(TJX) The TJX Companies - Ratings and Ratios
Apparel, Accessories, Footwear, Home-Goods, Seasonal
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.09% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.70% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 58.67% |
| Payout Consistency | 89.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 29.1% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 17.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 27.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.36% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.92 |
| Alpha | 12.51 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.34 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.324 |
| Beta | 0.434 |
| Beta Downside | 0.219 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 11.04% |
| Mean DD | 3.01% |
| Median DD | 2.27% |
Description: TJX The TJX Companies September 25, 2025
The TJ Companies, Inc. (NYSE: TJX) is the world’s largest off-price retailer, offering apparel, footwear, accessories, home décor, furniture, and seasonal merchandise through its four operating segments-Marmaxx, HomeGoods, TJX Canada, and TJX International. The firm sells both in-store and via e-commerce platforms, leveraging a “treasure-hunt” buying model that sources excess inventory from brands at deep discounts.
Key performance indicators from the most recent fiscal year (FY 2023) show total revenue of approximately $14.6 billion, a 5.2 % same-store sales increase in the U.S. segment, and an operating margin of roughly 13 %. E-commerce sales grew about 10 % year-over-year, now accounting for roughly 12 % of total revenue, while inventory turnover accelerated to 5.1 ×, reflecting efficient stock management.
Primary economic drivers for TJX include consumer discretionary spending trends, inflation-adjusted price sensitivity, and the availability of overstock merchandise from upstream brands. The off-price model historically benefits during periods of elevated CPI because shoppers gravitate toward lower-priced alternatives, while a strong labor market supports the company’s ability to maintain staffing levels for its high-touch store experience.
Sector-wide considerations that affect TJX’s outlook are the health of the broader apparel and home-furnishings market, supply-chain resilience for sourcing excess inventory, and the competitive pressure from both traditional department stores and pure-play online discount retailers.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of TJX’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you may find ValueRay’s analytical dashboards useful as a next step in your research.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (5.12b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 3.54b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.11 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.24pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 2.23% (prev 4.14%; Δ -1.91pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 (>3.0%) and CFO 5.93b > Net Income 5.12b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (8.55b) to EBITDA (8.11b) ratio: 1.06 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.09 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.13b) change vs 12m ago -1.31% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 30.95% (prev 30.40%; Δ 0.55pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 174.4% (prev 173.9%; Δ 0.49pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 84.93 (EBITDA TTM 8.11b / Interest Expense TTM 81.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.68
| (A) 0.04 = (Total Current Assets 15.31b - Total Current Liabilities 14.00b) / Total Assets 35.19b |
| (B) 0.22 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 7.88b / Total Assets 35.19b |
| (C) 0.20 = EBIT TTM 6.88b / Avg Total Assets 33.81b |
| (D) 0.32 = Book Value of Equity 8.39b / Total Liabilities 25.83b |
| Total Rating: 2.68 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 81.30
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.25% |
| 3. FCF Margin 6.85% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.41 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.06 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 38.12)% |
| 7. RoE 58.30% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 54.93% |
| 9. EPS Trend 81.38% |
What is the price of TJX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.52%, over one month by +7.95%, over three months by +9.38% and over the past year by +21.25%.
Is TJX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 15
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the TJX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 159.2 | 5.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 159.2 | 5.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 187.7 | 24.2% |
TJX Fundamental Data Overview November 29, 2025
P/E Trailing = 33.8035
P/E Forward = 29.8507
P/S = 2.8965
P/B = 18.2097
P/EG = 2.9467
Beta = 0.769
Revenue TTM = 58.98b USD
EBIT TTM = 6.88b USD
EBITDA TTM = 8.11b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.87b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 2.71b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.19b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 8.55b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 179.39b USD (170.83b + Debt 13.19b - CCE 4.64b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 84.93 (Ebit TTM 6.88b / Interest Expense TTM 81.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.25% (FCF TTM 4.04b / Enterprise Value 179.39b)
FCF Margin = 6.85% (FCF TTM 4.04b / Revenue TTM 58.98b)
Net Margin = 8.68% (Net Income TTM 5.12b / Revenue TTM 58.98b)
Gross Margin = 30.95% ((Revenue TTM 58.98b - Cost of Revenue TTM 40.73b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.96% (prev 30.73%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.10 (Enterprise Value 179.39b / Total Assets 35.19b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.21% (Interest Expense 28.0m / Debt 13.19b)
Taxrate = 24.74% (474.0m / 1.92b)
NOPAT = 5.18b (EBIT 6.88b * (1 - 24.74%))
Current Ratio = 1.09 (Total Current Assets 15.31b / Total Current Liabilities 14.00b)
Debt / Equity = 1.41 (Debt 13.19b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.36b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.06 (Net Debt 8.55b / EBITDA 8.11b)
Debt / FCF = 2.12 (Net Debt 8.55b / FCF TTM 4.04b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.78b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 14.55% (Net Income 5.12b / Total Assets 35.19b)
RoE = 58.30% (Net Income TTM 5.12b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.78b)
RoCE = 59.07% (EBIT 6.88b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.78b + L.T.Debt 2.87b))
RoIC = 45.20% (NOPAT 5.18b / Invested Capital 11.45b)
WACC = 7.08% (E(170.83b)/V(184.03b) * Re(7.61%) + D(13.19b)/V(184.03b) * Rd(0.21%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 7.61% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.39%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.66% ; FCFE base≈4.21b ; Y1≈4.32b ; Y5≈4.82b
Fair Price DCF = 76.26 (DCF Value 84.87b / Shares Outstanding 1.11b; 5y FCF grow 2.53% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 81.38 | EPS CAGR: 14.12% | SUE: 2.39 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 54.93 | Revenue CAGR: 2.35% | SUE: 3.34 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=1.01 | Chg30d=-0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=11
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=5.14 | Chg30d=+0.091 | Revisions Net=+12 | Growth EPS=+10.0% | Growth Revenue=+5.7%
Additional Sources for TJX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle