(TMHC) Taylor Morn Home - NYSE
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Residential Construction | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 6.591m USD | Total Return: 17.6% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 235M
EPS Trend: 8.8%
Qual. Beats: 3
Rev. Trend: 31.4%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Choppy
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (NYSE: TMHC) is a U.S. homebuilder and land developer that designs, builds, and sells single-family and multifamily detached and attached homes. The company serves entry-level, move-up, and resort lifestyle buyers under the Taylor Morrison and Esplanade brands, and develops lifestyle and master-planned communities. In addition to traditional for-sale homebuilding, Taylor Morrison operates a Build-to-Rent business under the Yardly brand and offers ancillary services including mortgage financing, title insurance, and closing settlement support. Founded in 1936, the company is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona, and trades as a mid-cap stock in the Consumer Discretionary sector.
As a publicly listed homebuilder, Taylor Morrison participates in a cyclical industry driven by housing demand, mortgage rates, and land availability. Its vertically integrated model-combining land development, construction, and in-house financial services-allows the company to capture margin across multiple stages of the home purchase process, while the Yardly Build-to-Rent segment reflects the broader industry shift toward single-family rental product as an alternative to traditional homeownership.
- Mortgage rate decline spurs entry-level home orders
- Yardly Build-to-Rent revenue scales double digits
- Land lot pipeline expansion supports future gross margin recovery
| Net Income: 672.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.13 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 79.50% < 20% (prev 75.63%; Δ 3.87% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 751.5m > Net Income 672.1m |
| Net Debt (1.83b) to EBITDA (968.6m): 1.89 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 7.00 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (97.5m) vs 12m ago -5.33% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 22.44% > 18% (prev 24.66%; Δ -2.22% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 79.48% > 50% (prev 89.13%; Δ -9.65% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 19.01 > 6 (EBIT TTM 943.8m / Interest Expense TTM 49.7m) |
| A: 0.62 (Total Current Assets 7.06b - Total Current Liabilities 1.01b) / Total Assets 9.77b |
| B: 0.54 (Retained Earnings 5.27b / Total Assets 9.77b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 943.8m / Avg Total Assets 9.58b) |
| D: 1.77 (Book Value of Equity 6.25b / Total Liabilities 3.52b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 8.35 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.40 (Receivables 269.8m/212.2m, Revenue 7.61b/8.36b) |
| GMI: 1.10 (GM 24.66% / 22.44%) |
| AQI: 1.43 (AQ_t 0.24 / AQ_t-1 0.17) |
| SGI: 0.91 (Revenue 7.61b / 8.36b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 672.1m - CFO 751.5m) / TA 9.77b) |
| Beneish M = -2.42 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
As of June 22, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 71.58 with a total of 4,367,768 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.46%, over one month by +23.86%, over three months by +20.67% and over the past year by +17.61%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 70.00 (which is 2.2% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Taylor Morn Home has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.30. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TMHC.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 64.8 | -9.4% |
P/E Trailing = 10.6677
P/E Forward = 14.4928
P/S = 0.8658
P/B = 1.0564
P/EG = 1.4093
Revenue TTM = 7.61b USD
EBIT TTM = 943.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 968.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.34b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 82.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 2.49b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 72.8m
Net Debt = 1.83b USD (calculated: Debt 2.49b - CCE 652.9m)
Enterprise Value = 8.43b USD (6.59b + Debt 2.49b - CCE 652.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 19.01 (Ebit TTM 943.8m / Interest Expense TTM 49.7m)
EV/FCF = 11.87x (Enterprise Value 8.43b / FCF TTM 709.6m)
FCF Yield = 8.42% (FCF TTM 709.6m / Enterprise Value 8.43b)
FCF Margin = 9.32% (FCF TTM 709.6m / Revenue TTM 7.61b)
Net Margin = 8.83% (Net Income TTM 672.1m / Revenue TTM 7.61b)
Gross Margin = 22.44% ((Revenue TTM 7.61b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.90b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.95% (prev 22.04%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.86 (Enterprise Value 8.43b / Total Assets 9.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.00% (Interest Expense 49.7m / Debt 2.49b)
Taxrate = 24.18% (216.2m / 894.2m)
NOPAT = 715.6m (EBIT 943.8m * (1 - 24.18%))
Current Ratio = 7.00 (Total Current Assets 7.06b / Total Current Liabilities 1.01b)
Debt / Equity = 0.40 (Debt 2.49b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.25b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.89 (Net Debt 1.83b / EBITDA 968.6m)
Debt / FCF = 2.59 (Net Debt 1.83b / FCF TTM 709.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.19b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.02% (Net Income 672.1m / Total Assets 9.77b)
RoE = 10.85% (Net Income TTM 672.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.19b)
RoCE = 11.06% (EBIT 943.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 6.19b + L.T.Debt 2.34b))
RoIC = 8.45% (NOPAT 715.6m / Invested Capital 8.47b)
WACC = 6.80% (E(6.59b)/V(9.08b) * Re(8.80%) + D(2.49b)/V(9.08b) * Rd(2.00%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.80% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -98.88 | Cagr: -4.81%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈580.8m ; Y1≈665.8m ; Y5≈979.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 140.2 (EV 14.7b - Net Debt 1.83b = Equity 12.9b / Shares 92.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 8.83 | EPS CAGR: 1.13% | SUE: 2.02 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 31.39 | Revenue CAGR: 1.75% | SUE: 0.87 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.14 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-56% | Analysts=6
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.45 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-11% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.29 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-35.8% | GrowthRev=-18.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.42 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-33% | GrowthEPS=+21.3% | GrowthRev=+8.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -56%