(TM) Toyota Motor - NYSE

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Auto Manufacturers | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 205.963m USD | Total Return: 2.5% in 12m

Passenger Cars, Trucks, SUVs, Electric Vehicles, Financial Services
Total Rating 38
Safety 63
Buy Signal -1.46
Auto Manufacturers
Industry Rotation: -11.9
Market Cap: 206B
Avg Turnover: 105M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility28.3%
VaR 5th Pctl4.89%
VaR vs Median4.98%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.05
Rel. Str. IBD12.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group34
Character TTM
Beta0.646
Beta Downside0.736
Hurst Exponent0.509
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD34.92%
CAGR/Max DD0.18
CAGR/Mean DD0.39
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TM over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 5.86, "2021-09": 3.96, "2021-12": 4.95, "2022-03": 2.98, "2022-06": 4.03, "2022-09": 2.14, "2022-12": 4.08, "2023-03": 3.02, "2023-06": 6.81, "2023-09": 6.24, "2023-12": 6.76, "2024-03": 4.76, "2024-06": 6.3527, "2024-09": 2.84, "2024-12": 10.9, "2025-03": 50.87, "2025-06": 4.47, "2025-09": 4.85, "2025-12": 6.15, "2026-03": 4,
EPS CAGR: 50.84%
EPS Trend: 62.6%
Last SUE: 0.08
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of TM over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 7935557, 2021-09: 7545741, 2021-12: 7785742, 2022-03: 8112466, 2022-06: 8491116, 2022-09: 9218232, 2022-12: 9754685, 2023-03: 9690265, 2023-06: 10546831, 2023-09: 11434786, 2023-12: 12041103, 2024-03: 11072605, 2024-06: 11837880, 2024-09: 11444570, 2024-12: 12391095, 2025-03: 12363159, 2025-06: 12253326, 2025-09: 12377427, 2025-12: 13699782.971, 2026-03: 12828775.068,
Rev. CAGR: 8.86%
Rev. Trend: 96.0%
Last SUE: 0.19
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: TM Toyota Motor

Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) is a global automotive manufacturer headquartered in Japan, producing a diverse range of vehicles including passenger cars, luxury models under the Lexus brand, and commercial trucks. The company maintains a vertically integrated business model that encompasses vehicle design, assembly, and parts manufacturing, alongside a robust financial services division that provides retail leasing and insurance.

Operating within the capital-intensive Automobile Manufacturers sub-industry, Toyota has significantly expanded its focus on the transition to battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and proprietary battery technology. The company leverages a multi-pathway strategy, maintaining high production volumes of internal combustion and hybrid engines while scaling its zero-emission portfolio to meet evolving global regulatory standards.

Investors can further evaluate these operational shifts and valuation metrics by exploring the data on ValueRay. Given its expansive geographic footprint across North America, Europe, and Asia, Toyota remains sensitive to global supply chain fluctuations and regional macroeconomic trends.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Hybrid vehicle demand outpaces pure electric vehicle growth bolstering profit margins
  • Yen volatility against the US Dollar impacts overseas earnings and export competitiveness
  • Multi-pathway powertrain strategy mitigates risks associated with global EV adoption slowdown
  • Rising raw material and labor costs pressure manufacturing efficiency and operating income
  • Expansion into solid-state battery technology determines long-term premium market share retention
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: 3886b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.08 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 18.10% < 20% (prev 15.91%; Δ 2.18% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 5469b > Net Income 3886b
Net Debt (31389b) to EBITDA (7537b): 4.16 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.27 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.30b) vs 12m ago -0.61% < -2%
Gross Margin: 16.70% > 18% (prev 19.94%; Δ -3.24% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 51.27% > 50% (prev 51.32%; Δ -0.05% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 58.28 > 6 (EBIT TTM 5121b / Interest Expense TTM 87.9b)
Altman Z'' 2.76
A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 43010b - Total Current Liabilities 33751b) / Total Assets 105980b
B: 0.37 (Retained Earnings 38878b / Total Assets 105980b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 5121b / Avg Total Assets 99791b)
D: 0.62 (Book Value of Equity 40092b / Total Liabilities 64782b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.76 = A
Beneish M -2.76
DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 17586b/15349b, Revenue 51159b/48037b)
GMI: 1.19 (GM 19.94% / 16.70%)
AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.42 / AQ_t-1 0.43)
SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 51159b / 48037b)
TATA: -0.01 (NI 3886b - CFO 5469b) / TA 105980b)
Beneish M = -2.76 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of TM shares?

As of June 23, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 169.73 with a total of 671,777 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.98%, over one month by -10.23%, over three months by -18.16% and over the past year by +2.45%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 164.90 (which is 2.8% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is TM a buy, sell or hold?

Toyota Motor has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.25. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TM.

  • StrongBuy: 2
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the TM price?
Analysts Target Price 256.5 51.1%
Toyota Motor (TM) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 20 June 2026
Market Cap USD = 206b (206b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
Market Cap JPY = 33255b (206b USD * 161.46 USD.JPY)
P/E Trailing = 9.4225
P/E Forward = 10.4167
P/S = 0.0041
P/B = 0.8277
P/EG = 1.5387
Revenue TTM = 51159b JPY
EBIT TTM = 5121b JPY
EBITDA TTM = 7537b JPY
Long Term Debt = 25624b JPY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 17657b JPY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 44104b JPY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 711b
Net Debt = 31389b JPY (calculated: Debt 44104b - CCE 12715b)
Enterprise Value = 64644b JPY (33255b + Debt 44104b - CCE 12715b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 58.28 (Ebit TTM 5121b / Interest Expense TTM 87.9b)
EV/FCF = 137.6x (Enterprise Value 64644b / FCF TTM 470b)
FCF Yield = 0.73% (FCF TTM 470b / Enterprise Value 64644b)
FCF Margin = 0.92% (FCF TTM 470b / Revenue TTM 51159b)
Net Margin = 7.60% (Net Income TTM 3886b / Revenue TTM 51159b)
Gross Margin = 16.70% ((Revenue TTM 51159b - Cost of Revenue TTM 42617b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 15.14% (prev 17.77%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.61 (Enterprise Value 64644b / Total Assets 105980b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.20% (Interest Expense 87.9b / Debt 44104b)
Taxrate = 22.63% (1177b / 5202b)
NOPAT = 3962b (EBIT 5121b * (1 - 22.63%))
Current Ratio = 1.27 (Total Current Assets 43010b / Total Current Liabilities 33751b)
Debt / Equity = 1.10 (Debt 44104b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 40092b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.16 (Net Debt 31389b / EBITDA 7537b)
Debt / FCF = 66.80 (Net Debt 31389b / FCF TTM 470b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 38156b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.89% (Net Income 3886b / Total Assets 105980b)
RoE = 10.18% (Net Income TTM 3886b / Total Stockholder Equity 38156b)
RoCE = 8.03% (EBIT 5121b / Capital Employed (Equity 38156b + L.T.Debt 25624b))
RoIC = 4.54% (NOPAT 3962b / Invested Capital 87329b)
WACC = 3.64% (E(33255b)/V(77359b) * Re(8.26%) + D(44104b)/V(77359b) * Rd(0.20%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.26% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -80.90 | Cagr: -1.53%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈470b ; Y1≈472b ; Y5≈500b
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 7773b - Net Debt 31389b = -23616b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: 62.65 | EPS CAGR: 50.84% | SUE: 0.08 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.01 | Revenue CAGR: 8.86% | SUE: 0.19 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=3.94 | Chg30d=-17.89% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=4.20 | Chg30d=-17.98% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=17.54 | Chg30d=-20.93% | Revisions=-20% | GrowthEPS=-7.0% | GrowthRev=+189.4%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=25.37 | Chg30d=+1.86% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+44.7% | GrowthRev=+4.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -20%