TM Stock Analysis: Toyota Motor | NYSE
Auto Manufacturers | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 217.108m USD | 12M Return: 1.9% | US8923313071 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 54.5M
EPS Trend: 37.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 97.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Toyota Motor Corporation is a global automaker headquartered in Toyota, Japan, founded in 1933. The company designs, manufactures, assembles, and sells a wide range of vehicles-including subcompact and compact cars, mid-size and luxury vehicles, SUVs, pickup trucks, minivans, and buses-along with related parts and accessories, primarily under the Toyota and Lexus brands. It also develops and sells battery and hybrid electric vehicles and batteries, operating across Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, Central and South America, Oceania, Africa, and the Middle East. The companys business is organized into three segments: Automotive, Financial Services (retail and wholesale financing, leasing, insurance, and credit cards), and All Other (which includes the GAZOO.com automotive web portal and telecommunications activities). Toyota has also formed a strategic manufacturing alliance with Joby Aviation, Inc. to develop air mobility solutions.
As a mega-cap stock listed on the NYSE under the ticker TM and classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector (GICS Sub-Industry: Automobile Manufacturers), Toyota operates in a highly capital-intensive and competitive industry characterized by long product development cycles, significant investments in manufacturing infrastructure, and increasing regulatory and consumer pressure to transition toward electrified powertrains. Toyota is widely recognized as a pioneer in hybrid-electric vehicle technology, having introduced mass-market hybrid models decades before many competitors, which has shaped its long-term strategic emphasis on multi-pathway powertrain solutions rather than a single reliance on battery-electric vehicles.
- Yen weakness lifts overseas profit translation and margins
- BEV strategy shifts under EU and China emissions pressure
- Chinese EV makers expand Asia market share competition
| Net Income: 4541b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.90 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 10.60% < 20% (prev 16.07%; Δ -5.47% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 4136b > Net Income 4541b |
| Net Debt (34099b) to EBITDA (7455b): 4.57 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.17 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.22b) vs 12m ago -6.09% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 16.76% > 18% (prev 19.29%; Δ -2.53% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 53.84% > 50% (prev 51.84%; Δ 2.00% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 13.31 > 6 (EBIT TTM 4940b / Interest Expense TTM 371b) |
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 38596b - Total Current Liabilities 33019b) / Total Assets 101958b |
| B: 0.37 (Retained Earnings 37376b / Total Assets 101958b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 4940b / Avg Total Assets 97713b) |
| D: 0.58 (Book Value of Equity 37063b / Total Liabilities 63981b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.50 = A |
| DSRI: 1.28 (Receivables 21208b/15219b, Revenue 52609b/48452b) |
| GMI: 1.15 (GM 19.29% / 16.76%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.44 / AQ_t-1 0.43) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 52609b / 48452b) |
| TATA: 0.00 (NI 4541b - CFO 4136b) / TA 101958b) |
| Beneish M = -2.58 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 185.30 with a total of 352,319 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.10%, over one month by -4.90%, over three months by +7.86% and over the past year by +1.89%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 178.60 (which is 3.6% or 2.2 ATR below the current price).
Toyota Motor has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TM.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 234.1 | 26.3% |
Market Cap JPY = 34360b (217b USD * 158.26 USD.JPY)
P/E Trailing = 8.2031
P/E Forward = 10.9409
P/S = 0.0042
P/B = 0.9509
P/EG = 1.5387
Revenue TTM = 52609b JPY
EBIT TTM = 4940b JPY
EBITDA TTM = 7455b JPY
Long Term Debt = 26085b JPY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 17751b JPY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 44374b JPY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 711b
Net Debt = 34099b JPY (calculated: Debt 44374b - CCE 10275b)
Enterprise Value = 68459b JPY (34360b + Debt 44374b - CCE 10275b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.31 (Ebit TTM 4940b / Interest Expense TTM 371b)
EV/FCF = -78.63x (Enterprise Value 68459b / FCF TTM -871b)
FCF Yield = -1.27% (FCF TTM -871b / Enterprise Value 68459b)
FCF Margin = -1.65% (FCF TTM -871b / Revenue TTM 52609b)
Net Margin = 8.63% (Net Income TTM 4541b / Revenue TTM 52609b)
Gross Margin = 16.76% ((Revenue TTM 52609b - Cost of Revenue TTM 43793b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.03% (prev 15.14%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.67 (Enterprise Value 68459b / Total Assets 101958b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.84% (Interest Expense 371b / Debt 44374b)
Taxrate = 20.45% (1215b / 5939b)
NOPAT = 3930b (EBIT 4940b * (1 - 20.45%))
Current Ratio = 1.17 (Total Current Assets 38596b / Total Current Liabilities 33019b)
Debt / Equity = 1.20 (Debt 44374b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 37063b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.57 (Net Debt 34099b / EBITDA 7455b)
Debt / FCF = -39.17 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 34099b / FCF TTM -871b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 38412b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.65% (Net Income 4541b / Total Assets 101958b)
RoE = 11.82% (Net Income TTM 4541b / Total Stockholder Equity 38412b)
RoCE = 7.66% (EBIT 4940b / Capital Employed (Equity 38412b + L.T.Debt 26085b))
RoIC = 4.68% (NOPAT 3930b / Invested Capital 84058b)
WACC = 3.31% (E(34360b)/V(78734b) * Re(6.73%) + D(44374b)/V(78734b) * Rd(0.84%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 6.73% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -84.08 | Cagr: -4.20%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -871b)
EPS Correlation: 37.68 | EPS CAGR: 26.55% | SUE: 0.22 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.94 | Revenue CAGR: 7.75% | SUE: 0.14 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.73 | Chg30d=-34.73% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=3.23 | Chg30d=-30.67% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=18.33 | Chg30d=+8.41% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-2.8% | GrowthRev=+191.6%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=20.51 | Chg30d=-0.14% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+11.9% | GrowthRev=+3.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -62% (up=0, down=5)