(TK) Teekay - Ratings and Ratios
Crude Tankers, Product Tankers, Ship-To-Ship, Management Services
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 37.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 56.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.31% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.44 |
| Alpha | 59.06 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.420 |
| Beta | 0.434 |
| Beta Downside | 0.745 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 32.17% |
| Mean DD | 10.00% |
| Median DD | 8.38% |
Description: TK Teekay October 22, 2025
Teekay Corporation Ltd. (NYSE:TK) is a Bermuda-based provider of crude oil and refined product marine transportation and related services. The business is split into two segments – Tankers, which own and charter a fleet of crude and product vessels, and Marine Services, which delivers ship-to-ship transfers, commercial management, and maintenance support. As of 1 March 2025 the company operated roughly 48 owned or charter-in vessels serving oil traders, producers, utilities, governments and other energy-linked customers.
Key operational metrics that analysts watch include fleet utilization (approximately 85 % in Q4 2024) and average day-rate earnings, which were about $18,500 per day for VLCCs in the same quarter – roughly 12 % above the three-year average, reflecting a tight supply-demand balance in the crude tanker market. The firm’s 2024 adjusted EBITDA was $1.2 billion, yielding a net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 2.5×, and its forward freight agreements (FFAs) indicate exposure to a projected +8 % uplift in crude-tanker rates through 2025, driven by sustained global oil demand growth and ongoing geopolitical supply constraints. A sector-wide driver is the gradual shift toward higher-grade crude and clean-fuel transport, which could pressure product-tanker volumes but also create premium pricing opportunities for specialized vessels.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you might explore ValueRay’s detailed financial models for TK to see how these drivers translate into projected returns.
TK Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 855m |
| Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation |
| IPO / Inception | 1995-07-19 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 45.6% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
TK Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 20.06% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 151.52% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 124.30% |
| Payout Consistency | 71.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 3.3% |
TK Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 57.62% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 1.79 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 5.76 |
| Current Volume | 706.3k |
| Average Volume | 676.3k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (184.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 59.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -15.71pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 91.42% (prev 66.39%; Δ 25.02pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 248.7m > Net Income 184.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-609.4m) to EBITDA (341.5m) ratio: -1.78 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 7.86 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (34.7m) change vs 12m ago -63.51% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 28.10% (prev 35.45%; Δ -7.34pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 46.13% (prev 59.68%; Δ -13.55pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 105.4 (EBITDA TTM 341.5m / Interest Expense TTM 2.42m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.26
| (A) 0.44 = (Total Current Assets 1.04b - Total Current Liabilities 132.4m) / Total Assets 2.06b |
| (B) -0.11 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -219.6m / Total Assets 2.06b |
| (C) 0.12 = EBIT TTM 255.1m / Avg Total Assets 2.15b |
| (D) -1.03 = Book Value of Equity -219.6m / Total Liabilities 212.2m |
| Total Rating: 2.26 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 70.19
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 99.57% |
| 3. FCF Margin 18.44% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.02 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.78 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 28.14)% |
| 7. RoE 13.89% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -78.53% |
| 9. EPS Trend -43.75% |
What is the price of TK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.60%, over one month by +16.88%, over three months by +32.05% and over the past year by +62.82%.
Is TK a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the TK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 5 | -49.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 5 | -49.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 20 | 100.1% |
TK Fundamental Data Overview November 17, 2025
P/E Trailing = 11.2697
P/S = 0.8634
P/B = 1.305
P/EG = 0.27
Beta = 0.067
Revenue TTM = 993.7m USD
EBIT TTM = 255.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 341.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 53.0m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 17.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 40.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -609.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 184.0m USD (855.2m + Debt 40.7m - CCE 711.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 105.4 (Ebit TTM 255.1m / Interest Expense TTM 2.42m)
FCF Yield = 99.57% (FCF TTM 183.2m / Enterprise Value 184.0m)
FCF Margin = 18.44% (FCF TTM 183.2m / Revenue TTM 993.7m)
Net Margin = 18.51% (Net Income TTM 184.0m / Revenue TTM 993.7m)
Gross Margin = 28.10% ((Revenue TTM 993.7m - Cost of Revenue TTM 714.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.26% (prev 29.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.09 (Enterprise Value 184.0m / Total Assets 2.06b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.91% (Interest Expense 777.0k / Debt 40.7m)
Taxrate = -0.69% (negative due to tax credits) (-432.0k / 62.2m)
NOPAT = 256.8m (EBIT 255.1m * (1 - -0.69%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 7.86 (Total Current Assets 1.04b / Total Current Liabilities 132.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 40.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.85b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.78 (Net Debt -609.4m / EBITDA 341.5m)
Debt / FCF = -3.33 (Net Debt -609.4m / FCF TTM 183.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.32b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.93% (Net Income 184.0m / Total Assets 2.06b)
RoE = 13.89% (Net Income TTM 184.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.32b)
RoCE = 18.52% (EBIT 255.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.32b + L.T.Debt 53.0m))
RoIC = 35.49% (NOPAT 256.8m / Invested Capital 723.6m)
WACC = 7.35% (E(855.2m)/V(895.9m) * Re(7.61%) + D(40.7m)/V(895.9m) * Rd(1.91%) * (1-Tc(-0.01)))
Discount Rate = 7.61% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -39.39%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.43% ; FCFE base≈331.3m ; Y1≈408.7m ; Y5≈697.3m
Fair Price DCF = 139.1 (DCF Value 11.86b / Shares Outstanding 85.3m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -43.75 | EPS CAGR: -17.67% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -78.53 | Revenue CAGR: -9.15% | SUE: 2.50 | # QB: 2
Additional Sources for TK Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle