consumer Staples sector under the Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail sub-industry, reflecting its focus on everyday goods alongside discretionary categories like apparel and home décor.
- Discretionary category weakness weighs on comparable sales growth
- Tariff costs and inventory shrink pressure gross margins
- Aggressive buybacks and dividends accelerate capital returns
| Net Income: 4.39b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.34 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -0.23% < 20% (prev -0.18%; Δ -0.06% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 8.72b > Net Income 4.39b |
| Net Debt (16.7b) to EBITDA (9.16b): 1.82 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.99 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (456.6m) vs 12m ago 0.11% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 29.30% > 18% (prev 27.76%; Δ 1.54% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 180.9% > 50% (prev 182.6%; Δ -1.72% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 14.04 > 6 (EBIT TTM 6.02b / Interest Expense TTM 429.0m) |
| A: -0.00 (Total Current Assets 20.9b - Total Current Liabilities 21.2b) / Total Assets 61.2b |
| B: 0.18 (Retained Earnings 10.9b / Total Assets 61.2b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 6.02b / Avg Total Assets 59.5b) |
| D: 0.41 (Book Value of Equity 17.8b / Total Liabilities 43.4b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.66 = BB |
As of August 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 163.18 with a total of 3,569,281 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.37%, over one month by +14.03%, over three months by +27.81% and over the past year by +75.40%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 156.60 (which is 4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Target has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.45. Therefore, it is recommended to hold TGT.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 24
- Sell: 3
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 161.6 | -1% |
P/E Trailing = 17.1948
P/E Forward = 17.0358
P/S = 0.6999
P/B = 4.1765
P/EG = 2.5809
Revenue TTM = 108b USD
EBIT TTM = 6.02b USD
EBITDA TTM = 9.16b USD
Long Term Debt = 14.3b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.14b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 22.1b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 3.42b
Net Debt = 16.7b USD (calculated: Debt 22.1b - CCE 5.41b)
Enterprise Value = 92.1b USD (75.4b + Debt 22.1b - CCE 5.41b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.04 (Ebit TTM 6.02b / Interest Expense TTM 429.0m)
EV/FCF = 20.23x (Enterprise Value 92.1b / FCF TTM 4.55b)
FCF Yield = 4.94% (FCF TTM 4.55b / Enterprise Value 92.1b)
FCF Margin = 4.23% (FCF TTM 4.55b / Revenue TTM 108b)
Net Margin = 4.08% (Net Income TTM 4.39b / Revenue TTM 108b)
Gross Margin = 29.30% ((Revenue TTM 108b - Cost of Revenue TTM 76.1b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.67% (prev 29.01%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.50 (Enterprise Value 92.1b / Total Assets 61.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.94% (Interest Expense 429.0m / Debt 22.1b)
Taxrate = 22.39% (1.27b / 5.66b)
NOPAT = 4.67b (EBIT 6.02b * (1 - 22.39%))
Current Ratio = 0.99 (Total Current Assets 20.9b / Total Current Liabilities 21.2b)
Debt / Equity = 1.24 (Debt 22.1b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 17.8b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.82 (Net Debt 16.7b / EBITDA 9.16b)
Debt / FCF = 3.67 (Net Debt 16.7b / FCF TTM 4.55b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 16.5b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.38% (Net Income 4.39b / Total Assets 61.2b)
RoE = 26.66% (Net Income TTM 4.39b / Total Stockholder Equity 16.5b)
RoCE = 19.55% (EBIT 6.02b / Capital Employed (Equity 16.5b + L.T.Debt 14.3b))
RoIC = 13.06% (NOPAT 4.67b / Invested Capital 35.8b)
WACC = 6.93% (E(75.4b)/V(97.5b) * Re(8.52%) + D(22.1b)/V(97.5b) * Rd(1.94%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 8.52% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -86.43 | Cagr: -0.70%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈3.91b ; Y1≈4.48b ; Y5≈6.59b
[DCF] Fair Price = 181.6 (EV 99.2b - Net Debt 16.7b = Equity 82.5b / Shares 454.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -48.80 | EPS CAGR: -4.63% | SUE: 0.53 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -39.93 | Revenue CAGR: -0.39% | SUE: 1.05 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=2.05 | Chg30d=+7.71% | Revisions=+70% | Analysts=31
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=10.10 | Chg30d=+20.89% | Revisions=+75% | GrowthEPS=+33.5% | GrowthRev=+5.0%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=9.50 | Chg30d=+6.43% | Revisions=+55% | GrowthEPS=-6.0% | GrowthRev=+3.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +81% (up=23, down=1)