TKO Stock Analysis: TKO Holdings | NYSE
Entertainment | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 35.966m USD | 12M Return: 5.3% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 317M
EPS Trend: -29.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 88.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. is a U.S.-based sports and entertainment company organized into three operating segments: UFC, WWE, and IMG. The UFC and WWE segments generate revenue from programming content distribution, live event ticket sales and site fees, partnerships and marketing, and consumer product licensing for their respective combat sports and professional wrestling brands. The IMG segment provides media rights management, content production and distribution, brand partnerships, strategic consulting, digital services, and event management, including a hospitality business that offers ticketing, curated guest experiences, live event production, and travel management.
Beyond its core segments, TKO is involved in merchandising (including video games, apparel, equipment, trading cards, memorabilia, digital goods, and toys) and in a sponsorships and advertising business that monetizes in-venue and in-broadcast advertising assets, content product integration, and digital impressions.
The company is classified within the Communication Services sector (Movies & Entertainment sub-industry) under the GICS framework, completed its IPO in September 2023, and is headquartered in New York, New York. TKO operates as a subsidiary of WME Group, Inc., the holding entity affiliated with global talent and entertainment company Endeavor, which combined its UFC and WWE assets under the TKO corporate structure.
- UFC international expansion drives media rights and live event revenue
- WWE Netflix media rights deal reshapes content distribution and reach
- Live event ticket and sponsorship sales exposed to consumer spending cycles
| Net Income: 226.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.04 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 12.34% < 20% (prev 6.46%; Δ 5.88% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 1.82b > Net Income 226.3m |
| Net Debt (3.56b) to EBITDA (1.46b): 2.44 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.28 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (194.6m) vs 12m ago 7.22% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 51.53% > 18% (prev 41.75%; Δ 9.77% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 32.63% > 50% (prev 30.95%; Δ 1.69% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.24 > 6 (EBIT TTM 926.7m / Interest Expense TTM 218.6m) |
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 2.82b - Total Current Liabilities 2.19b) / Total Assets 16.0b |
| B: -0.09 (Retained Earnings -1.38b / Total Assets 16.0b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 926.7m / Avg Total Assets 15.5b) |
| D: 0.45 (Book Value of Equity 3.38b / Total Liabilities 7.50b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.85 = B |
| DSRI: 1.37 (Receivables 833.4m/557.5m, Revenue 5.06b/4.64b) |
| GMI: 0.81 (GM 41.75% / 51.53%) |
| AQI: 0.91 (AQ_t 0.77 / AQ_t-1 0.84) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 5.06b / 4.64b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 226.3m - CFO 1.82b) / TA 16.0b) |
| Beneish M = -2.89 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 180.96 with a total of 1,342,864 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.90%, over one month by -10.06%, over three months by -7.06% and over the past year by +5.33%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 172.60 (which is 4.6% or 1.1 ATR below the current price).
TKO Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.53. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TKO.
- StrongBuy: 13
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 234.4 | 29.5% |
P/E Trailing = 71.8244
P/E Forward = 49.2611
P/S = 7.1034
P/B = 4.2838
P/EG = 1.3632
Revenue TTM = 5.06b USD
EBIT TTM = 926.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.46b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.59b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 91.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.29b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 325.0m
Net Debt = 3.56b USD (calculated: Debt 5.29b - CCE 1.73b)
Enterprise Value = 39.5b USD (36.0b + Debt 5.29b - CCE 1.73b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.24 (Ebit TTM 926.7m / Interest Expense TTM 218.6m)
EV/FCF = 22.59x (Enterprise Value 39.5b / FCF TTM 1.75b)
FCF Yield = 4.43% (FCF TTM 1.75b / Enterprise Value 39.5b)
FCF Margin = 34.56% (FCF TTM 1.75b / Revenue TTM 5.06b)
Net Margin = 4.47% (Net Income TTM 226.3m / Revenue TTM 5.06b)
Gross Margin = 51.53% ((Revenue TTM 5.06b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.45b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 54.01% (prev 44.56%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.47 (Enterprise Value 39.5b / Total Assets 16.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.13% (Interest Expense 218.6m / Debt 5.29b)
Taxrate = 12.07% (86.6m / 717.1m)
NOPAT = 814.8m (EBIT 926.7m * (1 - 12.07%))
Current Ratio = 1.28 (Total Current Assets 2.82b / Total Current Liabilities 2.19b)
Debt / Equity = 1.57 (Debt 5.29b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.38b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.44 (Net Debt 3.56b / EBITDA 1.46b)
Debt / FCF = 2.04 (Net Debt 3.56b / FCF TTM 1.75b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.80b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.46% (Net Income 226.3m / Total Assets 16.0b)
RoE = 5.96% (Net Income TTM 226.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.80b)
RoCE = 11.04% (EBIT 926.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.80b + L.T.Debt 4.59b))
RoIC = 5.96% (NOPAT 814.8m / Invested Capital 13.7b)
WACC = 6.29% (E(36.0b)/V(41.3b) * Re(6.68%) + D(5.29b)/V(41.3b) * Rd(4.13%) * (1-Tc(0.12)))
Discount Rate = 6.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 87.54 | Cagr: 46.26%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.34b ; Y1≈1.54b ; Y5≈2.27b
[DCF] Fair Price = 407.2 (EV 34.1b - Net Debt 3.56b = Equity 30.5b / Shares 75.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -29.60 | EPS CAGR: -11.63% | SUE: -0.29 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 88.27 | Revenue CAGR: 69.21% | SUE: 0.02 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.39 | Chg30d=-1.80% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=11
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.21 | Chg30d=+2.15% | Revisions=-10% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.49 | Chg30d=-0.14% | Revisions=-15% | GrowthEPS=+98.6% | GrowthRev=+21.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.92 | Chg30d=-0.09% | Revisions=-18% | GrowthEPS=+9.7% | GrowthRev=+0.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -14% (up=14, down=19)