(TOST) Toast - Ratings and Ratios
Pos, Payroll, Inventory, Payments, Analytics
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 50.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 80.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.47% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.33 |
| Alpha | -37.62 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.438 |
| Beta | 1.512 |
| Beta Downside | 1.607 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 48.39% |
| Mean DD | 16.50% |
| Median DD | 14.77% |
Description: TOST Toast October 16, 2025
Toast, Inc. (NYSE: TOST) runs a cloud-based platform that equips restaurants-from single-unit cafés to multi-location chains-with point-of-sale, kitchen display, mobile ordering, payroll, inventory, and fintech services across the United States, Ireland, India, and other markets. The suite includes the core Toast POS, the back-office suite xtraCHEF, and a range of team- and vendor-management tools, all delivered via a subscription-based model.
Key recent metrics: 2023 revenue topped $1.2 billion, reflecting roughly 30 % year-over-year growth driven by strong adoption of its subscription and payment-processing services; gross margins have stabilized near 70 % as the company scales its SaaS components; and its annual recurring revenue (ARR) now exceeds $600 million, positioning Toast among the top tier of U.S. restaurant-tech providers. The sector’s growth is underpinned by a post-COVID acceleration in digital ordering and a persistent labor shortage that pushes operators toward automation and integrated back-office solutions.
For a deeper dive into Toast’s valuation metrics and peer comparison, you might find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful.
TOST Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 19,375m |
| Sub-Industry | Transaction & Payment Processing Services |
| IPO / Inception | 2021-09-22 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -28.7% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.81 of 5 |
TOST Dividends
Currently no dividends paidTOST Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 23.80% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.49 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 1.44 |
| Current Volume | 11601.3k |
| Average Volume | 9981.1k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (273.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 351.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.19 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 7.62pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 25.52% (prev 21.12%; Δ 4.40pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.21 (>3.0%) and CFO 614.0m > Net Income 273.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-1.34b) to EBITDA (326.0m) ratio: -4.11 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.64 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (609.0m) change vs 12m ago 3.22% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 25.66% (prev 23.25%; Δ 2.41pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 225.4% (prev 209.2%; Δ 16.23pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -26.70 (EBITDA TTM 326.0m / Interest Expense TTM -10.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.03
| (A) 0.50 = (Total Current Assets 2.41b - Total Current Liabilities 911.0m) / Total Assets 2.97b |
| (B) -0.46 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.36b / Total Assets 2.97b |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 267.0m / Avg Total Assets 2.60b |
| (D) -1.40 = Book Value of Equity -1.34b / Total Liabilities 957.0m |
| Total Rating: 1.03 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 78.01
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.22% |
| 3. FCF Margin 9.63% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.01 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -4.11 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.72)% |
| 7. RoE 15.49% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 98.22% |
| 9. EPS Trend 93.91% |
What is the price of TOST shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.43%, over one month by -11.93%, over three months by -20.31% and over the past year by -19.85%.
Is TOST a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 12
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TOST price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 47.4 | 39.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 47.4 | 39.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 31.6 | -7% |
TOST Fundamental Data Overview November 21, 2025
P/E Trailing = 74.8864
P/E Forward = 26.5957
P/S = 3.3074
P/B = 9.62
P/EG = 0.2179
Beta = 1.941
Revenue TTM = 5.86b USD
EBIT TTM = 267.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 326.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 18.0m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 10.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 18.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -1.34b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 17.54b USD (19.37b + Debt 18.0m - CCE 1.86b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -26.70 (Ebit TTM 267.0m / Interest Expense TTM -10.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.22% (FCF TTM 564.0m / Enterprise Value 17.54b)
FCF Margin = 9.63% (FCF TTM 564.0m / Revenue TTM 5.86b)
Net Margin = 4.66% (Net Income TTM 273.0m / Revenue TTM 5.86b)
Gross Margin = 25.66% ((Revenue TTM 5.86b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.36b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.45% (prev 25.29%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.90 (Enterprise Value 17.54b / Total Assets 2.97b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 161.1% (Interest Expense 29.0m / Debt 18.0m)
Taxrate = -0.96% (negative due to tax credits) (-1.00m / 104.0m)
NOPAT = 269.6m (EBIT 267.0m * (1 - -0.96%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 2.64 (Total Current Assets 2.41b / Total Current Liabilities 911.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 18.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.01b)
Debt / EBITDA = -4.11 (Net Debt -1.34b / EBITDA 326.0m)
Debt / FCF = -2.37 (Net Debt -1.34b / FCF TTM 564.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.76b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.19% (Net Income 273.0m / Total Assets 2.97b)
RoE = 15.49% (Net Income TTM 273.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.76b)
RoCE = 15.00% (EBIT 267.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.76b + L.T.Debt 18.0m))
RoIC = 15.29% (NOPAT 269.6m / Invested Capital 1.76b)
WACC = 11.58% (E(19.37b)/V(19.39b) * Re(11.59%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 11.59% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 6.10%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.78% ; FCFE base≈439.6m ; Y1≈542.3m ; Y5≈925.3m
Fair Price DCF = 17.59 (DCF Value 9.06b / Shares Outstanding 515.0m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 93.91 | EPS CAGR: 269.5% | SUE: 1.06 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 98.22 | Revenue CAGR: 31.56% | SUE: 3.16 | # QB: 2
Additional Sources for TOST Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle