(TKO) TKO Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Live Events, Streaming, Merchandise, Sponsorships
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.09% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.31% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 104.42% |
| Payout Consistency | 84.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 88.1% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 36.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 46.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -23.04% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.27 |
| Alpha | 36.79 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.35 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.467 |
| Beta | 0.813 |
| Beta Downside | 1.028 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 34.80% |
| Mean DD | 9.33% |
| Median DD | 5.84% |
Description: TKO TKO Holdings October 30, 2025
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:TKO) is a sports-and-entertainment conglomerate that monetizes its portfolio of intellectual property-most notably the UFC brand-through live-event production, licensing of short-form and long-form content, and a direct-to-consumer streaming platform (UFC FIGHT PASS). In addition to media, the firm generates revenue from merchandising (apparel, video-games, trading cards, digital collectibles) and from selling advertising and sponsorship assets across in-venue, broadcast, and digital channels. TKO is a newly incorporated subsidiary of Endeavor Group Holdings and is classified under the Movies & Entertainment GICS sub-industry.
Key quantitative levers that drive TKO’s valuation include: (1) **UFC FIGHT PASS subscriber growth**, which analysts estimate at a 20-30% year-over-year increase in 2024, translating to roughly $150 million of recurring revenue; (2) **Pay-per-view (PPV) event performance**, where average PPV buys have hovered around 1.2 million per marquee fight, generating $300-$350 million in gross revenue per event cycle; and (3) **Digital advertising CPM trends**, with U.S. sports-related CPMs rising ~5% YoY in 2023, supporting higher margins on in-broadcast and digital ad inventory. Macro-level drivers-such as discretionary consumer spending, inflation-adjusted entertainment budgets, and the continued global expansion of mixed-martial-arts viewership (the MMA market now exceeds $5 billion worldwide)-add further upside potential, though they also introduce volatility if economic conditions tighten.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of TKO’s financial outlook and valuation metrics, you may find the analyst-focused platform ValueRay useful for benchmarking against peers and tracking the latest KPI trends.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (228.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 260.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.50pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 15.97% (prev 3.51%; Δ 12.45pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.03b > Net Income 228.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (3.18b) to EBITDA (1.27b) ratio: 2.50 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.46 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (199.1m) change vs 12m ago 16.00% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 50.95% (prev 44.54%; Δ 6.41pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 30.65% (prev 29.06%; Δ 1.59pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 4.30 (EBITDA TTM 1.27b / Interest Expense TTM 200.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.41
| (A) 0.04 = (Total Current Assets 2.21b - Total Current Liabilities 1.52b) / Total Assets 15.55b |
| (B) -0.05 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -752.4m / Total Assets 15.55b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 860.5m / Avg Total Assets 14.16b |
| (D) -0.13 = Book Value of Equity -770.4m / Total Liabilities 6.10b |
| Total Rating: 0.41 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 69.42
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.99% |
| 3. FCF Margin 22.92% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.06 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.37)% |
| 7. RoE 5.60% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 86.89% |
| 9. EPS Trend -10.33% |
What is the price of TKO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.27%, over one month by +14.45%, over three months by +5.57% and over the past year by +45.06%.
Is TKO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 13
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TKO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 223.4 | 6.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 223.4 | 6.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 307.7 | 46% |
TKO Fundamental Data Overview December 10, 2025
P/E Trailing = 77.4981
P/E Forward = 42.1941
P/S = 6.5776
P/B = 4.1768
Beta = 0.254
Revenue TTM = 4.34b USD
EBIT TTM = 860.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.27b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.70b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 75.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.04b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.18b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 19.92b USD (16.74b + Debt 4.04b - CCE 861.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.30 (Ebit TTM 860.5m / Interest Expense TTM 200.1m)
FCF Yield = 4.99% (FCF TTM 994.5m / Enterprise Value 19.92b)
FCF Margin = 22.92% (FCF TTM 994.5m / Revenue TTM 4.34b)
Net Margin = 5.27% (Net Income TTM 228.8m / Revenue TTM 4.34b)
Gross Margin = 50.95% ((Revenue TTM 4.34b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.13b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 49.21% (prev 55.99%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.28 (Enterprise Value 19.92b / Total Assets 15.55b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.26% (Interest Expense 50.8m / Debt 4.04b)
Taxrate = 10.68% (12.8m / 119.6m)
NOPAT = 768.5m (EBIT 860.5m * (1 - 10.68%))
Current Ratio = 1.46 (Total Current Assets 2.21b / Total Current Liabilities 1.52b)
Debt / Equity = 1.06 (Debt 4.04b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.82b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.50 (Net Debt 3.18b / EBITDA 1.27b)
Debt / FCF = 3.20 (Net Debt 3.18b / FCF TTM 994.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.08b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.47% (Net Income 228.8m / Total Assets 15.55b)
RoE = 5.60% (Net Income TTM 228.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.08b)
RoCE = 11.05% (EBIT 860.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.08b + L.T.Debt 3.70b))
RoIC = 10.85% (NOPAT 768.5m / Invested Capital 7.09b)
WACC = 7.48% (E(16.74b)/V(20.78b) * Re(9.01%) + D(4.04b)/V(20.78b) * Rd(1.26%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Discount Rate = 9.01% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 55.11%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.36% ; FCFE base≈897.7m ; Y1≈1.11b ; Y5≈1.89b
Fair Price DCF = 340.1 (DCF Value 26.84b / Shares Outstanding 78.9m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -10.33 | EPS CAGR: -12.03% | SUE: -0.26 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 86.89 | Revenue CAGR: 40.82% | SUE: 0.00 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.68 | Chg30d=+0.045 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.19 | Chg30d=+0.313 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+132.3% | Growth Revenue=+30.1%
Additional Sources for TKO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle