(TK) Teekay - Ratings and Ratios
Tankers, Marine Services, Crude Transportation, Ship-To-Ship
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 10.89% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 80.65% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 124.30% |
| Payout Consistency | 70.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 3.3% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 36.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 54.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.46% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.27 |
| Alpha | 47.91 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.63 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.507 |
| Beta | 0.442 |
| Beta Downside | 0.781 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 32.17% |
| Mean DD | 10.22% |
| Median DD | 8.66% |
Description: TK Teekay December 25, 2025
Teekay Corporation Ltd. (NYSE:TK) is a Bermuda-registered provider of crude oil and refined product marine transportation, operating two segments: Tankers and Marine Services. As of 1 Mar 2025 the fleet comprised roughly 48 owned or charter-in vessels, ranging from VLCCs to medium-size product carriers, and the company also delivers ship-to-ship transfer, commercial management, and maintenance services to a diversified client base that includes oil majors, traders, utilities, and government agencies.
Key operational metrics that analysts watch include fleet utilization (averaging ≈ 85 % in 2024), day-rate exposure to the Baltic Dirty Tanker Index (BDTI) – which rose 12 % year-over-year during the 2023-24 freight-rate rally – and the average vessel age of about 12 years, which influences both fuel efficiency and regulatory compliance costs. The segment’s earnings are highly sensitive to global crude production trends; a 5 % change in OPEC-plus output typically translates to a 3-4 % swing in Teekay’s EBITDA, given the tight balance between spot and time-charter contracts.
From a valuation perspective, Teekay’s 2023 EBITDA margin of roughly 15 % and its leverage ratio of 2.3× net debt/EBITDA sit near the median for the oil-and-gas transportation sub-industry, but the company’s exposure to emerging ESG regulations – such as IMO 2020 sulfur caps and upcoming carbon-intensity standards – adds a layer of execution risk that investors must model explicitly. For a deeper dive into Teekay’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a granular data set worth reviewing.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (78.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 59.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -16.48pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 102.4% (prev 66.39%; Δ 36.00pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 248.7m > Net Income 78.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-797.7m) to EBITDA (308.8m) ratio: -2.58 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 5.62 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (85.3m) change vs 12m ago -10.43% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 28.13% (prev 35.45%; Δ -7.32pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 44.07% (prev 59.68%; Δ -15.60pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 91.43 (EBITDA TTM 308.8m / Interest Expense TTM 2.42m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.60
| (A) 0.45 = (Total Current Assets 1.24b - Total Current Liabilities 219.8m) / Total Assets 2.25b |
| (B) -0.10 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -219.6m / Total Assets 2.25b |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 221.2m / Avg Total Assets 2.25b |
| (D) 2.19 = Book Value of Equity 656.7m / Total Liabilities 299.6m |
| Total Rating: 5.60 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 76.80
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield data missing |
| 3. FCF Margin 18.46% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.08 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -2.58 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 23.61)% |
| 7. RoE 7.69% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 25.67% |
| 9. EPS Trend 42.36% |
What is the price of TK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.11%, over one month by -6.23%, over three months by +8.38% and over the past year by +54.68%.
Is TK a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the TK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 5 | -45.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 5 | -45.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 16 | 74.4% |
TK Fundamental Data Overview December 21, 2025
P/E Trailing = 11.2697
P/S = 0.7878
P/B = 1.1972
P/EG = 0.27
Beta = 0.067
Revenue TTM = 992.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 221.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 308.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 53.0m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 37.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 53.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -797.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 57.6m USD (855.2m + Debt 53.0m - CCE 850.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 91.43 (Ebit TTM 221.2m / Interest Expense TTM 2.42m)
FCF Yield = 318.2% (FCF TTM 183.2m / Enterprise Value 57.6m)
FCF Margin = 18.46% (FCF TTM 183.2m / Revenue TTM 992.5m)
Net Margin = 7.95% (Net Income TTM 78.9m / Revenue TTM 992.5m)
Gross Margin = 28.13% ((Revenue TTM 992.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 713.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.39% (prev 29.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.03 (Enterprise Value 57.6m / Total Assets 2.25b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.47% (Interest Expense 777.0k / Debt 53.0m)
Taxrate = -1.05% (negative due to tax credits) (-635.0k / 60.5m)
NOPAT = 223.5m (EBIT 221.2m * (1 - -1.05%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 5.62 (Total Current Assets 1.24b / Total Current Liabilities 219.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.08 (Debt 53.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 656.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.58 (Net Debt -797.7m / EBITDA 308.8m)
Debt / FCF = -4.35 (Net Debt -797.7m / FCF TTM 183.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.03b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.50% (Net Income 78.9m / Total Assets 2.25b)
RoE = 7.69% (Net Income TTM 78.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.03b)
RoCE = 20.49% (EBIT 221.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.03b + L.T.Debt 53.0m))
RoIC = 30.89% (NOPAT 223.5m / Invested Capital 723.6m)
WACC = 7.28% (E(855.2m)/V(908.3m) * Re(7.64%) + D(53.0m)/V(908.3m) * Rd(1.47%) * (1-Tc(-0.01)))
Discount Rate = 7.64% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.43% ; FCFE base≈331.3m ; Y1≈408.7m ; Y5≈697.3m
Fair Price DCF = 139.1 (DCF Value 11.86b / Shares Outstanding 85.3m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 42.36 | EPS CAGR: 221.4% | SUE: 0.61 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 25.67 | Revenue CAGR: 12.63% | SUE: 2.24 | # QB: 2
Additional Sources for TK Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle