(TR) Tootsie Roll Industries - Overview
Stock: Candy, Lollipops, Gum, Caramel, Chocolate
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.01% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.37% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -6.15% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 36.6% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -0.78% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.08 |
| Alpha | 27.51 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.121 |
| Beta Downside | 0.010 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 36.23% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.01 |
Description: TR Tootsie Roll Industries January 14, 2026
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. (NYSE: TR) manufactures and distributes a broad portfolio of confectionery brands-including Tootsie Rolls, Tootsie Pops, Dots, Junior Mints, and Sugar Daddy-across the United States, Canada, Mexico, and other international markets. Sales are channeled through a diversified network of wholesale distributors, grocery chains, discount retailers, vending operators, e-commerce platforms, and even the U.S. military.
In FY 2023 the company reported net sales of roughly $1.6 billion with an adjusted operating margin of about 14 %, reflecting stable pricing power despite ongoing sugar price volatility. TR maintains a solid balance sheet, generating free cash flow of $250 million and returning capital to shareholders via a quarterly dividend (≈2.5 % yield) and periodic share repurchases.
Key drivers for the candy segment include consumer discretionary spending trends, inflation-adjusted pricing of raw inputs (sugar, cocoa), and the resilience of “snack-at-home” demand that surged during the pandemic and remains above pre-COVID levels. Monitoring sugar commodity prices and retail channel mix (e.g., growth in e-commerce versus traditional grocery) will be critical for forecasting future earnings.
For a deeper dive into TR’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, see the detailed model on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 93.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.92 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 26.89% < 20% (prev 34.06%; Δ -7.18% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 126.1m > Net Income 93.8m |
| Net Debt (-64.7m) to EBITDA (167.9m): -0.39 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.83 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (72.9m) vs 12m ago 2.10% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 35.97% > 18% (prev 0.34%; Δ 3563 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 61.45% > 50% (prev 63.44%; Δ -1.99% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 293.5 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 167.9m / Interest Expense TTM 509.0k) |
Altman Z'' 2.26
| A: 0.16 (Total Current Assets 303.2m - Total Current Liabilities 107.0m) / Total Assets 1.23b |
| B: 0.04 (Retained Earnings 43.2m / Total Assets 1.23b) |
| C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 149.4m / Avg Total Assets 1.19b) |
| D: 0.24 (Book Value of Equity 73.5m / Total Liabilities 310.1m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.26 = BBB |
Beneish M -3.02
| DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 79.5m/77.9m, Revenue 729.6m/727.1m) |
| GMI: 0.94 (GM 35.97% / 33.87%) |
| AQI: 1.12 (AQ_t 0.57 / AQ_t-1 0.51) |
| SGI: 1.00 (Revenue 729.6m / 727.1m) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 93.8m - CFO 126.1m) / TA 1.23b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.02 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of TR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.72%, over one month by +9.02%, over three months by +6.79% and over the past year by +33.58%.
Is TR a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the TR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 19 | -51.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 19 | -51.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 41.5 | 5.5% |
TR Fundamental Data Overview February 05, 2026
P/S = 3.8503
P/B = 3.0574
Revenue TTM = 729.6m USD
EBIT TTM = 149.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 167.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 7.50m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.25m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -64.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.74b USD (2.81b + Debt 14.2m - CCE 78.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 293.5 (Ebit TTM 149.4m / Interest Expense TTM 509.0k)
EV/FCF = 27.42x (Enterprise Value 2.74b / FCF TTM 100.1m)
FCF Yield = 3.65% (FCF TTM 100.1m / Enterprise Value 2.74b)
FCF Margin = 13.72% (FCF TTM 100.1m / Revenue TTM 729.6m)
Net Margin = 12.85% (Net Income TTM 93.8m / Revenue TTM 729.6m)
Gross Margin = 35.97% ((Revenue TTM 729.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 467.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.46% (prev 36.42%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.23 (Enterprise Value 2.74b / Total Assets 1.23b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.59% (Interest Expense 509.0k / Debt 14.2m)
Taxrate = 26.65% (13.0m / 48.6m)
NOPAT = 109.6m (EBIT 149.4m * (1 - 26.65%))
Current Ratio = 2.83 (Total Current Assets 303.2m / Total Current Liabilities 107.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 14.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 918.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.39 (Net Debt -64.7m / EBITDA 167.9m)
Debt / FCF = -0.65 (Net Debt -64.7m / FCF TTM 100.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 890.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.90% (Net Income 93.8m / Total Assets 1.23b)
RoE = 10.53% (Net Income TTM 93.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 890.5m)
RoCE = 16.63% (EBIT 149.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 890.5m + L.T.Debt 7.50m))
RoIC = 12.19% (NOPAT 109.6m / Invested Capital 899.0m)
WACC = 6.34% (E(2.81b)/V(2.82b) * Re(6.36%) + D(14.2m)/V(2.82b) * Rd(3.59%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 6.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.98%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 85.87% ; FCFF base≈101.6m ; Y1≈115.9m ; Y5≈159.7m
Fair Price DCF = 99.33 (EV 4.09b - Net Debt -64.7m = Equity 4.15b / Shares 41.8m; r=6.34% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 16.46% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -0.81 | EPS CAGR: -42.52% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 23.01 | Revenue CAGR: 9.09% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0