TR Stock Analysis: Tootsie Roll Industries | NYSE

Confectioners | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 3.076m USD | 12M Return: 8.4% | US8905161076 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Candy, Lollipops, Mints, Chews
Total Rating 55
Safety 73
Buy Signal -0.17
Confectioners
Industry Rotation: +8.4
Market Cap: 3.08B
Avg Turnover: 5.58M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility24.3%
VaR 5th Pctl4.37%
VaR vs Median9.06%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.28
Rel. Str. IBD33.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group59.3
Character TTM
Beta-0.281
Beta Downside-0.434
Hurst Exponent0.521
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD20.03%
CAGR/Max DD0.64
CAGR/Mean DD1.68
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TR over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.14, "2021-09": 0.37, "2021-12": 0.3, "2022-03": 0.17, "2022-06": 0.17, "2022-09": 0.39, "2022-12": 0.37, "2023-03": 0.1908, "2023-06": 0.2101, "2023-09": 0.4938, "2023-12": 0.4114, "2024-03": 0.2217, "2024-06": 0.219, "2024-09": 0.4601, "2024-12": 0.3165, "2025-03": 0.2475, "2025-06": 0.24, "2025-09": 0.4893, "2025-12": 0.3951, "2026-03": 0.3835, "2026-06": 0.18,
EPS CAGR: 3.81%
EPS Trend: 54.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of TR over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 115.458, 2021-09: 184.165, 2021-12: 167.924, 2022-03: 140.637, 2022-06: 143.44, 2022-09: 213.173, 2022-12: 189.72, 2023-03: 162.092, 2023-06: 160.145, 2023-09: 249.852, 2023-12: 197.276, 2024-03: 153.175, 2024-06: 150.736, 2024-09: 225.934, 2024-12: 193.372, 2025-03: 148.455, 2025-06: 155.088, 2025-09: 232.705, 2025-12: 196.276, 2026-03: 151.541, 2026-06: 154.219,
Rev. CAGR: -1.71%
Rev. Trend: -66.9%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan -0.2% 19
Feb +0.7% 19
Mar +4.1% 36
Apr -1.0% 19
May -0.8% 8
Jun +1.4% 18
Jul -0.0% 5
Aug -0.4% 2
Sep -0.9% 2
Oct -3.2% 12
Nov +5.3% 57
Dec -1.2% 25

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: TR Tootsie Roll Industries

Tootsie Roll Industries (NYSE: TR) is a U.S.-based confectionery manufacturer and seller operating in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and international markets. Founded in 1896 and headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, the company produces and markets a broad portfolio of candy brands including Tootsie Roll, Tootsie Pops, Blow-Pop, Dots, Junior Mints, Charleston Chew, Andes, Sugar Daddy, and Dubble Bubble, among others.

The company distributes its products through a wide range of channels, reaching wholesale candy and food distributors, supermarkets, dollar and discount stores, chain grocers, drug chains, mass merchandisers, warehouse and membership clubs, vending machine operators, e-commerce platforms, the U.S. military, and fundraising organizations. This multi-channel approach supports a diversified customer base across both retail and institutional segments.

