TKO Stock Analysis: TKO Holdings | NYSE

Live Events, Media Rights, Merchandise, Sponsorships

Total Rating 38

Safety 63

Buy Signal -0.60

Entertainment
Industry Rotation: +5.1

Market Cap: 36.6B
Avg Turnover: 205M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility35.2%

VaR 5^th Pctl5.26%

VaR vs Median-7.17%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio-0.02

Rel. Str. IBD14.6

Rel. Str. Peer Group21

Character TTM

Beta0.054

Beta Downside-0.110

Hurst Exponent0.428

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD28.35%

CAGR/Max DD0.83

CAGR/Mean DD2.59

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -15.61%
EPS Trend: -41.1%

Last SUE: -0.68
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 53.42%
Rev. Trend: 84.1%

Last SUE: 0.05
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Choppy

Below Avwap Earnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +1.0% 17

Feb -3.0% 6

Mar +0.9% 8

Apr -1.2% 5

May +1.5% 8

Jun -0.5% 8

Jul +0.0% 5

Aug -0.1% 10

Sep +0.7% 17

Oct -6.9% 26

Nov +0.4% 0

Dec +0.5% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: TKO TKO Holdings

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. is a U.S.-based sports and entertainment company organized into three operating segments: UFC, WWE, and IMG. The UFC and WWE segments generate revenue from programming content distribution, live event ticket sales and site fees, partnerships and marketing, and consumer product licensing for their respective combat sports and professional wrestling brands. The IMG segment provides media rights management, content production and distribution, brand partnerships, strategic consulting, digital services, and event management, including a hospitality business that offers ticketing, curated guest experiences, live event production, and travel management.

Beyond its core segments, TKO is involved in merchandising (including video games, apparel, equipment, trading cards, memorabilia, digital goods, and toys) and in a sponsorships and advertising business that monetizes in-venue and in-broadcast advertising assets, content product integration, and digital impressions.

The company is classified within the Communication Services sector (Movies & Entertainment sub-industry) under the GICS framework, completed its IPO in September 2023, and is headquartered in New York, New York. TKO operates as a subsidiary of WME Group, Inc., the holding entity affiliated with global talent and entertainment company Endeavor, which combined its UFC and WWE assets under the TKO corporate structure.

Headlines to Watch Out For

UFC international expansion drives media rights and live event revenue
WWE Netflix media rights deal reshapes content distribution and reach
Live event ticket and sponsorship sales exposed to consumer spending cycles

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.0

Net Income: 229.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.73 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 10.65% < 20% (prev 9.17%; Δ 1.49% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 1.80b > Net Income 229.6m
Net Debt (3.73b) to EBITDA (1.53b): 2.44 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.22 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (194.6m) vs 12m ago -2.33% < -2%
Gross Margin: 54.08% > 18% (prev 45.98%; Δ 8.09% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 33.55% > 50% (prev 31.03%; Δ 2.52% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.12 > 6 (EBIT TTM 994.0m / Interest Expense TTM 241.0m)

Altman Z'' 0.82

A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 3.08b - Total Current Liabilities 2.51b) / Total Assets 16.3b
B: -0.09 (Retained Earnings -1.41b / Total Assets 16.3b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 994.0m / Avg Total Assets 15.8b)
D: 0.43 (Book Value of Equity 3.40b / Total Liabilities 7.90b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.82 = B

Beneish M -2.65

DSRI: 1.59 (Receivables 1.23b/694.3m, Revenue 5.30b/4.76b)
GMI: 0.85 (GM 45.98% / 54.08%)
AQI: 0.92 (AQ_t 0.75 / AQ_t-1 0.82)
SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 5.30b / 4.76b)
TATA: -0.10 (NI 229.6m - CFO 1.80b) / TA 16.3b)
Beneish M = -2.65 (Cap -4..+1) = A

What is the price of TKO shares?

As of August 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 184.64 with a total of 641,161 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.40%, over one month by -0.76%, over three months by -7.57% and over the past year by -1.38%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 175.90 (which is 4.7% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).

Is TKO a buy, sell or hold?

TKO Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.53. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TKO.

StrongBuy: 13
Buy: 3
Hold: 3
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the TKO price?

Analysts Target Price	231.2	25.2%

TKO Holdings (TKO) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 27 August 2026

Market Cap USD = 36.6b (36.6b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 68.1021
P/E Forward = 48.0769
P/S = 6.9045
P/B = 4.1641
P/EG = 1.5641
Revenue TTM = 5.30b USD
EBIT TTM = 994.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.53b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.58b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 89.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.28b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 324.4m
Net Debt = 3.73b USD (calculated: Debt 5.28b - CCE 1.55b)
Enterprise Value = 40.3b USD (36.6b + Debt 5.28b - CCE 1.55b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.12 (Ebit TTM 994.0m / Interest Expense TTM 241.0m)
EV/FCF = 24.12x (Enterprise Value 40.3b / FCF TTM 1.67b)
FCF Yield = 4.15% (FCF TTM 1.67b / Enterprise Value 40.3b)
FCF Margin = 31.54% (FCF TTM 1.67b / Revenue TTM 5.30b)
Net Margin = 4.33% (Net Income TTM 229.6m / Revenue TTM 5.30b)
Gross Margin = 54.08% ((Revenue TTM 5.30b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.43b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 64.05% (prev 54.01%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.48 (Enterprise Value 40.3b / Total Assets 16.3b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.57% (Interest Expense 241.0m / Debt 5.28b)
Taxrate = 12.37% (93.3m / 754.7m)
NOPAT = 871.1m (EBIT 994.0m * (1 - 12.37%))
Current Ratio = 1.22 (Total Current Assets 3.08b / Total Current Liabilities 2.51b)
Debt / Equity = 1.55 (Debt 5.28b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.40b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.44 (Net Debt 3.73b / EBITDA 1.53b)
Debt / FCF = 2.23 (Net Debt 3.73b / FCF TTM 1.67b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.58b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.45% (Net Income 229.6m / Total Assets 16.3b)
RoE = 6.41% (Net Income TTM 229.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.58b)
RoCE = 12.17% (EBIT 994.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.58b + L.T.Debt 4.58b))
RoIC = 6.42% (NOPAT 871.1m / Invested Capital 13.6b)
WACC = 5.90% (E(36.6b)/V(41.9b) * Re(6.17%) + D(5.28b)/V(41.9b) * Rd(4.57%) * (1-Tc(0.12)))
Discount Rate = 6.17% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 80.36 | Cagr: 46.56%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.28b ; Y1≈1.47b ; Y5≈2.16b
[DCF] Fair Price = 394.4 (EV 32.6b - Net Debt 3.73b = Equity 28.8b / Shares 73.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -41.07 | EPS CAGR: -15.61% | SUE: -0.68 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 84.05 | Revenue CAGR: 53.42% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.34 | Chg30d=+30.67% | Revisions=+44% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.65 | Chg30d=+18.72% | Revisions=+22% | GrowthEPS=+105.9% | GrowthRev=+22.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.92 | Chg30d=+23.61% | Revisions=+22% | GrowthEPS=+5.7% | GrowthRev=+1.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +38% (up=13, down=5)