TK Stock Analysis: Teekay | NYSE
Oil & Gas Midstream | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 926m USD | 12M Return: 62.5% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 6.17M
EPS Trend: -56.8%
Rev. Trend: -96.3%
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Teekay Corporation Ltd. (NYSE: TK) provides crude oil marine transportation and related marine services to a global customer base, operating through two segments: Tankers and Marine Services. The company owns and operates a fleet of 34 double-hull tankers carrying crude oil and refined products, and complements this with ship-to-ship support, tanker commercial management, technical management, and operational and maintenance services. Its customers include energy and utility companies, oil traders, petroleum product producers, government agencies, and other entities reliant on seaborne transport.
Headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda, and founded in 1973, Teekay renamed itself from Teekay Corporation to Teekay Corporation Ltd. in October 2024. Within the Energy sector, the tanker industry operates across both long-term charter contracts and the volatile spot freight market, and double-hull designs have been the mandatory standard for new tankers since the mid-1990s under IMO MARPOL regulations following major oil spills. Bermuda incorporation is a common domicile for international shipping groups due to favorable tonnage tax regimes.
- Crude tanker spot rates surge on Russia sanctions and longer voyages
- OPEC+ production cuts weaken global crude tanker demand
- Newbuild tanker deliveries risk near-term fleet oversupply
| Net Income: 175.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -13.67 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 105.9% < 20% (prev 73.09%; Δ 32.76% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 301.8m > Net Income 175.6m |
| Net Debt (-926.4m) to EBITDA (462.3m): -2.00 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 8.89 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (86.7m) vs 12m ago 3.83% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 31.44% > 18% (prev 29.20%; Δ 2.24% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 44.12% > 50% (prev 50.48%; Δ -6.36% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 129.7 > 6 (EBIT TTM 375.6m / Interest Expense TTM 2.90m) |
| A: 0.44 (Total Current Assets 1.20b - Total Current Liabilities 134.7m) / Total Assets 2.40b |
| B: -0.06 (Retained Earnings -155.0m / Total Assets 2.40b) |
| C: 0.17 (EBIT TTM 375.6m / Avg Total Assets 2.27b) |
| D: 9.23 (Book Value of Equity 2.16b / Total Liabilities 234.2m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 13.50 = AAA |
As of July 23, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 11.13 with a total of 476,483 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.18%, over one month by -9.66%, over three months by -2.81% and over the past year by +62.46%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 10.10 (which is 9.3% or 2.2 ATR below the current price).
Teekay has no consensus analysts rating.
| Analysts Target Price | 5 | -55.1% |
P/E Trailing = 9.7615
P/E Forward = 9.6061
P/S = 0.9221
P/B = 1.3138
P/EG = 1.4915
Revenue TTM = 1.00b USD
EBIT TTM = 375.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 462.3m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = 21.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 46.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year) (leases 46.4m already included)
Net Debt = -926.4m USD (calculated: Debt 46.4m - CCE 972.7m)
Enterprise Value = 925.8m USD (floored to Market Cap, CCE > MCap+Debt)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 129.7 (Ebit TTM 375.6m / Interest Expense TTM 2.90m)
EV/FCF = 8.53x (Enterprise Value 925.8m / FCF TTM 108.5m)
FCF Yield = 11.72% (FCF TTM 108.5m / Enterprise Value 925.8m)
FCF Margin = 10.81% (FCF TTM 108.5m / Revenue TTM 1.00b)
Net Margin = 17.50% (Net Income TTM 175.6m / Revenue TTM 1.00b)
Gross Margin = 31.44% ((Revenue TTM 1.00b - Cost of Revenue TTM 688.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 55.04% (prev -12.28%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.39 (Enterprise Value 925.8m / Total Assets 2.40b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.24% (Interest Expense 2.90m / Debt 46.4m)
Taxrate = 2.54% (4.00m / 157.6m)
NOPAT = 366.1m (EBIT 375.6m * (1 - 2.54%))
Current Ratio = 8.89 (Total Current Assets 1.20b / Total Current Liabilities 134.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 46.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.16b)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.00 (Net Debt -926.4m / EBITDA 462.3m)
Debt / FCF = -8.54 (Net Debt -926.4m / FCF TTM 108.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.07b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.72% (Net Income 175.6m / Total Assets 2.40b)
RoE = 16.46% (Net Income TTM 175.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.07b)
RoCE = 16.60% (EBIT 375.6m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 2.40b - Current Liab 134.7m))
RoIC = 16.39% (NOPAT 366.1m / Invested Capital 2.23b)
WACC = 7.59% (E(925.8m)/V(972.2m) * Re(7.67%) + D(46.4m)/V(972.2m) * Rd(6.24%) * (1-Tc(0.03)))
Discount Rate = 7.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -91.09 | Cagr: -5.25%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈221.8m ; Y1≈194.5m ; Y5≈157.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 39.64 (EV 2.52b - Net Debt -926.4m = Equity 3.45b / Shares 87.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -56.84 | EPS CAGR: -14.03% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -96.34 | Revenue CAGR: -18.05% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0