(TKR) Timken - Overview

Sector: Industrials | Industry: Tools & Accessories | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 7.834m USD | Total Return: 64.2% in 12m

Bearings, Industrial Drives, Chains, Belts, Motion
Total Rating 74
Safety 87
Buy Signal 1.93
Tools & Accessories
Industry Rotation: +5.2
Market Cap: 7.83B
Avg Turnover: 114M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility41.3%
VaR 5th Pctl6.75%
VaR vs Median-0.88%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.56
Rel. Str. IBD84.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group80.6
Character TTM
Beta1.359
Beta Downside1.485
Hurst Exponent0.427
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD37.61%
CAGR/Max DD0.52
CAGR/Mean DD1.50
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TKR over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 1.38, "2021-06": 1.37, "2021-09": 1.18, "2021-12": 0.78, "2022-03": 1.61, "2022-06": 1.67, "2022-09": 1.52, "2022-12": 1.22, "2023-03": 2.09, "2023-06": 2.01, "2023-09": 1.55, "2023-12": 1.37, "2024-03": 1.77, "2024-06": 1.63, "2024-09": 1.16, "2024-12": 1.16, "2025-03": 1.4, "2025-06": 1.42, "2025-09": 1.37, "2025-12": 1.14, "2026-03": 1.67,
EPS CAGR: 0.00%
EPS Trend: -37.8%
Last SUE: 1.50
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of TKR over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 1025.4, 2021-06: 1062.9, 2021-09: 1037.3, 2021-12: 1007.3, 2022-03: 1124.6, 2022-06: 1153.7, 2022-09: 1136.4, 2022-12: 1082, 2023-03: 1262.8, 2023-06: 1272.3, 2023-09: 1142.7, 2023-12: 1091.2, 2024-03: 1190.3, 2024-06: 1182.3, 2024-09: 1126.8, 2024-12: 1073.599999, 2025-03: 1140.3, 2025-06: 1173.4, 2025-09: 1157.1, 2025-12: 1111, 2026-03: 1231.3,
Rev. CAGR: 1.75%
Rev. Trend: -3.1%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 3

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Avwap Ph Week

Description: TKR Timken

The Timken Company (NYSE: TKR) is a global manufacturer of engineered bearings and industrial motion components. Operating through two primary segments, the company provides essential mechanical parts-including roller bearings, industrial drives, and automated lubrication systems-to a diverse range of end markets such as aerospace, renewable energy, and agriculture.

The industrial machinery sector is characterized by high capital intensity and a reliance on replacement cycles, as bearings and drivetrain components are consumable parts that require periodic maintenance or substitution. Timken’s business model leverages a multi-brand strategy, utilizing acquisitions like Philadelphia Gear and Rollon to expand its footprint in high-growth automation and renewable energy sectors.

Investors can further evaluate these industrial fundamentals by reviewing the comprehensive data available on ValueRay.

Founded in 1899 and headquartered in Ohio, the company maintains a global distribution network that supports both original equipment manufacturers and the aftermarket services industry.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Expansion into renewable energy sectors drives long-term revenue growth and valuation
  • Global industrial production trends dictate demand for core engineered bearing products
  • Strategic acquisitions in industrial motion segments diversify portfolio and enhance margins
  • Fluctuations in steel prices and logistics costs impact operating profit margins
  • High exposure to cyclical agriculture and construction markets affects short-term earnings
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 7.0
Net Income: 308.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.64 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 38.48% < 20% (prev 39.47%; Δ -0.99% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 535.0m > Net Income 308.3m
Net Debt (1.86b) to EBITDA (769.3m): 2.41 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.88 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (70.2m) vs 12m ago -0.44% < -2%
Gross Margin: 28.42% > 18% (prev 0.31%; Δ 2.81k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 69.47% > 50% (prev 68.84%; Δ 0.64% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.16 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 769.3m / Interest Expense TTM 103.8m)
Altman Z'' 4.35
A: 0.26 (Total Current Assets 2.75b - Total Current Liabilities 956.9m) / Total Assets 6.88b
B: 0.40 (Retained Earnings 2.75b / Total Assets 6.88b)
C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 535.4m / Avg Total Assets 6.73b)
D: 0.76 (Book Value of Equity 2.67b / Total Liabilities 3.51b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 4.35 = AA
Beneish M -2.92
DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 964.6m/903.6m, Revenue 4.67b/4.52b)
GMI: 1.09 (GM 28.42% / 30.98%)
AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.38 / AQ_t-1 0.38)
SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 4.67b / 4.52b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 308.3m - CFO 535.0m) / TA 6.88b)
Beneish M-Score: -2.92 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of TKR shares? As of May 21, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 117.20 with a total of 1,940,293 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.59%, over one month by +8.41%, over three months by +9.06% and over the past year by +64.19%.
Is TKR a buy, sell or hold? Timken has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TKR.
  • StrongBuy: 6
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TKR price?
Analysts Target Price 129.8 10.8%
Timken (TKR) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 20 May 2026
P/E Trailing = 25.6205
P/E Forward = 18.9753
P/S = 1.6765
P/B = 2.4804
P/EG = 1.5822
Revenue TTM = 4.67b USD
EBIT TTM = 535.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 769.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.03b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 76.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.20b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.86b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.67b USD (7.83b + Debt 2.20b - CCE 363.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.16 (Ebit TTM 535.4m / Interest Expense TTM 103.8m)
EV/FCF = 25.24x (Enterprise Value 9.67b / FCF TTM 383.2m)
FCF Yield = 3.96% (FCF TTM 383.2m / Enterprise Value 9.67b)
FCF Margin = 8.20% (FCF TTM 383.2m / Revenue TTM 4.67b)
Net Margin = 6.60% (Net Income TTM 308.3m / Revenue TTM 4.67b)
Gross Margin = 28.42% ((Revenue TTM 4.67b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.34b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.33% (prev 21.89%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.41 (Enterprise Value 9.67b / Total Assets 6.88b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.03% (Interest Expense 22.6m / Debt 2.20b)
Taxrate = 25.89% (37.0m / 142.9m)
NOPAT = 396.8m (EBIT 535.4m * (1 - 25.89%))
Current Ratio = 2.88 (Total Current Assets 2.75b / Total Current Liabilities 956.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.69 (Debt 2.20b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.21b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.41 (Net Debt 1.86b / EBITDA 769.3m)
Debt / FCF = 4.85 (Net Debt 1.86b / FCF TTM 383.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.16b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.58% (Net Income 308.3m / Total Assets 6.88b)
RoE = 9.77% (Net Income TTM 308.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.16b)
RoCE = 10.33% (EBIT 535.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.16b + L.T.Debt 2.03b))
RoIC = 7.58% (NOPAT 396.8m / Invested Capital 5.23b)
WACC = 8.57% (E(7.83b)/V(10.04b) * Re(10.76%) + D(2.20b)/V(10.04b) * Rd(1.03%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 10.76% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -91.11 | Cagr: -0.46%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.55% ; FCFF base≈359.5m ; Y1≈387.8m ; Y5≈478.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 82.29 (EV 7.58b - Net Debt 1.86b = Equity 5.72b / Shares 69.5m; r=8.57% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 8.88% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -37.77 | EPS CAGR: 0.0% | SUE: 1.50 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -3.09 | Revenue CAGR: 1.75% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 3
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.60 | Chg30d=+0.70% | Revisions=+33% | Analysts=11
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.49 | Chg30d=-0.72% | Revisions=-43% | Analysts=12
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.09 | Chg30d=+3.87% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+14.2% | GrowthRev=+5.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.84 | Chg30d=+4.37% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+12.3% | GrowthRev=+4.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50%