Overview Dividends

(TM) Toyota Motor - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Japan • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US8923313071

Cars, Trucks, Minivans, SUVs, Financial

TM EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 4.95%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): 32.2%

TM Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 9.05%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 87.0%

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	27.7%
Value at Risk 5%th	44.0%

Reward
Sharpe Ratio	0.56
Alpha	13.55

Character
Hurst Exponent	0.365
Beta	0.226

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	34.92%
Mean DD	14.28%

Description: TM Toyota Motor September 24, 2025

Toyota Motor Corporation (NYSE: TM) designs, manufactures, assembles and sells a full spectrum of passenger, minivan and commercial vehicles, plus related parts and accessories, across nine geographic regions including Japan, North America, Europe and emerging markets.

The firm operates through three primary segments-Automotive, Financial Services, and All Other-delivering subcompact to luxury models under the Toyota and Lexus marques, as well as pickup trucks, SUVs, buses and specialty vehicles.

Its Financial Services arm provides retail and wholesale financing, leasing, insurance and credit-card products, while the All Other segment runs the GAZOO.com automotive portal and pursues telecommunications and ancillary businesses.

In addition to its long-standing hybrid leadership, Toyota is accelerating development of battery-electric vehicles (BEVs) and battery packs, targeting roughly 2 million EV deliveries annually by 2025.

Recent data points underscore the company’s scale and strategic positioning: 2023 global vehicle sales reached ~10.5 million units, operating profit margin held near 8 % despite supply-chain volatility, and R&D spending topped ¥1.5 trillion, with ~30 % of sales now coming from electrified models-a share that is expected to rise as U.S. and EU EV incentives expand and the yen’s relative weakness boosts overseas earnings.

For a deeper, data-driven assessment of Toyota’s valuation and risk profile, you may find the analytics on ValueRay worth exploring.

TM Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	265,657m
Sub-Industry	Automobile Manufacturers
IPO / Inception	1949-05-01
Return 12m vs S&P 500	6.12%
Analyst Rating	4.25 of 5

TM Dividends

Dividend Yield	3.17%
Yield on Cost 5y	5.33%
Yield CAGR 5y	6.54%
Payout Consistency	94.8%
Payout Ratio	9.1%

TM Growth Ratios

CAGR	16.38%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio	0.47
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio	1.15
Current Volume	214.5k
Average Volume	308.6k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0

Net Income (4631.40b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2963.10b TTM)

FCFTA 0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.24pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 16.02% (prev 13.78%; Δ 2.24pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.05 (>3.0%) and CFO 4824.37b > Net Income 4631.40b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (31751.35b) to EBITDA (8065.53b) ratio: 3.94 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.25 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.30b) change vs 12m ago -1.96% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 17.97% (prev 21.13%; Δ -3.16pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 52.89% (prev 52.03%; Δ 0.86pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 35.98 (EBITDA TTM 8065.53b / Interest Expense TTM 161.49b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 2.92

(A) 0.08 = (Total Current Assets 38942.72b - Total Current Liabilities 31031.19b) / Total Assets 97574.88b

(B) 0.38 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 37061.82b / Total Assets 97574.88b

(D) 0.70 = Book Value of Equity 41454.10b / Total Liabilities 59117.92b

Total Rating: 2.92 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 61.21

1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0

2. FCF Yield 0.23% = 0.12

3. FCF Margin 0.30% = 0.07

4. Debt/Equity 1.06 = 1.96

5. Debt/Ebitda 3.94 = -2.50

6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.68)% = 3.35

7. RoE 12.74% = 1.06

8. Rev. Trend 87.05% = 6.53

9. EPS Trend 32.15% = 1.61

What is the price of TM shares?

As of November 12, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 203.94 with a total of 214,500 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.03%, over one month by +9.64%, over three months by +10.61% and over the past year by +22.52%.

Is Toyota Motor a good stock to buy?

Neither. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Toyota Motor is currently (November 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 61.21 and therefor a neutral outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of TM is around 220.22 USD . This means that TM is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 7.98%.

Is TM a buy, sell or hold?

Toyota Motor has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.25. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TM.

Strong Buy: 2
Buy: 1
Hold: 1
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the TM price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	234.3	14.9%
Analysts Target Price	234.3	14.9%
ValueRay Target Price	234.5	15%

TM Fundamental Data Overview November 10, 2025

Market Cap JPY = 40951.69b (265.66b USD * 154.1524 USD.JPY)
P/E Trailing = 8.8047
P/E Forward = 12.5786
P/S = 0.0054
P/B = 1.0198
P/EG = 1.5387
Beta = 0.226
Revenue TTM = 49385.01b JPY
EBIT TTM = 5810.85b JPY
EBITDA TTM = 8065.53b JPY
Long Term Debt = 22522.16b JPY (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 16235.53b JPY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 39864.28b JPY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 31751.35b JPY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 63897.69b JPY (40951.69b + Debt 39864.28b - CCE 16918.27b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 35.98 (Ebit TTM 5810.85b / Interest Expense TTM 161.49b)
FCF Yield = 0.23% (FCF TTM 147.79b / Enterprise Value 63897.69b)
FCF Margin = 0.30% (FCF TTM 147.79b / Revenue TTM 49385.01b)
Net Margin = 9.38% (Net Income TTM 4631.40b / Revenue TTM 49385.01b)
Gross Margin = 17.97% ((Revenue TTM 49385.01b - Cost of Revenue TTM 40509.25b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 15.91% (prev 17.92%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.65 (Enterprise Value 63897.69b / Total Assets 97574.88b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.05% (Interest Expense 18.80b / Debt 39864.28b)
Taxrate = 20.64% (253.03b / 1225.98b)
NOPAT = 4611.52b (EBIT 5810.85b * (1 - 20.64%))
Current Ratio = 1.25 (Total Current Assets 38942.72b / Total Current Liabilities 31031.19b)
Debt / Equity = 1.06 (Debt 39864.28b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 37492.12b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.94 (Net Debt 31751.35b / EBITDA 8065.53b)
Debt / FCF = 214.8 (Net Debt 31751.35b / FCF TTM 147.79b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 36341.85b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.75% (Net Income 4631.40b / Total Assets 97574.88b)
RoE = 12.74% (Net Income TTM 4631.40b / Total Stockholder Equity 36341.85b)
RoCE = 9.87% (EBIT 5810.85b / Capital Employed (Equity 36341.85b + L.T.Debt 22522.16b))
RoIC = 6.17% (NOPAT 4611.52b / Invested Capital 74719.43b)
WACC = 3.49% (E(40951.69b)/V(80815.96b) * Re(6.85%) + D(39864.28b)/V(80815.96b) * Rd(0.05%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 6.85% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.72%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.43% ; FCFE base≈147.79b ; Y1≈182.32b ; Y5≈311.06b
Fair Price DCF = 4059 (DCF Value 5290.57b / Shares Outstanding 1.30b; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 32.15 | EPS CAGR: 4.95% | SUE: -0.04 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 87.05 | Revenue CAGR: 9.05% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for TM Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle