(TPB) Turning Point Brands - Ratings and Ratios
Cigars, Smokeless Nicotine, Smoking Accessories
TPB EPS (Earnings per Share)
TPB Revenue
Description: TPB Turning Point Brands
Turning Point Brands Inc (NYSE:TPB) is a US-based company operating in the tobacco industry, specifically within the GICS Sub Industry classification. The stock has shown significant price movements, with key support and resistance levels identified at various price points, including $70.7, $72.4, $76.1, $78.9, and a resistance level at $100.0.
From a fundamental analysis perspective, TPB has a market capitalization of $1.74 billion, indicating a mid-cap status. The stocks price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 35.97, with a forward P/E of 32.79, suggesting a relatively high valuation compared to its earnings. However, the return on equity (RoE) of 22.05% indicates a strong profitability profile. Key drivers for the companys financial performance may include the demand for tobacco products, competitive landscape, and regulatory environment.
To further evaluate TPBs investment potential, key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, gross margin, and operating cash flow should be monitored. Economic drivers that may impact TPBs performance include changes in consumer behavior, taxation policies, and competition from alternative nicotine products. Additionally, the companys ability to adapt to regulatory changes and its pricing power in the market will be crucial in determining its future financial performance.
From a technical analysis standpoint, the stocks price has shown a significant increase, with the current price near its 52-week high of $97.77. The stocks beta of 0.671 indicates relatively lower volatility compared to the broader market. Moving averages (SMA20, SMA50, SMA200) suggest a bullish trend, with the short-term averages above the long-term averages. Average trading volume is around 460,766 shares, indicating a reasonable level of liquidity.
TPB Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 1,789m |
| Sub-Industry | Tobacco |
| IPO / Inception | 2016-05-11 |
TPB Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 79.7% |
| Fundamental | 70.8% |
| Dividend Rating | 56.0% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 124% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.75 of 5 |
TPB Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 0.36% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.00% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 6.96% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 7.9% |
TPB Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 91.8% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 87.4% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 17.5% |
| CAGR 5y | 68.75% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | 2.92 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | 12.90 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 1.24 |
| Alpha | 0.03 |
| Beta | 0.581 |
| Volatility | 35.21% |
| Current Volume | 252.3k |
| Average Volume 20d | 309.7k |
| Stop Loss | 98.9 (-3.5%) |
| Signal | 0.71 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (43.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 28.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.01pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 45.90% (prev 31.88%; Δ 14.03pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 60.2m > Net Income 43.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (191.6m) to EBITDA (93.5m) ratio: 2.05 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 4.22 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (18.3m) change vs 12m ago -9.10% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 48.99% (prev 51.41%; Δ -2.42pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 79.89% (prev 68.36%; Δ 11.52pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.15 (EBITDA TTM 93.5m / Interest Expense TTM 17.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.83
| (A) 0.37 = (Total Current Assets 285.2m - Total Current Liabilities 67.5m) / Total Assets 595.8m |
| (B) 0.29 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 173.3m / Total Assets 595.8m |
| (C) 0.15 = EBIT TTM 87.9m / Avg Total Assets 593.7m |
| (D) 0.46 = Book Value of Equity 171.5m / Total Liabilities 371.0m |
| Total Rating: 4.83 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 70.76
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt = 1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.56% = 1.28 |
| 3. FCF Margin 11.02% = 2.76 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.65 = 1.27 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.86 = -2.48 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 6.90)% = 8.62 |
| 7. RoE 22.05% = 1.84 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 26.06% = 1.95 |
| 9. EPS Trend 90.33% = 4.52 |
What is the price of TPB shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.96%, over one month by +3.86%, over three months by +35.56% and over the past year by +166.37%.
Is Turning Point Brands a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of TPB is around 110.86 USD . This means that TPB is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 8.2%.
Is TPB a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TPB price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 107.8 | 5.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 107.8 | 5.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 121.8 | 18.9% |
Last update: 2025-09-04 04:49
TPB Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 109.9m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 35.45
P/E Forward = 25.0627
P/S = 4.3912
P/B = 8.1854
P/EG = 0.0499
Beta = 0.671
Revenue TTM = 474.3m USD
EBIT TTM = 87.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 93.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 293.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 67.5m USD (from totalCurrentLiabilities, last quarter)
Debt = 360.6m USD (Calculated: Short Term 67.5m + Long Term 293.1m)
Net Debt = 191.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.04b USD (1.79b + Debt 360.6m - CCE 109.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.15 (Ebit TTM 87.9m / Interest Expense TTM 17.1m)
FCF Yield = 2.56% (FCF TTM 52.3m / Enterprise Value 2.04b)
FCF Margin = 11.02% (FCF TTM 52.3m / Revenue TTM 474.3m)
Net Margin = 9.20% (Net Income TTM 43.6m / Revenue TTM 474.3m)
Gross Margin = 48.99% ((Revenue TTM 474.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 241.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 11.90 (Enterprise Value 2.04b / Book Value Of Equity 171.5m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.43% (Interest Expense 5.14m / Debt 360.6m)
Taxrate = 26.06% (16.9m / 65.0m)
NOPAT = 65.0m (EBIT 87.9m * (1 - 26.06%))
Current Ratio = 4.22 (Total Current Assets 285.2m / Total Current Liabilities 67.5m)
Debt / Equity = 1.65 (Debt 360.6m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 218.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.86 (Net Debt 191.6m / EBITDA 93.5m)
Debt / FCF = 6.90 (Debt 360.6m / FCF TTM 52.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 198.0m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 7.33% (Net Income 43.6m, Total Assets 595.8m )
RoE = 22.05% (Net Income TTM 43.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 198.0m)
RoCE = 17.90% (Ebit 87.9m / (Equity 198.0m + L.T.Debt 293.1m))
RoIC = 13.87% (NOPAT 65.0m / Invested Capital 468.8m)
WACC = 6.97% (E(1.79b)/V(2.15b) * Re(8.16%)) + (D(360.6m)/V(2.15b) * Rd(1.43%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -48.48 | Cagr: -1.28%
Discount Rate = 8.16% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.96% ; FCFE base≈59.3m ; Y1≈72.5m ; Y5≈121.4m
Fair Price DCF = 112.2 (DCF Value 2.02b / Shares Outstanding 18.0m; 5y FCF grow 23.93% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 90.33 | EPS CAGR: 11.86% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 12
Revenue Correlation: 26.06 | Revenue CAGR: 2.90% | SUE: N/A | # QB: None
Additional Sources for TPB Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle