(TOL) Toll Brothers - Overview
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Residential Construction | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 13.106m USD | Total Return: 32.9% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 137M
EPS Trend: -2.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 81.0%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Fakeout Choppy Below Avwap Earnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) is a luxury homebuilder based in Fort Washington, Pennsylvania, specializing in the design, construction, and financing of high-end residential communities. The company operates a vertically integrated business model, managing internal architectural, engineering, mortgage, and manufacturing divisions to control costs and supply chains. Its portfolio spans detached and attached homes, urban condominiums, and rental apartments tailored to move-up, active-adult, and second-home buyers.
The firm differentiates itself through extensive customization options, offering buyers personalized interior fit-outs and smart home technology integrations. Unlike entry-level builders, luxury developers like Toll Brothers often benefit from a target demographic with higher credit scores and larger down payments, which can provide relative stability during periods of interest rate volatility. The company also maintains a significant presence in land development and component manufacturing to streamline its construction cycles.
To gain deeper insights into the companys valuation metrics, consider reviewing the latest data on ValueRay. Founded in 1967, Toll Brothers remains a primary player in the U.S. luxury housing market, leveraging its brand to develop lifestyle-focused communities featuring amenities such as golf courses and private country clubs.
- Mortgage rate volatility impacts luxury homebuyer demand and monthly payment affordability
- High-margin customization options at design centers drive revenue and premium brand positioning
- Strategic land acquisition and development pipeline sustain long-term luxury inventory growth
- Supply chain disruptions and skilled labor shortages increase construction costs and cycle times
- Diversification into rental apartments and student housing provides recurring revenue streams
| Net Income: 1.29b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.27 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 92.64% < 20% (prev 85.56%; Δ 7.09% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 1.31b > Net Income 1.29b |
| Net Debt (1.94b) to EBITDA (1.70b): 1.14 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 4.66 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (95.8m) vs 12m ago -4.80% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 24.89% > 18% (prev 0.26%; Δ 2.46k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 76.89% > 50% (prev 75.09%; Δ 1.80% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBITDA TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: 0.70 (Total Current Assets 13.0b - Total Current Liabilities 2.79b) / Total Assets 14.5b |
| B: 0.62 (Retained Earnings 9.00b / Total Assets 14.5b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 1.62b / Avg Total Assets 14.4b) |
| D: 1.49 (Book Value of Equity 9.02b / Total Liabilities 6.05b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 8.96 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 157.9m/148.8m, Revenue 11.0b/10.7b) |
| GMI: 1.05 (GM 24.89% / 26.15%) |
| AQI: 0.86 (AQ_t 0.08 / AQ_t-1 0.10) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 11.0b / 10.7b) |
| TATA: -0.00 (NI 1.29b - CFO 1.31b) / TA 14.5b) |
| Beneish M = -3.02 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of May 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 138.54 with a total of 1,183,075 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.00%,
over one month by -0.74%,
over three months by -11.73% and
over the past year by +32.90%.
Toll Brothers has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.05. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TOL.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 163.8 | 18.2% |
P/E Trailing = 10.6353
P/E Forward = 11.2108
P/S = 1.1865
P/B = 1.5464
P/EG = 1.0336
Revenue TTM = 11.0b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.62b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.70b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.79b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 128.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 3.05b USD (corrected: LT Debt 2.79b + ST Debt 128.3m) + Leases 132.7m
Net Debt = 1.94b USD (calculated: Debt 3.05b - CCE 1.11b)
Enterprise Value = 15.0b USD (13.1b + Debt 3.05b - CCE 1.11b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 1.62b / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 12.38x (Enterprise Value 15.0b / FCF TTM 1.22b)
FCF Yield = 8.08% (FCF TTM 1.22b / Enterprise Value 15.0b)
FCF Margin = 11.00% (FCF TTM 1.22b / Revenue TTM 11.0b)
Net Margin = 11.66% (Net Income TTM 1.29b / Revenue TTM 11.0b)
Gross Margin = 24.89% ((Revenue TTM 11.0b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.30b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.90% (prev 22.84%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.04 (Enterprise Value 15.0b / Total Assets 14.5b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 3.05b)
Taxrate = 25.62% (89.8m / 350.4m)
NOPAT = 1.20b (EBIT 1.62b * (1 - 25.62%))
Current Ratio = 4.66 (Total Current Assets 13.0b / Total Current Liabilities 2.79b)
Debt / Equity = 0.36 (Debt 3.05b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.48b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.14 (Net Debt 1.94b / EBITDA 1.70b)
Debt / FCF = 1.60 (Net Debt 1.94b / FCF TTM 1.22b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.31b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.97% (Net Income 1.29b / Total Assets 14.5b)
RoE = 15.49% (Net Income TTM 1.29b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.31b)
RoCE = 14.57% (EBIT 1.62b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.31b + L.T.Debt 2.79b))
RoIC = 10.16% (NOPAT 1.20b / Invested Capital 11.8b)
WACC = 8.40% (E(13.1b)/V(16.2b) * Re(10.36%) + D(3.05b)/V(16.2b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 10.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -100.00 | Cagr: -4.52%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.79% ; FCFF base≈1.02b ; Y1≈1.17b ; Y5≈1.72b
[DCF] Fair Price = 252.8 (EV 25.6b - Net Debt 1.94b = Equity 23.7b / Shares 93.6m; r=8.40% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -2.02 | EPS CAGR: -0.13% | SUE: 0.36 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 80.97 | Revenue CAGR: 3.08% | SUE: 0.86 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=2.91 | Chg30d=-15.19% | Revisions=-78% | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-10-31): EPS=12.80 | Chg30d=+0.19% | Revisions=+11% | GrowthEPS=-5.1% | GrowthRev=-2.0%
EPS next Year (2027-10-31): EPS=14.14 | Chg30d=-0.77% | Revisions=-6% | GrowthEPS=+10.5% | GrowthRev=+3.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -78%