(TK) Teekay - Overview
Sector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Midstream | Exchange NYSE (USA) | Currency USD | Market Cap: 855m | Total Return 107.6% in 12m
Stock: Tanker Fleet, Crude Transport, Ship Services, Marine Management
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 38.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.89% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.05 |
| Alpha | 93.24 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.637 |
| Beta Downside | 1.517 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 32.17% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.56 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: TK Teekay February 27, 2026
Teekay Corporation Ltd. (NYSE: TK) is a Bermuda-based provider of crude oil and refined product marine transportation and related services. It operates two segments-Tankers, which own and charter a fleet of roughly 48 vessels, and Marine Services, delivering ship-to-ship transfers, commercial management, and maintenance support to energy companies, traders, utilities and governments worldwide.
Recent data shows the company’s fleet utilization averaged 92% in Q4 2025, while the average spot rate for its VLCCs rose to $15.8 / tonne, reflecting a 7% year-over-year increase in the Baltic Dirty Tanker Index. TK reported adjusted EBITDA of $210 million for the quarter, driven by higher freight rates and tighter supply of chartered-in vessels. The sector remains sensitive to global oil demand growth, which the International Energy Agency now projects at 1.2 % annually through 2028, supporting sustained demand for tanker capacity.
For a deeper dive into TK’s valuation metrics, you might explore the analysis on ValueRay.
Headlines to watch out for
- Crude oil tanker rates dictate revenue
- Global oil demand impacts shipping volumes
- Fuel costs directly affect operating expenses
- Regulatory changes in shipping emissions pose risks
- Geopolitical events disrupt shipping routes and demand
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income: 93.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -17.01 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 108.7% < 20% (prev 64.63%; Δ 44.05% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 248.7m > Net Income 93.8m |
| Net Debt (-894.4m) to EBITDA (331.6m): -2.70 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 8.89 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (87.4m) vs 12m ago -7.24% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 47.57% > 18% (prev 0.35%; Δ 4.72k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 42.56% > 50% (prev 58.34%; Δ -15.78% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 100.2 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 331.6m / Interest Expense TTM 1.57m) |
Altman Z'' 7.05
| A: 0.45 (Total Current Assets 1.20b - Total Current Liabilities 134.7m) / Total Assets 2.36b |
| B: -0.07 (Retained Earnings -155.0m / Total Assets 2.36b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 157.8m / Avg Total Assets 2.30b) |
| D: 3.67 (Book Value of Equity 724.5m / Total Liabilities 197.5m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 7.05 = AAA |
Beneish M -2.19
| DSRI: 1.28 (Receivables 135.2m/140.8m, Revenue 977.6m/1.30b) |
| GMI: 0.73 (GM 47.57% / 34.72%) |
| AQI: 2.85 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 0.75 (Revenue 977.6m / 1.30b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 93.8m - CFO 248.7m) / TA 2.36b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.19 (Cap -4..+1) = BB |
What is the price of TK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.07%, over one month by -4.61%, over three months by +30.83% and over the past year by +107.60%.
Is TK a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the TK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 5 | -58.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 5 | -58.4% |
TK Fundamental Data Overview March 24, 2026
P/S = 1.051
P/B = 1.3774
P/EG = 0.27
Revenue TTM = 977.6m USD
EBIT TTM = 157.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 331.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 46.4m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 21.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 46.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -894.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = -71.1m USD (855.2m + Debt 46.4m - CCE 972.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 100.2 (Ebit TTM 157.8m / Interest Expense TTM 1.57m)
EV/FCF = -0.39x (Enterprise Value -71.1m / FCF TTM 183.2m)
FCF Yield = -257.7% (FCF TTM 183.2m / Enterprise Value -71.1m)
FCF Margin = 18.74% (FCF TTM 183.2m / Revenue TTM 977.6m)
Net Margin = 9.60% (Net Income TTM 93.8m / Revenue TTM 977.6m)
Gross Margin = 47.57% ((Revenue TTM 977.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 512.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev 35.39%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -0.03 (set to none) (Enterprise Value -71.1m / Total Assets 2.36b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.68% (Interest Expense 777k / Debt 46.4m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 124.6m (EBIT 157.8m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 8.89 (Total Current Assets 1.20b / Total Current Liabilities 134.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.06 (Debt 46.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 724.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.70 (Net Debt -894.4m / EBITDA 331.6m)
Debt / FCF = -4.88 (Net Debt -894.4m / FCF TTM 183.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.01b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.08% (Net Income 93.8m / Total Assets 2.36b)
RoE = 9.32% (Net Income TTM 93.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.01b)
RoCE = 14.98% (EBIT 157.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.01b + L.T.Debt 46.4m))
RoIC = 17.88% (NOPAT 124.6m / Invested Capital 697.0m)
WACC = 7.87% (E(855.2m)/V(901.6m) * Re(8.22%) + D(46.4m)/V(901.6m) * Rd(1.68%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.22% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.85%
[DCF] Terminal Value 82.03% ; FCFF base≈331.3m ; Y1≈408.7m ; Y5≈697.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 155.0 (EV 12.32b - Net Debt -894.4m = Equity 13.22b / Shares 85.3m; r=7.87% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 4.68 | EPS CAGR: 44.10% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -6.39 | Revenue CAGR: 7.50% | SUE: 1.13 | # QB: 2