TR Stock Analysis: Tootsie Roll Industries | NYSE
Confectioners | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 2.873m USD | 12M Return: -10.1% | US8905161076 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 5.78M
EPS Trend: 54.1%
Rev. Trend: -66.9%
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. (NYSE: TR) is a U.S.-based confectionery manufacturer founded in 1896 and headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, operating in the Consumer Staples sector under the Packaged Foods & Meats sub-industry. The company produces and sells a wide portfolio of sugar-based candy brands-including Tootsie Roll, Tootsie Pops, Dots, Junior Mints, Charleston Chew, Andes, Blow-Pop, and Charms-across the United States, Canada, Mexico, and select international markets. Listed on the NYSE since 1987, TR operates as a mid-cap packaged food issuer.
The companys business model is built on a multi-brand, house of brands approach, selling its products through an unusually broad distribution network that includes wholesale distributors, supermarkets, dollar stores, drug and discount chains, mass merchandisers, warehouse clubs, vending operators, e-commerce platforms, the U.S. military, and fund-raising charitable organizations. This diversified channel mix, which extends well beyond traditional grocery retail, is a defining feature of its operating model in the mature, brand-driven U.S. confectionery category.
- Cocoa and sugar input costs pressure confectionery gross margins
- Halloween seasonal candy sales drive fourth quarter revenue growth
- Competition intensifies from Hershey, Mars and premium chocolate brands
| Net Income: 95.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.59 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 29.83% < 20% (prev 37.80%; Δ -7.98% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 124.7m > Net Income 95.5m |
| Net Debt (-120.0m) to EBITDA (149.8m): -0.80 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.89 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (75.0m) vs 12m ago 2.96% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 34.89% > 18% (prev 36.19%; Δ -1.31% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 59.95% > 50% (prev 61.18%; Δ -1.23% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 291.4 > 6 (EBIT TTM 130.2m / Interest Expense TTM 447k) |
| A: 0.17 (Total Current Assets 334.9m - Total Current Liabilities 115.8m) / Total Assets 1.27b |
| B: 0.01 (Retained Earnings 9.94m / Total Assets 1.27b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 130.2m / Avg Total Assets 1.23b) |
| D: 3.00 (Book Value of Equity 952.3m / Total Liabilities 317.8m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 5.02 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 57.4m/55.5m, Revenue 734.7m/722.8m) |
| GMI: 1.04 (GM 36.19% / 34.89%) |
| AQI: 1.08 (AQ_t 0.54 / AQ_t-1 0.50) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 734.7m / 722.8m) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 95.5m - CFO 124.7m) / TA 1.27b) |
| Beneish M = -2.92 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 21, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 36.90 with a total of 138,351 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.99%, over one month by -0.73%, over three months by -5.20% and over the past year by -10.11%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 35.70 (which is 3.3% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Tootsie Roll Industries has no consensus analysts rating.
| Analysts Target Price | 19 | -48.5% |
P/E Trailing = 30.3413
P/E Forward = 26.6667
P/S = 3.9109
P/B = 2.997
P/EG = 3.4316
Revenue TTM = 734.7m USD
EBIT TTM = 130.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 149.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 7.50m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 8.33m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 21.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 4.95m
Net Debt = -120.0m USD (calculated: Debt 21.1m - CCE 141.1m)
Enterprise Value = 2.75b USD (2.87b + Debt 21.1m - CCE 141.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 291.4 (Ebit TTM 130.2m / Interest Expense TTM 447k)
EV/FCF = 34.35x (Enterprise Value 2.75b / FCF TTM 80.2m)
FCF Yield = 2.91% (FCF TTM 80.2m / Enterprise Value 2.75b)
FCF Margin = 10.91% (FCF TTM 80.2m / Revenue TTM 734.7m)
Net Margin = 12.99% (Net Income TTM 95.5m / Revenue TTM 734.7m)
Gross Margin = 34.89% ((Revenue TTM 734.7m - Cost of Revenue TTM 478.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.13% (prev 34.55%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.17 (Enterprise Value 2.75b / Total Assets 1.27b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.12% (Interest Expense 447k / Debt 21.1m)
Taxrate = 26.53% (34.4m / 129.8m)
NOPAT = 95.7m (EBIT 130.2m * (1 - 26.53%))
Current Ratio = 2.89 (Total Current Assets 334.9m / Total Current Liabilities 115.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 21.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 952.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.80 (Net Debt -120.0m / EBITDA 149.8m)
Debt / FCF = -1.50 (Net Debt -120.0m / FCF TTM 80.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 940.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.79% (Net Income 95.5m / Total Assets 1.27b)
RoE = 10.15% (Net Income TTM 95.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 940.3m)
RoCE = 13.74% (EBIT 130.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 940.3m + L.T.Debt 7.50m))
RoIC = 8.50% (NOPAT 95.7m / Invested Capital 1.13b)
WACC = 4.66% (E(2.87b)/V(2.89b) * Re(4.68%) + D(21.1m)/V(2.89b) * Rd(2.12%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 4.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 90.18 | Cagr: 2.22%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈90.2m ; Y1≈79.1m ; Y5≈63.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 26.60 (EV 1.03b - Net Debt -120.0m = Equity 1.15b / Shares 43.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 54.09 | EPS CAGR: 3.81% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -66.94 | Revenue CAGR: -1.71% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0