TKO Stock Analysis: TKO Holdings | NYSE

Live Events, Media Rights, Licensing, Sponsorships

Total Rating 36

Safety 64

Buy Signal -0.96

Entertainment
Industry Rotation: +3.9

Market Cap: 33.7B
Avg Turnover: 188M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility31.8%

VaR 5^th Pctl4.97%

VaR vs Median-4.34%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio-0.19

Rel. Str. IBD22.9

Rel. Str. Peer Group16.7

Character TTM

Beta0.039

Beta Downside-0.092

Hurst Exponent0.447

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD21.97%

CAGR/Max DD1.41

CAGR/Mean DD4.41

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -15.61%
EPS Trend: -41.1%

Last SUE: -0.68
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 53.42%
Rev. Trend: 84.1%

Last SUE: 0.05
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Choppy

Below Avwap Earnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +1.0% 17

Feb -3.0% 6

Mar +0.9% 8

Apr -1.2% 5

May +1.5% 8

Jun -0.5% 8

Jul +0.0% 5

Aug -0.1% 5

Sep +0.7% 17

Oct -6.9% 26

Nov +0.4% 0

Dec +0.6% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: TKO TKO Holdings

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: TKO) is a sports and entertainment company operating through three business segments: UFC, WWE, and IMG. Both the UFC and WWE segments generate revenue primarily from media rights and programming distribution, live event ticket sales and site fees, partnerships and marketing, and consumer products licensing of branded merchandise. Within the Communication Services sector (Movies & Entertainment sub-industry), this dual-franchise model of owned sports IP rights is the companys core structural advantage, similar to other IP-driven sports media businesses.

The IMG segment provides media rights management and sales, multi-channel content production and distribution, brand partnerships, strategic consulting, digital services, and event management. It also operates a hospitality business offering ticketing, curated guest experiences, live event production, and travel management services. Beyond the three core segments, TKO engages in merchandising of video games, apparel, equipment, trading cards, memorabilia, digital goods, and toys, as well as sponsorships and advertising through in-venue and in-broadcast ad sales, content product integration, and digital impressions.

The company was incorporated in 2023 and is headquartered in New York, New York. It operates as a subsidiary of WME Group, Inc. TKO began trading publicly following its September 2023 IPO, with a market capitalization placing it among large-cap communication services stocks.

Headlines to Watch Out For

UFC ESPN media rights deal anchors long-term revenue
WWE Raw shifts to Netflix in landmark media rights deal
International live events drive ticket sales growth

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.0

Net Income: 229.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.73 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 10.65% < 20% (prev 9.17%; Δ 1.49% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 1.80b > Net Income 229.6m
Net Debt (3.73b) to EBITDA (1.55b): 2.41 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.22 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (194.6m) vs 12m ago -2.33% < -2%
Gross Margin: 54.08% > 18% (prev 45.98%; Δ 8.09% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 33.55% > 50% (prev 31.03%; Δ 2.52% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.12 > 6 (EBIT TTM 994.0m / Interest Expense TTM 241.0m)

Altman Z'' 0.82

A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 3.08b - Total Current Liabilities 2.51b) / Total Assets 16.3b
B: -0.09 (Retained Earnings -1.41b / Total Assets 16.3b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 994.0m / Avg Total Assets 15.8b)
D: 0.43 (Book Value of Equity 3.40b / Total Liabilities 7.90b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.82 = B

Beneish M -2.65

DSRI: 1.59 (Receivables 1.23b/694.3m, Revenue 5.30b/4.76b)
GMI: 0.85 (GM 45.98% / 54.08%)
AQI: 0.92 (AQ_t 0.75 / AQ_t-1 0.82)
SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 5.30b / 4.76b)
TATA: -0.10 (NI 229.6m - CFO 1.80b) / TA 16.3b)
Beneish M = -2.65 (Cap -4..+1) = A

What is the price of TKO shares?

As of October 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 173.86 with a total of 835,872 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.47%, over one month by -9.88%, over three months by -3.53% and over the past year by -6.35%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 167.20 (which is 3.8% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is TKO a buy, sell or hold?

TKO Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TKO.

StrongBuy: 15
Buy: 3
Hold: 4
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the TKO price?

Analysts Target Price	231.4	33.1%

TKO Holdings (TKO) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 12 October 2026

Market Cap USD = 33.7b (33.7b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 62.2413
P/E Forward = 48.7805
P/S = 6.3547
P/B = 4.0707
P/EG = 1.5863
Revenue TTM = 5.30b USD
EBIT TTM = 994.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.55b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.58b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 89.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.28b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 324.4m
Net Debt = 3.73b USD (calculated: Debt 5.28b - CCE 1.55b)
Enterprise Value = 37.4b USD (33.7b + Debt 5.28b - CCE 1.55b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.12 (Ebit TTM 994.0m / Interest Expense TTM 241.0m)
EV/FCF = 22.37x (Enterprise Value 37.4b / FCF TTM 1.67b)
FCF Yield = 4.47% (FCF TTM 1.67b / Enterprise Value 37.4b)
FCF Margin = 31.54% (FCF TTM 1.67b / Revenue TTM 5.30b)
Net Margin = 4.33% (Net Income TTM 229.6m / Revenue TTM 5.30b)
Gross Margin = 54.08% ((Revenue TTM 5.30b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.43b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 64.05% (prev 54.01%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.30 (Enterprise Value 37.4b / Total Assets 16.3b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.57% (Interest Expense 241.0m / Debt 5.28b)
Taxrate = 12.37% (93.3m / 754.7m)
NOPAT = 871.1m (EBIT 994.0m * (1 - 12.37%))
Current Ratio = 1.22 (Total Current Assets 3.08b / Total Current Liabilities 2.51b)
Debt / Equity = 1.55 (Debt 5.28b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.40b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.41 (Net Debt 3.73b / EBITDA 1.55b)
Debt / FCF = 2.23 (Net Debt 3.73b / FCF TTM 1.67b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.58b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.45% (Net Income 229.6m / Total Assets 16.3b)
RoE = 6.41% (Net Income TTM 229.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.58b)
RoCE = 12.17% (EBIT 994.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.58b + L.T.Debt 4.58b))
RoIC = 6.42% (NOPAT 871.1m / Invested Capital 13.6b)
WACC = 5.83% (E(33.7b)/V(39.0b) * Re(6.12%) + D(5.28b)/V(39.0b) * Rd(4.57%) * (1-Tc(0.12)))
Discount Rate = 6.12% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 80.36 | Cagr: 46.56%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.28b ; Y1≈1.47b ; Y5≈2.16b
[DCF] Fair Price = 394.4 (EV 32.6b - Net Debt 3.73b = Equity 28.8b / Shares 73.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -41.07 | EPS CAGR: -15.61% | SUE: -0.68 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 84.05 | Revenue CAGR: 53.42% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.34 | Chg30d=-0.09% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.65 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+22% | GrowthEPS=+105.9% | GrowthRev=+22.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.91 | Chg30d=-0.16% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+5.6% | GrowthRev=+1.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +8% (up=5, down=4)