(THC) Tenet Healthcare - Ratings and Ratios
Hospitals, Ambulatory Surgery, Urgent Care, Imaging Centers
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 35.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 55.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.29% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.39 |
| Alpha | 47.33 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.62 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.459 |
| Beta | 0.951 |
| Beta Downside | 1.180 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 36.90% |
| Mean DD | 8.54% |
| Median DD | 4.94% |
Description: THC Tenet Healthcare December 19, 2025
Tenet Healthcare Corp. (NYSE: THC) is a Dallas-based, diversified health-care services firm that runs a network of acute-care hospitals, ambulatory surgery centers, urgent-care sites, imaging facilities, and micro-hospitals across the United States. Its operations are split between Hospital Operations & Services and Ambulatory Care, delivering a broad menu that includes inpatient acute care, specialty surgeries (e.g., cardiothoracic, spinal, transplant), intensive-care units, and outpatient services such as orthopedics, gastroenterology, and tele-medicine.
Key performance indicators from Tenet’s most recent 10-Q (Q3 2023) show adjusted EBITDA of roughly $1.3 billion and an operating margin of 5.2%, with hospital occupancy hovering around 71%-a modest improvement from the pandemic trough but still below the industry average of ~78%. The company’s cash flow conversion remains strong, generating about $800 million in free cash flow, which underpins its ongoing debt-reduction plan and potential for dividend reinstatement.
Sector-wide drivers that materially affect Tenet include an aging U.S. population (projected to increase the over-65 cohort by 10% over the next decade), shifting Medicare/Medicaid reimbursement rates, and persistent labor shortages in nursing and allied health staff that can pressure operating margins. Additionally, the rollout of value-based care contracts is accelerating, incentivizing hospitals to improve quality metrics and readmission rates.
For a deeper quantitative look at THC’s valuation metrics, you may find the ValueRay platform useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (1.35b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.25b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.04pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 15.58% (prev 15.36%; Δ 0.23pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.48b > Net Income 1.35b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (10.21b) to EBITDA (4.42b) ratio: 2.31 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.71 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (88.6m) change vs 12m ago -8.32% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 55.93% (prev 39.55%; Δ 16.39pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 70.95% (prev 71.40%; Δ -0.45pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 4.39 (EBITDA TTM 4.42b / Interest Expense TTM 819.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.19
| (A) 0.11 = (Total Current Assets 7.81b - Total Current Liabilities 4.56b) / Total Assets 29.42b |
| (B) 0.14 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 4.04b / Total Assets 29.42b |
| (C) 0.12 = EBIT TTM 3.59b / Avg Total Assets 29.39b |
| (D) 0.19 = Book Value of Equity 3.88b / Total Liabilities 20.72b |
| Total Rating: 2.19 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 76.23
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.36% |
| 3. FCF Margin 7.20% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 3.29 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.31 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 10.97)% |
| 7. RoE 33.61% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 79.27% |
| 9. EPS Trend 21.75% |
What is the price of THC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.45%, over one month by +0.94%, over three months by +4.25% and over the past year by +65.78%.
Is THC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 12
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the THC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 237.2 | 13.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 237.2 | 13.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 310.7 | 49.2% |
THC Fundamental Data Overview December 31, 2025
P/E Trailing = 13.6939
P/E Forward = 12.8535
P/S = 0.8532
P/B = 4.4039
P/EG = 0.8537
Beta = 1.445
Revenue TTM = 20.86b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.59b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.42b USD
Long Term Debt = 13.10b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 85.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.19b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 10.21b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 28.00b USD (17.79b + Debt 13.19b - CCE 2.98b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.39 (Ebit TTM 3.59b / Interest Expense TTM 819.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.36% (FCF TTM 1.50b / Enterprise Value 28.00b)
FCF Margin = 7.20% (FCF TTM 1.50b / Revenue TTM 20.86b)
Net Margin = 6.49% (Net Income TTM 1.35b / Revenue TTM 20.86b)
Gross Margin = 55.93% ((Revenue TTM 20.86b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.19b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 58.33% (prev 82.32%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.95 (Enterprise Value 28.00b / Total Assets 29.42b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.56% (Interest Expense 206.0m / Debt 13.19b)
Taxrate = 18.68% (133.0m / 712.0m)
NOPAT = 2.92b (EBIT 3.59b * (1 - 18.68%))
Current Ratio = 1.71 (Total Current Assets 7.81b / Total Current Liabilities 4.56b)
Debt / Equity = 3.29 (Debt 13.19b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.01b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.31 (Net Debt 10.21b / EBITDA 4.42b)
Debt / FCF = 6.80 (Net Debt 10.21b / FCF TTM 1.50b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.03b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.60% (Net Income 1.35b / Total Assets 29.42b)
RoE = 33.61% (Net Income TTM 1.35b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.03b)
RoCE = 20.97% (EBIT 3.59b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.03b + L.T.Debt 13.10b))
RoIC = 16.98% (NOPAT 2.92b / Invested Capital 17.20b)
WACC = 6.01% (E(17.79b)/V(30.97b) * Re(9.52%) + D(13.19b)/V(30.97b) * Rd(1.56%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 9.52% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -7.77%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.79% ; FCFE base≈1.86b ; Y1≈2.29b ; Y5≈3.91b
Fair Price DCF = 581.1 (DCF Value 51.07b / Shares Outstanding 87.9m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 21.75 | EPS CAGR: -45.94% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 79.27 | Revenue CAGR: 2.30% | SUE: 0.24 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=4.40 | Chg30d=-0.030 | Revisions Net=+3 | Analysts=15
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=16.45 | Chg30d=-0.026 | Revisions Net=+10 | Growth EPS=+2.1% | Growth Revenue=+4.3%
Additional Sources for THC Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle