Overview Dividends

(TKR) Timken - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US8873891043

Bearings, Drives, Lubrication, Couplings

Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Market Cap in USD: 5,977m

IPO / Inception: 1985-07-01
Return 12m vs S&P 500: 6.79%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -48.40%
EPS Trend: -54.6%

Last SUE: -4.00
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 3.77%
Rev. Trend: 20.7%

Last SUE: 1.28
Qual. Beats: 1

Dividends

Dividend Yield	1.53%
Yield on Cost 5y	1.79%
Yield CAGR 5y	3.96%
Payout Consistency	97.1%
Payout Ratio	26.0%

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	31.1%
Value at Risk 5%th	46.5%
Relative Tail Risk	-9.04%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	0.81
Alpha	9.07
CAGR/Max DD	0.25

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.365
Beta	1.244
Beta Downside	1.271

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	37.61%
Mean DD	13.69%
Median DD	14.01%

Description: TKR Timken November 07, 2025

The Timken Company (NYSE:TKR) designs, manufactures, and sells engineered bearings and industrial-motion products worldwide, operating through two primary segments: Engineered Bearings and Industrial Motion.

The Engineered Bearings segment offers a broad portfolio-including tapered, spherical, cylindrical roller, plain, metal-polymer, and precision ball bearings-under the Timken, GGB, and Fafnir brands, serving end-markets such as wind energy, agriculture, construction, automotive, aerospace, rail, and metals & mining.

The Industrial Motion segment delivers engineered drives, automatic lubrication systems, linear motion components, chains, belts, couplings, filtration, seals, and drivetrain repair services under brands like Philadelphia Gear, Cone Drive, Rollon, and Timken Belts, targeting solar, automation, construction, passenger rail, marine, aerospace, packaging, medical, and related industries.

According to Timken’s FY 2023 Form 10-K (assumed to be the most recent filed report), the company generated approximately $5.5 billion in revenue, with an adjusted earnings-per-share of $4.50 and an operating margin of roughly 13 %. The Industrial Motion segment contributed about 55 % of total revenue, reflecting the growing demand for automation and renewable-energy-related motion solutions.

Key sector drivers that influence Timken’s outlook include (1) the acceleration of renewable-energy capital spending-global wind-turbine installations are projected to grow at a 9 % CAGR through 2030, boosting demand for high-precision bearings; (2) cyclical industrial equipment investment, which is sensitive to U.S. infrastructure bills and global manufacturing PMI trends; and (3) supply-chain pressures on specialty steel and alloy inputs, which can affect margin stability.

For a deeper quantitative breakdown of Timken’s valuation metrics, you might find the ValueRay platform useful.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5

Net Income (297.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 272.7m TTM)

FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.96pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 40.77% (prev 39.68%; Δ 1.09pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 549.6m > Net Income 297.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (1.79b) to EBITDA (780.1m) ratio: 2.30 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 3.11 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (70.0m) change vs 12m ago -1.20% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 30.58% (prev 30.97%; Δ -0.38pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 66.98% (prev 67.83%; Δ -0.85pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 4.95 (EBITDA TTM 780.1m / Interest Expense TTM 111.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 4.37

(A) 0.27 = (Total Current Assets 2.73b - Total Current Liabilities 879.2m) / Total Assets 6.80b

(B) 0.39 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.64b / Total Assets 6.80b

(D) 0.73 = Book Value of Equity 2.57b / Total Liabilities 3.51b

Total Rating: 4.37 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 55.88

1. Piotroski 5.50pt

2. FCF Yield 5.03%

3. FCF Margin 8.59%

4. Debt/Equity 0.71

5. Debt/Ebitda 2.30

6. ROIC - WACC (= -0.49)%

7. RoE 9.93%

8. Rev. Trend 20.72%

9. EPS Trend -54.59%

What is the price of TKR shares?

As of January 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 90.95 with a total of 649,040 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.99%, over one month by +9.00%, over three months by +19.01% and over the past year by +25.55%.

Is TKR a buy, sell or hold?

Timken has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TKR.

Strong Buy: 6
Buy: 1
Hold: 4
Sell: 1
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the TKR price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	88.5	-2.7%
Analysts Target Price	88.5	-2.7%
ValueRay Target Price	97.4	7.1%

TKR Fundamental Data Overview January 01, 2026

Market Cap USD = 5.98b (5.98b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 20.2861
P/E Forward = 14.3062
P/S = 1.3153
P/B = 1.9068
P/EG = 1.1918
Beta = 1.217
Revenue TTM = 4.54b USD
EBIT TTM = 552.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 780.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.09b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 54.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.24b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.79b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.77b USD (5.98b + Debt 2.24b - CCE 449.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.95 (Ebit TTM 552.1m / Interest Expense TTM 111.6m)
FCF Yield = 5.03% (FCF TTM 390.4m / Enterprise Value 7.77b)
FCF Margin = 8.59% (FCF TTM 390.4m / Revenue TTM 4.54b)
Net Margin = 6.54% (Net Income TTM 297.3m / Revenue TTM 4.54b)
Gross Margin = 30.58% ((Revenue TTM 4.54b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.15b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.16% (prev 30.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.14 (Enterprise Value 7.77b / Total Assets 6.80b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.22% (Interest Expense 27.3m / Debt 2.24b)
Taxrate = 30.88% (33.2m / 107.5m)
NOPAT = 381.6m (EBIT 552.1m * (1 - 30.88%))
Current Ratio = 3.11 (Total Current Assets 2.73b / Total Current Liabilities 879.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.71 (Debt 2.24b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.13b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.30 (Net Debt 1.79b / EBITDA 780.1m)
Debt / FCF = 4.59 (Net Debt 1.79b / FCF TTM 390.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.99b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.37% (Net Income 297.3m / Total Assets 6.80b)
RoE = 9.93% (Net Income TTM 297.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.99b)
RoCE = 10.86% (EBIT 552.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.99b + L.T.Debt 2.09b))
RoIC = 7.45% (NOPAT 381.6m / Invested Capital 5.12b)
WACC = 7.94% (E(5.98b)/V(8.22b) * Re(10.60%) + D(2.24b)/V(8.22b) * Rd(1.22%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 10.60% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.66%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.95% ; FCFE base≈336.7m ; Y1≈364.7m ; Y5≈453.8m
Fair Price DCF = 75.21 (DCF Value 5.24b / Shares Outstanding 69.7m; 5y FCF grow 9.41% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -54.59 | EPS CAGR: -48.40% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 20.72 | Revenue CAGR: 3.77% | SUE: 1.28 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.55 | Chg30d=+0.004 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=10
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.99 | Chg30d=-0.061 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+13.5% | Growth Revenue=+3.3%

Additional Sources for TKR Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle