(TMHC) Taylor Morn Home - Overview
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Residential Construction | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 5.369m USD | Total Return: -0.4% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 63.5M
EPS Trend: 9.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 31.4%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Below Avwap Earnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC) is a Scottsdale-based homebuilder and land developer operating across several U.S. market segments. The company designs and constructs single-family and multi-family homes catering to entry-level, move-up, and resort lifestyle consumers under brands including Taylor Morrison, Esplanade, and Yardly. Its operations extend beyond construction to include master-planned community development, build-to-rent projects, and integrated financial services such as mortgage lending and title insurance.
The homebuilding sector is highly sensitive to mortgage rate fluctuations and land acquisition costs, which directly impact absorption rates and gross margins. As a large-scale developer, Taylor Morrison utilizes a diversified business model that balances traditional home sales with the growing build-to-rent asset class to capture shifting housing demand. Investors can find further data on these operational trends at ValueRay.
- Mortgage rate fluctuations impact affordability and new home order volume
- Expansion of Yardly build-to-rent portfolio diversifies recurring revenue streams
- Strategic land acquisition in high-growth Sunbelt markets drives long-term margin
- Financial services and title insurance segments provide high-margin ancillary income
- Input cost volatility and labor shortages affect construction cycle times
| Net Income: 672.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.13 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 79.50% < 20% (prev 75.63%; Δ 3.87% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 751.5m > Net Income 672.1m |
| Net Debt (1.83b) to EBITDA (1.04b): 1.76 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 7.00 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (97.5m) vs 12m ago -5.33% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 22.44% > 18% (prev 0.25%; Δ 2.22k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 79.48% > 50% (prev 89.13%; Δ -9.65% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 20.16 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.04b / Interest Expense TTM 49.7m) |
| A: 0.62 (Total Current Assets 7.06b - Total Current Liabilities 1.01b) / Total Assets 9.77b |
| B: 0.54 (Retained Earnings 5.27b / Total Assets 9.77b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 1.00b / Avg Total Assets 9.58b) |
| D: 1.50 (Book Value of Equity 5.28b / Total Liabilities 3.52b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 8.10 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.40 (Receivables 269.8m/212.2m, Revenue 7.61b/8.36b) |
| GMI: 1.10 (GM 22.44% / 24.66%) |
| AQI: 1.43 (AQ_t 0.24 / AQ_t-1 0.17) |
| SGI: 0.91 (Revenue 7.61b / 8.36b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 672.1m - CFO 751.5m) / TA 9.77b) |
| Beneish M = -2.43 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
As of May 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 57.99 with a total of 577,652 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.84%,
over one month by -8.30%,
over three months by -13.31% and
over the past year by -0.41%.
Taylor Morn Home has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.30. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TMHC.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 70.2 | 21.1% |
P/E Trailing = 8.5648
P/E Forward = 11.7371
P/S = 0.7053
P/B = 0.8262
P/EG = 1.4093
Revenue TTM = 7.61b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.00b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.04b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.34b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 82.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 2.49b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 72.8m
Net Debt = 1.83b USD (calculated: Debt 2.49b - CCE 652.9m)
Enterprise Value = 7.20b USD (5.37b + Debt 2.49b - CCE 652.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 20.16 (Ebit TTM 1.00b / Interest Expense TTM 49.7m)
EV/FCF = 10.15x (Enterprise Value 7.20b / FCF TTM 709.6m)
FCF Yield = 9.85% (FCF TTM 709.6m / Enterprise Value 7.20b)
FCF Margin = 9.32% (FCF TTM 709.6m / Revenue TTM 7.61b)
Net Margin = 8.83% (Net Income TTM 672.1m / Revenue TTM 7.61b)
Gross Margin = 22.44% ((Revenue TTM 7.61b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.90b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.95% (prev 22.04%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.74 (Enterprise Value 7.20b / Total Assets 9.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.00% (Interest Expense 49.7m / Debt 2.49b)
Taxrate = 23.15% (30.3m / 130.7m)
NOPAT = 769.4m (EBIT 1.00b * (1 - 23.15%))
Current Ratio = 7.00 (Total Current Assets 7.06b / Total Current Liabilities 1.01b)
Debt / Equity = 0.40 (Debt 2.49b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.25b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.76 (Net Debt 1.83b / EBITDA 1.04b)
Debt / FCF = 2.59 (Net Debt 1.83b / FCF TTM 709.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.20b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.02% (Net Income 672.1m / Total Assets 9.77b)
RoE = 10.85% (Net Income TTM 672.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.20b)
RoCE = 11.72% (EBIT 1.00b / Capital Employed (Equity 6.20b + L.T.Debt 2.34b))
RoIC = 8.70% (NOPAT 769.4m / Invested Capital 8.85b)
WACC = 6.54% (E(5.37b)/V(7.86b) * Re(8.86%) + D(2.49b)/V(7.86b) * Rd(2.00%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.86% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -98.88 | Cagr: -4.81%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈580.8m ; Y1≈665.8m ; Y5≈979.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 138.2 (EV 14.7b - Net Debt 1.83b = Equity 12.9b / Shares 93.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 9.90 | EPS CAGR: 1.29% | SUE: -0.26 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 31.39 | Revenue CAGR: 1.75% | SUE: 0.87 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.14 | Chg30d=-12.98% | Revisions=-56% | Analysts=6
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.45 | Chg30d=+3.32% | Revisions=-11% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.29 | Chg30d=+3.72% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-35.8% | GrowthRev=-18.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.42 | Chg30d=-1.71% | Revisions=-33% | GrowthEPS=+21.3% | GrowthRev=+7.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -56%