TNL Stock Analysis: Travel + Leisure | NYSE

Travel Services | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 4.522m USD | 12M Return: 25.5% | US8941641024 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Vacation Ownership, Travel Exchange, Hospitality Brands, Membership Clubs
Total Rating 58
Safety 91
Buy Signal 0.78
Travel Services
Industry Rotation: +18.1
Market Cap: 4.52B
Avg Turnover: 58.1M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility33.9%
VaR 5th Pctl5.48%
VaR vs Median-1.85%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.73
Rel. Str. IBD70.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group50 pctl
Character TTM
Beta0.982
Beta Downside0.988
Hurst Exponent0.563
Choppyness51.9%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD32.18%
CAGR/Max DD1.09
CAGR/Mean DD4.71
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TNL over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 1.19, "2021-12": 1.19, "2022-03": 0.69, "2022-06": 1.27, "2022-09": 1.28, "2022-12": 1.3, "2023-03": 0.89, "2023-06": 1.33, "2023-09": 1.54, "2023-12": 1.98, "2024-03": 0.97, "2024-06": 1.52, "2024-09": 1.57, "2024-12": 1.72, "2025-03": 1.11, "2025-06": 1.65, "2025-09": 1.8, "2025-12": 1.83, "2026-03": 1.45, "2026-06": 1.88, "2026-09": 2.21,
EPS CAGR: 8.30%
EPS Trend: 90.2%
Last SUE: 2.75
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of TNL over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 839, 2021-12: 870, 2022-03: 809, 2022-06: 922, 2022-09: 937, 2022-12: 899, 2023-03: 879, 2023-06: 949, 2023-09: 986, 2023-12: 936, 2024-03: 916, 2024-06: 985, 2024-09: 993, 2024-12: 971, 2025-03: 934, 2025-06: 1018, 2025-09: 1044, 2025-12: 1026, 2026-03: 961, 2026-06: 1063, 2026-09: 1101,
Rev. CAGR: 3.63%
Rev. Trend: 99.1%
Last SUE: 1.30
Qual. Beats: 2

Warnings

High Debt/EBITDA With Thin Interest Coverage

Tailwinds

Supp Ema8
Garp

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +1.6% 20
Feb +0.3% 16
Mar -4.0% 19
Apr -2.4% 32
May -1.2% 20
Jun +1.3% 10
Jul +2.3% 20
Aug -0.8% 20
Sep -2.6% 32
Oct -1.1% 14
Nov +4.8% 41
Dec +0.1% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: TNL Travel + Leisure

Travel + Leisure Co. (NYSE: TNL) is an Orlando-based hospitality company operating in two segments: Vacation Ownership, which develops, markets, and sells vacation ownership interests (VOIs) under brands such as Club Wyndham, WorldMark, Margaritaville Vacation Club, and Accor Vacation Club, along with related consumer financing and resort property management; and Travel and Membership, which runs vacation exchange networks, travel technology platforms, travel memberships, direct-to-consumer rentals, and business-to-business private-label travel club solutions. The company maintains a strategic alliance with Hornblower Group, Inc., was founded in 1990, and rebranded from Wyndham Destinations, Inc. to Travel + Leisure Co. in February 2021.

The company sits within the Consumer Discretionary sector (GICS sub-industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines), and its timeshare-style VOI model typically generates revenue through upfront sales, recurring maintenance fees, and consumer financing income. The Travel and Membership segment functions similarly to timeshare exchange networks (such as Interval International and RCI), connecting owners with inventory across affiliated resorts and producing recurring subscription and booking revenue.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Vacation Ownership timeshare sales drive segment revenue growth
  • Travel and Membership subscription fees expand on member base growth
  • Consumer loan portfolio performance impacts Vacation Ownership margins
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.0
Net Income: 235.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -6.66 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 78.78% < 20% (prev 7.81%; Δ 70.96% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 457.0m > Net Income 235.0m
Net Debt (5.79b) to EBITDA (689.0m): 8.40 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.19 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (62.6m) vs 12m ago -5.86% < -2%
Gross Margin: 45.36% > 18% (prev 50.67%; Δ -5.31% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 58.49% > 50% (prev 57.56%; Δ 0.93% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.53 > 6 (EBIT TTM 558.0m / Interest Expense TTM 364.0m)
Altman Z'' 4.50
A: 0.45 (Total Current Assets 4.77b - Total Current Liabilities 1.50b) / Total Assets 7.30b
B: 0.36 (Retained Earnings 2.59b / Total Assets 7.30b)
C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 558.0m / Avg Total Assets 7.10b)
D: -0.12 (Book Value of Equity -1.01b / Total Liabilities 8.31b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.50 = AA
Beneish M -3.26
DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 2.87b/2.77b, Revenue 4.15b/3.97b)
GMI: 1.12 (GM 50.67% / 45.36%)
AQI: 0.39 (AQ_t 0.26 / AQ_t-1 0.67)
SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 4.15b / 3.97b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 235.0m - CFO 457.0m) / TA 7.30b)
Beneish M = -3.26 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of TNL shares?

As of November 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 75.33 with a total of 671,773 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.11%, over one month by +19.91%, over three months by -1.68% and over the past year by +25.47%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 71.00 (which is 5.7% or 1.9 ATR below the current price).

Is TNL a buy, sell or hold?

Travel + Leisure has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.54. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TNL.

  • StrongBuy: 9
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the TNL price?
Analysts Target Price 87.2 15.8%
Travel + Leisure (TNL) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 07 November 2026
Market Cap USD = 4.52b (4.52b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 20.2291
P/E Forward = 9.2336
P/S = 1.0897
P/B = 7.1088
P/EG = 0.5346
Revenue TTM = 4.15b USD
EBIT TTM = 558.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 689.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 6.04b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 945.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 6.09b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 26.0m
Net Debt = 5.79b USD (calculated: Debt 6.09b - CCE 306.0m)
Enterprise Value = 10.3b USD (4.52b + Debt 6.09b - CCE 306.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.53 (Ebit TTM 558.0m / Interest Expense TTM 364.0m)
EV/FCF = 28.48x (Enterprise Value 10.3b / FCF TTM 362.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.51% (FCF TTM 362.0m / Enterprise Value 10.3b)
FCF Margin = 8.72% (FCF TTM 362.0m / Revenue TTM 4.15b)
Net Margin = 5.66% (Net Income TTM 235.0m / Revenue TTM 4.15b)
Gross Margin = 45.36% ((Revenue TTM 4.15b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.27b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 55.31% (prev 57.01%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.41 (Enterprise Value 10.3b / Total Assets 7.30b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.98% (Interest Expense 364.0m / Debt 6.09b)
Taxrate = 30.06% (101.0m / 336.0m)
NOPAT = 390.3m (EBIT 558.0m * (1 - 30.06%))
Current Ratio = 3.19 (Total Current Assets 4.77b / Total Current Liabilities 1.50b)
 Debt / Equity = -6.05 (negative equity) (Debt 6.09b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -1.01b)
 Debt / EBITDA = 8.40 (Net Debt 5.79b / EBITDA 689.0m)
Debt / FCF = 15.98 (Net Debt 5.79b / FCF TTM 362.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -1.01b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.31% (Net Income 235.0m / Total Assets 7.30b)
 RoE = -23.32% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 235.0m / Total Stockholder Equity -1.01b)
 RoCE = 11.09% (EBIT 558.0m / Capital Employed (Equity -1.01b + L.T.Debt 6.04b))
RoIC = 5.97% (NOPAT 390.3m / Invested Capital 6.54b)
WACC = 6.21% (E(4.52b)/V(10.6b) * Re(8.94%) + D(6.09b)/V(10.6b) * Rd(5.98%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 8.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -98.61 | Cagr: -5.44%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈537.6m ; Y1≈471.4m ; Y5≈380.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 5.44 (EV 6.11b - Net Debt 5.79b = Equity 328.0m / Shares 60.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 90.24 | EPS CAGR: 8.30% | SUE: 2.75 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 99.08 | Revenue CAGR: 3.63% | SUE: 1.30 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=1.69 | Chg30d=-2.71% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.77 | Chg30d=+2.62% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+22.5% | GrowthRev=+4.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.74 | Chg30d=-0.96% | Revisions=+30% | GrowthEPS=+12.5% | GrowthRev=+5.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +19% (up=8, down=5)