TK Stock Analysis: Teekay | NYSE
Oil & Gas Midstream | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.144m USD | 12M Return: 78.7% | BMG8726T1053 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 6.70M
EPS Trend: -40.8%
Rev. Trend: -60.8%
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Teekay Corporation Ltd. (NYSE: TK) provides crude oil marine transportation and related marine services to a global customer base, operating through two segments: Tankers and Marine Services. The company owns and operates a fleet of 34 double-hull tankers carrying crude oil and refined products, and complements this with ship-to-ship support, tanker commercial management, technical management, and operational and maintenance services. Its customers include energy and utility companies, oil traders, petroleum product producers, government agencies, and other entities reliant on seaborne transport.
Headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda, and founded in 1973, Teekay renamed itself from Teekay Corporation to Teekay Corporation Ltd. in October 2024. Within the Energy sector, the tanker industry operates across both long-term charter contracts and the volatile spot freight market, and double-hull designs have been the mandatory standard for new tankers since the mid-1990s under IMO MARPOL regulations following major oil spills. Bermuda incorporation is a common domicile for international shipping groups due to favorable tonnage tax regimes.
- Crude tanker spot rates surge on Russia sanctions and longer voyages
- OPEC+ production cuts weaken global crude tanker demand
- Newbuild tanker deliveries risk near-term fleet oversupply
| Net Income: 240.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.97 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 92.86% < 20% (prev 102.4%; Δ -9.53% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.20 > 3% & CFO 535.1m > Net Income 240.2m |
| Net Debt (-1.18b) to EBITDA (761.7m): -1.55 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 10.36 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (88.0m) vs 12m ago 3.25% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 52.02% > 18% (prev 28.13%; Δ 23.90% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 60.53% > 50% (prev 44.01%; Δ 16.51% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 233.6 > 6 (EBIT TTM 676.4m / Interest Expense TTM 2.90m) |
| A: 0.52 (Total Current Assets 1.52b - Total Current Liabilities 147.2m) / Total Assets 2.65b |
| B: -0.05 (Retained Earnings -127.0m / Total Assets 2.65b) |
| C: 0.28 (EBIT TTM 676.4m / Avg Total Assets 2.45b) |
| D: 3.52 (Book Value of Equity 760.7m / Total Liabilities 216.0m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 8.81 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.62 (Receivables 124.9m/135.6m, Revenue 1.48b/992.5m) |
| GMI: 0.54 (GM 28.13% / 52.02%) |
| AQI: 1.16 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 1.49 (Revenue 1.48b / 992.5m) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI 240.2m - CFO 535.1m) / TA 2.65b) |
| Beneish M = -3.32 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of September 03, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 13.36 with a total of 481,004 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.06%, over one month by +13.32%, over three months by +15.07% and over the past year by +78.72%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 12.70 (which is 4.9% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Teekay has no consensus analysts rating.
| Analysts Target Price | 5 | -62.6% |
P/E Trailing = 6.1848
P/E Forward = 9.6061
P/S = 0.9941
P/B = 1.4722
P/EG = 1.4915
Revenue TTM = 1.48b USD
EBIT TTM = 676.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 761.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 20.9m USD (estimated: total debt 37.5m - short term 16.6m)
Short Term Debt = 16.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 83.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 46.4m
Net Debt = -1.18b USD (calculated: Debt 83.9m - CCE 1.27b)
Enterprise Value = 1.14b USD (floored to Market Cap, CCE > MCap+Debt)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 233.6 (Ebit TTM 676.4m / Interest Expense TTM 2.90m)
EV/FCF = 3.48x (Enterprise Value 1.14b / FCF TTM 328.5m)
FCF Yield = 28.70% (FCF TTM 328.5m / Enterprise Value 1.14b)
FCF Margin = 22.14% (FCF TTM 328.5m / Revenue TTM 1.48b)
Net Margin = 16.19% (Net Income TTM 240.2m / Revenue TTM 1.48b)
Gross Margin = 52.02% ((Revenue TTM 1.48b - Cost of Revenue TTM 711.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 57.65% (prev 57.65%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.43 (Enterprise Value 1.14b / Total Assets 2.65b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.45% (Interest Expense 2.90m / Debt 83.9m)
Taxrate = 1.28% (10.2m / 794.7m)
NOPAT = 667.8m (EBIT 676.4m * (1 - 1.28%))
Current Ratio = 10.36 (Total Current Assets 1.52b / Total Current Liabilities 147.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.11 (Debt 83.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 760.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.55 (Net Debt -1.18b / EBITDA 761.7m)
Debt / FCF = -3.60 (Net Debt -1.18b / FCF TTM 328.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 742.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.80% (Net Income 240.2m / Total Assets 2.65b)
RoE = 32.35% (Net Income TTM 240.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 742.6m)
RoCE = 88.59% (EBIT 676.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 742.6m + L.T.Debt 20.9m))
RoIC = 27.34% (NOPAT 667.8m / Invested Capital 2.44b)
WACC = 5.83% (E(1.14b)/V(1.23b) * Re(6.01%) + D(83.9m)/V(1.23b) * Rd(3.45%) * (1-Tc(0.01)))
Discount Rate = 6.01% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -66.93 | Cagr: -3.34%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈353.8m ; Y1≈310.3m ; Y5≈250.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 59.39 (EV 4.02b - Net Debt -1.18b = Equity 5.21b / Shares 87.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -40.78 | EPS CAGR: -13.12% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -60.81 | Revenue CAGR: -11.36% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0