(TM) Toyota Motor - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Auto Manufacturers | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 244.207m USD | Total Return: 2.9% in 12m

Passenger Cars, Trucks, SUVs, Electric Vehicles, Financial Services
Total Rating 42
Safety 66
Buy Signal -1.15
Auto Manufacturers
Industry Rotation: +3.6
Market Cap: 244B
Avg Turnover: 77.0M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility27.5%
VaR 5th Pctl4.71%
VaR vs Median3.75%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.17
Rel. Str. IBD17.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group54.3
Character TTM
Beta0.594
Beta Downside0.689
Hurst Exponent0.485
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD34.92%
CAGR/Max DD0.38
CAGR/Mean DD0.85
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TM over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 5.08, "2021-06": 5.86, "2021-09": 3.96, "2021-12": 4.95, "2022-03": 2.98, "2022-06": 4.03, "2022-09": 2.14, "2022-12": 4.08, "2023-03": 3.02, "2023-06": 6.81, "2023-09": 6.24, "2023-12": 6.76, "2024-03": 4.76, "2024-06": 6.3527, "2024-09": 2.84, "2024-12": 10.9, "2025-03": 50.87, "2025-06": 4.38, "2025-09": 4.66, "2025-12": 6.15, "2026-03": 4.01,
EPS CAGR: 50.36%
EPS Trend: 62.2%
Last SUE: 0.08
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of TM over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 7689337, 2021-06: 7935557, 2021-09: 7545741, 2021-12: 7785742, 2022-03: 8112466, 2022-06: 8491116, 2022-09: 9218232, 2022-12: 9754685, 2023-03: 9690265, 2023-06: 10546831, 2023-09: 11434786, 2023-12: 12041103, 2024-03: 11072605, 2024-06: 11837880, 2024-09: 11444570, 2024-12: 12391095, 2025-03: 12363159, 2025-06: 12253326, 2025-09: 12377427, 2025-12: 13699782.971, 2026-03: 12828775.068,
Rev. CAGR: 8.86%
Rev. Trend: 96.0%
Last SUE: 0.19
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: TM Toyota Motor

Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) is a global automotive manufacturer headquartered in Japan, producing a diverse range of vehicles including passenger cars, luxury models under the Lexus brand, and commercial trucks. The company maintains a vertically integrated business model that encompasses vehicle design, assembly, and parts manufacturing, alongside a robust financial services division that provides retail leasing and insurance.

Operating within the capital-intensive Automobile Manufacturers sub-industry, Toyota has significantly expanded its focus on the transition to battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and proprietary battery technology. The company leverages a multi-pathway strategy, maintaining high production volumes of internal combustion and hybrid engines while scaling its zero-emission portfolio to meet evolving global regulatory standards.

Investors can further evaluate these operational shifts and valuation metrics by exploring the data on ValueRay. Given its expansive geographic footprint across North America, Europe, and Asia, Toyota remains sensitive to global supply chain fluctuations and regional macroeconomic trends.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Hybrid vehicle demand outpaces pure electric vehicle growth bolstering profit margins
  • Yen volatility against the US Dollar impacts overseas earnings and export competitiveness
  • Multi-pathway powertrain strategy mitigates risks associated with global EV adoption slowdown
  • Rising raw material and labor costs pressure manufacturing efficiency and operating income
  • Expansion into solid-state battery technology determines long-term premium market share retention
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5
Net Income: 3886b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.08 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 18.10% < 20% (prev 15.91%; Δ 2.18% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 5469b > Net Income 3886b
Net Debt (31212b) to EBITDA (7110b): 4.39 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.27 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.30b) vs 12m ago -0.61% < -2%
Gross Margin: 16.70% > 18% (prev 0.20%; Δ 1.65k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 51.27% > 50% (prev 51.32%; Δ -0.05% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 53.43 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 7110b / Interest Expense TTM 87.9b)
Altman Z'' 2.80
A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 43010b - Total Current Liabilities 33751b) / Total Assets 105980b
B: 0.37 (Retained Earnings 38878b / Total Assets 105980b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 4695b / Avg Total Assets 99791b)
D: 0.68 (Book Value of Equity 43840b / Total Liabilities 64782b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.80 = A
Beneish M -2.77
DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 17586b/15349b, Revenue 51159b/48037b)
GMI: 1.19 (GM 16.70% / 19.94%)
AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.42 / AQ_t-1 0.43)
SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 51159b / 48037b)
TATA: -0.01 (NI 3886b - CFO 5469b) / TA 105980b)
Beneish M = -2.77 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of TM shares?

As of May 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 189.08 with a total of 373,004 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.84%, over one month by -1.68%, over three months by -20.77% and over the past year by +2.86%.

Is TM a buy, sell or hold?

Toyota Motor has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.25. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TM.

  • StrongBuy: 2
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the TM price?
Analysts Target Price 256.5 35.7%
Toyota Motor (TM) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 20 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 244b (244b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
Market Cap JPY = 38807b (244b USD * 158.91 USD.JPY)
P/E Trailing = 10.0628
P/E Forward = 10.0402
P/S = 0.0048
P/B = 0.8706
P/EG = 1.5387
Revenue TTM = 51159b JPY
EBIT TTM = 4695b JPY
EBITDA TTM = 7110b JPY
Long Term Debt = 25065b JPY (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 17657b JPY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 43926b JPY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 533b
Net Debt = 31212b JPY (calculated: Debt 43926b - CCE 12715b)
Enterprise Value = 70019b JPY (38807b + Debt 43926b - CCE 12715b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 53.43 (Ebit TTM 4695b / Interest Expense TTM 87.9b)
EV/FCF = 149.0x (Enterprise Value 70019b / FCF TTM 470b)
FCF Yield = 0.67% (FCF TTM 470b / Enterprise Value 70019b)
FCF Margin = 0.92% (FCF TTM 470b / Revenue TTM 51159b)
Net Margin = 7.60% (Net Income TTM 3886b / Revenue TTM 51159b)
Gross Margin = 16.70% ((Revenue TTM 51159b - Cost of Revenue TTM 42617b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 15.14% (prev 17.77%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.66 (Enterprise Value 70019b / Total Assets 105980b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.20% (Interest Expense 87.9b / Debt 43926b)
Taxrate = 12.76% (125b / 982b)
NOPAT = 4096b (EBIT 4695b * (1 - 12.76%))
Current Ratio = 1.27 (Total Current Assets 43010b / Total Current Liabilities 33751b)
Debt / Equity = 1.10 (Debt 43926b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 40092b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.39 (Net Debt 31212b / EBITDA 7110b)
Debt / FCF = 66.43 (Net Debt 31212b / FCF TTM 470b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 38156b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.89% (Net Income 3886b / Total Assets 105980b)
RoE = 10.18% (Net Income TTM 3886b / Total Stockholder Equity 38156b)
RoCE = 7.43% (EBIT 4695b / Capital Employed (Equity 38156b + L.T.Debt 25065b))
RoIC = 4.56% (NOPAT 4096b / Invested Capital 89884b)
WACC = 3.88% (E(38807b)/V(82733b) * Re(8.07%) + D(43926b)/V(82733b) * Rd(0.20%) * (1-Tc(0.13)))
Discount Rate = 8.07% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -80.90 | Cagr: -1.53%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈470b ; Y1≈472b ; Y5≈500b
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 7773b - Net Debt 31212b = -23438b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: 62.17 | EPS CAGR: 50.36% | SUE: 0.08 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.01 | Revenue CAGR: 8.86% | SUE: 0.19 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=3.94 | Chg30d=-17.89% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=4.20 | Chg30d=-17.98% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=17.54 | Chg30d=-20.93% | Revisions=-20% | GrowthEPS=-7.1% | GrowthRev=+188.1%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=25.37 | Chg30d=+1.86% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+44.7% | GrowthRev=+4.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -20%