(TLYS) Tillys - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Apparel Retail | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 134m USD | Total Return: 121.2% in 12m

Apparel, Footwear, Accessories
Total Rating 56
Safety 35
Buy Signal 1.80
Apparel Retail
Industry Rotation: +14.2
Market Cap: 134M
Avg Turnover: 2.75M USD
ATR: 6.66%
Peers RS (IBD): 97.9
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility85.7%
Rel. Tail Risk-14.1%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.36
Alpha127.36
Character TTM
Beta0.318
Beta Downside2.170
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD92.36%
CAGR/Max DD-0.14
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TLYS over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-02": 0.29, "2021-05": 0.36, "2021-08": 0.66, "2021-11": 0.66, "2022-02": 0.38, "2022-05": 0.03, "2022-08": 0.13, "2022-11": 0.17, "2023-02": 0.1, "2023-05": -0.04, "2023-08": -0.03, "2023-11": -0.03, "2024-02": -0.17, "2024-05": -0.65, "2024-08": -0.0023, "2024-11": -0.43, "2025-02": -0.45, "2025-05": -0.74, "2025-08": 0.1, "2025-11": -0.05, "2026-02": 0.1,
EPS CAGR: 37.86%
EPS Trend: -36.6%
Last SUE: 2.03
Qual. Beats: 2
Revenue Revenue of TLYS over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-02: 177.92, 2021-05: 163.157, 2021-08: 201.952, 2021-11: 206.096, 2022-02: 204.489, 2022-05: 145.775, 2022-08: 168.308, 2022-11: 177.847, 2023-02: 180.35, 2023-05: 123.637, 2023-08: 159.951, 2023-11: 166.475, 2024-02: 173.02, 2024-05: 115.856, 2024-08: 162.867, 2024-11: 143.442, 2025-02: 147.288, 2025-05: 107.611, 2025-08: 151.256, 2025-11: 139.587, 2026-02: 155.131,
Rev. CAGR: 1.67%
Rev. Trend: -35.3%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Altman Z'' -1.26 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: TLYS Tillys

Tillys, Inc. (TLYS) is a US-based specialty retailer of casual apparel, footwear, and accessories. The company targets young men, women, boys, and girls.

Tillys offers both branded and private-label merchandise across various product categories. The retail sector often sees companies diversify product offerings to capture broader market segments.

Sales channels include physical stores and an e-commerce website. A multi-channel approach is common for retailers to reach customers effectively.

Founded in 1982 and headquartered in Irvine, California, Tillys operates within the Apparel Retail sub-industry. To understand Tillys competitive position and financial health, further research on ValueRay is recommended.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Teen apparel trends dictate sales performance
  • E-commerce growth impacts overall revenue
  • Back-to-school season drives significant sales
  • Supply chain costs affect merchandise margins
  • Consumer discretionary spending influences demand
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 3.5
Net Income: -17.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 15.73 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 4.53% < 20% (prev 5.55%; Δ -1.02% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 7.97m > Net Income -17.5m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 1.25 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (30.3m) vs 12m ago 0.67% < -2%
Gross Margin: 29.71% > 18% (prev 0.26%; Δ 2.94k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 169.5% > 50% (prev 166.3%; Δ 3.21% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBITDA TTM and Interest Expense TTM)
Altman Z'' -1.26
A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 125.2m - Total Current Liabilities 100.1m) / Total Assets 310.8m
B: -0.29 (Retained Earnings -91.6m / Total Assets 310.8m)
C: -0.06 (EBIT TTM -19.3m / Avg Total Assets 326.6m)
D: -0.41 (Book Value of Equity -91.6m / Total Liabilities 225.6m)
Altman-Z'' Score: -1.26 = CCC
Beneish M -2.68
DSRI: 1.53 (Receivables 6.09m/4.09m, Revenue 553.6m/569.5m)
GMI: 0.88 (GM 29.71% / 26.29%)
AQI: 1.20 (AQ_t 0.01 / AQ_t-1 0.00)
SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 553.6m / 569.5m)
TATA: -0.08 (NI -17.5m - CFO 7.97m) / TA 310.8m)
Beneish M-Score: -2.68 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of TLYS shares? As of April 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 5.03 with a total of 1,064,428 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +13.58%, over one month by +192.99%, over three months by +155.56% and over the past year by +121.15%.
Is TLYS a buy, sell or hold? Tillys has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefor, it is recommend to hold TLYS.
  • StrongBuy: 0
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TLYS price?
Analysts Target Price 3 -40.4%
Tillys (TLYS) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 09 April 2026
P/E Forward = 20.5339
P/S = 0.2422
P/B = 1.5032
P/EG = 0.8835
Revenue TTM = 553.6m USD
EBIT TTM = -19.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = -8.76m USD
Long Term Debt = 125.4m USD (estimated: total debt 170.5m - short term 45.1m)
Short Term Debt = 45.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 170.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 124.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 258.2m USD (134.1m + Debt 170.5m - CCE 46.3m)
 Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM -19.3m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
 EV/FCF = 78.73x (Enterprise Value 258.2m / FCF TTM 3.28m)
FCF Yield = 1.27% (FCF TTM 3.28m / Enterprise Value 258.2m)
FCF Margin = 0.59% (FCF TTM 3.28m / Revenue TTM 553.6m)
Net Margin = -3.15% (Net Income TTM -17.5m / Revenue TTM 553.6m)
Gross Margin = 29.71% ((Revenue TTM 553.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 389.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.19% (prev 30.51%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.83 (Enterprise Value 258.2m / Total Assets 310.8m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 170.5m)
Taxrate = 0.61% (18.0k / 2.96m)
NOPAT = -19.2m (EBIT -19.3m * (1 - 0.61%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.25 (Total Current Assets 125.2m / Total Current Liabilities 100.1m)
Debt / Equity = 2.00 (Debt 170.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 85.1m)
 Debt / EBITDA = -14.18 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 124.1m / EBITDA -8.76m)
 Debt / FCF = 37.85 (Net Debt 124.1m / FCF TTM 3.28m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 82.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -5.34% (Net Income -17.5m / Total Assets 310.8m)
RoE = -21.26% (Net Income TTM -17.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 82.1m)
RoCE = -9.32% (EBIT -19.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 82.1m + L.T.Debt 125.4m))
 RoIC = -23.43% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -19.2m / Invested Capital 82.1m)
 WACC = 3.13% (E(134.1m)/V(304.5m) * Re(7.11%) + D(170.5m)/V(304.5m) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.01)))
Discount Rate = 7.11% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.33%
[DCF] Terminal Value 88.06% ; FCFF base≈3.28m ; Y1≈3.88m ; Y5≈6.01m
[DCF] Fair Price = 2.20 (EV 175.1m - Net Debt 124.1m = Equity 50.9m / Shares 23.2m; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 19.49% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -36.57 | EPS CAGR: 37.86% | SUE: 2.03 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -35.33 | Revenue CAGR: 1.67% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=0.14 | Chg7d=+0.030 | Chg30d=+0.030 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=-0.17 | Chg7d=+0.610 | Chg30d=+0.610 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+70.7% | Growth Revenue=+2.6%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=-0.16 | Chg7d=+0.600 | Chg30d=+0.600 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+5.9% | Growth Revenue=+1.7%
External Resources
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