Tootsie Roll operates within the Consumer Staples sector (GICS Sub-Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats), placing it among defensive, non-cyclical food producers. The company has been publicly traded since its 1987 IPO and is classified as a mid-cap stock. Its broad brand portfolio and long operating history are characteristic of established, multi-brand packaged food companies that rely on wide distribution and brand recognition rather than a single flagship product.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Cocoa and sugar input costs pressure confectionery gross margins
  • Halloween seasonal sales concentrate annual confectionery revenue
  • Dollar store and mass merchandiser channel expansion lifts volume
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 95.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.59 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 29.83% < 20% (prev 37.80%; Δ -7.98% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 124.7m > Net Income 95.5m
Net Debt (-122.9m) to EBITDA (149.8m): -0.82 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.89 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (75.0m) vs 12m ago 2.96% < -2%
Gross Margin: 34.89% > 18% (prev 36.19%; Δ -1.31% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 59.95% > 50% (prev 61.18%; Δ -1.23% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 291.4 > 6 (EBIT TTM 130.2m / Interest Expense TTM 447k)
Altman Z'' 5.02
A: 0.17 (Total Current Assets 334.9m - Total Current Liabilities 115.8m) / Total Assets 1.27b
B: 0.01 (Retained Earnings 9.94m / Total Assets 1.27b)
C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 130.2m / Avg Total Assets 1.23b)
D: 3.00 (Book Value of Equity 952.3m / Total Liabilities 317.8m)
Altman-Z'' = 5.02 = AAA
Beneish M -2.92
DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 57.4m/55.5m, Revenue 734.7m/722.8m)
GMI: 1.04 (GM 36.19% / 34.89%)
AQI: 1.08 (AQ_t 0.54 / AQ_t-1 0.50)
SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 734.7m / 722.8m)
TATA: -0.02 (NI 95.5m - CFO 124.7m) / TA 1.27b)
Beneish M = -2.92 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of TR shares?

As of August 22, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 40.99 with a total of 134,650 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.17%, over one month by +5.45%, over three months by +1.36% and over the past year by +8.43%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 39.20 (which is 4.4% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).

Is TR a buy, sell or hold?

Tootsie Roll Industries has no consensus analysts rating.

What are the forecasts/targets for the TR price?
Analysts Target Price 19 -53.6%
Tootsie Roll Industries (TR) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 18 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 3.08b (3.08b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 32.2205
P/E Forward = 26.6667
P/S = 4.1861
P/B = 3.2298
P/EG = 3.4316
Revenue TTM = 734.7m USD
EBIT TTM = 130.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 149.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 7.50m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 8.33m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 18.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 4.95m
Net Debt = -122.9m USD (calculated: Debt 18.2m - CCE 141.1m)
Enterprise Value = 2.95b USD (3.08b + Debt 18.2m - CCE 141.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 291.4 (Ebit TTM 130.2m / Interest Expense TTM 447k)
EV/FCF = 36.84x (Enterprise Value 2.95b / FCF TTM 80.2m)
FCF Yield = 2.71% (FCF TTM 80.2m / Enterprise Value 2.95b)
FCF Margin = 10.91% (FCF TTM 80.2m / Revenue TTM 734.7m)
Net Margin = 12.99% (Net Income TTM 95.5m / Revenue TTM 734.7m)
Gross Margin = 34.89% ((Revenue TTM 734.7m - Cost of Revenue TTM 478.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.13% (prev 34.55%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.33 (Enterprise Value 2.95b / Total Assets 1.27b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.45% (Interest Expense 447k / Debt 18.2m)
Taxrate = 26.53% (34.4m / 129.8m)
NOPAT = 95.7m (EBIT 130.2m * (1 - 26.53%))
Current Ratio = 2.89 (Total Current Assets 334.9m / Total Current Liabilities 115.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 18.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 952.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.82 (Net Debt -122.9m / EBITDA 149.8m)
Debt / FCF = -1.53 (Net Debt -122.9m / FCF TTM 80.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 940.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.79% (Net Income 95.5m / Total Assets 1.27b)
RoE = 10.15% (Net Income TTM 95.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 940.3m)
RoCE = 13.74% (EBIT 130.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 940.3m + L.T.Debt 7.50m))
RoIC = 8.50% (NOPAT 95.7m / Invested Capital 1.13b)
WACC = 4.97% (E(3.08b)/V(3.09b) * Re(4.99%) + D(18.2m)/V(3.09b) * Rd(2.45%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 4.99% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 90.18 | Cagr: 2.22%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈90.2m ; Y1≈79.1m ; Y5≈63.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 26.67 (EV 1.03b - Net Debt -122.9m = Equity 1.15b / Shares 43.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 54.09 | EPS CAGR: 3.81% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -66.94 | Revenue CAGR: -1.71% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0