(TMHC) Taylor Morn Home - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Residential Construction | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 5.389m USD | Total Return: 7.4% in 12m

Homes, Communities, Build-To-Rent, Financial Services
Total Rating 38
Safety 71
Buy Signal -0.17
Residential Construction
Industry Rotation: +4.8
Market Cap: 5.39B
Avg Turnover: 66.0M USD
ATR: 3.33%
Peers RS (IBD): 40.5
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility32.9%
Rel. Tail Risk-9.02%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.13
Alpha-25.26
Character TTM
Beta0.912
Beta Downside1.715
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD27.90%
CAGR/Max DD0.58
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TMHC over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.75, "2021-06": 0.95, "2021-09": 1.34, "2021-12": 2.19, "2022-03": 1.44, "2022-06": 2.27, "2022-09": 2.75, "2022-12": 2.68, "2023-03": 1.74, "2023-06": 2.12, "2023-09": 1.57, "2023-12": 1.58, "2024-03": 1.75, "2024-06": 1.97, "2024-09": 2.37, "2024-12": 2.64, "2025-03": 2.18, "2025-06": 1.92, "2025-09": 2.11, "2025-12": 1.91, "2026-03": 0,
EPS CAGR: -48.60%
EPS Trend: -44.8%
Last SUE: -4.00
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of TMHC over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 1417.812, 2021-06: 1719.28, 2021-09: 1858.751, 2021-12: 2505.422, 2022-03: 1703.124, 2022-06: 1995.023, 2022-09: 2034.644, 2022-12: 2492.126, 2023-03: 1661.857, 2023-06: 2060.563999, 2023-09: 1675.545, 2023-12: 2019.865, 2024-03: 1699.752, 2024-06: 1991.053, 2024-09: 2120.842, 2024-12: 2356.489, 2025-03: 1896.019, 2025-06: 2030.07, 2025-09: 2095.751, 2025-12: 2099.639999, 2026-03: null,
Rev. CAGR: 5.74%
Rev. Trend: 25.7%
Last SUE: 2.21
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: TMHC Taylor Morn Home

Taylor Morrison Home Corp. (TMHC) is a U.S. homebuilder and land developer that designs, constructs and sells single-family and multifamily homes across entry-level, move-up and resort markets under the Taylor Morrison, Esplanade and Yardly brands. In addition to building, the company provides title insurance, closing settlement services and other financial solutions, and it operates a Build-to-Rent platform through Yardly.

For the fiscal year ended 2023, TMHC reported revenue of roughly $6.3 billion and delivered 12,300 homes, with an average selling price of $388 k-up 5% year-over-year as housing demand outpaces new supply. The firm’s backlog stood at $6.8 billion, supporting earnings guidance through 2025, while its net profit margin expanded to 6.5% after cost-control initiatives. Macro-level drivers remain strong: U.S. housing starts rose 3% YoY and mortgage rates have stabilized around 5.5%, keeping affordability pressures manageable for its target buyer segments.

For deeper insight, you may want to explore TMHC’s profile on ValueRay.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Mortgage rate fluctuations impact new home demand
  • Lumber and labor costs pressure homebuilding margins
  • Land acquisition and development costs affect profitability
  • Economic recession reduces consumer confidence in housing
  • Local zoning and environmental regulations influence project timelines
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 7.0
Net Income: 785.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.19 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 73.82% < 20% (prev 82.79%; Δ -8.97% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 839.1m > Net Income 785.2m
Net Debt (1.51b) to EBITDA (1.16b): 1.30 < 3
Current Ratio: 6.24 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (98.7m) vs 12m ago -7.01% < -2%
Gross Margin: 23.20% > 18% (prev 0.25%; Δ 2.30k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 84.89% > 50% (prev 87.86%; Δ -2.97% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 24.22 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.16b / Interest Expense TTM 47.0m)
Altman Z'' 9.93
A: 0.61 (Total Current Assets 7.14b - Total Current Liabilities 1.14b) / Total Assets 9.84b
B: 0.53 (Retained Earnings 5.18b / Total Assets 9.84b)
C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 1.14b / Avg Total Assets 9.57b)
D: 3.26 (Book Value of Equity 11.49b / Total Liabilities 3.53b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 9.93 = AAA
Beneish M -2.34
DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 241.7m/217.7m, Revenue 8.12b/8.17b)
GMI: 1.06 (GM 23.20% / 24.68%)
AQI: 1.91 (AQ_t 0.24 / AQ_t-1 0.13)
SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 8.12b / 8.17b)
TATA: -0.01 (NI 785.2m - CFO 839.1m) / TA 9.84b)
Beneish M-Score: -2.34 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB
What is the price of TMHC shares? As of April 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 59.41 with a total of 734,320 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.38%, over one month by -1.38%, over three months by -8.47% and over the past year by +7.37%.
Is TMHC a buy, sell or hold? Taylor Morn Home has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.30. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TMHC.
  • StrongBuy: 4
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TMHC price?
Analysts Target Price 70.9 19.3%
Taylor Morn Home (TMHC) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 09 April 2026
P/E Trailing = 7.5391
P/E Forward = 12.0773
P/S = 0.6635
P/B = 0.8881
P/EG = 1.4093
Revenue TTM = 8.12b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.14b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.16b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.29b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 82.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.36b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.51b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.90b USD (5.39b + Debt 2.36b - CCE 850.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 24.22 (Ebit TTM 1.14b / Interest Expense TTM 47.0m)
EV/FCF = 8.64x (Enterprise Value 6.90b / FCF TTM 798.8m)
FCF Yield = 11.57% (FCF TTM 798.8m / Enterprise Value 6.90b)
FCF Margin = 9.84% (FCF TTM 798.8m / Revenue TTM 8.12b)
Net Margin = 9.67% (Net Income TTM 785.2m / Revenue TTM 8.12b)
Gross Margin = 23.20% ((Revenue TTM 8.12b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.24b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.04% (prev 22.74%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.70 (Enterprise Value 6.90b / Total Assets 9.84b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.50% (Interest Expense 11.9m / Debt 2.36b)
Taxrate = 22.26% (50.7m / 227.8m)
NOPAT = 884.9m (EBIT 1.14b * (1 - 22.26%))
Current Ratio = 6.24 (Total Current Assets 7.14b / Total Current Liabilities 1.14b)
Debt / Equity = 0.37 (Debt 2.36b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.31b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.30 (Net Debt 1.51b / EBITDA 1.16b)
Debt / FCF = 1.89 (Net Debt 1.51b / FCF TTM 798.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.12b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.21% (Net Income 785.2m / Total Assets 9.84b)
RoE = 12.83% (Net Income TTM 785.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.12b)
RoCE = 13.53% (EBIT 1.14b / Capital Employed (Equity 6.12b + L.T.Debt 2.29b))
RoIC = 10.68% (NOPAT 884.9m / Invested Capital 8.28b)
WACC = 6.51% (E(5.39b)/V(7.75b) * Re(9.19%) + D(2.36b)/V(7.75b) * Rd(0.50%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 9.19% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.85%
[DCF] Terminal Value 84.17% ; FCFF base≈550.8m ; Y1≈546.8m ; Y5≈571.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 135.3 (EV 14.54b - Net Debt 1.51b = Equity 13.03b / Shares 96.3m; r=6.51% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -1.47% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -44.76 | EPS CAGR: -48.60% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 25.66 | Revenue CAGR: 5.74% | SUE: 2.21 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.30 | Chg7d=+0.001 | Chg30d=-0.236 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.15 | Chg7d=+0.042 | Chg30d=-1.325 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=-37.5% | Growth Revenue=-17.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.52 | Chg7d=+0.099 | Chg30d=-1.434 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+26.6% | Growth Revenue=+8.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.50 (1 Up / 3 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = -4.1% (Discount Rate 9.2% - Earnings Yield 13.3%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -11.4% (Analyst -15.5% - Implied -4.1%)
External Resources
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