TK Stock Analysis: Teekay | NYSE

Oil & Gas Midstream | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.356m USD | 12M Return: 88.3% | BMG8726T1053 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Crude Tankers, Refined Tankers, Ship Management, Marine Support
Total Rating 70
Safety 68
Buy Signal 0.00
Oil & Gas Midstream
Industry Rotation: -18.9
Market Cap: 1.36B
Avg Turnover: 7.86M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility43.6%
VaR 5th Pctl7.40%
VaR vs Median3.01%
Choppyness50.6%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.72
Rel. Str. IBD94.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group68.3
Character TTM
Beta-0.058
Beta Downside-0.279
Hurst Exponent0.484
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD32.17%
CAGR/Max DD1.83
CAGR/Mean DD5.78
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TK over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": -0.0285, "2021-12": -2.61, "2022-03": -0.4, "2022-06": 0.05, "2022-09": 0.3164, "2022-12": 0.38, "2023-03": 0.4853, "2023-06": 0.45, "2023-09": 0.27, "2023-12": 0.3701, "2024-03": 0.5749, "2024-06": 0.3553, "2024-09": 0.213, "2024-12": 0.19, "2025-03": 0.91, "2025-06": -0.5, "2025-09": 0.34, "2025-12": 0.4, "2026-03": 0.5481, "2026-06": 0.79,
EPS CAGR: -13.12%
EPS Trend: -40.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of TK over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 148.323, 2021-12: 196.493, 2022-03: 212.72, 2022-06: 280.786, 2022-09: 303.199, 2022-12: 393.479, 2023-03: 418.701, 2023-06: 395.4, 2023-09: 311.682, 2023-12: 339.192, 2024-03: 365.05, 2024-06: 326.139, 2024-09: 272.619, 2024-12: 256.566, 2025-03: 231.639, 2025-06: 231.694, 2025-09: 243.0935, 2025-12: 243.0935, 2026-03: 332.4675, 2026-06: 664.935,
Rev. CAGR: -11.36%
Rev. Trend: -60.8%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Rs Leader

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +6.9% 22
Feb +7.7% 9
Mar -2.6% 22
Apr +4.1% 43
May -5.4% 5
Jun -1.4% 10
Jul +2.6% 8
Aug +1.1% 17
Sep +1.4% 14
Oct -2.7% 0
Nov -0.5% 2
Dec +0.3% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: TK Teekay

Teekay Corporation Ltd. (NYSE: TK) is a Bermuda-based provider of crude oil marine transportation and related marine services, operating through two segments: Tankers and Marine Services. The company owns and operates a fleet of 34 double-hull tankers used for transporting crude oil and refined products, and offers a range of complementary services including ship-to-ship support, commercial management, technical management, and operational and maintenance services. Its customers span energy and utility companies, oil traders, petroleum product producers, government agencies, and other entities reliant on marine transport. Founded in 1973 and headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda, Teekay is classified within the GICS Energy sector under Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation.

As a midstream oil logistics operator, Teekay sits within the marine shipping value chain that links upstream production to downstream refineries and end markets. Double-hull tanker designs became an industry standard following international regulations such as the IMOs MARPOL convention, which phased out single-hull vessels to reduce the risk of oil spills from grounding or collision incidents.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Crude tanker day rates surge on tight global vessel supply
  • Marine Services revenue expands with new third-party contracts
  • IMO emissions rules lift fleet retrofit and capex costs
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.0
Net Income: 240.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.97 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 92.86% < 20% (prev 102.4%; Δ -9.53% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.20 > 3% & CFO 535.1m > Net Income 240.2m
Net Debt (-1.18b) to EBITDA (828.0m): -1.43 < 3
Current Ratio: 10.36 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (88.0m) vs 12m ago 3.25% < -2%
Gross Margin: 52.02% > 18% (prev 28.13%; Δ 23.90% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 60.53% > 50% (prev 44.01%; Δ 16.51% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 249.0 > 6 (EBIT TTM 721.0m / Interest Expense TTM 2.90m)
Altman Z'' 8.93
A: 0.52 (Total Current Assets 1.52b - Total Current Liabilities 147.2m) / Total Assets 2.65b
B: -0.05 (Retained Earnings -127.0m / Total Assets 2.65b)
C: 0.29 (EBIT TTM 721.0m / Avg Total Assets 2.45b)
D: 3.52 (Book Value of Equity 760.7m / Total Liabilities 216.0m)
Altman-Z'' = 8.93 = AAA
Beneish M -3.32
DSRI: 0.62 (Receivables 124.9m/135.6m, Revenue 1.48b/992.5m)
GMI: 0.54 (GM 28.13% / 52.02%)
AQI: 1.16 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.02)
SGI: 1.49 (Revenue 1.48b / 992.5m)
TATA: -0.11 (NI 240.2m - CFO 535.1m) / TA 2.65b)
Beneish M = -3.32 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of TK shares?

