(TOL) Toll Brothers - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US8894781033
Stock:
Total Rating 60
Risk 87
Buy Signal 0.62
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 32.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.26% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.00 |
| Alpha | 25.95 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.997 |
| Beta Downside | 0.530 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 45.97% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.88 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: TOL Toll Brothers
Toll Brothers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges finance for a range of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. It designs, builds, markets, and sells condominiums through Toll Brothers City Living. The company also develops a range of single-story living and first-floor primary bedroom suite home designs, as well as communities with recreational amenities, such as golf courses, marinas, pool complexes, country clubs, and fitness and recreation centers; and develops, operates, rents apartments and student housing communities. In addition, it provides various interior fit-out options, such as flooring, wall tile, plumbing, cabinets, fixtures, appliances, lighting, and home-automation and security technologies. Further, the company owns and operates architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, land development, insurance, smart home technology, landscaping, lumber distribution, house component assembly, and component manufacturing operations. It serves luxury first-time, move-up, empty-nester, active-adult, and second-home buyers. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Fort Washington, Pennsylvania.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income: 1.38b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.24 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 85.06% < 20% (prev 83.25%; Δ 1.80% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 1.11b > Net Income 1.38b |
| Net Debt (1.52b) to EBITDA (1.84b): 0.83 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 4.38 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (96.5m) vs 12m ago -5.23% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 25.32% > 18% (prev 0.27%; Δ 2505 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 80.23% > 50% (prev 78.97%; Δ 1.25% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -20.64 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.84b / Interest Expense TTM -85.2m) |
Altman Z'' 8.71
| A: 0.66 (Total Current Assets 12.41b - Total Current Liabilities 2.83b) / Total Assets 14.43b |
| B: 0.61 (Retained Earnings 8.76b / Total Assets 14.43b) |
| C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 1.76b / Avg Total Assets 14.03b) |
| D: 1.46 (Book Value of Equity 8.78b / Total Liabilities 6.01b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 8.71 = AAA |
Beneish M -2.71
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 157.9m/141.7m, Revenue 11.25b/10.76b) |
| GMI: 1.08 (GM 25.32% / 27.35%) |
| AQI: 1.23 (AQ_t 0.12 / AQ_t-1 0.10) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 11.25b / 10.76b) |
| TATA: 0.02 (NI 1.38b - CFO 1.11b) / TA 14.43b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.71 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of TOL shares?
As of February 26, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 157.11 with a total of 1,166,019 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.81%, over one month by +9.15%, over three months by +13.77% and over the past year by +38.27%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.81%, over one month by +9.15%, over three months by +13.77% and over the past year by +38.27%.
Is TOL a buy, sell or hold?
Toll Brothers has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.05.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy TOL.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TOL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 168.4 | 7.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 168.4 | 7.2% |
TOL Fundamental Data Overview February 24, 2026
P/E Trailing = 11.374
P/E Forward = 10.0806
P/S = 1.3376
P/B = 1.6614
P/EG = 1.0865
Revenue TTM = 11.25b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.76b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.84b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.72b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 128.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 2.72b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.52b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 16.57b USD (15.05b + Debt 2.72b - CCE 1.20b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -20.64 (Ebit TTM 1.76b / Interest Expense TTM -85.2m)
EV/FCF = 16.15x (Enterprise Value 16.57b / FCF TTM 1.03b)
FCF Yield = 6.19% (FCF TTM 1.03b / Enterprise Value 16.57b)
FCF Margin = 9.12% (FCF TTM 1.03b / Revenue TTM 11.25b)
Net Margin = 12.26% (Net Income TTM 1.38b / Revenue TTM 11.25b)
Gross Margin = 25.32% ((Revenue TTM 11.25b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.40b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.84% (prev 25.96%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.15 (Enterprise Value 16.57b / Total Assets 14.43b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.79% (Interest Expense 48.8m / Debt 2.72b)
Taxrate = 22.90% (62.6m / 273.6m)
NOPAT = 1.36b (EBIT 1.76b * (1 - 22.90%))
Current Ratio = 4.38 (Total Current Assets 12.41b / Total Current Liabilities 2.83b)
Debt / Equity = 0.32 (Debt 2.72b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.41b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.83 (Net Debt 1.52b / EBITDA 1.84b)
Debt / FCF = 1.48 (Net Debt 1.52b / FCF TTM 1.03b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.18b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.84% (Net Income 1.38b / Total Assets 14.43b)
RoE = 16.86% (Net Income TTM 1.38b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.18b)
RoCE = 16.13% (EBIT 1.76b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.18b + L.T.Debt 2.72b))
RoIC = 12.38% (NOPAT 1.36b / Invested Capital 10.95b)
WACC = 8.33% (E(15.05b)/V(17.77b) * Re(9.59%) + D(2.72b)/V(17.77b) * Rd(1.79%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.59% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.05%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.23% ; FCFF base≈990.3m ; Y1≈1.01b ; Y5≈1.12b
[DCF] Fair Price = 178.6 (EV 18.44b - Net Debt 1.52b = Equity 16.92b / Shares 94.7m; r=8.33% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 2.17% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 25.40 | EPS CAGR: 4.60% | SUE: 0.25 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 11.60 | Revenue CAGR: -1.58% | SUE: 2.48 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=2.58 | Chg7d=-0.282 | Chg30d=-0.282 | Revisions Net=-6 | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-10-31): EPS=12.79 | Chg7d=-0.050 | Chg30d=-0.074 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=-5.2% | Growth Revenue=-2.8%
EPS next Year (2027-10-31): EPS=14.24 | Chg7d=-0.011 | Chg30d=-0.011 | Revisions Net=+5 | Growth EPS=+11.4% | Growth Revenue=+5.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.75 (1 Up / 7 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 0.8% (Discount Rate 9.6% - Earnings Yield 8.8%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -12.2% (Analyst -11.4% - Implied 0.8%)
P/E Forward = 10.0806
P/S = 1.3376
P/B = 1.6614
P/EG = 1.0865
Revenue TTM = 11.25b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.76b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.84b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.72b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 128.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 2.72b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.52b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 16.57b USD (15.05b + Debt 2.72b - CCE 1.20b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -20.64 (Ebit TTM 1.76b / Interest Expense TTM -85.2m)
EV/FCF = 16.15x (Enterprise Value 16.57b / FCF TTM 1.03b)
FCF Yield = 6.19% (FCF TTM 1.03b / Enterprise Value 16.57b)
FCF Margin = 9.12% (FCF TTM 1.03b / Revenue TTM 11.25b)
Net Margin = 12.26% (Net Income TTM 1.38b / Revenue TTM 11.25b)
Gross Margin = 25.32% ((Revenue TTM 11.25b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.40b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.84% (prev 25.96%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.15 (Enterprise Value 16.57b / Total Assets 14.43b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.79% (Interest Expense 48.8m / Debt 2.72b)
Taxrate = 22.90% (62.6m / 273.6m)
NOPAT = 1.36b (EBIT 1.76b * (1 - 22.90%))
Current Ratio = 4.38 (Total Current Assets 12.41b / Total Current Liabilities 2.83b)
Debt / Equity = 0.32 (Debt 2.72b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.41b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.83 (Net Debt 1.52b / EBITDA 1.84b)
Debt / FCF = 1.48 (Net Debt 1.52b / FCF TTM 1.03b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.18b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.84% (Net Income 1.38b / Total Assets 14.43b)
RoE = 16.86% (Net Income TTM 1.38b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.18b)
RoCE = 16.13% (EBIT 1.76b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.18b + L.T.Debt 2.72b))
RoIC = 12.38% (NOPAT 1.36b / Invested Capital 10.95b)
WACC = 8.33% (E(15.05b)/V(17.77b) * Re(9.59%) + D(2.72b)/V(17.77b) * Rd(1.79%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.59% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.05%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.23% ; FCFF base≈990.3m ; Y1≈1.01b ; Y5≈1.12b
[DCF] Fair Price = 178.6 (EV 18.44b - Net Debt 1.52b = Equity 16.92b / Shares 94.7m; r=8.33% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 2.17% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 25.40 | EPS CAGR: 4.60% | SUE: 0.25 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 11.60 | Revenue CAGR: -1.58% | SUE: 2.48 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=2.58 | Chg7d=-0.282 | Chg30d=-0.282 | Revisions Net=-6 | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-10-31): EPS=12.79 | Chg7d=-0.050 | Chg30d=-0.074 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=-5.2% | Growth Revenue=-2.8%
EPS next Year (2027-10-31): EPS=14.24 | Chg7d=-0.011 | Chg30d=-0.011 | Revisions Net=+5 | Growth EPS=+11.4% | Growth Revenue=+5.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.75 (1 Up / 7 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 0.8% (Discount Rate 9.6% - Earnings Yield 8.8%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -12.2% (Analyst -11.4% - Implied 0.8%)