As of October 16, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 13.99 with a total of 621,930 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.98%, over one month by -1.41%, over three months by +27.18% and over the past year by +88.30%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 13.20 (which is 5.6% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is TK a buy, sell or hold?

Teekay has no consensus analysts rating.

What are the forecasts/targets for the TK price?
Analysts Target Price 5 -64.3%
Teekay (TK) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 15 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.36b (1.36b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 7.4686
P/E Forward = 9.6061
P/S = 1.1777
P/B = 1.5863
P/EG = 1.4915
Revenue TTM = 1.48b USD
EBIT TTM = 721.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 828.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 20.9m USD (estimated: total debt 37.5m - short term 16.6m)
Short Term Debt = 16.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 83.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 46.4m
Net Debt = -1.18b USD (calculated: Debt 83.9m - CCE 1.27b)
Enterprise Value = 171.6m USD (1.36b + Debt 83.9m - CCE 1.27b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 249.0 (Ebit TTM 721.0m / Interest Expense TTM 2.90m)
EV/FCF = 0.52x (Enterprise Value 171.6m / FCF TTM 328.5m)
FCF Yield = 191.4% (FCF TTM 328.5m / Enterprise Value 171.6m)
FCF Margin = 22.14% (FCF TTM 328.5m / Revenue TTM 1.48b)
Net Margin = 16.19% (Net Income TTM 240.2m / Revenue TTM 1.48b)
Gross Margin = 52.02% ((Revenue TTM 1.48b - Cost of Revenue TTM 711.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 57.65% (prev 57.65%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.06 (Enterprise Value 171.6m / Total Assets 2.65b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.45% (Interest Expense 2.90m / Debt 83.9m)
Taxrate = 1.28% (10.2m / 794.7m)
NOPAT = 711.8m (EBIT 721.0m * (1 - 1.28%))
Current Ratio = 10.36 (Total Current Assets 1.52b / Total Current Liabilities 147.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.11 (Debt 83.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 760.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.43 (Net Debt -1.18b / EBITDA 828.0m)
Debt / FCF = -3.60 (Net Debt -1.18b / FCF TTM 328.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 742.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.80% (Net Income 240.2m / Total Assets 2.65b)
RoE = 32.35% (Net Income TTM 240.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 742.6m)
RoCE = 94.43% (EBIT 721.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 742.6m + L.T.Debt 20.9m))
RoIC = 29.14% (NOPAT 711.8m / Invested Capital 2.44b)
WACC = 5.64% (E(1.36b)/V(1.44b) * Re(5.78%) + D(83.9m)/V(1.44b) * Rd(3.45%) * (1-Tc(0.01)))
Discount Rate = 5.78% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -67.08 | Cagr: -3.34%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈353.8m ; Y1≈310.3m ; Y5≈250.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 59.39 (EV 4.02b - Net Debt -1.18b = Equity 5.21b / Shares 87.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -40.78 | EPS CAGR: -13.12% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -60.81 | Revenue CAGR: -11.36% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0